Get started

Signals

WTI OIL 4H RSI Bullish Divergence sending a strong buy signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) stopped yesterday's rebound on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is now on a small pull-back. Technically that is the Resistance level it needs to break if it wants to break-out aggressively towards the long-term Resistance Zone. There are high probabilities of doing so, as the 4H RSI formed Higher Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence against the Lower Lows of the price. In fact, it is the exact same formation as the October 01 Low that rebounded aggressively above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we are bullish on this one, targeting $76.00 (the 0.786 Fib currently). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
3
BITCOIN Pi Cycle Theory aiming at $120k at least!Following Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) new All Time High in the aftermath of the U.S. elections, we've established on previous posts that we've entered the final year (12 months) of this Bull Cycle. This is clearly visible by the use of the Sine Waves as shown on this 1W chart. ** Pi Cycle ** The new aspect we're bringing to you today is the Pi Cycle indicator, which has proven to be as consistent as any other at projecting the long-term price action of Bitcoin. As you can see every Cycle Top has been considerably above the Top Pi Band (red trend-line) and we're currently trading $30k below where this level is now. This means that it is only a matter of time for BTC to 'attack' $120k and break it. ** 1W RSI kickstarting the aggression ** We are at a point where the new rally phase that started after the price tested, held and rebounded on the 1W MA50 back in early August, will start getting more and more aggressive. The final bullish signal was given last week after the 1W RSI closed above 70.00 (vertical orange dashed line). As you can see, during the previous two Cycles, every time Bitcoin closed the 1W RSI above 70.00, the Cycle peaked 54 weeks later (roughly 365 days). There is no reason to expect otherwise this time also, as this projected date (week of November 24 2025) falls exactly on the Sine Wave's Top. Notice also that during the most aggressive part of the Parabolic Rally, the 1D MA100 (blue trend-line) tends to Support. And before that, when that crosses above the Bottom Pi band (green trend-line), the indicator gives a confirmed buy signal for the whole Cycle. ** Timing the market is everything ** The question now is how high can the price get? Well according to those estimates, a peak above the Top Pi Band can be anywhere within the $150k - $200k range, and that could be a conservative estimate. But lucky enough, with technical tools like the one we present to you today, we can time the market (thus our exits/ sells) almost perfectly and get out as high as possible, without having an absolute Target in mind. But what do you think? Are you also expecting the rally to start getting even more aggressive and break above $120k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Lingrid | AUDCAD short After REJECTION of the RESISTANCE zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. FX:AUDCAD is gradually pulling back toward the resistance zone and the upward trendline area. Overall, the market is making lower lows and lower closes on the 4H timeframe. After a significant bearish move, the price is currently positioned to retest the 50% retracement level of that decline. I anticipate that the market to reject the resistance zone and continue moving downward. My goal is support zone around 0.90700 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
11
Lingrid | WIFUSDT buying OPPORTUNITY from PSYCHOLOGICAL LevelBINANCE:WIFUSDT has broken and closed above the extended consolidation zone, indicating a strong market movement. Following this impulse, the price made a pullback. I anticipate that the market may retest the support level at 3.00, which also represents a psychological level and the upper boundary of the consolidation zone. In the long term, I expect the price to reach the resistance zone around 7.00. Currently, with the price pulling back and forming an ABCD pattern, there is a good opportunity to buy. My goal resistance zone around 4.20 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
1
GOLD continues to be supported by BidenOANDA:XAUUSD rallied sharply towards a second day of gains after six consecutive days of decline as the dollar's price momentum slowed and growing uncertainty over conflicts in Russia and Ukraine sparked safe-haven demand. As of the time of writing, spot gold has increased continuously the previous trading day to 2,622 USD/ounce, escaping the lowest level in 2 months last Thursday. OANDA:XAUUSD considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, suffered its biggest weekly decline in more than three years last week because of Trump's tariff-leaning policy. Trump's nomination is seen as a potential cause of inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to slow down on interest rate cuts. Recent US support for Ukraine has increased tensions and affected safe-haven assets Part of the reason is that US President Biden announced that he will provide long-range missiles to Ukraine so that the country can attack deeper into Russian territory. This will make the war much more complicated, it should be seen as a step closer to direct confrontation between Russia and the US. Previously, Reuters reported that US President Joe Biden's administration on Sunday allowed Ukraine to use US-made weapons to attack deep into Russian territory, a major reversal of Washington's policy. about the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. Sources said Ukraine plans to launch its first long-range strike in the coming days but declined to reveal details due to security concerns about the operation. