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NVDA Future Long Term Outlook | $QQQ | Bank Earnings kick off- NASDAQ:NVDA shaping up a H&S bearish pattern on daily time frame - NASDAQ:SMH / SOXX semi sector relatively weaker than NASDAQ:QQQ & $NASDAQ. that's why im still holding onto SOXS - When lead bull sectors starts to turn into more bearish we have to be careful with the other sectors. So far it is showing relative weakness but not too big of a divergence yet. - Bank earnings will not directly effect QQQ and SMH but will indirectly effect sentiment and if SPY drops a lot so will tech stocks and vice versa.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ArcadiaTrading
CPI Data | FOMC Minutes | $QQQ tightening Range- Fed minutes Wed 2pm EST - CPI Wed 530 EST - PPI Thursday 530 EST - added initial positions for AMEX:SOXS looking to add more if we get flat or lower CPI data then 5.1%. shorting the NASDAQ:SMH / NASDAQ:SOXX sector. - we have been tightening up in an equilibrium since last Wednesday will very likely break tomorrow. - NASDAQ:QQQ / AMEX:SPY will be using stair stepping candles as a guide to how to trade when data is release.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading
$QQQ BULLS Continue but at KEY Resistance, PCE Data tomorrow- SPY QQQ gapped up again but ended up closing within todays trading range, unlike yesterday bulls have a strong follow through after open. - PCE Data tomorrow morning 5:30am PST - QQQ closed around key daily resistance. - End of the quarter and month rebalancing tomorrow will bring lots of volatility - Will XLF / KRE join team bull or QQQ / SMH join team Bear? - i am slightly more bearish at this level but so far theres no red flags for the bulls at all for QQQ SMH SOXX
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading
3
Daily $QQQ Market Breakdown, Potential Bull flags in Tech Sector- SPY and QQQ have been very choppy due to sectors rotating around may potentially continue unless we start seeing XLF forming daily uptrends and joining team bull. - Or we see XLF / KRE go sideways and QQQ and SOXX/ SMH join team Bear. As of now there are zero red flags for QQQ and SMH daily time frame so i am slightly more bullish in my intra-day scalp trades. Wont be holding anything overnight until we get a clear direction in the market i am open to both bearish or bullish trades just want a clear direction.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ArcadiaTrading
$QQQ $SPY BEAR LACK Follow Through, Key Levels to Watch- $SPY $QQQ bear had all its chances to bring QQQ down after a bear break this morning out of the tightening range we had in the last 4 days but bears couldn't follow through. - Want to see QQQ Bulls gain back its hourly uptrend and break above 308 area of resistance. - want to see XLF / KRE bounce for SPY & SPX to break out of its equilibrium bull. of course vice versa for the bears. - zero red flags on the daily time frame for SOXX / SMH / QQQ
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ArcadiaTrading
2
$QQQ Equilibrium In Play till Monday. $SPY need 1h trend change- QQQ Equailibirum key break will be Monday which will determine which way SPY is going to move. - SOXX / SMH turning from lead bull into lead bear today, weakest sector since Dec 2022. May drag down QQQ if it continues. Will short this sector if it continues on SOXS. - SPY bulls want to see a hourly uptrend form, Bears want to see QQQ bear break Equilibrium and drag SPY down. - XLF / KRE gapped down and bounced all day, big enough bounce now for bulls to try to form an hourly uptrend, but before that bulls has changed nothing on the daily timeframe.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by ArcadiaTrading
AMD is approaching resistance (daily chart)AMD, like many semis, has been on a rip lately. However, it appears to be in a resistance zone at a Gann confluence line at 100.13 (like SMH and many other semis), which is also where it turned back earlier. The RSI(9) is overbought. I would see it going back to prior Gann line at 91.23. That line is also near the top of a bullish Ichimoku cloud. Perhaps a buy there, but I would be cautious about buying semis after April, since we may be entering some seasonality.
