Lingrid | GOLD Correction and Path to ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfills my last idea. It reached target. OANDA:XAUUSD is currently pulling back toward lower levels. The market has formed equal lows, and the price may drop below these equal lows before pushing into higher zones. I believe if the price rejects the support zone around 2665 and the upward trendline, there is a good chance the market will bounce back. This support level has been respected multiple times, as it acted as the top of the consolidation zone before. I expect the price to move lower, potentially testing the equal lows and the previous day's low, followed by a bullish reversal. My goal is resistance zone around 2700
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Signals
Very important cleso for the week. Multi-T.F AnalysisThis week’s close on OANDA:XAUUSD is poised to be crucial for determining the next directional move. Key levels to monitor include critical support zones and resistance thresholds that will shape market sentiment. A close above significant resistance could signal a bullish breakout, while a close below vital support might confirm bearish continuation. Traders should also observe intraday trends and confirm with higher time frames for alignment. Stay alert for any economic or geopolitical news impacting gold’s price.
EurJpy- Swing idea- Where to sell for 1k+ pips and 1:4 R:R?EUR/JPY traded within a nearly perfect ascending channel from March 2022 to July 2024. This channel, a hallmark of the pair's bullish momentum, was decisively broken to the downside in the beginning of August.
After hitting an all-time high of 175 during the summer, the pair reversed sharply, dropping 2,000 pips and breaking below the channel's long-term support.
The 155-156 zone has since acted as a strong floor, leading to two significant bounces. However, each reversal has failed to breach the old channel support, now turned resistance.
Currently, the pair is in its third bounce from support zone
This time, it is likely to form a lower high compared to previous attempt. I’m eyeing a potential sell opportunity near the 162 zone, offering a compelling 1:4 risk-reward ratio and the potential for a move exceeding 1,000 pips, aligning with the broader bearish outlook.
LINKUSD rally similar to 2020/21 has started.Chainlink (LINKUSD) gave us a fantastic bullish break-out on our last call (October 01, see chart below) as it was pretty much expected based on the 2020 Cycle fractal:
Based on the chart above, our $53.00 Target remains for this Bull Cycle (4.382 Fibonacci extension) but if you want to trade shorter term, the dominant pattern right now (until broken) is the Channel Up that started after the June 10 2023 bottom.
Having formed a 1D Golden Cross just 2 weeks ago, we can see the resemblance of the current Bullish Leg of the Channel Up with the previous one, which was also confirmed after the last 1D Golden Cross was formed on October 12 2023.
The similarities are evident even on their 1W MACD sequences and as that Bullish Leg rose by +361.50%, we expect a similar pattern. This gives us a short-term Target of $40.00.
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Lingrid | GBPUSD channel BREAKOUT. Selling OPPORTUNITYFX:GBPUSD has broken out of the upward channel and may pull back to retest both the channel and the resistance zone at 1.26500. The market was previously in a range before breaking through a support level, which led to a strong bearish impulse leg. The price has respected this level by rebounding, resulting in several fakeouts and long-tailed bars. And recently it broke and closed below the level by forming large bearish bar. I expect the market possibly to retest this resistance zone before rolling back towards the support level at the channel border. My goal is support zone around 1.25770
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Lingrid | TONUSDT bullish POTENTIAL After FLASH Crash OKX:TONUSDT market experienced a flash crash, resulting in a sharp spike downward. It took liquidity below the psychological level of 5.00 but closed above 6.00. Currently, the price is trading near the zone where the flash crash occurred, indicating that it has recovered nearly all of its losses. Following such volatile movements, markets typically move sideways to consolidate before the next significant move. I expect the market will form a trend continuation pattern, such as a triangle, before embarking on a bullish run. My goal is the resistance zone around 6.90
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GOLD corrects, possibility remains optimistic as FOMC is comingOANDA:XAUUSD eased the correction significantly, which was partly due to the market taking profits after gold prices hit a five-week high and rushing to close positions ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting. In addition, higher US bond interest rates also affect gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply on Thursday and was limited this trading day (Friday), as of press time, as traders booked profits following the release of US PPI data.
PPI data exceeded expectations, suggesting the fight against inflation may be stalling. In addition, the 10-year US Treasury bond interest rate increased slightly by 1.5 basis points to 4.289%, which also put pressure on gold.
The US producer price index (PPI) rose higher than expected in November due to soaring food costs. The U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that the U.S. PPI rose 3% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month in November. Previous market expectations were 2% .6% and 0.2%.
Although Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was in line with expectations, it still rose at a seven-month high.
However, gold is expected to hold onto gains this week as optimism grows that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. Traders' attention is turning to the prospect that the Federal Reserve may pause policy easing as early as 2025. Lower borrowing costs typically benefit gold because gold itself does not create out yield.
According to a report released by the World Gold Council (WGC) on Thursday, gold's gains are expected to slow in 2025 as concerns about growth and inflation during Donald Trump's presidency have can affect the ability to increase the price of gold.