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates for a third time in December, although recent data suggests inflation's recovery toward its 2% target has stalled. About seven Fed officials will speak this week. Rising interest rates could put further pressure on gold by making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold has recovered to break the falling price channel in the short term, in the medium term it still tends to lean towards the downside with the price channel as the trend and the main pressure from the EMA21 level. On the other hand, the uptrend RSI is also close to reaching the 50 level. The 50 level is considered a resistance or support point depending on the condition of the RSI above or below this level. However, gold may still increase a bit more with the 2,640USD position sent to readers in yesterday's publication, this is the position of the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. As long as gold remains within the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the technical outlook is tilted to the downside, and the day's highlights are listed below. Support: 2,600 – 2,588USD Resistance: 2,640USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2647 - 2645⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2651 →Take Profit 1 2640 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2635 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2585 →Take Profit 1 2596 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2601
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market OUTLOOKOANDA:XAUUSD market has been in the bearish trend since the completion of the election. On the daily time frame, we have seen a clear break and a close below the previous support level at 2603, indicating a potential shift in market. However, I anticipate that the market will move sideways for the time being, unless it breaks through the 2470 support area. On Friday, the market rebounded from the 2550 support level, creating a false breakout. This resulted in a long-tailed bar, signaling a rejection at that level. Looking at the monthly time frame, the price is now approaching the August high, which could serve as significant support. Meanwhile, on the 4H timeframe, price action has formed an ABCD pattern. Typically, after this pattern completes, markets tend to pull back. Currently, on the daily time frame, the price is slowing as it nears the 2530 support area below. It's worth noting that the market struggled to break this level for over two weeks in August, indicating its importance. Overall, I expect the price to at least bounce back from these zones in the short term unless further price action shows otherwise. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
29
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends, Ben here! Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early Monday, testing the $2,600 level and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. The latest surge in gold prices may be tied to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, following the U.S. authorization for Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russian territory. However, the latest Kitco News Weekly Gold Survey reflects a bearish market sentiment. Specifically, the continued rise in the USD and bond yields is exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has adopted a more hawkish stance, posing further challenges for the precious metal. Looking ahead, with gold prices still at low levels, central banks may return as buyers in the market. However, Europe's ongoing economic struggles are pressuring the euro, prompting increased USD purchases to counter depreciation. As a result, gold prices may trade sideways or see additional declines unless a major geopolitical event emerges. This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued due to the lack of major economic data releases. Key focus areas include U.S. housing starts and building permits, home sales, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey. Additionally, market participants are awaiting comments from several Fed officials to assess the pace and scale of upcoming interest rate cuts. From a technical standpoint, gold is thoroughly testing the resistance zone around $2,600–$2,589, attempting to offset market losses. Theoretically, a false breakout and consolidation below this zone could lead to further declines. Currently, I do not rule out the possibility of liquidity testing above this resistance zone ahead of significant news events. A false breakout could trigger selling activity, further reinforcing bearish momentum. However, if prices rebound near the $2,600 resistance and begin a smooth decline towards $2,546, it would generally increase the likelihood of a breakdown and continuation of the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
The yellow precious metal recovered as the USD weakened.The yellow precious metal recovered as the USD weakened. The DXY index measuring the greenback's strength fell to 106.21 points. However, US Treasury bond yields continue to rise, leading many experts to limit gold's gains. According to analyst James Hyerczyk at FX Empire, the gold recovery occurred when the USD temporarily paused below its highest level in a recent year, making gold more attractive to investors who do not use it. Use USD. Hyerczyk emphasized that the 2,604.39 resistance mark is “an important technical level” that traders are watching closely. “If this level is sustained, the price could rally sharply, towards the 50-day moving average at 2,653.63 and the retracement zone from 2,663.51 to 2,693.40,” he said. However, Hyerczyk warns that if there is renewed selling pressure at higher levels, this could indicate continued downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, he said a fall in gold prices below 2,536.85 would signal weakness and the potential for a deeper decline towards the 200-day moving average at 2,403.46. He also added that traders will closely monitor comments from Fed officials this week for a clearer view of monetary policy. “Upcoming US economic data, such as housing and manufacturing reports, will also influence the direction of gold prices,” he said.