Silveranalysis
Has Silver started a new leg lower? Hello, TradingView community. We hope you’re all having a solid session so far. Silver's daily chart has caught our attention today as price formed a solid move lower yesterday, and sellers have broken the low in today’s session. This could be a confirmation that the recovery trend has started to fail.
On top of the price pattern, the MA is pointing lower, and the CCI is in its bearish zone. We want to see price close below yesterday’s low and test/break the May 19th low to give this idea more credit. If we sellers can hold momentum and break 21.27, this could show strong seller momentum, and if other factors back up the momentum, we could even see a new move back to the 20.60 area.
But, we are looking for sellers to close below yesterday’s low to give yesterday’s move further confirmation.
The same pattern can also be seen on gold’s daily chart.
Good trading.
Silver 3D Gann Fan and EW Analyse !!Hello trader,
good mood and profitable deals! 💲
In 2011 we hit the high at 49,831!!
After a long sideways period until 2020, the silver price turned around at 11,631 ☝
The Gann Fan 3/1 also points to further upward movement 👌
From here the EW count begins !!
Wave🌊 1 ended at Gann Fan 4/1 and corrected IMO in a triangle, 0.618 or sideways
Wave 🌊 3 ends at 0.786, about 40 usd
If the bulls are not as strong as assumed, the movement with Wave🌊 C ends at 0.618, approx. 36 USD,
otherwise we can still count on Wave 🌊 5 at 47-48 usd after a correction
In terms of time, I suspect that we will reach the high in 2023-24 !!
I would like to mention that all I post are just options and my own opinion!
Always trade with SL, and do not risk more than 1% of your portfolio (max 3%) per trade.
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DeGRAM | SILVER short!Silver is clear in the bearish trend.
Price action made a complex pullback and false break of the major resistance level.
A false break is a great signal and opportunity for a trend continuation trade.
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Silver: Whac-A-MoleYou know the arcade- and computer-game “Whac-A-Mole”, where you have to whack little mole-figures popping up randomly back into their holes? Quite similarly to these mole-figures, silver has repeatedly been popping up into the upper orange zone between $21.85 and $23.46. Now, we don’t want to whack it, as it still has some room in the upper orange zone to finish wave iv in orange. However, as soon as wave iv in orange is completed, silver should indeed move downwards to continue the overarching descent.
SILVER (XAGUSD) Update & Time to Fall 🪙
As you remember, we spotted a bearish breakout of a rising wedge pattern on Silver yesterday.
Today we see a retest.
Retesting a broken support of the wedge, the market formed a descending triangle formation on 1H time frame.
It is a solid confirmation and it may trigger a bearish continuation.
Initial target - 21.7
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#Silver taking a short for silver as we hit the top of the fibMy medium term bias is bearish for silver and entering a short at current levels.
SILVER (XAGUSD) Great Trading Setup For Today🥈
Hey traders,
After a bearish breakout of a key level on a weekly, I was looking for shorting opportunities on Silver.
Nicely recovering the market reached a strong horizontal structure yesterday.
On 1H time frame, the market formed a head and shoulders pattern.
21.51 - 21.55 is its horizontal neckline.
To short with a confirmation, wait for an hourly candle close below that.
Then sell aggressively or on a retest.
Goals will be:
21.25
21.0
If the price sets a new higher high on 1H, the setup will be invalid.
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Silver trading planhi, this is my Silver trading plan, great buy opportunity will come at 19.20 zone
one could scalp buy but will be high risk as price could push for one more low before reversal.
trade well,
Alex
Silver- False break of support?Since August last year, Silver is trading, more or less, in a range and, excepting, March and April's false break of resistance, the boundaries are pretty clear at 22 and 25.
Last week the price has broken under 22 support, but, considering the quick reversal and retest of now resistance, this can be a false break.
The confirmation comes with the price back above 22 and bulls can target 24 resistance. 23.30 is interim resistance and, as long as the recent low is in place, buy dips can be a good strategy.
