Will GOLD continue to hold back the bulls?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 2660.
We look to Sell at 2662.2 (stop at 2678.2)
Our profit targets will be 2622.2 and 2612.2
Resistance: 2654.0 / 2670.2 / 2685.6
Support: 2632.0 / 2624.7 / 2600.0
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Setup
How Much More Longer BearishOn this pair, we find that on the weekly timeframe, the market is Bullish. Price even went all the way up towards our liquidity target but failed to close above it. We are currently witnessing another pullback.
On the Daily, price is bullish. We have seen prices currently retrace into the daily zone.
But there is a lot of speculation as to whether or not this our refined daily reversal zone has what it takes to invite the bulls of demand to hold prices at that level and drive it back up.
Now my Analysis:
As much as I would want the daily zone to hold, as this is the fastest way for us to find a LONG trading opportunity, jumping on the rally towards the confluence weekly/daily liquidity targets. But I have a bit of reservation on this. This is because of the force with which prices have come into the daily reversal zone. Prices have come into the zone with a strong push, and not the usual gentle slide in expected of a reversal zone. Dont get me wrong, I am not concluding that the zone will fail, but rather I am saying that instead of the initial 70% chance I had of the zone holding, I now have a 40% chance of it holding because of price action.
In the event that the zone holds, we will expect to see the rally resume with prices gravitating towards our liquidity target above; and we will excitedly pull out out panzy pips trading system and jump on the trade.
But what happens if the zone fails..?
Where this is the case, we will look to see prices deep further towards the Weekly zone below. From where we will look to see some bullish reversal and again place our trade setup right beside price and stand ready to trade.
In all of these, we do not and cannot completely rule out the possibility of catching some bearish trades where the daily zone is breached and price dips towards the Weekly zone.
Share your thoughts guys and let us see your perspective on the market
Are The Bulls Still Up To IT?On this pair, we see that the Weekly chart is ready to resume its long held bearishness. Over the past few days, we have witnessed prices rally all the way up (a Bullish retracement inside a bearish swing), driving prices into our marked out Weekly reversal zone. As expected, the zone held, and we began to see reversals, with prices turning bearish from that point.
But the thing is this, that bullish retracement on the weekly came as a result of a bullish extension on the daily chart. The pertinent question before us now is whether or not the bulls of the daily chart will be able to come in strongly enough to contain the current bearish push and hold prices in a bullish trend.
Here is my take.
It is common knowledge that the lower time frames move in consonance with (in obedience to) the higher timeframes... lol (the word "obedience" got me laughing for a bit. But let's cyt back to the chase)
Now we have seen the daily printing a bullish narrative. But we are all expected to believe that the bullish trend sustained by the daily has the primary intention and purpose of driving prices in the direction of the higher timeframe, which in this case is the weekly chart. We therefore believe that all of that bullish push was to drive prices into the Weekly reversal zone. With that being fulfilled, price is expected to move in the direction of the Weekly over and above the daily direction. This is the regular theory and philosophy of the forex market.
But will that narrative hold sway this time around?
We see prices now dipping bearish. This is an extension for the Weekly chart, and at the same time a retracement on the daily bullish swing.
In the event that the Daily zone holds (which is less likely), we will expect to see prices reverse bullish, begin totally and move to take out Daily liquidity target above. This will result in a deeper retracement inside the Weekyl zone, or a complete breach of the zone. Where the zone is breached, we will look to see the market print higher prices and go all the way up.
On the other hand, if the bearish perspective of the Weekly holds, we will expect to see the Daily zone breached, at which point we will expect prices to dip towards the weekly liquidity target below.
So guys, who do you thing is gonna win the day, the Bulls of the Daily or the Bears of the Weekly? share your thoughts in the comment section
Cross Roads for the CableOn the Weekly, we see that the market is in a Bullish swing. After prices rallied to form the high, it has begun the bearish retracement, dipping towards the reversal zones which are refined from the existing PB of the Weekly.
This narrative above is also the same for the Daily chart. On the Daily, not only dow e see a chart that is bullish and now retracing bearish into the refined zone, but we can notice that at this time, price is well inside the zone, and even threatening to break bearish and breach the zone.