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Price SoarsThe US dollar stopped rising, coupled with the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, driving gold prices up by nearly $50, ending the previous downtrend. At the close of trading on November 18, gold had gained $48, reaching $2,611 per ounce. This recovery helped gold break its six-session losing streak from the previous week, when prices had dropped to a two-month low. Looking at the technical chart, the EMA line has reversed, signaling that the uptrend has returned. Additionally, gold is moving within an upward price channel, indicating that the current bullish momentum is continuing. Other technical indicators, such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index), are in the overbought zone, further supporting the bullish outlook for gold. If gold can maintain levels above $2,600 per ounce, it is likely to test resistance levels around $2,630 - $2,650 per ounce. On the other hand, if gold fails to hold above $2,600 per ounce, the next support level could be around $2,570 per ounce, where short-term moving averages converge. The performance of the US dollar and geopolitical factors will continue to be key influences on the gold price trend in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alisa_Rokosz
Conquered 250 Pips, What's Next in the Wave? Swingers!Let's keep it simple, As Always! As of today, GBP/USD has delivered a solid 250-pip move following our analysis shared on October 9th, 2024. Our forecasted move materialized as expected, with the pair continuing its upward momentum after a brief consolidation phase. For those who took the trade, congratulations on securing some solid profits! Now, the question on everyone's mind is, what's next for GBP/USD? Let’s break down the structure and identify the potential move within the wave. Keep an eye on price action around these levels for the next wave. A pullback to 1.2300 could offer an entry for the next rally. Stay cautious and wait for confirmation before jumping in. Let's see how the market unfolds over the coming sessions. -Zak Happy Trading! 🔥
by blamezak
NAS100USD: Bullish Opportunity Targeting Premium Liquidity!Greetings Traders! Brief Description🖊️: Currently, NAS100USD is showing bullish institutional order flow, presenting opportunities to capitalize on the upside. The focus is on targeting liquidity pools within premium price levels. Things I Have Seen👀: Discount Entry Zone🟢: Price has retraced to discount levels, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci level, offering a favorable range for buy orders. Support and Confluences🔗: Price is at a significant support area, where multiple discount arrays—including a Fair Value Gap (FVG), breaker block, and order block—align. This confluence strengthens the bullish case. Trading Plan🎯: Key Zones to Monitor : Look for confirmation entries at the identified support zones. Targets: The liquidity pools within premium price levels are the primary objectives. Current Position📈: I have already entered this setup upon receiving confirmation. Ensure you perform your own analysis and trade with a clear plan. Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
4
What to Do When You Lose a TradeEvery trader, regardless of their level of expertise, eventually faces the reality of losing trades. For newcomers entering the trading arena, the concept of losses can seem manageable — a distant challenge that often feels theoretical until they actually experience it. However, when faced with the stark reality of dwindling deposits and increasing negative figures on the screen, the emotional impact can be overwhelming. Some traders become disoriented or panic, but it is crucial to remain composed and focused. 📍 Understanding the Nature of Losses Not all losses are created equal. They can be classified into two categories: structural and ordinary. Structural losses affect an entire investment portfolio, while ordinary losses might simply represent market corrections. Corrections occur frequently but can trigger stop-loss orders, leading to floating losses that can undermine a trader’s mood. 📍 Emotional Traps Often Accompany Losses 🔹 Fear of Recovery: The anxiety that prices may never return to previous levels. 🔹 Disappointment: The realization that a potential profit opportunity has slipped away, leading to a loss of confidence in trader’s abilities. 🔹 Apathy: A lack of motivation to engage further with the market, often resulting in a reluctance to make future trades. Nobody enjoys losing money; a losing trade can feel like a significant defeat. It is crucial to psychologically prepare for this possibility even before executing your first trade. 📍 Steps for Coping with Losses ⚫️ Acknowledge Market Cycles: Acknowledge Market Cycles: Understand that markets exhibit cyclical behavior. Instruments such as oil and currency pairs typically fluctuate within defined ranges, eventually returning to previous price levels. In the context of a prolonged upward trend, consider temporarily closing a position, as the latter could incur additional holding costs. ⚫️ Embrace Corrections: Anticipate corrections and recognize that they are part of the trading landscape. While it can be challenging to identify the optimal entry point, patience is key. Increasing your stop-loss, despite it feeling like a deviation from risk management protocols, can also lead to additional challenges. ⚫️ Take a Break: Closing a trade and stepping away from the market can provide valuable perspective. With time, the sting of a loss may diminish. However, if consecutive losses occur, it is vital to reflect on potential mistakes — are emotional impulses driving your decisions? Have you been buying in overheated markets and selling during periods of optimism? ⚫️ Analyzing Good Losing Trades vs Bad Losing Trades: It’s essential to distinguish between good and bad losing trades. A good losing trade is one where you followed your trading plan, adhered to risk management rules, and maintained discipline despite the outcome. In contrast, a bad losing trade typically stems from impulsive decisions, neglecting stop-loss strategies, or failing to conduct proper analysis before entering the position. By reviewing your trading history, you can pinpoint patterns and learn valuable lessons about your decision-making process. This analysis can help you refine your strategy and bolster your emotional resilience, ensuring that you grow from your experiences rather than feel defeated by them. 