Silver
The bears are trying to take the lead.We are watching the price closely to see if it stays stable.
If it falls below 22 Aug bears candles (see on the chart) and stays there, it could be a problem. For now, I'm being cautious even though things seem positive overall and even too positive especially in option market.
Silver struggles at downtrend littered with reversal patternsSilver’s been on a nice run recently, benefitting from an easing of concerns towards the trajectory for US economy. But with the move stalling ahead of levels where it's struggled in the past, and with major risk events approaching fast, are we on the cusp of yet another bearish reversal?
Silver has rallied 14% from the early August lows
It has been extremely correlated with other industrial metals such as copper over the past month, suggesting it’s more a play on the global economy
Silver rally stalls at downtrend that’s sparked bearish reversals in the past
Overview
Silver’s been on a nice run recently, benefitting from an easing of concerns towards the trajectory for global US economy. That’s because unlike gold which has been heavily influenced by movements in the US dollar and bond yields, silver has been extremely correlated with copper futures over the past month, another industrial metal closely tied to economic activity.
While concerns have eased recently, we’re about to receive a whole bunch of economic data that could easily see them flare again next week. Perhaps unsurprisingly, silver has struggled to extend the bullish reversal sparked by Jerome Powell’s speech last Friday, wobbling ahead of downtrend resistance dating back to the highs struck this year.
Silver looking at another bearish reversal?
When you look back to see how the silver price has interacted with this level previously, you can’t help but notice it’s littered with evening stars, bearish engulfing candles and key reversals, all notable topping patterns. It doesn’t like it.
With RSI (14) rolling over, warning of waning bullish momentum, I wonder whether we may see a similar outcome soon? Wednesday’s candle, while incomplete, looms as a potential bearish engulfing, while the price is threatening to break out of the rising wedge it’s been in for several weeks.
For those keen to take on the short trade, you could sell now or wait for better levels slightly higher with a stop above Monday’s high for protection. The initial trade target would be $28.77, conditional on the price being able to break the 50-day moving average. If $28.77 were to give way, $28.046 and $27.269 are the next levels to consider.
If the trade moves in your favour, consider lowering your stop to entry level or lower, allowing for a free hit on downside.
-- Written by David Scutt
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST AUG 26 - 30th: S&P NASDAQ GOLD SILVER OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast AUG 26-30th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 15H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 28.518 area.
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Why I won't be 'shaken' out of my Silver-accumulation longs
Please, check out my charts. The 4HR, Daily and Weekly.
How bullish is looking for Silver. Today's price-action has already taken out last weeks high.
I recommended to many of the traders following me here on TV, to get into a Long position(s) in Silver today. Why? Well without even speculating on the FED making it's move on interest rate reductions & where my personal view is the obvious one that the Gold price is going to skyrocket, notwithstanding this the Silver chart on the high T/F's is so bullish at the moment.
If one of the Gurus tells you to sell Gold or Silver at the moment and take TP, you are losing the compounding effect of accumulation IMHO. Just chuck on a loose trailing stop. But make it loose because the market-maker 'coats' will drive price down to your stop & take you out. I see it time and time again, which is why I generally only use 'soft-mental-stops'. I'd rather lose the lot myself than have a coat take me out.
SILVER Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 30.066.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 28.468.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 28.602 level area with our short trade on SILVER which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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Silver XAGUSD Bearish Robbery Plan to steal EverythingMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Silver XAGUSD market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 4h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
SILVER XAG/USD Money Heist Plan on BullishMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist SILVER "XAGUSD" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
Silver (XAGUSD): Position Update and Next StepsWe entered at the wrong Fibonacci retracement level but still respected the 50% level very well, which is encouraging. Additionally, we’ve broken the bearish structure again and are now looking for more upside on silver after another slight dip.
This is our second entry on Silver, so we're taking some profits off the table here and might consider another entry on the upcoming dip. We considered moving the stop loss higher but have decided to keep it where it is for now, closing it manually if necessary.
As mentioned in the chat, taking profits is never wrong—you can't go broke by taking profits.
Let’s zoom in a bit here to find a nice small position play on the lower time frame for Silver. We have two Swings running in profit, and I personally want to increase my exposure to silver at this time. We’re going to bid on this wave (iv) at the 50% Fibonacci level with a tighter stop loss. We’ll update you once we’re filled or if we decide to cancel this bid. ✅
Gold Wash-out Low after Flag Apex. Need To See $2540+ On Close.Watch this video if you are trading gold. With a perfect Flag formation and a deep washout-low rotation, we need to see Gold rally back up to near $2540 to reach the Apex level again.
Any continued price weakness will show Gold may be attempting a deeper pullback after reaching $2570.
I believe Gold will settle very well into the end of the day. Possibly even reaching $2550+.
But, this is news-driven. This move is related to the geopolitical events taking place in Taiwan and other areas of the world.