NASDAQ:AMD
by UnknownUnicorn13101
KEY TOP WATCH $QQQ Equilibrium Pattern Tomorrow - QQQ equilibrium pattern is going to be key break for which direction market is going the next couple days, - XLF KRE bear break to new lows will break QQQ equilibrium bear and then drag SPY down even more. - Yellen flip flop - no deposit guarantee yesterday to today it will be. (the more they flip flop back and forth the more we see them as less confident) - SOXX / SMH semi sector also helping QQQ with such a strong move up, QQQ bear break will likely mark a temporary top on this sector. need to see NVDA drop too.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ArcadiaTrading
FOMC Price Reaction Analysis, Support & Resistance, $SPY/$QQQ- Looking for a hourly Bear flag on SPY and QQQ after this huge move down. - XLF and KRE top watch to see if we break fear lows/52 week low. Fear would likely come back in if we do break the lows - looking for SOXX/SMH to go from lead bull turning into lead bear - Rate hikes is a head wind more for QQQ then SPY, so after Powell saying no rate cuts this year, we would likely see QQQ lead to the down side as well just like it lead to the upside. - FOMC reaction day after is always the real move, so tomorrow we need to see if bears can follow through or todays just a small reaction move.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ArcadiaTrading
XLK Update (daily chart)XLK is at a key area of resistance at Gann 145.11. It either breaks through this resistance next week to seek the Gartley 1.618 extension near the Gann line (151.77), or it repels downward to form a short term double top. I note that SOX index appears to be at a level of resistance, although it's ETF counterpart SMH appears in the clear above the Ichimoku cloud. I would watch the RSI (9) trend, which took a turn downward on Friday, although I'm discounting that observation a little since Friday was a weird day with options expiration. XLK is worth watching, since it is one of the few S&P sectors that is currently showing strength.
AMEX:XLK
by UnknownUnicorn13101
SMH - It's not as bad as you think.....SMH closed today at 234.30, above the Ichimoku Cloud and well above the downtrend channel set from 2022 high to low (grey shaded area). SMH has clearly broken out of this channel, has successfully retested. I see next low at 232.40, which is a Gann confluence line, and then a move back upwards (point D). The reason I see a bounce is that the RSI is approaching oversold on the daily at the confluence line. Have we broken the bear downtrend? Looks like it to me. In order to resume the bear trend, we would at least need to drop at least to 175 (another Gann Confluence line), which would only take us to approximately the top of the down channel. That would be a 25.6% drop from today's close. If we want to continue the bear trend, then we would need to take out 166.97, the October low, which would be a 28.7% decline from today's close. Is it possible that we drop another 25 - 28% from here? Of course, anything is possible. However, I don't see it as probable, unless there is a BLACK SWAN event, which no one can predict in any event (by definition). I know that many semi companies have laid off employees, and taken their pill. So future earnings reports may exceed expectations, although product demand remains an uncertainty. But I don't see a 25% drop from here in Semis on organics alone.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by UnknownUnicorn13101
Nvidia Sell SignalNvidia just put in a reversal signal on the Daily chart as it hit major resistance. This semiconductor has been a powerhouse mover and has single handily been lifting the Semis sector higher. Now that this stock may show some near term sell pressure we could see the sector as a whole pullback. The only thing that Im being mindful of when it comes to NVDA is that it has yet to report earnings. As a technical analyst I'm a bit dissatisfied that Nvidia came so close to filling the technical daily gap at 230.46 but never managed to fill it which leads me to think there may be a possibility it has 1 more gasp at a rally to fill the gap before rolling over. None the less distribution is being observed in a time when yields and dollar may be spiking again.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Trading-Capital
3
Opening (IRA): SMH Feb/March 170/154 Short Put LadderComments: My broad market positions are getting a little crowded and busy, so deploying some buying power into some sector ETF's, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. 30-day isn't bad here at 36.3%, but this isn't exactly as weak as it has been, so it's possible that a better entry could be had. Because of that, I'll look to potentially add should better opportunities present themselves. The goal here is to collect premium and/or to reduce cost basis in shares that you might be eventually assigned and not necessarily to get ideal entries; there is, after all, some "slop"/room to be wrong with these. That being said, being patient and getting paid something decent for a lower strike is always a good thing, since a lower strike means a smaller buying power effect. February 17th 170: 1.74 credit March 17th 154: 1.54 credit
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by NaughtyPines