Unraveling Silver's Price Puzzle: Volume Profile AnalyticsH ello,
As I draft this article, the price of silver is currently hovering above the key level of $31.2. This level is considered "key" because it represents a significant point where large buy and sell forces meet, as indicated by the volume profile at the bottom.
The importance of this level is further confirmed by the price action itself. Silver has been in a moderately strong uptrend, as suggested by the linear regression on the candles. However, the uptrend was interrupted at this price, and from September 24 until now, silver has been struggling to overcome the supply and push the price higher. You may observe how volume grows around this level, in a so-called "zone", and decreases as the market moves towards the zone borders. It's both a supply and a demand zone as indicated further by how the price usually returned into the zone after going out from it.
Between October 9 and October 14, the market absorbed significant sell forces. Absorption means that there were sellers, but the sum of the buying volumes (what I call buy force) negated the sell force's impact on the price. You can observe it on the chart where relatively tall sell volume deltas belong to candles of the opposite price action - Yellow volume delta candles to green price candles. Furthermore, if you observe it, you can also see that the buy force moved the price upwards against the sales. Additionally, for the first time since September 24, the demand outweighed the supply for a relatively extended duration.
Overall, the chart signals that it's an important time for silver's price. The market is in a balanced state where demand matches supply. However, if you look at the trend within this balanced state, you find a moderately strong uptrend. Thus, despite the balance, the trend projects higher prices in the future.
Regards,
Ely
