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Weekly Forecast 13th July 2021 I haven't made consistent posts for quite a while and that is due to the time constrain that I've suffered as a university student. So I've mostly only had time to analyze and make trades myself; neglecting the public posts and forecasts. Anyways, as always I am still bullish on O, It has always been a solid performer in my long-term portfolio. In one of my previous posts, it appears that my forecast was somewhat correct, more than I initially predicted and the stock now sees itself trading in an upward range. Even with the share issue that occurred previously the stock's price still remains strong and shows promise that bullish progress will continue to be made in the near future. Anyways, what I can observe in the price action is mostly bullish. The following will be some general information about my analysis. The depth of the analysis will depend on the time I have available: On the weekly graph, we can see that the general trend has been slowly creeping upward rather consistently which makes me happy as I would like to add into my long-term portfolio weekly. Zooming into the daily graph we are provided some more meaningful information to create a forecast, allowing me to draw some trendlines that resemble a ascending channel; although this can generally be seen as a bearish pattern we must ultimately wait for more information before we can confirm anything. There isn't really much to comment on the price action as all the indicators and analysis generally point toward gradual movement to the upside. Forecast: In my most optimistic case I can expect price to rise to about the 72-73 dollar mark testing the resistance barrier where it can either be rejected and make a short term drop to the support at roughly 68. From there we will require more information before saying anything. As for my more neutral case, price might not even reach the top of the channel and could drop right down to the support after hitting 69. Anyways, that is what I've forecast for this stock. Take it with a grain of salt and note, that none of this is financial advice so do your down research. Happy trading.
NYSE:OLong
by JustPlainHenry
2
AHT: REOPENING PLAY WITH GOOD POTENTIALATH : Ashford Hospitality Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on investing predominantly in upper upscale, full-service hotels. Why I'm buying at these levels: -ATH has now corrected to its 0.168 Fibonacci retracements (blue zone on the chart). -The Demark TD sequential is on a 8 daily, showing good chance of reversal. -The 50 EMA is supporting the price. -Fundamentals reasons: the economy is reopening, people just want to travel and are going back to hotels Targets on the chart: 7.79/9.11/12.80/14.14 Stop loss just below the EMA 50 and blue zone. Trade safe.
NYSE:AHTLong
by Elpidaldo
1
AHTI see a bottom here --> high volume in weekly for 2020 and 2021 --> higher lows I will buy when a pullback happens and react with BIG volume making us another higher low. I have another option: as the volume seems to get bigger and bigger, and we may reach higher than the previous top with the pump in 2020, I might get in if we get a good response from the price there. consider, if you want to do so, that the STOP LOSS will be close to the entry price, and if the price will fall in the triangle again, you will HAVE to close your position (and buy back as it makes a higher low as we said in the first place)
NYSE:AHT
by camelot0707
NRZ; A Retail Mortgage BehemothDISCLAIMER This is in no way, shape or form, fluid and function, an analytical, qualitative or intelligent compte rendu. There is absolutely no financial advice here because the only financial advice I can give is to research, research, and research. The purpose of this analysis is to serve as an example of an investigation into a company's background, fundamentals, and assets through various lenses to determine if it is a good potential investment for you. The function of this write up is to serve as an educational resource for investors looking to understand how to find good investments. So read and learn some things about a company that may provide a supplementary income if the bull market holds to any investor, big and small. REIT - Real Estate Investment Trusts The concept of these are actually pretty damn cool, and I might have to do a real series on Dividend-based investing for those looking to supplement their own monthly income, or as a method of investing with far fewer risks and reinvesting those dividends as shares, which prevents getting taxed on the dividend and serves as a compounding feature on your investment. Essentially, shareowners of the REIT pool their money together to operate as a real estate company; owning property for leases, mortgages, real estate financing. This is an extremely profitable business that has been limited to the ultra