SILVER (XAGUSD) The Zone to Watch 🥈
Last week we spotted a confirmed breakout of a major weekly structure on Silver.
Now, as the market is recovering, I am preparing to short.
The zone from where I will look for selling opportunities is based on a confluence between fib retracement levels
and horizontal structure.
Let the price reach 21.8 - 22.2 supply area.
Then wait for a confirmation within to sell.
Your initial target will be 20.7
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SILVER | BULLISH BIASEDSILVER (XAGUSD) - has defined the bottom around 20.45. Since then the price looks in bullish trend as price is making higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, it is flirtering with EMA100 which has been reactive in the past. It has overhead resistance of 23.6% fib level.
If price has successfully break above it, one can build long position as strategy is buy on breakout.
Trade your levels accordingly.
My new silver idea...Based on the Fed's adamant nature on raising rates over the next two meetings, I see weakness in the silver price. But not much more.
I think the Fed pauses and possibly pivots to easing after August when the true nature of the coming recession reveals itself.
Following that I see a rapid rise in the price of silver, in a similar time frame between 2008 and 2011. However I do see silver will retaking $50/oz much quicker than it did the last time.
Then the price of silver is in no man's land and we must base our projects based on measurements of silver compared to other investments or commodities.
SILVER (XAGUSD) Important Breakout🥈
It looks like Silver broke a key weekly demand zone this week.
Weekly candle closes in just 10 hours.
With a high probability, we will see a bearish trend continuation to lower structure levels.
Next demand zone on focus: 18.8 - 19.6 area.
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Get long Silver for the long haul? This chart is a super zoomed-out view of Silver priced in U.S. Dollars going back about 10 years on a Monthly time frame. While I think a very good trade idea could be coming a little later this year (2022), I think the thesis is best illustrated on the longer time frame.
As you can see in the chart, Silver spent about a year and a half consolidating in a range between the high $18 range, to the mid $24 range. I've drawn a rectangle from this time period to the Volume Profile to show that a small value area was formed at these prices.
Since April 18th, Silver has been crushed - it has barely seen an uptick on it's way to declining about -17%. The broader view isn't much better, as it is down -16.5% YoY, and -6.5% YTD. Over that same time, Gold has held up much better and is up +4% YoY and +1.3% YTD. Consequently, the Gold/Silver ratio has been trending upward on a steady incline.
While its possible that the current consolidation range can hold, and Silver can sustain prices above $20 before heading back up, but I think its easier to make the case that Silver is weakening over the near term, and could break its range to the downside.
If you believe that inflation will be a problem for months, if not years to come, metals should eventually rebound and back up to retest the previous highs. A break below $20 would likely push the Gold/Silver ratio higher, and offer a fantastic opportunity to get long Silver. with the potential tailwinds of a dramatic price rise in the near future - both in terms of U.S. Dollars, and Gold.
If the break lower does come to pass, good candidates to enter longs silver positions would be either via Futures, or options in the SLV ETF. I'd also look to put positions on in the Small Exchange's Precious Metals contract SPRE . While this is product would give exposure to the entire precious metals complex, Silver would act as the driver to push it higher.
Silver could reverse from supportSince the 18th Aprile Silver's price has dropped almost in a straight line with a single significant green candle on the 4th of May.
Now the price is trading in the important 22 support zone and we can have a reversal at this point
The first resistance is just above 23 followed by important 24.
Buy dips under 22 can be a good strategy with negation if support falls.
Silver: JumpyWhile bears aren’t normally known to be jumpy, the bears on the silver market have just shown signs of scariness. They must have been so focused on their way downwards that they didn’t realize how close they had already come to the support at $21.98. Although they have shrunken back from this mark, we expect them to pick up courage again quickly – after all, they have been so strong and composed lately. So, the bears should push silver below $21.98 and towards the orange zone between $20.91 and $19.59, where wave iii in orange should end. Then, a countermovement should lead silver back above $21.98, where it should finish wave iv in orange before resuming the overarching downwards movement.