Now my analysis:
I expect the Daily reversal zone to hold. Where that happens, we expect to see prices go all the way up to hit Daily liquidity target and at the same time give us an extension of the current bullish swing on both the Daily and Weekly charts. If it does go this way, we will pull our our panzy pips trading system and begin to catch trades on the extension rally.
On the other hand, in the unlikely event that our daily zone fails, we will expect to see prices retrace deeper and dip lower towards the weekly reversal zone, from where we will watch out for reversals inside that zone. The rally will be expected to begin from there, and from there drive prices all the way up towards the Weekly liquidy target. This is gonna be one hell of a rally, so y'all better be ready to cath some great deal of profit off of that rally.
As usual, we will look to trade that rally applying our same trad entry systems unique to panzy pips traders.
See you at the top of that cliff guys ...
Is It Still Bearish for the EURUSDWhile on the Monthly and Weekly we see this pair in a bearish swing, on the Daily, it appears to be in a Bullish swing. We have seen prices while sustaining the bullish swing, go through a strong bearish retracement. Price has come all the way into the Daily reversal zone.
At this point, we expect to see some form of reversal and for prices to begin the bullish extension towards the Daily liquidity target.
Where this happens, we will look to enter on long positions, using the panzy pips trading system.
In the unlikely event that prices continue to dip and the zone is breached, we will be look to see prices head for the Weekly liquidity target down below.
For whatever it is worth, the more likely direction, as at now, is a bullish reversal in the current zone, followed by a rally all the way up towards the Daily liquidity target.
BNB Poised for Wave 5 Surge: A Golden Setup or Last Call to ExitBNB has made a decisive move, breaking its trendline and completing Wave 4 in a classic Elliott Wave triangle. For those new to Elliott Wave Theory, Wave 5 represents the final push in the current trend, typically leading to impressive gains. Currently, Wave 2 of 5 is nearing completion, and this sets the stage for Wave 3 of 5, often the most powerful wave in terms of price action.
However, here’s the critical point: if BNB’s long-term support is decisively broken, that’s the clear signal to exit. Stay informed on both the opportunity and the risk!
USDCHF to find sellers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (0.8400 - 0.8540) although we expect a break of this range soon.
The bias is to break to the downside.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look to Sell at 0.8504 (stop at 0.8524)
Our profit targets will be 0.8444 and 0.8434
Resistance: 0.8473 / 0.8490 / 0.8515
Support: 0.8440 / 0.8420 / 0.8396
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
look for the C wave! #audjpy#AUDJPY has made an A and B wave correction already for this 240min impulse.
Strong bearish indication of a trend continuation for the impulsive C wave in this what appears to be ABC correction.
Look for trend continuation setups on the lower time frames and watch for the bottom of A for reversal!
EURNZD to find support at Marabuzo level?EURNZD - 24h expiry
The overnight rally has been sold into and there is scope for further bearish pressure going into this morning.
The bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart is positive for sentiment.
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 1.7695.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7700.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 1.7705 (stop at 1.7645)
Our profit targets will be 1.7855 and 1.7895
Resistance: 1.7806 / 1.7840 / 1.7900
Support: 1.7749 / 1.7700 / 1.7609
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD catching a falling knife at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The trend of higher lows is located at 0.6120.
A lower correction is expected.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6300 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.6260 (stop at 0.6220)
Our profit targets will be 0.6340 and 0.6350
Resistance: 0.6300 / 0.6325 / 0.6350
Support: 0.6275 / 0.6260 / 0.6250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Update idea
EURGBP to find bears at market price?EURGBP - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 0.8320 and 0.8305
Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.8370 (stop at 0.8390)
Resistance: 0.8352 / 0.8375 / 0.8390
Support: 0.8340 / 0.8330 / 0.8317
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Quality Wave Setup
Elliott wave analysis, as a method and tool, advocates a bullish outlook as it is difficult to find a substantial bearish alternative within the 73777-49000 range.
The Triple Three correction exhibits near-ideal ratios and alternation of wave patterns within.
The Triangle in Wave can be considered either complete (minimum conditions are met) or incomplete as long as the price remains below 65000. The latter scenario would be more favorable, as it would provide an opportunity to re-enter the market for this year's final rally.
