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Rsidivergence

Bitcoin's Next Move will Reach $104,500Looking at the CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4-hour time frame, if the RSI bounces from the oversold region and forms a bullish divergence, there’s a higher likelihood of a retest of the $104,500 area before price revisits the major support zone between $90,000 and $85,000. In the second scenario, if a new all-time high (ATH) is broken, the trend will likely continue upward. However, it's unlikely that this will occur without first testing the $90,000 to $85,000 support zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by crypto_vulture_signals
NGLFINE: Signs of reversal.NGLFINE appears to have bottomed out, now showing strong signs of a potential reversal: 1. RSI is strengthening. 2. Positive divergence is visible in RSI. 3. The stock is now trading above the 20EMA band. A minor pullback to retest the 20EMA band is possible before the stock resumes its journey toward its all-time high. As a Stoploss. either you can use 20EMA band or previous swing low, marked in the chart. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on personal observations and is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. @@ Always adhere to your risk-reward ratio before entering any trade. @@ Maintain discipline in all trading activities. @@ Ensure strict compliance with the marked stop loss.
NSE:NGLFINELong
by Abdul-Rahim
Stock Analysis Report: Aurobindo Pharma Ltd.Overview: The chart presents a technical analysis of Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. on a daily timeframe. The stock shows a recovery pattern with a visible RSI divergence, indicating a potential bullish reversal. Key Observations: 1.RSI Divergence: A bullish divergence is identified as the price made lower lows while the RSI formed higher lows, signaling waning bearish momentum and the likelihood of an upward move. 2.Critical Support Levels: Immediate support is marked at ₹1,273.35, corresponding to the 200-day moving average. A strong base exists at ₹1,199.40 and ₹1,101.55, which acted as previous demand zones. 3.Potential Resistance Zones: Initial resistance levels are observed at ₹1,310.80 and ₹1,346.60. Major resistance is seen at ₹1,403.25 and ₹1,450.35, where the stock could face selling pressure. 4.Buying Strategy: Enter long positions only if the price stabilizes above ₹1,273.35, confirming support. Watch for a breakout above ₹1,310.80 for momentum trades targeting higher resistance levels. 5.Volume Analysis: Increased volume on recent upward moves supports the bullish sentiment. Monitor volume patterns for confirmation of breakouts or trend reversals. Conclusion: Aurobindo Pharma shows signs of a potential bullish reversal. Traders should closely observe the ₹1,273.35 support level and enter only upon confirmation. Targets are placed at ₹1,310.80, ₹1,346.60, and beyond. Implement proper risk management to account for potential volatility.
NSE:AUROPHARMALong
by AngshumanSaikia
Technical Analysis Report: Balmer Lawrie & Co. Ltd.Overview: Balmer Lawrie & Co. Ltd. is showing key technical setups, offering potential trading opportunities. Here's a concise breakdown based on the daily chart analysis. Key Observations: 1.Fibonacci Retracement: The stock retraced to the 0.5 level at INR 225.00 and rebounded from the 0.382 level (INR 202.40). 2.Chart Patterns: An inverse head-and-shoulders pattern signals potential reversal, with a target of INR 263.45 if INR 249.54 is breached. 3.Moving Averages: Near-term support: 20-day EMA (INR 232.30) and 50-day EMA (INR 238.84). Resistance: 200-day EMA (INR 245.56), aligning with the pattern neckline. 4.RSI Momentum: RSI at 58.36 suggests mild bullish momentum, with room for upside. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: INR 249.54, INR 263.45, INR 279.95. Support: INR 238.00, INR 225.00, INR 202.40. Potential Scenarios: Bullish: A breakout above INR 249.54 could lead to INR 263.45 and potentially INR 279.95. Bearish: A rejection near INR 249.54 may push prices back to INR 238.00 or lower. Volume Analysis: Rising volume indicates renewed buying interest, supporting a bullish outlook. Conclusion: Balmer Lawrie & Co. Ltd. is poised for a potential breakout above INR 249.54. Traders should monitor key levels closely and manage risk accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct your own research before investing.