Buckle up. Gold wants to move above $2602 - but it will be a struggle from now on.
Get some.
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SILVER XAGUSD Analysis: Thursday 22nd August.
Yesterday the Silver price hummed along nicely in concert with the Gold price, which of course XAUUSD Gold broke the 2500 level downwards at the start of the New York session. It was a false-break down & took many of the Long-Stops before the Gold Price shot upwards.
Concerning a bit for me yesterday was the number of Bearish Head 'n' Shoulders patterns on multiple timeframes. Now be aware of this very strong Bearish H & S's pattern for XAU USD on the 1HR timeframe.
How will it play out?
Well during the Oceania and Asian session the Gold price sold off again about 4 hours ago during Thursday early afternoon trading in Australia. I put out an alert to go long Gold around the 2500 support level & the Gold price has lifted nicely thanks to a bullish Cup and Handle pattern mostly on the 1m and 2m charts.
So if Gold continues it's strength going into the London and New York sessions then Silver should also be supported and should avoid triggering this Head's n Shoulders sell pattern. Price is awfully close to the neckline and it's possible price could be selling off now at time of writing.
In economic news on todays calendar Thursday 22nd August in the USA
1. 08:00 - USA Jackson Hole Symposium
2. 08:30am - Initial Jobless Claims for USA. 232k is the key number.
* (A higher than expected reading could be taken as negative/bearish for the USD)
So a number greater > than 232K could be supportive of the Gold and Silver price imo due to the inverse relationship between the USD and Gold.
3. 08:30 - Continuing Jobless Claims 1,870K (Forecast) 1,864K (Previous)
So a higher number than 1870K will support Gold
4. 09:45 - Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 49.5 (Forecast) 49.6 (Previous)
A number lower than 49.5 will be supportive of Gold, generally speaking.
5. 09:45 - S&P Global Composite PMI (Aug) 53.5 (Forecast) 54.3 (Previous)
6. 09:45 - Services PMI (Aug) 54.0 (Forecast) 55.0 (Previous)
Both of these PMI are supportive of Gold if they are lower numbers than forecast.
7. 0:00 - Existing Home Sales (Jul) 3.94M (Forecast) 3.89M (Previous)
A lesser number on existing home sales needed here for support on gold price.
SILVER (XAGUSD): More Growth is Coming?!
I see a confirmed structure breakout on Silver.
The price broke and closed above a key daily resistance.
We see its retest at the moment.
Presumably, the broken structure turned into support now.
The market may continue growth at least to 30.3 resistance.
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SILVER Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 29.576.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 31.792 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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SILVER, very bullish outlookHello everyone,
I like to provide you a detailed elliot wave analysis on silver. In my opinion we are in the middle of a higher degree fifth wave. The elliot wave rules I use:
Standard:
- Wave 3 has to be the longest
- Wave 4 can not overlap with wave 1
Advanced:
- Target levels are 1,5 to 1,618 (wave 3) and 2.272 to 2.618 (wave 5)
- Wave 3 needs to show a change of character to wave 1 (usually steeper)
GOLD - Rockin' Higher (MACRO BULLISH!!!!)From a macro perspective, the bullish trend has just been confirmed. With the current worldwide uncertainty regarding monetary policies, the wars going on and the political conflicts people tend to swift towards safe havens like gold since their store of value does not deteriorate in an economic crisis, it's always on demand and easily convertible. History doesn’t repeat itself but it certainly rhymes.
We have two active Time at Mode weekly bullish trends.
First trend expires mid September with the highest target of $2,900.
Second trend expires in November with the highest target of $3,100.
Combining both short and longer term trends, we could easily expect price continuation toward $3,000's by the end of the year.
Silver Rebounds at Key Demand Zone: A Bullish ImpulseSilver recently rebounded from a significant Demand area around $28.48, marking the start of what appears to be a new bullish impulse. This recovery comes at a crucial moment, as market participants closely monitor the movements of precious metals amid fluctuating economic indicators and shifting sentiment in the broader market.
From a technical standpoint, the surge in Silver's price following this rebound is notable. The metal has managed to find strong support at this key level, suggesting that buyers are stepping in, possibly positioning for a sustained upward move. This aligns well with the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals interesting dynamics among the major players in the market.
The COT report, which tracks the positions of commercial and non-commercial traders, indicates a favorable environment for further bullish momentum in Silver. Non-commercial traders, often seen as speculators, seem to be gradually increasing their long positions, reflecting a growing confidence in Silver's potential upside. Meanwhile, commercial traders, who typically use futures contracts to hedge their positions, may be signaling the underlying strength in Silver by reducing their short positions.
Applying our Supply and Demand strategy, the recent price action further supports the case for a long continuation in Silver. The demand area around $28.48 has proven to be a robust support zone, and as Silver continues to build on this foundation, we anticipate the possibility of higher prices in the near term. The current market conditions, combined with the insights from the COT report, suggest that Silver may be poised for a strong rally.
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