wealthy. This money is managed by a board of directors/trustees, thus investing in an REIT is investing in 2 key elements. First is property value, that is to say that property/real estate is valuable and will continue to grow in value, remaining valuable such that long term investments will be profitable. I am entirely unsure of what happens to REITs in the event of a major mortgage backed security crash, but I can't imagine its great. For this reason alone I would avoid these for the time being, but not all REITs are equal in their "property". Each REIT usually specializes in various real estate investments. Some might be primarily mortgages, some might be primarily retail leases, etc. The different specialties of these REITs are from the second element, the Investment Manager. This Investment Manager is essentially the same as the investment manager of an ETF, but for real estate deals. These people need to have a strong background in real estate, specific to the specialty of each REIT. This is the person, or people, that are handling your investment, and giving them money should be done via an "interview" process. Deep diving into their background is going to give you the best idea of how to judge the REIT as an investment, through good and bad times. An REIT is fundamentally similar in market dynamics to an ETF; by purchasing shares of the REIT, you buy into the underlying investment pool, and thus the underlying assets. The share price isn't meant to fluctuate to a great degree, even more than an ETF, due to the nature of the underlying business, which is owning the actual properties. To that end, only 75% of the assets (aka capital from the market) has to be in real estate, cash or treasury bonds. However, 75% of income has to come from some form of real estate. This is a pretty interesting concept, where it could potentially be abused by having large inflows allowing the REIT to buy treasuries, outflow right after to reclaim money, the income from the treasuries shouldn't pop up until 10+ years, or until a time of extreme profitability for trading, creating a massive burst of income, allowing a huge surge in profit, allowing a well timed inflow to swallow that money and funnel it. I'm not saying that that could happen, or does happen, but I wonder if it could. New Residential Investment Corp. NRZ CEO Michael Nierenberg has quite a career. That's an understatement. Starting at Lehman Brothers building their adjustable rate mortgage business, going on to Bear Stearns where he was co-head of mortgage backed securities around 2008 until a brief tenure at JP Morgan, off to Bank of America as head of global mortgages, and then 2013 CEO of NRZ and on. I don’t know how many times you have to step on a rake, get hit in the face before you learn to stop. Aside from the imminent housing bubble collapse, the guy just doesn't learn. Looking at current portfolio of NRZ takes my breath away in shock. Reading up on what the guy wants to keep going after, and what he has made a giant portion of the business is just scary. I don't think its fair to blame the collapse of two major institutions on him, and I don't know how much his original ideas were perversed to create the monster that is major banks platform of mortgage backed securities, but I have little interest in finding out what happens next. This isn't the part where I say go elsewhere and invest in literally anything else, I just caution anything in mortgage backed securities. Furthermore, over 50% of the investment portfolio is servicing mortgages, so if they don't pay, NRZ don't get paid. Another 48% is in some form of servicing, origination or securities of residential mortgages. If a depression, inflation, recession hit, people will not be able to pay mortgages. Looking at just how bad 2020 was for NRZ, seeing them flaunt it now hurts just a little. That’s not say that the same issues plaguing them in 2020 are about to rear their ugly head, I just can't imagine they have any ability to rotate. With $1 billion cash in hand, they can sustain some heavy losses and a rough year or two more, but not while acquiring another business focused on retail mortgages for over half of that cash. There is a fine line the economy needs to ride for NRZ to make it through, and I don't know if the economy will. At the very least, there are REITs and Dividend stocks with a basis far from 100% retail mortgages. Furthermore, it looks like there might be a growing issue with their retail mortgage business. wallethub.com They have ~6+ months of only 1 star reviews saying the same thing over and over; NRZ has delayed mortgage refinancing and blamed a billion things other than themselves. This is either indicative of a lack of liquidity, or just being a bad company. However, the way a significant amount of the reviews read to formula, I don't know if this is a competitor or bear firm using social media to push a narrative. www.newresi.com Fundamentals The company's fundamentals are great. They took a bruising over 2020, but they came back roaring in the first quarter. www.newresi.com www.macrotrends.net By all rights, should there be no looming threats of a systemic collapse in mortgage backed securities and retail mortgages due to massive defaulting caused by inflation, deflation, recession, etc.; NRZ is poised to have one hell of a run soon. The CEO might be playing a dangerous game, but he does do it well. Revenue, cash flow, growth, etc. are all impressive of the firm. That much is clear of the big stake Vanguard and Blackrock, likely for their fixed income ETFs and investment plans. 