Rebound
AUDNZD - dynamic rebound from 1.0390 support On Friday afternoon supply double tested support at 1.0390. It seemed that breaking this level was only a matter of time and actual supply target at 1.0330 would be reached very quickly. On Monday we woke up in completely different moods and morning test of support at 1.0390 ended with a dynamic reflection. On H4 chart demand broke with a single candle resistance area at 1.0440. Current target of bulls are resistance levels at 1.0500 and 1.0570.
At the moment, it is difficult to clearly assess how AUDNZD will behave. Price moves in a clear bearish trend and supply will try to follow it. On the other hand drops that we have observed for recent two weeks have not been corrected until now. In addition AUDNZD is as close as 60 pips to key support at 1.0330. We will know more at the end of today’s session when it will be possible to answer the question whether demand has managed to maintain advantage throughout the session.
Ending session at similar level will strengthen the demand and may lead price to resistance 1.0570. But If supply will be stronger and at the end of the session, a long upper shadow will appear it can only accelerate declines to key support 1.0330.
USDCAD - Opportunity to reverse lossesSince May 5th, on USD/CAD has been taking place almost continuous downward movement. A broader view on daily chart shows that we are dealing with a long-term bullish trend. From mid-January price moves in a upward channel. Currently price is at its lower edge, and last Thursday there was an attempt to initiate a rebound. Technically, there is a chance at least for a short-term recovery.
On H4 graph, breaking correction line and the last high can be a signal for bulls what in practice is crossing level 1.35. Bullish movement would then reach quite a considerable range compared with last declines and this could overtake advantage of demand side.