Large-scale Bitcoin whales transactions signal a bottom.Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the $35,000 mark.
Since then, however, the cryptocurrency has risen significantly, and it is presently trading around the $39,000 mark.
As Bitcoin prices bottomed out at $34.7k with Thursday’s war news, whales have made some MASSIVE transactions.
This has been the largest amount of both $100k+ and $1m+ $BTC transactions since Jan. 24th, when prices jumped +15% the week following.
Russia
NFTs and the Future of Cyberwarfare (Money vs Culture)The Russian invasion of Ukraine this week has prompted many people in Web3 to rethink what an NFT is and what it could potentially be used for. A look at what the CIA and Western powers did during the Cold War and how we could see another resurgence in "cultural production" methods in crypto-based projects in the wake of this crisis we see today.
URL to Vitalik's Tweet showing his support for the Ukrainian government:
twitter.com
BTCUSDT analyse Hello to the best traders in the world
Because of the war between RUSSIA and UKRAINE, cryptocurrencies may collapse
if bitcoin breaks the 34320 level, we will see a strong breakdown, the price may reach 27800
"This is not an investment advice. Your capital might be at risk.''
Give me your idea on comments...
Good Luck...
Bullish during the War
Weekly Timeframe
Awesome Oscillator is still having its Bearish Retracement. We are looking for green volume next week to see more upside candles. Ichimoku-Cloud is still holding on, we are still inside the cloud which is fairly bullish. EMA Ribbon is still bullish it hasn't changed really from being bullish since 2011. We are currently experiencing two spring up. if we close with green candle we can expect more to the upside.
1D Timeframe
This is Double Bottom that has huge potential to the upside. We already broke the cloud and the next rejection area is $42,221. We just need to hold on to this line of support and wait for the push up after consolidation; and if we don't, then we can see a movement to the downside. Our retracement in daily time-frame has shown green volume already in AO, it means this is the beginning of more volume and candle to the upside. The bottom are reached in the Retracement. RSI is also about to cross its Moving Average which means we are crossing a bullish zone for RSI.
4H Timeframe
200 Moving Average in 4h timeframe becomes weak and easy to break. We have broken the resistance in the second retest, so we can expect more to the upside. We need to break $39,904 and hold it as our support area then break $40,646 to continue the bull run. AO is already bullish and no sign of retracement yet.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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Quantitative easing - inflation of the economyMany people simply do not understand economics; and why should they - it's Foooooking complex.
I hear and read, all the time. Bitcoin solves inflation - without any real sound logic as to why or how...
When you travel back in time, the monetary systems have changed and evolved but are moving further and further away from the "gold" standard. Now as a crypto maxi, you might see this as a good thing. However, it also has it's drawdowns. The reason Gold and silver has been used for thousands of years is that it cannot be made and holds a rare earth material (Value) this is not as simple as saying "a store of value" and this I feel is where the confusion comes in.
So let's explain how the governments use quantitative easing to cheat the public.
In simple terms this is a policy in which the central bank's try to increase the liquidity in its financial system, in order to inject money into the economy to expand economic activity. Or so we are told.
If you look at this chart going back to 1965.
You will see the QE levels of rapid supply of money - with nothing under pinning it. This is where the Gold standard is lost. However, the story does not end there for Gold & Silver.
Take a look at this;
This is the Qualitative economic impact of the quantitative easing. This shows, the asset price increases and then falls off a cliff. All whilst the Money (paper money) flattens out. So with the injection into the economy (wink wink) the demand increases, the price increases and with a slight of hand - we have more borrowed dollars, less tangible assets to support it.
This isn't just a US problem, nor a European issue - it's a global, corrupt government issue. This is why the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.
Take a look at countries such as Australia;
These curves are parabolic.
How's about Russia - could get even worse after this war;
In summary it can help an economy out of recession, but it can drive an economy to recessions also.
So why or how does Gold and Silver fit in? Well, as the value of money (cash) drops down, spending power is robbed, pensions depleted and costs sky rocket. The Dollars in circulation can buy less "store of value assets" - thus driving the price of said assets up. This is where many people get confused with the adoption of Bitcoin. They assume that with Bitcoin being decentralised (kinda) - you have to remember the rules and regulations imposed on money in and out of the system (KYC & AML) - on an immutable ledger; this is optimal for taxation, identification and traceability by the way. The main issue is the store of value is only driven by what's in circulation, how much demand and how accessible the supply. It is already stated that 91% of all of the BTC in existence is in the hands of the Elite. The value per coin is only the supply vs demand battle, it's similarities to gold means it can be lost, stolen or stored.
