LSE:SMH (VANECK SEMICONDUCTOR ETF) LongAsset Class: Indices
Income Type: Daily
Symbol: SMH
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Up
Long Term: UP
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 42.330
Stop: 41.930
TP 44.320 (5:1)
Trade idea:
Retest of 4H demand zone formed by a drop-base-rally. TP set at the nearest SZ with a 5:1 risk-reward ratio. The RSI is oversold.
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
**When price hits 1:1 or T1, consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
Semiconductors
(ARM) arm holdings plcArm semiconductors looks like real prospect for long term investment strategy based investors similar to NVidia, intel, and major computer companies. I kind of figured this would happened and yet I stayed away from stocks in favor of cryptocurrency. ARM is a strong contendor for future gains up to $1000 (*speculation) and stock splits followed by gains and stock splits and the future is endless.
LCRX RETURNS TO THE SEEN OF THE CRIMENASDAQ:LRCX returning to the seen of the CRIME! ☕️
LCRX is retesting the Cup N Handle BREAKOUT FROM 2023! 🤯
LRCX has already tested and bounced off of its Cup n Handle breakout from 2023 twice and is forming the right shoulder of a shorter-term inverse H&S pattern!
Will it bounce again?! Drop a comment below.
The risk/reward ratio on this one is crazy good, IMO! It's going to take something drastic for that CupnHandle breakout support to bust!
My Short Term PT for this chart is: 🎯$80
My Long Term PT for this chart is: 🎯$107
Not financial advice! 🖖
ASML KEY S/R ZONE ON THE WEEKLY! MOAT COMPANY! 55% UPSIDE! NASDAQ:ASML just did a Wykoff under it's key Support/ Resistance zone over the last 5 years on the weekly chart! If we hold here and start to bounce upward on the chart, MACD, Stochastic, and RSI we could be in for a major upward move back to All time highs! I don't believe the sell off has been way over done for such a solid MOAT company!
Semiconductors vs. Nasdaq: Key Indicator of Tech MomentumIntroduction:
The ratio between semiconductors NASDAQ:SMH and the Nasdaq 100 NASDAQ:QQQ serves as a key indicator of tech sector momentum and near-term risk sentiment. When SMH outperforms QQQ, it signals a "risk-on" environment, reflecting strong demand for semiconductors and overall tech sector health. Conversely, if QQQ outperforms SMH, it suggests a "risk-off" environment, pointing to concerns over weakening chip demand.
Analysis:
Risk Sentiment: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio provides insights into tech momentum. A higher SMH performance often indicates robust chip demand, a positive signal for the broader tech sector. On the other hand, when QQQ outperforms, it signals caution, possibly reflecting waning demand for semiconductors.
Bullish Outlook: Recently, the SMH-to-QQQ ratio has formed a higher low, reinforcing a bullish outlook for semiconductors. This higher low is a positive sign not just for the semiconductor industry but for the broader market as well, as semiconductors often lead market rallies.
Conclusion:
The recent bullish signal in the SMH-to-QQQ ratio suggests tech sector strength, with semiconductors likely leading the way. This is a critical metric for assessing near-term market momentum, so traders should keep a close eye on this ratio to gauge potential shifts in sentiment. What’s your take on this trend? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio and the higher low formation)
#Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #RiskOn
LRCX in the same position and price AMAT was this time last yearLRCX following in the foot steps of AMAT to $295? AMAT also repeating the same move it made a year ago right now as well. Both are in the same field both are involved in the production of Ai processors and the tools to make them. I think its ironic that LRCX just happens to be in the same pattern on the same month AMAT started its nose bleed run up.
Option shares right now are expensive for a $74 stock no matter how long or short you look. Somethings going on and the companies in the semiconductor industry know it. Nvidia and AMD prices right now are very inviting which means they had to reduce their prices either by splitting them or something but they must know that a boom is about to happen and they needed to make their prices in line with what is about to happen. I haven't looked at stock options in over a year and I was surprised to see everyones prices had gone up. Yet Semiconductors all seem to be price point. With the materials side looking Bullish as hell. I am just saying keep your eyes open on this because its about to happen all over the place.....a shift a huge shift.
by iCantw84it
10.16.24
Nvidia - Consolidation Before -50% Drop!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is preparing for the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Nvidia is still creating pretty clear market structure and price action and therefore there is no reason to change direction or opinion. Following the previous cycles, a correction of roughly -55% is likely and Nvidia's recent consolidation is a first strong sign of bearish weakness.
Levels to watch: $120. $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
QCOM DOWNWARD TREND BREAKOUT TO THE UPSIDE! 20% MOVE NASDAQ:QCOM DOWNWARD TREND BREAKOUT TO THE UPSIDE! 20% MOVE INBOUND!
NASDAQ:QCOM IS ON THE UP AND UP!
- Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
- Stochastic Curling Upward
- MACD Crossing Zero Line
- RSI Higher Highs
CATALYST: SEMIS ON THE RUN AGAIN!