NSE:BALMLAWRIELong
by AngshumanSaikia
US100 - 1H - Short Setup to $21,000 (Technical Analysis)The CAPITALCOM:US100 bounced from the upper side of it's wedge where it marked it's new ATH. On the way up we opened two gaps (red in the chart) which are still left to get closed. We also see a RSI divergence which implies we've seen the top for now and are heading lower (at least for the time being). Current targets would be the support at $21,184, then the trendline of the current wedge at around $21,000 and a bit lower the bigger support zone at around $20,600. If we break above $21,600 this short setup is denied. Target Zones $21,184 (Gap Close) $21,000 (Trendline) $20,600 (Bigger Support Zone)
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
Pfizer Ltd. - Short Position AnalysisChart Overview: The chart indicates that the stock is in a clear downtrend, following a descending channel pattern. The price is nearing a key horizontal support level (marked in black), and a breakdown below this level may present a shorting opportunity. Trade Setup for Short Position: 1.Entry Trigger: Below ₹5,028 on a daily closing basis. 2.Targets: Target 1: ₹4,885 (first demand zone). Target 2: ₹4,760 (strong support and lower boundary of the descending channel). 3.Stop Loss: Above ₹5,187 (recent swing high and red-dotted resistance level). 4.Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable ratio of at least 1:2. Alternate Scenario: If ₹5,028 holds as support, the stock might see a pullback toward ₹5,187, where selling pressure could resume.
NSE:PFIZERShort
by AngshumanSaikia
GBPCAD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 06GBPCAD Analysis Overview --- 1. Seasonality GBP: Seasonality indicates a **sell** signal for GBP in the first week of December. CAD: Seasonality suggests a **strong buy** signal for CAD. Seasonality Bias: Sell GBPCAD --- 2. COT Report GBP: COT RSI: 52 weeks at 30%, 26 and 13 weeks at bottom. COT Index: 3-year at 50%, 1-year at 30%, indicating weak positioning for GBP. Net Non-Commercial: Decreasing, showing a bearish sentiment. CAD: COT RSI: 52, 26, and 13 weeks at 20% and increasing, showing bullish momentum. COT Index: 3-year and 1-year at 20% and increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment. Net Non-Commercial: Increasing, with a positive bias. COT Bias: Sell GBPCAD. --- 3. Fundamental Analysis Leading Economic Indicators: GBP: Decreasing, signaling economic weakness. CAD: Increasing, pointing to economic strength. Endogenous Factors: GBP: Decreasing, aligning with a sell sentiment. CAD: Increasing, further supporting a buy stance. Exogenous Factors: GBPCAD exogenous signal indicates a buy CAD, sell GBP sentiment. Fundamental Bias: Sell GBPCAD. --- 4. Technical Analysis RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence identified, indicating potential downside movement. Breakout Indicator: A red arrow confirms bearish momentum on key breakout levels. Resistance Zone: Price is currently at a strong resistance zone, showing rejection patterns. Technical Bias: Sell GBPCAD. --- Final Bias: Sell GBPCAD The alignment across seasonality, COT data, fundamental indicators, and technical analysis strongly supports a sell setup for GBPCAD.
Short
by asadamalik
XRP will RunXRP is currently in a consolidation phase as it seeks to establish new highs and lows. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that XRP is undervalued, suggesting it is aiming to find new lows at higher price levels. The candlestick patterns are following an upward trend line, and both the 20-day and 200-day moving averages remain positive after experiencing a golden cross around November 10th. There are many positive signals that support a bullish outlook for XRP. Fundamental analysis indicates that XRP has a promising future, with new leadership at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and fresh partnerships fostering the institutional adoption of blockchain technology. These initial price movements are just the start of increased exposure for XRP.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by LOWCO_487
PFC: Bullish Breakout with Raghanseda Project Development 1.Chart Pattern: The stock has broken out of a downward-sloping trendline after a prolonged consolidation phase within a rectangle pattern (yellow box). This breakout is supported by higher volumes, signaling strong buying interest. 2.Fundamental Trigger: Power Finance Corporation has incorporated an SPV for the Raghanseda Transmission Project, enhancing its growth outlook. 3.Technical Levels: Current Price: ₹512.20 Immediate Support: ₹499.95 (near breakout zone). Critical Stop-Loss: ₹472.95 (below previous support). Upside Targets: ₹527.45 (minor resistance) and ₹556.00 (major target, ~11% upside potential). 4.Indicators: RSI is trending upwards, indicating positive momentum but not overbought. Moving averages are aligning for a bullish crossover, supporting further upside. 5.Projection: If the price sustains above ₹500, we could witness a rally towards ₹556 in the near term. Traders may consider entering on pullbacks near ₹500 with a stop-loss at ₹472.95. Risk Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
NSE:PFCLong
by AngshumanSaikia