Barrick Gold: 520% possible MoveMany traders believe that investing in a wide variety of assets is the best way to achieve optimal diversification. However, we disagree with this notion. It's the correlations that matter. Holding 20 tech stocks, for example, results in a high correlation among investments, offering little in terms of true diversification. Therefore, we're also looking at a gold mining stock, Barrick Gold Corporation. Although it's a Canadian company, we're analyzing it based on its performance on the New York Stock Exchange, as it provides a longer historical view.
Contrary to other stocks, Barrick Gold presents a different picture. Since July 2020, there's been a significant decline, which is contrary to the overall market trend, indicating this stock moves inversely to the broader market. We're in Wave III, having concluded Wave II at $5.91. We expect to surpass the all-time high of $56 significantly. The Wave 2 of the subordinate Wave (3) has already concluded, and we didn't make an entry, as this was already completed at $13 on the daily chart. However, we've returned to this level and have now completed the smallest wave structure, also marking the end of a Wave (ii). We must not fall below this point, as it would indicate the subordinate Wave ((ii)) is incorrect. Additionally, falling below the $13 mark could potentially invalidate the entire scenario. We'll place our stop-loss below the 88.2% retracement level, as this represents our last plausible point for a market turn.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Our Next Move After Predicting the TopJust 14 days ago, we analyzed NVIDIA and concluded that we might see a small push upward followed by a pullback. We were correct, although the last small push didn't materialize. Still, we're pretty happy that we called the top on NVDA accurately, and perhaps some of you were able to capitalize on it. If so, that makes us even happier 😄
Since our last analysis, NVIDIA has fallen by 21%, bringing us into the area where we should be looking for long positions. We're about to do just that, even though it's risky. We're planning to enter a long position on NVIDIA, with our stop loss set below the end of Wave (4) for invalidation. We don't have a specific target set for NVDA, and we'll be monitoring it closely. Given the risk involved, we won't be over-leveraging here.
Let's see if we can get it right again!
Shopify (SHOP): Is It Just the Beginning?Shopify has been one of our best entries this year, and we remain very bullish on it. From a technical analysis perspective, it's hard to make a bearish case for this stock. We've even seen a change of structure after catching the bottom on SHOP.
We've already taken some profits off the table and moved our stop loss to break even for the initial trade. We're now expecting this surge to continue, and as a result, we're planning to place another limit order on Shopify, aiming to buy more if the price moves into the $59.38-$54.59 area. We prefer to enter manually to avoid getting triggered by any sudden news events.
If our analysis is correct and this is indeed Wave 2, we could see a really nice rally in the near future on Shopify, potentially breaking the $90 mark and moving even higher.
Let's see what Shopify has in store for us next.
SUI - CRYPTO LONGLooking at how much the market has dropped, the SUI coin is still holding up quite well. This means there is volume, and it is being supported. Why?
In my opinion, they are going to push it up. If the market stabilizes and stops falling, we could see growth. I have indicated the optimal target on the chart.
30% collapse by Wealth Fargo (WFC)Wells Fargo (WFC) recently tested and briefly exceeded the key psychological resistance at $60. However, this move above $60 was short-lived, followed by a strong downside wave accompanied by significant selling volume. This price action could be an early indication of potential weakness.
Additionally, a bearish divergence has formed on the CCI oscillator, further supporting the idea of a possible trend reversal. Given these signals, WFC is presenting a solid risk-reward short opportunity that seems worth considering. Keep a close eye on this setup as it develops!
APEX - PUMP +50%?I found a coin that had been sold off for a long time. Now, what caught my attention is the local trend — accumulation near the resistance level, and also a descending wedge, which I haven't seen in a while. For me, this is a long-term position, possibly for 2-3 weeks or more, but I would lock in 50% of the profit.
US30/DOW30 - Preparing stageTeam, we are preparing to short US30 once the price set up confirm at 41035-50. However if the price continue to pass the above price 41150 then we need to review again. Please do not enter yet. We would prefer to trade during US marketing opening.
if it go according to our plan, Short will be place around 41035-50, with stop loss at 41232.40
TARGET 1 - 40898.40
TARGET 2 - 40603.10
TARGET 3 - 40297.70
We will update once we are in the market, please check our update comment below the chart. Thank you