7.5% dividend guaranteed per year is huge. To put that into context, say you invest 10k at t0. Given dividend split each quarter of 1.875%, with the dividend being reinvested as shares: 0 10000 0.25 10187.5 0.5 10375 0.75 10562.5 1 10750 1.25 10937.5 1.5 11125 1.75 11312.5 2 11500 2.25 11687.5 2.5 11875 2.75 12062.5 3 12250 3.25 12437.5 3.5 12625 3.75 12812.5 4 13000 4.25 13187.5 4.5 13375 4.75 13562.5 5 13750 5.25 13937.5 5.5 14125 5.75 14312.5 6 14500 6.25 14687.5 6.5 14875 6.75 15062.5 7 15250 7.25 15437.5 7.5 15625 7.75 15812.5 8 16000 8.25 16187.5 8.5 16375 8.75 16562.5 9 16750 9.25 16937.5 9.5 17125 9.75 17312.5 10 17500 At 10 years, with a 10k investment, you would have 17.5k, and that is without any sort of growth to the value of the share price. If you have ~200k and you invest in that, you would have a monthly income of $1250. With $1 million, you would have a monthly income of 6.25k, or a yearly income of 75k, and you get to do nothing with your life. Do not underestimate the power of dividends. Of course all of that is pre-tax, but with the right accountant and the right financial advisor, money can be self-fulfilling. Of course, that is with out a major catastrophe to the underlying business. To that end, there has been a significant outflow of major institutional holders, with the only requisite inflow coming from Blackrock and Vanguard. Despite all their size, and all their power, even they can get it wrong. Caution is advised. whalewisdom.com www.nasdaq.com Disclaimer Thank you for your time, and I truly hope that it was worth it. Please do not use this to decide if you should make an investment or not, but rather use it as an example of how to do your own research. My analysis of information is not the same as the markets, which means I can and do get it wrong. The most critical lesson I can share with you is to read, research and hunt for information. Nobody on Wall Street is special, no one at any investment firm has anything over you but time, money, and better resources. Overcoming that, and making good investments, means reading and researching. Good luck, take care, and may you find fortune. I do not have an investment in the share price of NRZ as of May 25th, 2021. This is not financial advice, please trade carefully.
N
by DoctorFaustus
This ticks all the boxes!!!Combining Tech and Real estate, eXp World Holdings, Inc. operates as operates as a cloud-based real estate brokerage firm. The company is headquartered in Bellingham, Washington and currently employs 354 full-time employees. The firm's segments include Real Estate Brokerage Services, Mortgage Origination Services, and Corporate and Other. The company operates over the Internet through its Website, exprealty.com and a cloud-based platform to provide its residential real estate brokerage services. Through its Website, buyers can search real-time property listings, and sellers list their properties and gain exposure across the various markets it operates within. The company also provides buyers and sellers access to a network of professional, consumer-centric agents and brokers. With such a low cap, and such high earnings, this seems very very promising. 2020 Revenue Increased 84% to Record $1.8 Billion; Drives Most Profitable Year in Company History With Net Income of More Than $31 Million. Just look at the juicy balance sheet. Analysts also keep the rating at $50+ at a hold or buy. Price is outside far ATR on Keltner channels so we bought in which seems to have bottomed. I may DCA too. Let's go long on this gem. (Disclaimer, not financial advice) NASDAQ:EXPI
NASDAQ:EXPILong
by jackohgorman
Upwards channelAs lockdown eases in the UK this stock is showing signs of recovery. We can observe a nice upwards channel. RSI yet not on bullish territory but the pace of recovery is steady. We could be in levels between 120-160 pence in few months. On the fundametals, the company made a very possitive announcement that this year they managed to collect 85% of the rentals despite of the pandemic situation. Also the have liquidated a lot of not essential assets and they are recycling them using a new strategy. The shareholders eagerly wait for a return of the dividend, which is believed will be anounced in matter of days or weeks.