Not Financial Advice!
NVDA Set for a Rebound: Will It Hit $137.40 and Beyond?Hey, trading family! Today we’re diving into NVIDIA (NVDA) and its recent price action. Right now, we’re seeing a correction, but all eyes are on whether it can push back up toward that key resistance level of $137.40. Here’s what you need to watch:
Downside risk: If NVDA continues to correct, there’s potential for it to drop below $132. If that happens, we could see the price head even lower, testing support around $128-$130. Keep an eye on these levels, as breaking below them could signal further downside.
Upside potential: On the flip side, if NVDA finds support and buyers step in, we could see it climb toward $137.40. A strong move above this resistance could lead to a bigger breakout, setting the stage for a push higher.
Stay tuned to how NVDA reacts around these key levels—this correction might just present a great opportunity, depending on how the market moves. If this helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts on NVDA’s next move!
NVDA Breakout or Rejection? Major Levels to Watch NVDA is at a make-or-break point, and it’s time to pay attention! 🔥
Key Resistance:
👉 $137 is the line in the sand! A breakout above $137.49 could send NVDA rocketing higher. 📈
Key Support:
👀 If the rejection happens here, look for price to drop into the $132-$133 zone, where fresh opportunities might open for the bears. 📉
📌 Keep these levels on your radar — it’s shaping up to be a high-volatility move! Are you ready to take advantage? 🌊
MB Trader
Shorts Trapped Into Insider Selling | DELL I've been actively trading DELL with my private community members and I believe the company is gearing up for another positive run. Despite the news about Michael Dell selling more shares, which may have trapped some short-sellers, DELL is making strategic moves such as reducing costs, rejoining the S&P500, and aiming to capture market share from SMCI.
With this in mind, I see two potential entry points:
a. Enter the trade above $121.50, aiming for $127.
b. Enter the trade once it breaks $127, targeting $138.
Personally, I prefer the second option. DM me with any questions!
Semis may be ready to surge.NASDAQ:NVDA has reclaimed most daily supply and may trade into the earnings high if it can reclaim this week's range. NASDAQ:SMH has similarly reclaimed the daily 50 SMA and will go higher upon confirmation of the daily 100 SMA supply. Higher prices in semiconductors, such NASDAQ:AVGO as well, may help NASDAQ:QQQ follow AMEX:SPY to a new all-time high.
Micron Technology - The perfect chart!NASDAQ:MU is one of these stocks, which just respects every level, cycle and structure.
If I would give each chart an individual rating, the chart of Micron Technology would be 10 out of 10. Micron Technology is actually respecting every structure level and providing textbook trading opportunities. If we get a retest of the previous all time high, which is now turned support and perfectly lining up with the support of the rising channel, I will certainly look for longs.
Levels to watch: $90
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
What Lies Beyond the Horizon of Memory?In the ever-evolving landscape of technology, the horizon of memory has been pushed back further than ever before. Micron Technology, a pioneering force in the semiconductor industry, has once again redefined the boundaries of what is possible. Their recent financial performance, driven by the surging demand for AI-powered memory solutions, is a testament to their unwavering commitment to innovation.
Micron's Q4 results were nothing short of extraordinary. Revenue soared by an astonishing 93%, fueled by the insatiable appetite for data center memory chips that power AI applications. The company's strategic positioning as a leading supplier of High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) has proved to be a masterstroke. HBM, a critical component in AI servers, has become a cornerstone of Micron's success, securing long-term contracts and commanding premium pricing.
Beyond HBM, Micron's diversified memory portfolio ensures a sustainable growth trajectory. The company's dominance in DRAM and Nand flash memory, essential components for personal computers, servers, and smartphones, positions it to capitalize on the ongoing surge in device shipments and the increasing integration of AI functionalities.
Micron's competitive edge is further solidified by its strategic investments in capacity expansion, including a new fabrication site in New York. This expansion not only reinforces Micron's position as a leader in the memory chip industry but also paves the way for future innovation and growth.
As the AI revolution continues to unfold, Micron's unwavering commitment to pushing the boundaries of memory technology remains steadfast. Their ability to anticipate and address the evolving needs of the market has positioned them as a key player in shaping the future of AI and beyond. The question that lingers is: what lies beyond the horizon of memory?
Intel: "So the last shall be first..."As the Holy Bilble says in Matthew 20:16, "So the last shall be first, and the first last: for many be called, but few chosen."
We agree. After our analysis, one stock comes into focus: INTEL - a long-term buy candidate. Investment horizon: 5-10 years, the right time to get in could be now.
This is not a buy recommendation, just an exchange of ideas. You have to use your own analysis and your own head and make your own decisions.