EURJPY Analysis - Bullish - Trade 05EUR/JPY Analysis Overview --- 1. Seasonality EUR: Strong seasonal buy signal for first week of December. Historically, EUR tends to perform well during the early part of December, particularly as year-end market dynamics drive demand for European assets. JPY: Seasonal performance is mixed to weak in first week of December, suggesting potential weakness for JPY in this period. --- 2. COT Report EUR: COT RSI: At the bottom (0%) for 52 weeks, 26 weeks, and 13 weeks, signaling an oversold condition, suggesting a buy setup for EUR. Non-commercial Positioning: Non-commercial long positions are decreasing, short positions are increasing, but net non-commercial is still decreasing. This indicates that while there may be some sell-side pressure, the market may be nearing a reversal, with less aggressive short interest. COT Index: At the bottom (0%) for 3-year and 1-year periods, indicating a strong potential for EUR to rise from this point. JPY COT RSI: At the middle, indicating a neutral stance. This is less of a concern compared to other currencies, but it points to a market that is less bullish on JPY. Non-commercial Positioning: Non-commercial long positions are increasing, short positions are also rising, and net non-commercial is decreasing. This suggests that JPY has some strength but is facing growing pressure from increased short positions. COT Index: Neutral positioning, which does not indicate any clear bullish or bearish bias. --- 3. Fundamental Analysis LEI (Leading Economic Indicators) Global: Increasing LEI suggests positive global economic momentum, supporting the EUR. EUR: Positive LEI, indicating economic growth and improving outlook for the Eurozone. JPY: Decreasing LEI, signaling a potential slowdown or economic stagnation in Japan, which is bearish for JPY. --- Endogenous Factors EUR: Increasing endogenous factors, indicating positive growth in the Eurozone. Economic recovery is likely to continue through the end of the year, supporting EUR strength. JPY: Mixed to increasing endogenous factors, suggesting some potential for JPY to strengthen but not strongly enough to outperform the EUR. --- Exogenous Factors EURJPY: Exogenous factors support a buy EUR, sell JPY strategy due to the relative strength of EUR and the weakness in JPY from factors like EURJPY = Buy and EURUSD = Buy signals in exogenous correlations. EUR/JPY Pairs: Strong support for EUR in the cross-pair comparisons (EURJPY = Buy) and weak performance from JPY, confirming a bullish stance for EURJPY. --- 4. Technical Analysis RSI Divergence: The RSI for EUR/JPY is not in overbought territory, suggesting room for further upside. Support Levels: There is days support level from which the pair has bounced and is likely to continue upward if it maintains above these levels. --- Bias: Long EURJPY Conclusion: The combination of favorable seasonality, positive COT signals for EUR, strong fundamental support from global and Eurozone LEIs, and bullish technical indicators positions EUR/JPY for further upside. The relative weakness of JPY and its mixed economic signals reinforce the bias to go long on EUR/JPY. --- Trade Plan Entry: 157.241 SL: 156.020 TP: 158.462
Long
by asadamalik
UPL Ltd. (NSE: UPL) AnalysisOverview: UPL Ltd. is currently trading at ₹545.50, showing signs of consolidation near its short-term moving averages. The price is poised at a critical level with a potential for either a breakout or a breakdown, depending on market dynamics and volume activity. Technical Insights: 1.Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Support: ₹528 (marked by recent lows and a strong demand zone). Key Resistance: ₹549.50 (current level) and ₹584.05 (previous swing high and significant supply zone). 2.Volume Profile: The visible range volume profile indicates a concentration of volume between ₹540-₹550, suggesting this zone as a pivot for future price action. A breakout above ₹549.50 could attract higher volumes, pushing the stock towards ₹584. 3.Moving Averages: The stock is near its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, indicating a neutral short-term trend. A clear break above the 200-day EMA would signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls. 4.RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is hovering around 50, indicating a lack of strong momentum. A breakout above resistance could drive RSI towards overbought territory, confirming bullishness. Scenarios: Bullish Case: A breakout above ₹549.50 with high volumes could see the stock targeting ₹584.05 in the short term. Sustained momentum may lead to further upside towards ₹600. Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above ₹549.50 might result in a pullback to ₹528. A breakdown below ₹528 could open doors for lower levels, around ₹510. Trading Plan: Entry: Bullish: Above ₹550 for targets of ₹584 and ₹600. Bearish: Below ₹528 for targets of ₹510. Stop-Loss: Bullish: ₹535. Bearish: ₹540. Final Thoughts: UPL Ltd. is at a crucial level with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation of direction with strong volume support before taking positions. Monitor global agrochemical sector trends and news for potential catalysts.
