Aussie Yen on the Rise: Could It Hit 103.000 Soon?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:AUDJPY !
On the H4 timeframe, Aussie Yen is holding strong above the EMA90, signaling a solid bullish trend. We’ve also seen a breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern, which typically points to a continuation of the current uptrend. The MACD indicator shows a hidden bullish divergence, where the price makes higher lows while the indicator makes lower lows. This often suggests underlying strength and the potential for the uptrend to continue, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
With these key technical factors in alignment, we could witness an exciting push towards Target Area 1 at 103.000, or even up to Target Area 2 at 103.972. However, traders should keep a close eye on the stop-loss level at 99.946 to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
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XAUUSD Analysis | Charting New Territory ATH GOLD is charting new all time high territory once again this year after breaking through into the 2700s and still on a sharp ascent structure giving a high probability that we could now see 2800 by end of year. There is still a strong bullish momentum as stated but falling just short of the next quarter resistance of 2750 we could see a correction down to meet several support levels including the 50 ema which aligns with not only horizontal and dynamic support but also the middle bol band and quarter phase section of 25%.
Any long term sells are pretty much foolish at this level with the increasing likeliness that the ascent will continue I am looking to enter buys from these key support levels or potentially short term sell entries leading into these pivot zones for longs.
Ideally we will as per previous market structure see price enter a consolidation zone post a short correction to which we can scalp and gain some lower long entries before seeing price once again break through to the topside and complete the current quarter phase of 75% - 100% which would be around 2750-2800.
Aptos | APT vs SUIThe price of Aptos is $10.7 today with a 24hour trading volume of 128 million dollar. This represents a 7% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 6% price increase in the past 7 days
With a circulating supply of 190 Million APT, and YES we back to 2 billion dollar Marketcap. now lets compare SUI and APTOS
Both Aptos and Sui blockchains are designed to address the scalability and efficiency issues faced by the current generation of blockchain networks. They both implement one of the most advanced programming languages – Move, utilize parallel execution for high throughput, and offer low latency. These similarities make them attractive options for businesses looking to build blockchain-based applications. The language used for parallel execution in both Aptos and Sui is Move, which is based on Rust and was initially designed at Meta. The language offers powerful tools and features to build smart contracts and decentralized applications. However, Sui has its own version of the language.
Aptos follows the standard design outlined in Diem’s whitepaper, while Sui has a slightly different object model. Sui’s storage system is object-centric, which means that most things on the blockchain, including addresses and transactions, are represented as objects.Sui’s version of Move clearly indicates when an object is owned, shared, mutable, or immutable, whereas Aptos does not. Additionally, Sui’s ownership API is cleaner than Aptos’s, as it provides a clearer representation of the blockchain design
Sui and Aptos differ significantly in their architecture, particularly in how they utilize distributed ledger technology. Sui’s ledger is stored as a directed a cyclic graph rather than a blockchain like Aptos. While both designs are efficient and share similarities with traditional blockchains, their differences are essential to their consensus mechanism and scalability.aptos has a modular architecture that enables easy upgrades and customizations, while Sui focuses on a multi-layered architecture to separate the consensus, storage, and computation layers. This allows for improved scalability and flexibility in the network.The ecosystems are very different and extensive in both projects. Every day there is something new to discover at both chains. It’s hard to pick out an outsider and a favorite. Aptos blockchain got its popularity before Sui, but at the moment, judging by the number of followers on Discord, Sui is overtaking Aptos.
After a surge in the popularity of Aptos several months ago, many various projects were created and launched exactly using that blockchain. During the year 2022, over 100 projects were developed using Aptos network.the most popular projects built over Aptos include Pontem (a universal wallet) and Pyth (a modern oracle). Aptos boasts a growing ecosystem of tools, libraries, and developer resources, while Sui’s ecosystem is relatively nascent but has the potential to grow rapidly as more developers join the network.as for Sui, the mainnet of the network will only be launched in Q2 2023 and the testnet was launched in the last days of March 2023. Thus, the majority of the project is now TBA. One of the most remarkable Sui projects so far is Sui wallet. Still, the Sui blockchain has great potential to overtake Aptos due to its scalability level.
Aptos and Sui are two blockchain ecosystems with different approaches to their tokenomics. Aptos has released an overview of their tokenomics for their native token APT, but additional information is expected to be published soon. APT is currently used for PoS participation and liquidity incentives, with an initial supply of 1 billion tokens. The majority of the initial supply is currently staked for PoS participation, with the remaining tokens allocated to different categories.
On the other hand, Mysten Labs has published an in-depth whitepaper on the native token of Sui, SUI. SUI will be staked within an epoch to participate in the proof-of-stake mechanism and on-chain voting. Additionally, SUI will be used as the asset denomination to pay for gas fees and other operations on the Sui platform, with a total supply of 10 billion tokens. The exact allocation percentages for the distribution of tokens have not been released, but the presence of the storage fund can create monetary dynamics and reduce the amount of SUI in circulation.
