The GOAT Returns - pt1: SPX to 4800I've been away refining my method and have returned to deliver a series of important predictions for the coming weeks. The first is a look at the general market using S&P futures. Here is a summary of this chart:
** 2 key levels (above and below):
5163 was the breakdown level from back in April - a retest of this level for resistance is very bearish, but if it breaks back above it can continue higher to 5260 where it will run into even greater resistance (dashed green path)
5040 is an equilibrium level that needs to hold as support if bulls want to keep this afloat. A direct break below 5040 is bearish.
Expectation : A rejection at/around 5163 in the coming week OR a direct break below 5040 will initiate a selloff to 4800 by May 22nd, 2024. Depending on when we get either of the bearish signals outlined above, the earliest the drop to 4800 could occur is by 5/13/2024.
~We are completing a B-wave and the drop to 4800 will be the C wave in this corrective cycle off the April high. The extent of this B-wave will be determined by the parameters listed above (estimated B-wave will be from current peak 5140 to upper resistance 5260, 5140-5163 is the most likely )
~Major distribution over the past month. I'm out of all longs and waiting for my signal to enter short positions. Not Financial Advice.
Shortsetup
45 point drop coming (TGR pt.4)DPZ has one of my favorite bearish setups.
Most bearish case = 470 by 5/14/'24 (earliest,if it hits by then this is only the initial target)
Least bearish case = 470 by 6/7/'24 (if it takes that long to hit it will see a relief bounce in June before continuing lower.
**Breakdown level = 517.95**
Stop loss = 526
~If 470 hits by 5/14-5/23, then its very likely we will see a dead cat bounce to 490s, followed by more downside to lower 400s in June.
Goal target is 380 (this could come later in 2024). 380 was the breakout level from back in 2023. We got a markup to 500s, and this downside will simply be a retest of that breakout level for support. If it holds then it can continue higher down the road.
#SorryDominosLoveYourPizzaButHateYourStock
Slight decline at the beginning of the week for Gold⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices rise near $2,360 amid increasing Middle East tensions, benefiting precious metals. This week's focus is on the US CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales, potentially revealing economic and inflation trends. Last week, several Federal Reserve officials delivered hawkish messages; Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic ruled out interest rate cuts in 2024 due to high inflation while Minneapolis Fed's Neel Kashkari adopted a "wait and see" stance on future monetary policy.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is in a short-term downtrend, creating force to go up stronger, expected level $2400
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2330 - $2328 SL $2323
TP1: $2336
TP2: $2342
TP3: $2347
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2378 - $2380 SL $2385
TP1: $2370
TP2: $2360
TP3: $2350
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
HOTUSDT New Trade Alert!Leverage: Max 10x
Analysis: #HOT already broke down the symmetrical triangle pattern and is looking bearish.
Entry Range: $0.002250 - $0.002300 (Enter Partially)
Targets:
Target 1: $0.002180
Target 2: $0.002120
Target 3: $0.002060
Target 4: $0.002020
Target 5: $0.001940
Target 6: $0.001850
Target 7: $0.001750
Target 8: $0.001650
Target 9: $0.001500 (Short-Mid Term)
Stop-Loss: $0.002340
Please follow me for more analysis and calls.
Gradual Gold meltXAUUSD analysis:
Gold has broken the descending trend-line that was connecting the bodies of the candles on the 4H this was (also acting as a resistance) line holding price.
Another descending trend line has been issued this time wick to wick to see if we have a fighting chance on the 4H but if this one will not hold we might see price approach the next major resistance area @ 2401.93.
Gold heads below $2,300 ! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Global gold demand growth is driven by increased over-the-counter market investment, continuous central bank purchasing, and heightened demand from Asian markets, especially China and India. This growth is reinforced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, leading to a preference for safe-haven assets like gold. Gold traders are anticipating fresh catalysts such as the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims due on Thursday and a speech by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly. Dovish comments from Fed officials could stabilize gold prices for now.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price still moves in 2 trend lines, wide amplitude. There is still confidence that the Gold price needs to return to the entry area below $2,300. Long-term BUY in the H4 frame. The time for the FED to lower interest rates is getting closer and closer
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2270 - $2268 SL $2263
TP1: $2278
TP2: $2284
TP3: $2292
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2349 - $2351 SL $2356
TP1: $2340
TP2: $2330
TP3: $2320
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Return to RETEST entry BUY gold ! Increase⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari's recent suggestion that the Fed may halt changes to interest rates and possibly increase the federal funds rate if inflation doesn't decline has strengthened the Dollar. This week's economic agenda includes more commentary from Fed officials, Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 4, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment's preliminary report.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices decreased when there was not much important economic data this week. Mainly sideways and back to test entry BUY $2290
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2293 - $2291 SL $2285
TP1: $2300
TP2: $2310
TP3: $2320
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2345 - $2347 SL $2352
TP1: $2335
TP2: $2320
TP3: $2310
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
NL25EUR Down - Will others follow?We've seen an extremely bullish year so far and the past few weeks have seen to be the last push of the current leg.
Seeing the amount of bearish RSI divergence taking place among many of the major indices I'm going to take a short position taking us down to the previous resistance, which is also the potential support of the cup & handle pattern visible.
NASDAQ Futures I see the Nasdaq futures taking a pull back through the month of May down to bounce off the highs from 2022 (~16500). I think this will happen as the dollar increases due to the EU Bank cutting interest rates or at least hinting at cutting rates later this week before the US Fed does. CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:QQQ
Market Update - 7/5/24Crypto markets have so far shown resilience after what has been an eventful week to-date. On the 1st of May we witnessed Bitcoin trade below both the March and April lows, where we then saw four consecutive days of buying resulting in a 14% rally back to $64,500 USD.
👉The next few days will be key in understanding if the bulls will continue to show up, we provide some bullish and bearish scenarios to start the week below.
There is little on the economic calendar this week, however we did see a very interesting print at the end of last week for the US labour market.
Fear and Greed Index currently stands at 71.
US Unemployment Rate Ticks Higher
Last week, the US unemployment rate slightly missed expectations, coming in at 3.9% instead of the anticipated 3.8%.
It's important to understand why this matters. An increase in unemployment could hint at a broader economic slowdown. Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve has previously mentioned that a weakening labour market might precipitate a change to interest rates and an overall easing of conditions from the current regime.
Bullish Scenario
Early this week, should the bulls hold their ground at the current ranges, we could see a push to the range midpoint of $66,000 USD.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to see the bulls hold the market here could then see prices retesting the bottom of this channel, which was reclaimed at the start of this month. This may result in Bitcoin moving back towards $61,000 USD.
Gold price increased unexpectedly !! MONDAY ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) loses momentum at $2,295 early Monday. Investors are eyeing Fedspeaks this week and the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May on Friday. The US Dollar Index (DXY), a gauge of USD value against trade partner currencies, rises to 105.12, recovering from nearly one-month lows.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Monday trading session saw Gold prices increase slightly, still in the disputed price range, selling pressure still prevailed more.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2277 - $2275 SL $2270
TP1: $2285
TP2: $2292
TP3: $2300
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2325 - $2323 SL $2330
TP1: $2318
TP2: $2310
TP3: $2300
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest