SLV - Finally Catching Up With GoldPrecious metals continue to rocket higher and even as Central Banks around the world flock to gold and lighten up on US Dollar exposure, lagging far behind is silver that is still quite a ways from its all time high close to 50. Reverse head and shoulders formations show some possible targets in the 34-35 area but my best speculative bet is that SLV will hit its previous high, perhaps forming a mega cup and handle formation. For many silver enthusiasts, prices reaching $100-200 seems quite plausible. While it's always best to acquire the physical metal, as the ETFs erode value over time due to management fees, Silver is still cheap in my book. With the gold/silver ratio around 80 and falling, I expect silver to outperform gold going forward.
Silver
Dont Buy Silver Here; Watch Gold/Silver RatioSilver has been mostly sideways since 2021 and till 2024, when metal clearly formed a corrective price action because of choppy and overlapping moves. Ideally, that was a very big triangle that sent prices sharply higher this year as shown on weekly chart below. We have seen some nice turn up, due to inflation hedge, CB easing and geopolitical tensions. In fact, we can see some volatility in last few weeks with sharp move out of a big contracting range; its an impulsive reaction since price broke above $25, but notice that price now trades $34-37 area as expected; marked as potential resistance zone identified by swing highs from 2012, 2013, and Fibonacci levels.
The reason why we should be aware of a resistance on silver and also gold, is gold/silver ratio (XAUSD/XAGUSD ), which is pointing higher after an A-B-C corrective setback. Based on past correlations, bullish gold/silver ratio is usually bearish for metals, so if ratio start moving higher, then watch out for a limited upside on silver. From an Elliott wave perspective this push higher on XAUSD/XAGUSD chart would deffinitely not be a surprise because of bullish pattern.
If someone wants to join uptrends on gold and silver, then due to the reasons described above, it may not be a bad idea to wait on some pullback first. $30 can be an interesting levels in such case.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 10-22: Gap Reversal In Counter-TrendToday's Gap Reversal in Counter Trend mode should resolve as a moderate downward early price trend - possibly transitioning into a base/bottom and turning higher near the end of the trading day today.
Looking at the charts, it appears price is actually leading my SPY Cycle Patterns by about 12+ hours right now. Why?? I don't actually know why - but it appears price is anticipating the cycle patterns a bit early.
Given the heightened sense of concern related to the elections, price may be rolling through stages of liquidity and volatility with only about 15 days to go before the elections.
Either way, as I suggested, this week is going to be tough to trade with the markets moving into a pause phase ahead of the elections. Most traders are trying to position assets away from the markets or are planning on riding things out past the elections right now.
I continue to suggest traders scale back allocation levels this week and next because of the issues related to liquidity in the markets.
Look for the SPY/QQQ to attempt to find a base and try to melt upward near the end of trading today.
Gold & Silver should stay rather muted today.
Bitcoin is consolidating - just as I suggested.
Get some.
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Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 34.63460$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER Rockets Beyond All Targets – 6,000 Points Secured!SILVER Futures (15m time frame), Long Trade
Entry: ₹92,508
Current Price: ₹98,451
All Targets Hit!
Key Levels:
Entry: ₹92,508 – Positioned after a clear bullish breakout from consolidation, following a strong uptrend.
Stop-Loss (SL): ₹91,769 – Placed below recent support to manage risk in case of a reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): ₹93,420 – Already hit, confirming momentum continuation.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): ₹94,896 – Successfully reached, indicating a sustained buying interest.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): ₹96,373 – Achieved, reinforcing the trend strength.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): ₹97,285 – All targets met, signaling a powerful bullish surge.
Trend Analysis:
The price movement stayed well above the Risological Dotted Trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. Each take profit level was hit, showcasing a clear uptrend without significant pullbacks.
The long entry capitalized on a breakout of consolidation with growing volumes. The continuation of higher highs confirms that buying pressure remains strong, allowing all targets to be comfortably reached.
With the current price significantly above all targets, the trade has yielded excellent returns.
XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35
Precious metal prices are fluctuating near multi-year highs due to safe-haven demand driven by:
→ Uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections,
→ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East,
→ Expectations of central banks lowering interest rates.
As seen on the XAG/USD chart, silver prices:
→ Are near their highest levels in 12 years,
→ Are approaching the $35 mark,
→ Have risen by over 43% since the start of the year.
Technical analysis of the XAG/USD chart indicates that silver is following an upward trend (shown in a blue channel), with the current price near its median line. This suggests a potential balance between supply and demand, which could stabilise price fluctuations.
Key observations:
→ A red resistance line on the chart reflects a corrective phase within the blue channel.
→ Breaking through this resistance in September triggered a strong bullish impulse (marked by a blue arrow).
→ This impulse was so robust that it pushed the price above the psychological $30 level, turning it into support.
A similar pattern might emerge in the future. After another strong bullish move (marked by a second blue arrow), the $32.5 level could also become a support area.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 34.118.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 30.110 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 32.444.
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SILVER - Potential long trade !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on SILVER.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from trendline and LZ.