In conclusion, both Aptos and Sui have their unique selling points and hold great potential for businesses looking to adopt blockchain technology. However, Sui and Aptos are rapidly developing ecosystems, they’re still pretty ‘young’ compared to other big players in the industry. Thus, they are definitely expected to settle all security audit issues soon.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
USD Index at 104 Resistance: Strategies for the Next MoveIn early October, I wrote that the multiple attempts to break below the support level given by the beginning of the year price were likely false breaks.
I suggested that the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) was primed for a reversal to the upside, which could potentially push the price toward the 104 resistance level.
As anticipated, the USD Index reversed and touched this key resistance.
Looking ahead, a correction from this point seems probable, with the 102.50 zone being a possible target in the coming days.
My strategy is to look for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and AUD/USD.
Dollar Index Consolidation: Will NFP Trigger an Upside Breakout?Since its recent touch on the support zone back in August, the U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a period of consolidation, characterized by multiple attempts to break through this critical support level.
Despite several instances where the price briefly dipped below the technical support zone, each time, the market witnessed a strong reversal, with bulls stepping in to defend the level successfully.
From my perspective, we are nearing a potential upside reversal, and the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday could serve as the catalyst for this move.
Currently, 102 is the key level to watch for confirmation of an upward breakout. Should the DXY break above this threshold, the next reasonable target would be around 104, marking a significant bullish shift in momentum.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Alikze »» GALA | Wave 3 or C scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or 3 scenario in the ascending channel
- In the 8H frame, it is moving in an ascending channel.
- So far, a movement cycle AB=CD within the ascending channel has grown to the size of 0.78 fibo.
- After that, it had a corrective cycle up to the green box range, which has met with demand again.
- Currently, it is in the middle of the channel, which can continue its growth by breaking it up to the limit of the first supply area (the ceiling of the channel).
💎 After that, if it has a soft and zigzag correction, it can continue its growth with a bullback to the broken structure (minor ceiling) in the ascending channel until the second supply area as wide as the first channel.
⚠️Note: In addition, if the current price enters the corrective phase and touches the Invalidation LVL area, the bullish scenario is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GALAUSDT
After Record Highs, Is Gold Primed for a Short-Term Correction?Since Tuesday, after OANDA:XAUUSD completed a brief correction following the previous week’s rally, the price has surged approximately 1000 pips from its low to high.
During the Asian session last night, Gold hit yet another all-time high, though it’s now experiencing a minor pullback.
While the overall trend remains strongly bullish, a correction from this level is not out of the question.
The price could potentially retest the support zone formed by the previous all-time high around 2685-2690.
A confirmation of this correction would come if the price clears Friday’s close, and in that case, the recent ATH could act as short-term resistance.
Aggressive traders may look to take advantage of this correction, while swing traders might prefer to wait for the correction to complete and then rejoin the dominant uptrend at more favorable prices.
Alikze »» ADA | Upward wave 3 scenario - 12H🔍 Technical analysis: Upward wave 3 scenario - 12H
- In the analysis presented earlier in the weekly time frame, after the correction in the green box, it is currently in the range of the green box, which can continue its upward trend if it stabilizes above the green box.
- In the 12-hour time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, so far it has reacted positively to the dynamic trigger of the bottom of the channel several times.
- Currently, a motivational wave has been created in the area of the bottom of the channel, which can continue its advance until the middle of the channel and the supply area.
💎 According to the previous zigzag movements, the recent correction in the bottom of the channel has been a response to the AB=CD movement cycle.
⚠️In addition, if the Invalidation LVL area is touched, the ascending scenario is invalidated and must be updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to 2712 (Where is the end of wave 3? )Friends, I am wary of giving any long-term forecasts, because an interesting situation has developed at the moment.
I believe that the big wave “3” is coming to an end. But it is difficult to say exactly where. Now the price continues its upward movement and I will trade in small intervals.
At the moment I think that the price will rise a little more to the area of 2712. After that I will expect a correction and then we will think where and how we will see wave “5”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): Long to 61.8% - 100% lvl 67,912.Dear colleagues, after last week's good forecast, I realized that the upward movement is not over yet.
The price is probably moving in wave “3” of higher order and wave “3” of lower order.
Therefore, I believe that the price will correct a bit and continue the upward movement to the 67.912 area. These are the levels of 61.8% - 100% Fibonacci extension.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Alikze »» GRT | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C scenario in the ascending channel - the target of the previous major ceiling - 1W
- In the previously presented analysis , a bearish flag pattern was observed, after which the BINANCE:GRTUSDT currency entered a correction phase, which was completed by the size of the correction flag bar in the Buyer Zone box.