NSE:UPLShort
by AngshumanSaikia
Zydus Lifesciences (NSE:ZYDUSLIFE)Overview: Zydus Lifesciences is currently at an interesting juncture, with signs of a potential reversal from recent lows. The price action suggests a possible recovery towards higher resistance levels, supported by technical indicators and market sentiment. Nomura's revised price target of ₹1,030, while maintaining a Neutral rating, aligns with this view. Key Levels to Watch: Current Price: ₹966.65 Immediate Support (SL): ₹902.55 Key Resistance Zones: ₹1,008.35, ₹1,041.45, and ₹1,102.15 Technical Analysis: Volume Profile: The visible range volume profile shows significant accumulation near ₹1,000, which could act as a strong magnet for the price. Moving Averages: The stock has started reclaiming its short-term moving averages. A breakout above the 200-day MA would confirm bullish momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending upwards, indicating improving bullish momentum. Divergence suggests a potential reversal. Price Action: The formation of higher lows near ₹949 reinforces the possibility of a short-term recovery. Trading Strategy: Entry Zone: Between ₹950 and ₹970, as the stock shows stability near support levels. Stop-Loss: Strict stop-loss at ₹902.55 to limit downside risk. Targets: Target 1: ₹1,008.35 Target 2: ₹1,041.45 Extended Target: ₹1,102.15 Risk Management: Position size will depend on risk tolerance, ensuring a Risk-Reward ratio of at least 1:2. Avoid chasing the price above ₹970 if momentum wanes. Final Thoughts: Zydus Lifesciences presents a favorable risk-reward scenario with clear technical signals for a rebound. However, macroeconomic factors and sector performance will play a critical role in sustaining the move. Traders should monitor price action near the resistance zones closely for signs of continuation or rejection.
NSE:ZYDUSLIFELong
by AngshumanSaikia
SUPERSuper has been powering through the uptrend since the beginning of September. Today, the chart indicates strong buying volume that strives to break resistance to the next resistance level. There is a red candle stick with a long wick and shorter body and a green candlestick with a long wick and longer body, indicating future bullish momentum. Indicators show lots of buying power, which will help with the upward trend for a future breakout. Support - $1.24 Testing Resistance/Possible Support - $1.35 Resistance - $1.42 Fear & Greed Index (Binance) - 65 Greed
KRAKEN:SUPERUSDLong
by LOWCO_487
4
Tata Motors (Daily Timeframe) AnalysisChart Pattern & Trend: Primary Trend: The stock previously followed a rising channel pattern, peaking near ₹1,176.50. After breaking the channel's lower boundary, it entered a significant downtrend. Current Trend: Bearish, as the stock has consistently been making lower highs and lower lows. Fibonacci Levels: The Fibonacci retracement tool highlights key levels: 61.8% Level (₹880.35): This level acted as a minor support before breaking down. 50% Level (₹788.85): The stock is hovering around this level, attempting to stabilize. 38.2% Level (₹697.40): If the downtrend continues, this could be the next key support. 23.6% Level (₹584.20): A deeper correction might test this level in a prolonged bearish scenario. Volume Analysis: Declining volumes suggest weakening momentum on the downside. A volume spike at key support levels could indicate buying interest. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is in the oversold zone or nearing it, indicating potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: ₹880 (61.8% Fibonacci) and ₹900 are immediate resistance zones. Support: ₹788 (current level) and ₹697 (38.2% Fibonacci) are critical supports. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Reversal: A breakout above ₹880 with increasing volumes could signal the beginning of a recovery. Continued Bearishness: A breakdown below ₹788 could lead the stock toward ₹697 and ₹584. Trading Strategy: For Long Positions: Look for reversal patterns around ₹788 or ₹697, supported by RSI divergence and volume confirmation. For Short Positions: Consider selling near resistance levels like ₹880 with a stop-loss above ₹900.