But it's the underpinning method the governments use to increase the value of gold - that makes it likely to remain "THE WAY" for the foreseeable future. If I am honest I see Bitcoin or another crypto taking over the cash/payment system - more than I see it as a digital gold.
Anyways - have a great weekend, I thought this would be an interesting topic for discussion.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Bitcoin bull run time? 22.2.26Bitcoin is approaching below its resistance area, which can be revised up to 36,500 due to the weakness. But there are signs of a reversal of the downtrend. Breaking the 41,500 range and the downtrend line and stabilizing them above is necessary for the climb
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
📅 26.Feb.22
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Gold Prices End on Uncertain Footing as Ukraine Tensions SimmerOn the weekly setting, gold has left behind a Shooting Star candlestick pattern, showing signs of indecision following gains since earlier this year.
Ukraine geopolitical tensions cooled into the end of the week, resulting in a long upper wick on the weekly candle.
Further escalation could easily bring back upside momentum in the yellow metal, while cooling tensions may do the opposite.
Extending a turn lower would place the focus on rising support from the middle of 2021 before the 1750 inflection point comes in.
Otherwise, a daily close above the 2021 high exposes 1959.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
BTC Outlook Vs Russia & Ukraine Based on what's happening between Russian, the Ukraine and the sanctions imposed on Russia. My stance on BTC dropping to 20K to 25K has change and i'm now a bit unsure as to what can happen based on the environment that we're in.
Russia may be preparing to skirt economic sanctions by using cryptocurrencies. The effect that this might bring the the crypto market can be very huge and influence prices as Russia potentially can direct billions (maybe trillions) of volume alone into the crypto. I think this could have positive effects on assets like XRP and others.
Given this environment, I'm a bit unsure as what the outcome is but I'm now becoming a little more bullish on crypto once again. However, I'm still patient and will be monitoring things closely.
- Maradona Capital
- Patience Pays - Not Trading
Bitcoin - Better days ahead?Survived another big test
It's been quite the turnaround in the markets over the last 24 hours as traders quickly morphed from panicking about Russia invading Ukraine to seemingly being more hopeful and buying the dips.
The recovery has been nothing short of remarkable, especially when you consider what is still happening in Ukraine. But as we can see in bitcoin, risk appetite has returned in a big way and the outlook for the crypto is looking far more positive.
The fact that it failed to break the January low during yesterday's panic sell-off is the first thing that really jumps out at me. The level was well defended and potentially signals that a low has formed.
The strength of the rebound is the next thing that is promising for bitcoin. It's already testing $40,000 less than a day after many feared that $30,000 could break.
If $40,000 is broken, then $45,500 looks very vulnerable and a break of this would be a strong signal that there may be good times ahead for bitcoin.
It's been a rough start to the year and with events still unfolding, sentiment could quickly turn negative once more. But we're seeing some momentum building and as long as we don't see another major case of risk-aversion, we could see bitcoin build on that momentum in the coming weeks.
Of course, one other risk is the inflation outlook and recent moves in oil and gas could compound that. But the lows keep getting defended and that could be an encouraging sign.
How Will the Russian Invasion of Ukraine Affect Crypto?The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused the Russian stock market to collapse (as low as 50%), taking crypto prices along for the ride in a very clear way. As the news unfolds we're likely to see more divergences in the way individual coins operate, but for now, the patterns between Russian/US stocks and crypto seem to be moving in parallel.
One thing to be wary of is that during wartime, misinformation and propaganda campaigns tend to intensify, so you need to take everything you read on the news/social media (on both sides) with a grain of salt. Some of the things to look out for to make sure you don't get misdirected during these turbulent times.
Note that while the US media has been saying how great their markets are doing right now, they're also in a precarious situation since a recession is looming just around the corner. What happens exactly, is TBD.
S&P 500 by CryptoTradersWWYesterday was a day of extreme volatility, as expected. The US stock market has lost a key support level and is again retesting this zone, which is currently acting as resistance.