- As can be seen, the weekly and daily timeframe is moving in an upward channel.
- Currently, a descending channel has been formed inside the ascending channel, the descending flag pattern has been completed in the Buyer Zone.
- Now, according to the current momentum, it can touch the neck line area in the first step.
💎 In addition, an AB=CD pattern has been formed, and the above modification is a response to the mentioned pattern.
- So it can include a motivational wave in the form of wave 3 or bigger C, which can crown the previous major ceiling.
⚠️ Note: It should be noted that if the bottom area is touched before, the ascending scenario will be invalidated and must be updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
Silver Shines Brighter: A Bullish Run to $39.62 After Rate Cut?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD
On the daily timeframe, silver has consistently traded above the EMA100, signaling a strong bullish trend. Additionally, it has broken through the upper trendline of a wide descending broadening wedge pattern . This breakout, confirmed by a bullish Marubozu candlestick, indicates strong buyer momentum. The MACD’s bullish crossover further supports the expectation of continued upward movement.
With these technical indicators in alignment, we anticipate silver advancing toward Target Area 1 at 36.76 and potentially reaching Target Area 2 at 39.62. However, the support level at 27.59 remains critical; a break below this level could invite bearish pressure.
In the broader macroeconomic landscape, central banks across multiple countries are enacting rate cuts to stimulate growth amid slowing economic conditions. Combined with declining manufacturing PMIs, geopolitical tensions, and the US-China economic slowdown, these factors heighten uncertainty. As a result, safe-haven assets like silver and gold are expected to benefit, as investors seek protection against market volatility. This influx of demand may provide further upward momentum for silver prices.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver.
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Alikze »» ENS | Corner pattern formation - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Corner pattern formation - 4H
- It is moving in a corner pattern in the 4-hour time frame.
- Due to the formation of the Double Bottom pattern, higher floors and higher ceilings have been formed in the range of 15.80.
- Therefore, it can continue its growth with pullback to the range of 17.50 to the dynamic trigger and form a newer ceiling.
- In addition, with the failure of the dynamic trigger, it can continue to grow until the supply area.
💎 Alternative scenario:
If the green box is broken sharply, it can continue its dynamic correction (origin of movement) until the bottom of the trigger.
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BINANCE:ENSUSDT
Alikze »» ALPHA | Movement in the descending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Movement in the descending channel
- In the 1D and 1W time frames, it is moving in a descending channel.
- It has encountered support in the range of the green box.
- Due to the change in structure and behavior in the 1D time frame, it can have an upward movement up to the limit of the ceiling of the descending channel.
💎 If the current rising wave is accelerated, after hitting the first supply area which is the neck line of the previous corrective wave, it can continue the upward trend after a temporary correction to the next supply area.
⚠️ In addition, if the floor of the previous range is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:ALPHAUSDT
Silver’s Explosive Move: Why Buying Dips Below $33 Could Pay OffAfter a minor correction at the start of last week and two days of tight range consolidation, OANDA:XAGUSD surged on Friday, gaining approximately 2000 pips.
More importantly, though, it broke above the key resistance zone at 32.35-32.50, in what appears to be an attempt to catch up with Gold’s performance.
As mentioned in my previous analyses, my target for Silver remains around the 35 resistance level.
Now, with this decisive breakout to the upside, it looks like 35 could be the next target in the coming week.
Given this setup, a strong strategy would be to buy on dips, ideally below the 33 level.
This approach could offer an attractive 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio, depending on the stop loss placement.
Alikze »» CATS | Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 2H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 2H
- In the 2H time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, which is recently seen in the 0.38 Fibo retracement range of the previous wave of a morning star candlestick pattern.
- Therefore, if the Fibo range is not broken, it can have an upward wave according to the current momentum up to the middle range of the channel.
💎 In the future, with the continuation of the upward pattern, it will have the ability to reach the supply range.
⚠️ In addition, if the bottom of the previous wave is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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KUCOIN:CATSUSDT
Alikze »» GMX | Ascending Channel - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending Channel - 1H
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the one-hour time frame.
Due to the formation of a Double Top pattern in the range of 24 dollars, it has faced selling pressure.
Therefore, it can face demand by continuing the correction in the OB area of 22.40 or by pulling back to the previous ceiling.
- So, in the case of a pullback to the previous ceiling and the OB zone of $22, it can face demand and continue its growth up to the supply range of $25.
🟩 Support ranges: 22.27 - 22.40
♻️ Return zone: 21.68
⛳️ TP: 23.44 - 24.20 - 24.60 - 25 -25.40
⚠️ In addition, if it penetrates and stabilizes below the range of 21.68, the bullish scenario will be invalid. Therefore, as long as the candles are above the range of 21.68, the upward trend can continue. ⚠️
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BINANCE:GMXUSDT