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XAUUSD Potential breakout to a new ATHXAUUSD has broken and closed above the downward channel, signaling a strong bullish trend. As the price approaches the all-time high (ATH) level, there is potential for a pullback as traders may take profits or reassess positions. However, with the current bullish momentum, the market is likely to continue moving higher, even if a slight pullback occurs. If the price does pull back, looking for rejection signs near key support levels could confirm further upside. The target is the resistance zone at 2698
SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Historic Resistances
As a bull run continues on Silver,
here are the next historic resistances to focus on.
Resistance 1: 34.0 - 34.4 area
Resistance 2: 34.7 - 35.4 area
Resistance 3: 37.0 - 37.5 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-21: Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests an opening price Gap is likely. Given the markets are trading slightly lower this morning, this Gap potential plays very well with my Roadmap trading outline from last week. I highlighted the need to sell out of positions last Friday and look to buy into the Gap Potential pattern today.
If the markets rally off this opening gap pattern, we could see a nice move in the SPY up to 587-588+.
Gold and Silver are rallying again. But be aware today is a TOP pattern for Gold/Silver. That means both Gold & Silver will attempt to identify resistance and move away (lower) from that resistance level.
Bitcoin looks to have moved into the Ultimate Peak level on an intermediate-term Excess Phase Peak pattern. Additionally, the deeper low sets up a longer-term Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests Bitcoin has entered the Consolidation Phase (#3).
Because of this, I suspect Bitcoin will fall below the FWB:67K level and potentially move into broad consolidation for a minimum of at least 5-6 weeks.
These Consolidation phases in longer-term Excess Phase Peak patterns can be brutal for traders. The volatility of these consolidation phases can present real challenges and last about 50% of the time it took to Flag. Given this information, we may see many weeks of consolidation within a range in Bitcoin - possibly lasting into December 2024.
This will be a tough week for traders. Try to stay aware of the bigger picture and play the rotation headed into next week.
Get some.
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SILVER: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 33.37762$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Massive Cup & Handle on Silver could take price to $722 by 2046Could also reach that full breakout target much sooner to but the trajectory of the measured mvoe line were it to validate the breakout above the rimline around the arbitrary spot I placed it at has the end of the measured move line in the year 2046. With the right scenario playing out on the global stage a price like that is possible much sooner even, and there’s also always the chance that we go past that timeframe without hitting the full target just yet either but that happens less often than when it hits the target beforehand. *not financial advice*
SILVER Swing Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing in
A strong uptrend and
Silver is locally overbought
So after it hits a horizontal
Resistance of 35.46$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
SILVER | XAGUSD Weekly Outlook Oct 21st: Wait For BUYS!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
After closing last week with a strong bullish candle, the week ahead maintains a bullish bias.
Be mindful of a short term pullback this week, as price tends to retrace after breaking swing highs. Just remain patient and wait for valid buy setups in this case.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Silver Shines Brighter: A Bullish Run to $39.62 After Rate Cut?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD
On the daily timeframe, silver has consistently traded above the EMA100, signaling a strong bullish trend. Additionally, it has broken through the upper trendline of a wide descending broadening wedge pattern . This breakout, confirmed by a bullish Marubozu candlestick, indicates strong buyer momentum. The MACD’s bullish crossover further supports the expectation of continued upward movement.
With these technical indicators in alignment, we anticipate silver advancing toward Target Area 1 at 36.76 and potentially reaching Target Area 2 at 39.62. However, the support level at 27.59 remains critical; a break below this level could invite bearish pressure.
In the broader macroeconomic landscape, central banks across multiple countries are enacting rate cuts to stimulate growth amid slowing economic conditions. Combined with declining manufacturing PMIs, geopolitical tensions, and the US-China economic slowdown, these factors heighten uncertainty. As a result, safe-haven assets like silver and gold are expected to benefit, as investors seek protection against market volatility. This influx of demand may provide further upward momentum for silver prices.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver.
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Silver Lining: Breakout Signals Imminent Price SurgeThe price previously formed a Falling Wedge Pattern, and after breaking out, it entered a phase of consolidation.
This led to the emergence of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the chart, and with a recent breakout, silver is now trending upward.
Key level to watch
First target - $32.2
Second target - $33.0
It is recommended to set a strict stop-loss just below the $30.9 level to mitigate significant losses.
XAUUSD Bullish setup this week**Monthly Chart**
XAGUSD last monthly candle closed bullish after testing the liquidity of Jan 2013 liquidity pool.
The monthly engulfing candle indicates a high probability for Sliver to continue its trend higher at least to take liquidity above the 33.00 (round number) level. It also suggests that the near target high is around 36.00 and then 37.50 (Oct 2012 and Feb 2012 swing highs) Levels
This month's candle, which is still active, tested the imbalanced price action (or FVG) at around 30.00. It moved aggressively and took the high of the previous month.
**Weekly Chart**
Last weekly candle of Silver closed slightly bullish after sweeping liquidity from previous weeks lows. This gives a strong trend momentum for the price to head higher at least to hunt the liquidity above the 33.00 level. The weekly candle closed as a key reversal high.
**Daily Chart**
Last week Silver started a new swing high after it took the liquidity below 30.55 level and head higher.
This week we will be looking for a bullish structure and opportunity to at least target 33.00. This is around 200 pips moves expected on this pair.