If we have a rejection on a retest like this, we will see more downward movement.
As we all know, once the New York session begins, the US Market has a strong link with BTC, anticipating market changes.
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Bitcoin Long Position 22.2.25Bitcoin was supported about 35K area and it can be move up to 50-51K. I think its formin head and shoulder pattern and if it return to 36500 area slowly and observe reversal candel, long position can be actived with 35K SL and 50500 last target. Other resistances can impress the price, so suggest you to save your profit step by step.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
25.Feb.22
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Tesla: update: don't enter until reaching the strong resistanceAs the Ukraine - Russia war crisis boosted the down trend of stocks and the possibility of ranging inside of a triangle has expired, we expect tesla to reach at least the strong 500 - 550 resistance level. So, don't rush to enter long, because the whole market is downward now.
NIFTY - Update and outlookNIFTY - Update and analysis
Our downside targets were 16400 & 16250. Both of them have been achieved yesterday.
NIFTY - weekly overview
The index has breached an important demand zone, however, today is the last day of the week and the weekly close is yet not determined, until 3:30 today.
If NIFTY manages a close above 16400 today, the bulls will still remain in the game, or else we can expect a 1000 points drop in NIFTY in the upcoming weeks.
One shall start accumulating NIFTY BEES now.
Bitcoin Claws Back.Bitcoin is trading higher Thursday, bouncing after seeing a strong dip when reports first hit that Russia invaded Ukraine.
Bitcoin now sits below $40,000, a key level that has held as both support and resistance in the past. The cryptocurrency saw a day of above-average volume, showing that the crypto could be pushing higher once again.
Bitcoin turned around and tested the $40,000 level Thursday afternoon. If it can cross above, it once again may see support near the level. If the $40,000 level is broken, the next area of resistance may be found near the $60,000 level.
If unable to break above $40,000, the $30,000 level is where support may be found.
The cryptocurrency trades below both the 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average. This shows the crypto is trading with bearish sentiment and each of these moving averages may hold as an area of resistance in the future.
The Relative Strength Index has been climbing back higher once again and sits at 42. This shows buyers have pushed into the market throughout the past few days although there still remain more sellers overall. To see a cross back above the $40,000 level, traders want to see the RSI be able to cross above the middle line once again.
Bitcoin has strong volume on a day where it dipped lower but was able to recover those losses. The crypto looks like it could be heading back toward the $40,000 level once again and will be a key level in the future.
USDCAD LONG UPDATEPosted this on my page yesterday. Broke past our confirmation line and hit a high of 90 PIPS profit today📈 Still possible to get in now again.
All of my socials are listed on my TradingView profile. Feel free to follow my TradingView in order to keep up to date with all the latest analysis. Drop a like if you agree with this chart analysis or let me know what you think!
5 Defense stocks you might want to look at in WW3Here are 5 stocks that could profit from the Russia Ukraine Conflict!
Intro:
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which began on November 21, 2013, following the Ukrainian government's decision not to sign the association agreement between Ukraine and the European Union, is a diplomatic and military
conflict between Russia and Ukraine.17 The conflict was sparked by a series of large-scale demonstrations that led to the flight and subsequent removal of Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who was replaced by Oleksandr
Turchynia.
Large-scale demonstrations then broke out and led on February 22, 2014 to the flight and subsequent removal of Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who was replaced by Oleksandr Turchynov. A new government, led by Arseni
Yatsenyuk, is put in place.
In response, Crimea declared its independence and voted to join Russia, a move that was recognized by Russia, causing an international diplomatic crisis. Several other Ukrainian provinces with large Russian-speaking populations,
notably Donbass, experienced similar uprisings and in turn organized referendums on self-determination in order to separate themselves from the Ukrainian government in place. The later events led to the war in Donbass, with
Russia, the border country, being accused of providing military support to the insurgents by waging a hybrid war there.18,19
On July 17, 2014, a Malaysia Airlines flight carrying 298 passengers from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur was shot down in mid-air near the Russian border while flying over the Donbass. There were no survivors. The destruction of this
civilian plane amplifies the diplomatic crisis, the Ukrainian army and the pro-Russian separatists accusing each other.