Nvidia Has Strong Fundamentals but is that Enough?One Of the Biggest Success stories of 2023... NASDAQ:NVDA Truly Gained traction under the insane Artificial Intelligence Growth and alongside the hype train that skyrocketed most Semiconductor Stocks. The Balance sheet is a undeniable strength with more then 3 assets to 1 Liability, with good cash able to cover debt based on the balance sheet. Nvidia has very strong Fundamentals is that enough to justify the PE Ratio being at 55.94x ? and a Price to Sales Ratio of 30.3 ? and its price to books ratio at 50.2 , using these valuation methods Nvidia comes up as a expensive based on its current price to me personally. The RSI Is also pretty high at 53 . I am definitely interested in seeing how Nvidia plays out in the long-term. Share price has been aided by very high revenue growth beating all forecasts by analysts in recent Quarters. Nvidia Benefits from high profit margins, however is that enough to justify the high share price? as for management and there use of the cash we can see that Net margins are 55.0%, ROE of 91.1%, ROA of 60.9%, ROCE of 83.6%.
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Business Revenue Sources:
84.8% of the revenue is derived from "Compute & Networking"
15.2% of the revenue is derived from "Graphics"
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US34.80b
DEBT: US8.46b
Equity: US58.16b
Total Liabilities: US27.07b
Total Assets: US85.23b
14.5% -> Debt to Equity Ratio
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Nvidia) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful!
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Idea:
INTC | Bottoming Process is Progress | BounceIntel Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies. It delivers computer, networking, data storage, and communications platforms. The firm operates through the following segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), Network and Edge (NEX), Mobileye, Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics (AXG), Intel Foundry Services (IFS), and All Other. The CCG segment consists of platforms designed for notebooks, 2-in-1 systems, desktops, tablets, phones, wireless and wired connectivity products, and mobile communication components. The DCAI segment delivers solutions to cloud service providers and enterprise customers, along with silicon devices for communications service providers and high-performance computing customers. The NEX segment offers computing system solutions from inflexible fixed-function hardware to general-purpose compute, acceleration, and networking devices running cloud native software on programmable hardware. The Mobileye segment develops driving assistance and self-driving solutions. The AXG segment provides products and technologies designed to help customers solve the toughest computational problems. Its products include CPUs for high-performance computing and GPUs targeted for a range of workloads and platforms, from gaming and content creation on client devices to delivering media and gaming in the cloud, and the most demanding high-performance computing and AI workloads on supercomputers. The IFS segment refers to full stack solutions created from the foundry industry ecosystem. The All Other segment represents results from other non-reportable segments and corporate-related charges. The company was founded by Robert Norton Noyce and Gordon Earle Moore on July 18, 1968, and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
Intel - (Much) Lower from here!NASDAQ:INTC is about to create such a massive higher timeframe candle - a drop is immanent!
Within one month, a setup played out and we are back to beginning. During the past 30 days, Intel rejected the support towards the upside with a move of +25% and immediately reversed the entire move. The monthly candle will close so bearish, I do expect a break below the current short term support, followed by a retest of the multi-year long support area.
Levels to watch: $30, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Can the Tech Titan Weather the Storm?Nvidia, a leading force in artificial intelligence and semiconductor innovation, is now facing a critical juncture. The company has recently experienced a sharp decline in its stock price, compounded by an escalating antitrust investigation from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). These challenges have sparked widespread concern about Nvidia's future and the broader implications for the tech industry.
The DOJ's probe centers on Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market, with allegations of anti-competitive practices that may limit customer choices. The potential outcomes of this investigation could reshape Nvidia's business and influence the entire semiconductor landscape.
As Nvidia navigates these turbulent waters, its response will determine not only its own trajectory but also the future of AI-driven technologies. The company must address regulatory concerns, diversify its revenue streams, and continue to innovate if it hopes to maintain its leadership in the tech world.
In this time of uncertainty, Nvidia's ability to adapt and evolve will be crucial in determining whether it can emerge stronger or be eclipsed by emerging competitors.
Can Japan Weather the Semiconductor Tempest?In the intricate landscape of global semiconductor trade, Japan's recent decision to restrict exports of chipmaking equipment to China has ignited a tempest of geopolitical tensions. The move, while intended to limit China's technological advancements, risks triggering severe economic retaliation from Beijing. As a leading player in the semiconductor industry, Tokyo Electron finds itself caught in the crossfire, grappling with the potential consequences of this escalating dispute.
The semiconductor industry, a cornerstone of modern technology, is intricately intertwined with global economies. Disruptions to the supply of advanced chipmaking equipment could have far-reaching consequences, affecting industries from automotive manufacturing to artificial intelligence. The potential for economic retaliation from China, a major market for Japanese exports, further complicates the situation.
Japan's decision to impose export controls is driven by a strategic imperative to limit China's technological capabilities. However, this strategy carries significant risks. China has responded with a strong warning, threatening severe economic retaliation. The broader geopolitical context further complicates the situation, as the United States and its allies have been working to limit China's technological advancements.
The question remains: Can Japan successfully navigate this delicate balancing act, maintaining its economic interests while adhering to its strategic objectives? The answer to this enigma will likely shape the future of the semiconductor industry and the global technological landscape for years to come.