Gold prices have risen more than 30% year-to-date and are on track for their biggest annual gain since 1979. The rapid rise has been fueled by the Federal Reserve's easing policy, demand safe-haven demand and continued buying activity by global central banks.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has corrected but overall it still has all the conditions for a technical upside with price activity outside the channel and above the EMA21 level.
Currently, gold's uptrend is temporarily limited by resistance at $2,693, the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement price point, more than the 0.236% Fibonacci level noticed by previous readers.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index also maintains activity above the 50 level, which should be considered a positive signal for the bullish outlook in the near future.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21 and outside the price channel, in the short term it is still likely to increase with notable points listed below.
Support: 2,676 – 2,663 – 2,644USD
Resistance: 2,693 – 2,700 – 2,730USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2706 - 2704⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2710
→Take Profit 1 2699
↨
→Take Profit 2 2694
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2666
↨
→Take Profit 2 2671
GBPJPY- Reversal above 195?After reaching a low of 188, GBP/JPY reversed to the upside in a normal corrective move and found resistance near the 192 zone. A subsequent drop followed, but instead of resuming its downtrend, the pair began consolidating within a range.
The emerging pattern, while not perfect, resembles an inverse Head & Shoulders. A break above the neckline would confirm this formation and pave the way for further gains, potentially targeting the 195 resistance level.
I remain bullish on GBP/JPY as long as the pair stays above the recent consolidation support.
DXY- Will it continue up into year's end?December is usually a bearish month for the USD. However, this time, the situation could be different. The USD seems well-supported by fundamentals, and the technicals are looking bullish.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see that after the local high at 108, the index started to fall and broke below the support from the April-May highs (old resistance). However, after hitting a low at the 105.50 zone, the USD Index reversed, breaking above the falling trendline of the corrective falling wedge and also reclaiming the 106.40 resistance.
At this moment, there is a high chance of upward continuation, and as long as the 106–106.40 zone remains intact, the outlook remains valid.
GbpUsd- Where to sell?The GBP/USD currency pair has been in a downtrend for quite some time.
Recently, however, after dropping just below the important psychological level of 1.25, the pair started to reverse and show some upward movement.
While this rise is notable, it is important to recognize that it appears to be corrective in nature. The price is currently forming a rising wedge pattern, which typically signals that the uptrend may soon lose momentum. Based on this technical structure, I expect the downtrend to resume in the near future.
In my opinion, any rallies above the 1.28 level should be viewed as potential selling opportunities. A stop loss placed above the 1.29 level would ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 could be achieved if we target the recent low.
ETHEREUM Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
ETHEREUM is making a
Recovery after a local
Flashcrash but the coin
Will soon hit a strong
Horizontal resistance
Of 4100$ from where
A local bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
GBP-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD is trading in an
Uptrend so despite the fact
That the pair is making a local
Bearish correction now we are
Bullish biased so after it retests
The horizontal support of 2.1872
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Lingrid | GOLD Short-term RETRACEMENT from PSYCHOLOGICAL LevelOANDA:XAUUSD has moved higher, breaking through the prolonged consolidation zone. The price has reached the key resistance zone ahead of the Core CPI release, testing the psychological level at 2700 and weekly high level. This level has previously acted as resistance, and I think that the market may drop from this level, forming a short-term pullback. Therefore I expect the market to pull back from the resistance and the upward trendline before considering further upward movement because the market may retest the middle of the consolidation zone. My goal is support zone around 2665
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Lingrid | AUDUSD trend CONTINUATION tradeThe price perfectly fulfills my last idea. It reached target. FX:AUDUSD is currently showing a bearish trend by a series of lower lows and lower closes. After pulling back from its support level, the market retested the resistance zone, only to fall back down. I expect the downtrend to continue, with the price likely to move further downwards. Notably, a long-tailed candle formed at the resistance zone, hinting at a potential reversal and trend continuation. I expect the price move below the psychological level at 0.64000 and retest the support zones. My goal is support zone around 0.63780
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAUUSD - possible outcomes today?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for.
Since our last in-depth analysis on XAUUSD posted on November 27th , it has followed the projection and reached 2714 . Right now we have a few opportunities on our hands. Looking at XAUUSD we have possible buys if we break above 2720 and break today’s highs. On the other hand we could see pullbacks down to our PBA 1 (Pullback Area) sitting at around 2700 flat, and we could enter into more safe buys . If we break below 2700 (PBA 1) , we could see some sells in play. To write this in detail, here are the possible outcomes.
Scenario 1: BUYS from 2720
We broke above 2720 .
That would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on the breaks of today’s highs.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2700
We made the pullback down to 2700 and are trading above it. That would give us a nice and safe area to enter into buys targeting today’s highs or possibly higher.
Scenario 3: SELLS from 2700
We broke below 2700 , and are now targeting breaks of 2690 and re-visits of 2675.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. Be patient and stay tuned for possible scalps on this pair.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking above 2720 would confirm buys.
- XAUUSD failing to break below 2700 would confirm buys.
- Breaks below 2700 would result in sells, down to 2690 and 2675.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.