On February 21, 2022, as part of the Russian-Ukrainian war of 2021-2022, in a televised address, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced Russian recognition of the independence of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk
People's Republics and Russian armed forces invaded eastern Ukraine controlled by pro-Russian separatists.20,21 On February 23, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that he was going to invade the eastern part of Ukraine
and that he was going to take over from the pro-Russian separatists.
On February 23, President Vladimir Putin announced the launch of a military operation in Ukraine. During the night of 23 to 24 February, the Ukrainian territory was bombed and Russian troops invaded the Ukrainian territory.
Stocks that could grow during WW3:
Lockheed Martin NYSE:LMT
Lockheed Martin is the world's leading U.S. defense and security company. Like its main competitors, it designs and produces a variety of products in which electronics and technology play a key role. In 2008, 84% of the company's sales were to the U.S. government, with the remainder primarily to other states.5 In 2010, of the 45.8% of the company's sales that were to the U.S. government, 84% were to other countries. In 2010, $17.3 billion of the company's $45.8 billion in sales came from contracts signed with the U.S. government ($10.9 billion in defense, $6.6 billion in civilian). The company products a large amount of combat planes and other defense engines, its role in ww3 would be very important and we could see the company benefit from diverse defense contracts in the future.
Boeing NYSE:BA
Boeing (official name: The Boeing Company) is an American aircraft and aerospace manufacturer. Its headquarters are located in Chicago, Illinois and its largest plant in Everett, near Seattle, Washington. This aircraft manufacturer specializes in the design of civil and private aircraft, but also in military aeronautics, helicopters and satellites and launchers with its Boeing Defense, Space & Security division. In 2012, it ranked second in military equipment sales worldwide5,6. The company is engaged in a commercial war in aeronautics with its main competitor, the European group Airbus Commercial Aircraft.
Boeing could be a discounted opportunity. The company is now playing a significant role in responding to Russian aggression via its RC-135 reconnaissance plane. While the monitoring of forces to provide real-world analytics is the primary goal, these flyovers serve a secondary purpose: Let the Russian military forces know that the eyes of the world are on them. It may not be the ultimate deterrent, but anything to help the situation from devolving into bloodshed is a positive.
L3-Harris Tech NYSE:LHX
When dealing with defense stocks amid tensions that could spill over into armed conflict, the natural instinct is to consider weapons systems and defensive platforms. Certainly, L3Harris Technologies features a broad range of air, land and sea-based solutions — even solutions that extend into space and the digital realm. However, communications is also a key component of warfare. Without the ability to coordinate offensive or defensive actions, a nation’s military force will not be utilizing its resources in the most effective and efficient manner possible. Considering that Ukraine will be grossly outnumbered in a hot conflict with Russia, efficiency is absolutely critical. Of course, the Russians are not unaware of this serious potential vulnerability. Inevitably, one of their actions in case of an invasion will be to cut off supply routes and disrupt communication lines. Therefore, the Ukrainian government’s relatively recent cooperation agreement with Harris Global Communications, a subsidiary of L3Harris, is significant. Irrespective of whether or not an armed conflict occurs in the coming days, the relationship between L3Harris and Ukrainian forces should grow closer.
Northrop Grumann NYSE:NOC
The U.S. government has already shipped weapons systems to Ukraine and authorized its European partners to send their own shipments. Now, Ukrainian forces have even more resources with which to defend themselves. Given this dynamic, tensions may rise higher. That’s where Northrop Grumman could come into play with its MQ-4C Triton drone. Specializing in real-time intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, the Triton can provide valuable information while keeping servicemembers away from harm.
United Tech - Raytheon Technologies NYSE:RTX
United Technologies Corporation (UTC) was an American multinational conglomerate headquartered in Farmington, Connecticut. It researched, developed, and manufactured products in numerous areas, including aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building automation, and industrial products, among others. UTC was also a large military contractor, getting about 10% of its revenue from the U.S. government. Gregory J. Hayes was the CEO and chairman. It merged with the Raytheon Company in April 2020 to form Raytheon Technologies. Raytheon has partnered with Lockheed on the Javelin Weapon System, the missile of the hour.
Marketed as an “anti-tank guided munition that can be carried and launched by a single person,” the Javelin offers serious implications for how the Ukrainians can defend themselves against a much larger enemy.
Credits to - xtekky -