NSE:TATAMOTORS
by AngshumanSaikia
Ethereum (ETH/USD): Bullish Momentum Building Ethereum is currently trading within a rising channel pattern, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Here's the breakdown: 1.Support Levels: Strong support at $3,080 (marked as 4H Support) has held firm, preventing further downside. The ascending trendline is providing consistent upward pressure. 2.Resistance Zones: Immediate resistance at $3,143 (30m Resistance). Key level to watch is $3,224 (4H Resistance), which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. 3.Volume & RSI: Volume is gradually increasing, indicating renewed buyer interest. RSI is rising from oversold levels, supporting a bullish outlook. 4.Target Levels: A breakout above $3,143 could propel ETH towards $3,224, the next significant resistance. Bullish Scenario: If ETH holds above $3,114 and breaks $3,143 decisively, expect a swift move toward $3,224. Beyond this, a continuation within the channel could aim for $3,280. Risk management is key—watch the $3,080 support zone closely for invalidation of the bullish setup.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by AngshumanSaikia
Gold’s Got Drama: Is the Shine Fading? Let’s Dive In!🚨 Gold’s Got Drama: Is the Shine Fading? Let’s Dive In! 💰 1️⃣ Medium-Term Trendline: The OG Support! This trendline has been holding like your favorite pair of jeans—reliable and never letting you down. But here’s the tea ☕: the price has slipped below it and is now knocking on its door like, “Hey, can I come back in?” 🔑 Key Point: If the door slams shut (aka, the trendline holds as resistance), we’re looking at some spicy bearish action. Keep your eyes on this! 2️⃣ Price Making Higher Highs, But… 🎵 "The higher you climb, the harder you fall…" Gold’s been flexing with those higher highs, but the RSI isn’t buying it. It’s like Gold is posting gym selfies 📸 while secretly skipping leg day. The disconnect is real. ❗ Warning: When price says "up" but RSI says "nah," the universe is screaming reversal incoming. 3️⃣ RSI Bearish Divergence: Red Flag Alert 🚩 RSI is the wingman who sees the danger before you do. It’s whispering, “Bro, this trend is running on fumes.” Lower highs on the RSI + higher highs on price = the perfect cocktail for a pullback. 🍹 📉 Translation: Momentum is fizzling, and buyers are running out of juice. The bears might just be warming up. 🐻 4️⃣ Price Retesting the Trendline: Playing Hard to Get 😏 After breaking up with the trendline, the price is back, asking for a second chance. Will the trendline say, “No thanks, I’ve moved on” and reject it as resistance? 👋 💡 Pro Tip: If the price gets rejected here, it’s basically like Gold saying, “I’m tired of this relationship. I’m heading lower.” 5️⃣ Sell Big if It Breaches Again: The Money Shot 💥 If the price slips below the trendline again, it’s game on for the bears. That’s your signal to bring out the big guns—just don’t forget your stop-loss armor. ⚔️ 🚨 Action Plan: Sell below the trendline breakdown. Targets? Look for levels like $2,400 or lower. Keep stops tight above the retested trendline. Remember: trading isn’t a free-for-all. 🎯 TL;DR: Gold’s at a Crossroads ⚖️ This chart is giving all the signals of a potential reversal. 1️⃣ RSI divergence says momentum is tired. 😴 2️⃣ Price retesting the trendline screams, “Decision time!” 🕒 3️⃣ A breakdown could mean a juicy shorting opportunity. 📉 💥 Final Thoughts: Don’t YOLO into this trade. Wait for confirmation. Be disciplined. And as always, let’s bag those profits like a boss. 💼💸 What’s your move? Are you riding the bear train or waiting for Gold to prove it’s still got its shine? Let me know, and let’s crush it! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeDotForex
AU Small Finance Bank - Technical Analysis Update and Key LevelsChart Overview: The price action for AU Small Finance Bank shows it has been moving within a rising channel for the past few years, currently testing key support levels. The bank recently saw a price downgrade from Nomura, which adjusted the target price to ₹670, retaining a neutral rating. This adjustment reflects some cautious sentiment among analysts. Key Levels and Fibonacci Retracement: Channel Support - The stock is currently near the lower boundary of the long-term rising channel, a crucial area where it previously found support. Fibonacci Levels - The stock has pulled back to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around ₹565.65 from its recent highs, which often acts as a strong support level in technical setups. A further breakdown could push it towards the 50% retracement at ₹492.40, a potential next support. Resistance - On the upside, resistance lies around the upper channel boundary and recent highs near ₹670-₹700, which aligns with Nomura’s target. MACD Indicator: The MACD currently shows a weakening momentum on the weekly chart, hinting at possible bearish pressure. A recovery in MACD or a bullish crossover could indicate a return to upward momentum. RSI Analysis: The RSI is approaching the oversold region. A bounce from this area might signal potential for reversal if accompanied by strong buying volume. Conclusion: AU Small Finance Bank is at a critical support level within a broader uptrend channel. Holding above ₹565-₹570 could lead to a rebound towards the upper end of the channel, with ₹670-₹700 as potential targets. However, if the price fails to hold, watch for the ₹492 level for possible support. The current technical setup suggests caution, especially with Nomura's neutral outlook.
NSE:AUBANK
by AngshumanSaikia
NIFTY50 || RSI positive divergence As mention in my previous idea, the recent rally was indeed a 'Dead Cat Bounce' as NIFTY50 has experienced another significant drop. However, examining the charts above reveals positive RSI divergence in both the 2-hour timeframe (TF) and the daily timeframe (DTF), with NIFTY reversing from a marked support zone. For the next bull run to be confirmed, NIFTY should hold above today’s low and meet the following two criteria: 1. The index begins trading above the 20 EMA band. 2. The RSI surpasses the 70 mark. This setup could indicate a more sustainable upward trend if both conditions are fulfilled. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it’s essential to perform your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Essential principles for traders: 1. Be Disciplined, Avoid FOMO: Maintain a disciplined approach to avoid impulsive decisions based on the "fear of missing out" (FOMO), which can lead to risky trades. 2. Risk and Reward Management: Always assess potential rewards relative to risks before entering a trade. Proper risk management ensures long-term success by limiting losses on any single trade. 3. Follow Stop Losses: Calculate and set a stop loss for every trade to protect against significant losses. Make it a habit to adhere to it without exception, even if the market seems to be in your favor. 4. Journal Your Trades: Maintain a trading journal to track decisions, wins, and losses. Analyzing past trades can help improve future strategies and identify patterns in behavior or biases. 5. Master One Strategy Before Expanding: It’s beneficial to focus on mastering a single trading strategy before exploring others. Once consistent, you can broaden your approach to diversify risk and opportunities. 6. Control Emotions: Emotions, especially greed and fear, can cloud judgment. Cultivating a mindset that balances confidence and caution is key to maintaining objectivity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Abdul-Rahim
MAZDOCK Breaks Downtrend Channel After Securing Major OrderMazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd (NSE: MAZDOCK) has shown a strong price action today, breaking out of the downward trend channel after securing a significant order worth ₹1.22 billion from Maharashtra State Power Generation. This news has spurred bullish sentiment, driving the stock up by +4.55% to ₹4,472.40. Technical Insights: Downtrend Channel Breakout: The stock has successfully broken out of the descending channel that has been intact since early July, signaling a potential reversal of the downtrend. Key Support Levels: The stock bounced from a strong support level at ₹4,248.30, which held firm despite recent downward pressure. Resistance Levels : Immediate resistance lies at ₹4,714.40, where the stock previously faced selling pressure in late September. A breakout above this level could push the stock towards ₹5,147.20 and then ₹5,555.05. Volume and Momentum: The recent price surge is accompanied by increased volume, suggesting that the bullish move is supported by strong buying interest. RSI is moving upward, currently near 60, indicating room for further upward movement before overbought levels are reached. Fundamental Catalysts : The order from Maharashtra State Power Generation strengthens Mazagon Dock’s business outlook, providing long-term revenue visibility and boosting investor confidence. Outlook: If the stock manages to sustain above ₹4,248.30, it could see further upside in the short-to-medium term, targeting the next resistance at ₹4,714.40 and beyond. However, a failure to hold above this breakout level may see the price retest support around ₹4,000.
NSE:MAZDOCKLong
by AngshumanSaikia
Crude Oil (CL1!): Why We’re Still Expecting Lower LowsAt the end of last week, we fine-tuned our Crude Oil outlook, and we are still expecting lower lows to take out the sell-side liquidity below. Our limit order at $63.23 remains valid, even after last week’s pump, which was driven primarily by rising tensions and the ongoing war in the Middle East. Oil gained 13% over five sessions following Iran’s attack, as traders feared Israel’s response might target Iran’s oil infrastructure, potentially cutting into the country’s 1.7 million barrels per day of exports. There are also concerns that a broader war in the oil-rich Persian Gulf could threaten nearly a third of global oil output. However, the geopolitical risk premium may be fading due to Israel’s delayed response. The geopolitical risk premium has an unclear and unpredictable expiration. When that moment comes and is not supported by real, fundamental factors—such as a substantial supply shortage due to the conflict—the upward movement in oil prices will not be sustainable. The longer this takes, the more the price increase will slow and potentially reverse, which is exactly what we are starting to see in the chart. While Crude Oil respected the 61.8% Fibonacci level almost perfectly, it found stronger resistance at the POC just above that level. Given the bearish RSI divergence, we continue to expect Oil to move lower, provided the conflict in the Middle East does not escalate further.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by freeguy_by_wmc