LSE:NRRLong
by dr3k4l3
MACRO - Housing Double BottomModel Forecast for the Housing & Real Estate Market: Synopsis: Underlying Conditions: Federal Deficit: Debt needs to be paid. Household Debt Payments have bottomed. Household Debt Service Payments as a Percentage of Disposable Personal Income (TDSP): Business Inventories will fall: Housing Starts are falling, and can fall much lower before recovery: Housing Sales have very little business rising and will certainly fall: Supply: The price of lumber is at a top and will certainly fall by EOY: The supply of labor will increase - Employment has downside before recovery: Capacity Utilization has some downside: Demand: As real estate investors who bought the bottom in 2020, who have have enjoyed several 100% unrealized gains decide the real estate bull market is over, they will clean up house and leave retail holding the bag on the now worthless assets. Of course, at this time, banks will be accumulating them at the bottom to prepare for the next bull market! Targets for REIT Campaign: EQR - High-Value Residential: BDN - Suburban Offices - WFH culture is here to stay, and the demand for office-space will greatly decrease: RYN - Timberland Real Estate & Lumber - Double exposure to both lumber and Real Estate: SLG - Manhattan Commercial - I expect financial disruption as well, and the high value real estate there will crumble like a house of cards: Watching: Warehousing - Due to pandemic shipping backlog, warehousing real estate should see a boom, but as 3D printing & AV shipping improve, they will become fantastic short targets, as they become obsolete! GLHF - DPT
AMEX:XLREShort
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
10
Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) BTFDInnovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) is primed to BTFD. I have a $220 target and could see upwards of $250 in the near to mid future. They're my "pick and shovels" play in the Devils lettuce industry. EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) has been consistent and their debt to asset ratio is gnarly af. No need to thank me nerds (except if you lose money, dont blame me either lol) “As far back as I can remember, I really just wanted to get me some money.” -Gucci Mane
NYSE:IIPRLong
by Augustus_Lee7
iStar REIT 25 years of solving inefficiencies We’ve long recognized that the capital markets, corporate credit markets and real estate markets are all just different sides of the same coin, yet they don’t always operate as efficiently as they should. Our business has always been about understanding where the inefficiencies lie and where gaps in the market exist—creating solutions to help fill those gaps. iStar Inc. (NYSE: STAR) today reported results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2020. iStar highlights include: Net income (loss) per diluted common share of ($0.26) and ($0.87) for the three months and twelve months ended December 31, 2020, respectively Adjusted earnings per diluted common share of $0.15 and $0.54 for the three months and twelve months ended December 31, 2020, respectively Unrealized gain on Safehold investment increased by $1.0 billion in 2020 to $1.6 billion total $191 million of legacy asset sales proceeds in 2020 20% net reduction of legacy asset portfolio in 2020 "Despite the meaningful challenges COVID created, iStar performed well in 2020 against the strategy we originally laid out two years ago: scale Safehold and the ground lease ecosystem, continue to enhance the strength and flexibility of our balance sheet, and simplify our business," said Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. "As we look ahead, we are excited about the opportunity to continue to build on this momentum and realize its value for shareholders." NEW YORK, Feb. 19, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- iStar Inc. (NYSE: STAR) announced today that the Company's Board of Directors has declared quarterly dividends on the Company's Common Stock and Preferred Stock for the first quarter of 2021. The dividends are all payable on March 15, 2021 to holders of record on March 1, 2021. 11 cents per share. Stumbled across this joint while research some other stocks. This lowkey might be a gem. I'm not too invested in REIT knowledge, but I will say I like what I saw. Their portfolio looked pretty decent. You never know...Target price $19-$20. Highest it's ever been was $50's and it looks like they are taking a more innovative approach to the industry. I'll need to do more research. What do you think? Like, Follow, Agree, Disagree! *Not investing Advice.
SLong
by Redimere_91
IIPR (Weed REIT)What more needs to be said. This company states that they are the first of its kind am I am blown away by their portfolio. Of course financials are great and within this year they have been active in their growth opportunities! Nice dividend increase from $1.17 to $1.24! Financials are impressive to a degree. I see room for growth. I bought 1 share and will buy dips as I go. The weed industry will up rise again...However, I'm playing it smart because weed is everywhere but who has the space availability and facilities needed for expansion? Hmmm...IIPR does. What do you think? Like, Follow, Agree, Disagree!
NYSE:IIPRLong
by Redimere_91
1
MAC Technical Analysis 🧙The Macerich Company is an S&P 500 company that invests in premium mall assets. The company owns 29 regional malls in its consolidated portfolio and 19 regional malls in its unconsolidated portfolio along with six power centers and six other real estate assets. The company's total portfolio has 50.6 million square feet gross leasable area and averaged $801 sales per square foot for the past 12 months, with the consolidated portfolio averaging $646 sales per square foot and the unconsolidated portfolio averaging $998 sales per square foot. If you understand the idea,🎯 press a thumb up! 👍 Have a question? Don't be shy to ask! 🤓 Interested to study how to analyze charts, follow me!
NYSE:MACLong
by yura_trades
1