📍 Conclusion Losing trades are an inevitable aspect of trading. Cultivating the right psychological mindset and being prepared with a proactive strategy can make all the difference. By mentally accepting the possibility of a 10% loss beforehand, you may find it easier to close a losing position. Post-loss, take the time to analyze your strategies and assess what you can improve upon. If feelings of panic arise, pause for a moment to reflect — consider the worst-case scenario, or close the trade without regret. Trading is a journey of constant learning and resilience. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
3
Market News Report - 17 November 2024The US dollar is showing no let-up as it was, yet again, a bullish force. While there were up-trending currencies like CHF and JPY, USD is definitely stealing the show. But what do the fundamentals say for the greenback and the other currencies? Let's cover them in more detail in our latest market news report. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. As predicted by STIR (short-term interest rate) markets, the Fed cut the interest rate by 25 basis points/bps from 5.00% to 4.75%. While labour data was down recently, this was mainly due to the impact of US hurricanes and labour disputes with Boeing. While there is some mildly positive economic data, the bearish bias remains for USD, with STIR pricing indicating one more 25 bps cut in December. However, Powell stated on the 14th of November that the economy isn't giving signals that the Fed must be in a rush to cut rates. The Dixie continues to head north and is very close to the key resistance at 107.348. Meanwhile, the key support is far away at 100.157, which will remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. A noteworthy point about the recent Fed meeting is the removal of the line "the committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards 2 percent." Finally, Powell also clarified that the US elections won't affect their decisions going forward. The big takeaway is that the Fed will see how fast/far they should cut rates. Furthermore, any big misses in economic data, such as labour and GDP (Gross Domestic Product), would support the expectation of cuts. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: bearish. The short-term interest rate (STIR) markets were predictably accurate as the European Central Bank (ECB) cut the interest rate last month. However, they remain data-dependent on what to do in the future (although they are quite concerned about slow growth). Short-term interest rate markets have indicated an 84% chance of a rate cut in December. Also, we have seen weaker economic data across various European nations (although the Eurozone Gross Domestic/GDP growth was above expectations). Another concern is that a protectionist US policy (with Donald Trump winning the election) could impact trade in the Eurozone, suggesting the potential for lower growth due to tariff risks. The euro has clearly broken the key support we mentioned previously (1.07774) - the next area of interest is 1.04485. Meanwhile, the key resistance remains far higher at 1.12757. Long-term outlook: bearish. The latest rate cut and the avoidance of indicating a clear future move for the December meeting are among the key down-trending factors. However, any improvements in economic data (according to the ECB) would be a turnaround. The threat of a fresh trade tariff with Trump is hugely influential and may cause the euro to be continuously sold off. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) cut the bank rate from 5% to 4.75% as anticipated. The language indicates they need to be restrictive and a "gradual approach" to policy easing. Governor Bailey also highlighted that rates will probably be brought down cautiously. Despite this, we saw a slight increase in GBP/USD. This may be in line with the BoE's slightly hawkish attitude due to recent inflationary pressures. Speaking of which, watch out for the new YoY inflation rate for GBP scheduled for Wednesday. Like other dollar pairs, GBP/USD has looked bearish for some time. The nearest key support is at 1.26156 (which it has just touched), while the resistance target is 1.34343. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The BoE sees inflation (its main concern currently) as being stickier for longer. Bailey wishes to see it down to 2%. This is a moderately hawkish hint. Overall, incoming CPI (and other economic) data will be important for the British pound. Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: bullish. Unlike in July this year, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) recently kept the interest rate the same. So, our outlook remains largely unchanged. However, a rise in USD/JPY could raise the possibility of the BoJ's intervention. ​​Governor Ueda of the BoJ noted not long ago that despite domestic economic recovery, recent exchange rate movements have reduced the upside risk of inflation (which has been on an upward trajectory). As recently as 31 October 2024, Ueda also stated that hikes would continue if the central bank's projections were realised. Interestingly, you can diarise his upcoming speech on Thursday. The 139.579 support area is proving quite strong, boosting the yen since mid-September. Still, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. Lower US Treasury yields are one potential bullish catalyst for the yen (the opposite is true). Inflation pressures and wage growth also provide the potential for upward momentum. We should also consider that the dovish tendencies of other major central banks and worsening US macro conditions are JPY-positive. Still, as a slight downer, near-term inflation risks subsiding (according to the BoJ) reduce the urgency for a rate hiking cycle. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its interest rate unchanged last week, marking the eighth consecutive hold. They emphasised that policy will remain restrictive until inflation moves toward its target. The RBA also lowered its GDP forecasts while the labour market remains tight. As with GBP/USD, the Aussie is currently more of a seller's market than a buyer's one. The key resistance level lies ahead at 0.69426, while the major support remains at 0.63484. Despite this bearish setup, consider the interesting dynamic with the opposite fundamentals of AUD and USD in your overall analysis. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. While the RBA suggests that rate hikes won't be necessary going forward, it hasn't ruled anything out. Governor Bullock recently mentioned that they would act if the economy dropped more than desired. It's crucial to be data-dependent on the Aussie, especially with core inflation as the RBA's key focus area. Also, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical, with particular exposure to China's geopolitics. Trump's recent win in the US election means the prospect of trade tariffs with China has increased (potentially causing headwinds for AUD). New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: bearish. Unsurprisingly, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZD) cut its interest rate by 50 bps recently and sees further easing ahead. This affirms another cut next month of potentially the same magnitude. Furthermore, the central bank is confident that inflation will remain in the target zone, adding more impetus to the bearish bias. Due to the rate cut, the Kiwi has been on a downward spiral, proving the strength of the major resistance level at 0.63790. Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498, an area which it has just touched. It will be interesting to see how it reacts this week. Long-term outlook: bearish. The central bank's latest dovish stance (where it cut the interest rate) firmly puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.' A 50bps rate cut is predicted for the meeting later this month. They also revised the OCR rates lower and signalled steady winnings in the inflation battle. As with the Aussie, potential headwinds for NZD are considered due to the trade tariff issues between China and the United States. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of Canada (BoC) unsurprisingly delivered a 50 bps cut on Wednesday. Further cuts remain on the cards, with the long-term target being 3%. The BoC is signalling victory over inflation due to the cuts, with Governor Macklem suggesting that they would probably cut further until they achieve the optimal low inflation. In their words, 'stick the landing.' Overall, the bias remains bearish - expect strong rallies in CAD to find sellers. While the short-term fundamental biases of USD and CAD are bearish, CAD is the weakest on the charts. USD/CAD has finally exceeded the key resistance at 1.34197. We have to go onto a higher time frame for the next target. For now, let's see what happens around this area. Meanwhile, the key support lies far down at 1.33586. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with STIR markets indicating a 67% chance of a 25 bps cut and a 33% chance of a 50 bps cut in December. The Bank of Canada has recognised the lower economic growth, and Macklem wishes to see this improve. Furthermore, any big misses in upcoming GBP, inflation, and labour data would send CAD lower. Still, encouraging oil prices and general economic data improvement would save the Canadian dollar's blushes - the opposite is true. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets were, as usual, correct in their 43% chance of a 25 bps rate cut (from 1.25% to 1%) recently. In the Sept. 26 meeting, the Swiss National (SNB) indicated its preparedness to intervene in the FX market and further rate cuts in the coming quarters. The central bank's new Chair (Schlegel) said they "cannot rule out negative rates." Finally, the October CPI came in weak at 0.6% (another poor result, as for the September data). Still, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like a worsening Middle East crisis. USD/CHF keeps rising steadily towards the major support level at 0.83326, while the major resistance level is at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The bearish sentiment remains after the last SNB meeting, while inflation is being tamed with lower revisions. We should also remember that the SNB's intervention prevents the appreciation of the Swiss franc. The new chairman is more keen to cut rates than his predecessor, Jordan. The SNB aims for neutral rates between 0 and 0.50% (currently at 1%). However, STIR markets only see a 33% chance of a 50 bps cut next month. Conclusion In summary: The US dollar remains one of the key currencies to watch, given the recent elections and Trump's potential to affect trade relations with the likes of Australia and New Zealand. Inflation is a common theme among central banks. Watch out for the new YoY inflation rate for GBP on Wednesday. Our short and long-term fundamental outlooks remain unchanged from the last few weeks. As always, hope for the best and prepare for the worst. This report should help you determine your bias toward each currency in the short and long term.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI