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QQQ: I might be wrong (Inverted Chart)I have been a staunch bear since about March. Since the lows expected a nice bounce but that we would resume the downtrend at some point. Nothing has convinced me that this market would not do anything besides have another period of pullbacks, until I inverted the QQQ today. From this perspective, I cannot help but see the very real possibility of a double top at the very least. At that point though, there is no reason we couldn't keep going and make new highs. The macro economic conditions are not ideal in the slightest but this might be the kind of bull that is largely absent retail and will say that way until we actually start to top. A bull, minus retail, is what this looks like. You are not having investors capitulate easily at all. Buyers have been positioned large and they plan on staying there for a while. Very hard to say. This is by far the hardest market to judge, that I personally have participated in. I am thinking about taking some long positions in certain companies, maybe even the Qs but I will be doing so cautiously.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Goontata84
1
QQQ ThoughtsJust some thoughts on NASDAQ:QQQ moving into the second half of the year. As you can see on the posted chart: -Gap in the daily chart around 360-361. -Approaching 0.786 retrace from March 2020 low. -Approaching underbelly of trendline from Feb 2020 high through multiple touch points. -RSI entering overbought territory on the weekly timeframe. Currently overbought on the daily timeframe. -Stochastic Oscillator just about maxed out on the weekly timeframe. My opinion: I think there is a small amount of room left on the chart to push higher one last time to potentially fill the specified gap, move the RSI a little higher on the weekly timeframe, and tag the underbelly of the trendline. However, that is no guarantee and since we are so close I'm OK with shorting aggressively via the $NASDAQ:SQQQ. I initiated a 50% position after market close yesterday (26May2023) and I have reserved the other 50% to add if we do in fact move a little higher. This is not recommendation on my part, I'm just sharing my trading plan. I would cut my losses if we closed and confirmed over 371.50, which would be the next local top to take out. Let's see how this plays out and I will provide a follow-up later in the year. Good luck all and happy trading.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by williarm55
3
QQQ: Imminent Tech Smack Down!Tech has been on a tare, proceeded by a rip. QQQ has gone up further than I anticipated but the market is finally showing serious signs of exhaustion. The outrageous valuations and proclamations of a new bull market are sure fire signs of the' end of the road. It has touched the .618 fib level and depending on how you are looking at it, even surpassed it by a bit. Looks awfully similar to the dot com bubble. The Nasdaq fell by almost 50% before retracing over 60%, arriving slightly above the .618 fib and then resumed its downtrend, falling another 80% from its retracement high. The market also rings of the 1973 bear market where only a few stocks were carrying the entire market before a significant downtrend and they never quite recovered in the same way. History points to several scenarios that all shine a light on the unusual market behaviour and what we might expect moving forward. Many are calling for a new bull market and saying that "this time is different." That is one phrase that you want to avoid at all costs when referencing the stock market because it always finds a way of delivering the same results, sometimes taking more time to play out or allowing those that refuse to accept the reality of what is to come to gloat in a the,mporay victory over those more observant and subsequently cautious investors. I think that it will not be much longer before we see a profound shift in the market and all of the indications of economic illness are validated by price action.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Goontata84
2
Apple Potential Selling SoonTaking a look into Apple, we have some indicators that we may see some selling here soon. It has formed a descending channel. Indicators: - MACD is in an average area of a bullish move before a sell off. - RSI slightly surpassed the last high of Aug 2022 but it is still not overbought yet, we simply have room to head down if it does. - MFI (Money Flow Index) seems to have peaked and is slightly sinking. Comments: We're still waiting on Apple earnings which have been pushed to May 5th for some reason. We do see a head and shoulders have formed. If we do see a sell off which would need to start soon in order to confirm the prediction, we should see a bounce in the HKEX:138 - HKEX:142 area about a month or two into selling, before heading back down. You can confirm this by looking blue arrows. The bounce typically happens in the same timeframe and percentage down after the selling has begun. Further more, this has been the longest bounce since the selling started in early 2022. This rally has about exhausted itself, especially in the face of decaying economic data. For giggles, I overlaid the Feds Balance Sheet and amazing coincidence when the sheet explodes up, equities also exploded up. The balance sheet rises ALWAYS precedes the markets going up. Tale tale that when Apple started to sell off Feb 23rd, the balance sheet grew THEN Apple's stock prices started to rally yet again. But, as we can see the balance sheet has begun unwinding. Amazing seeing how markets have been weaker and weaker, ending in the red or flat. I believe this is a tale tale sign of another wave down. There is more talk of banking issues, and now commercial real estate issues. Let's see what transpires by summer. The Fed all but confirmed a recession and blamed it on the banking crisis.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by WorldEconomics
Long SQQQ @ 22.53I am adding onto my previous position. @ 32.50 USD. With no regulation or reform being put in place of the current financial markets, this is one of my go to's for assets to hedge against the next "black swan" event. It's ignorant to say that the markets can maintain this current rally. Our network sees the signs within almost every continents monetary systems, as well as almost all of the highest capped countries of GDP around the world. A crisis is on our doorstep and we aren't even confronting it. I'm hard pressed to look at any traditional stocks right now that don't at LEAST provide dividends. I will keep you updated more frequently for now.
NASDAQ:SQQQLong
by WatsonsView
QQQ Pulls Back But | SPY's Sectors Did Not Get Money Rotation- Yesterday i talked about when QQQ consolidates on the Daily we want to see money rotate into the SPY sectors in XLF XLV XLE or any other sectors - What we got was SPYs sectors joined team bear when QQQ is daily consolidating so its the first convincing bear day for me - note its only one day and QQQ chart is still very healthy, just a daily consolidation but if QQQ continues to pull back a little more and SPY also pulls back SPYs chart is not looking that great. already back into the sideways range
AMEX:SPYShort
by ArcadiaTrading
Stock Market Weekly Outlook | Rising Wedge Volatility coming |- QQQ Rising wedge pattern about to break soon - QQQ bulls still in full control on daily chart daily uptrend intact - QQQ needs to break May 9th pivot low for us to go from up trend to neutral trend - Does XLF XLE sector join team bull when QQQ pulls back or they all pull back together? - Size of the QQQ pull back will be most key for me next week if QQQ can hold above May 9th pivot low and bounce we can potentially head for 330 level.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading
2
AAPL: S&P500 RELATIONSHIP / PIVOT / TECHNICALS IN FAVOR OF BEARSDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have included a macro analysis of AAPL & its congruent relationship with the S&P 500 INDEX. AAPL is to be consider one of the major players when it comes to overall US MARKET PERFORMANCE & is the reason why understanding AAPL's price action momentum is so vital. POINTS: 1. AAPL channel deviation where liquidity usually occurs between SUPPLY & DEMAND = 12.50 POINTS 2. Macro Trend: Downtrend Channel; Micro Trend: Uptrend channel with Bearish Ascending Triangle Formation 3. Macro Trend continues to make lower highs & lower lows after peak from January 2022. TECHNICALS: RSI LEVELS on the DAILY time frame have been squeezing into overbought territory for the past 4 months. MACD LEVEL is in common overbought territory where rejection & downturn is indicative. BULLISH POINT OF CONTROL: 167.50 POINT must be broken to the upside in order to invalidate BEARISH SETUP. BEARISH POINT OF CONTROL: 155.00 POINT must be broken in order to further validate BEARISH SETUP. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com NASDAQ:AAPL
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by DGSTBROKERACC
VIX: VOLATILITY CYCLES / COMPRESSION / DIVERGENCE / PUTOVERCALLDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have included an update on a MACRO analysis of VIX VOLATILITY CYCLES. The creation of a set of new cycles is marked when VIX finds a new floor of support. POINTS: 1. Deviations have been adequately adjusted for VIX with a 7 Point difference between CHANNELS. 2. Price Action is currently resting at NEW FLOOR of 19 & Price Action is consolidating. 3. 5 YEAR TREND LINE IS APPROACHING MONTHLY PRICE ACTION FLOOR. 3. NO RECESSION AFTER 1998 HAS EVER COME TO AN END WITHOUT VIX FIRST SPIKING TO 40 OR 45 AT LEAST. RSI: There is in fact a lot to be said for RSI as it rests roughly below the 50 Point average which would signal that RSI is set to flip into Oversold territory. RSI must reach the 30 Point average in the coming weeks or anything above the 30 Point average & rising could signal a divergence occurring between ascending RSI LEVELS & CONSOLIDATING PRICE ACTION WHICH CAN MAKE FOR SOME VIOLENT VOLATILITY IN THE NEAR FUTURE. MACD: As of now MACD is resting at an average oversold level of -2.0 but is signaling a move to the upside in coming weeks. MAIN POINTS OF CONTROL: 1. RSI DIVERENCE OCCURS AS RSI RISES & PRICE ACTION CONSOLIDATES. 2. MACD FLIPS INTO POSITIVE TERRITORY. 3. A BREAK OF 21 POINTS FOR PRICE ACTION CAN BE INDICATIVE OF FURTHER UPSIDE FOR VIX IN THIS SCENARIO. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:VIX CBOE:VIX
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
$QQQ BULLS Continue but at KEY Resistance, PCE Data tomorrow- SPY QQQ gapped up again but ended up closing within todays trading range, unlike yesterday bulls have a strong follow through after open. - PCE Data tomorrow morning 5:30am PST - QQQ closed around key daily resistance. - End of the quarter and month rebalancing tomorrow will bring lots of volatility - Will XLF / KRE join team bull or QQQ / SMH join team Bear? - i am slightly more bearish at this level but so far theres no red flags for the bulls at all for QQQ SMH SOXX
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading
3
QQQ I Short-term short from resistance zone Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** QQQ Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by BKTradingAcademy
16
(WARNNG) Extreme Bear Volume in $XLF, Shorting next hourly LH- QQQ double topped with Tuesday top, had a 15m bull flag during consolidation with no red flags until mid morning. - XLF increasing bear volume with zero bounce and very notable big money exiting. Fear creeped into the market - VIX up 20% - QQQ went from lead bull to bear when all sectors starting to drop at the same time after XLFs huge drop. dragging SPY down too. - lots of negative news and sentiment regarding banks and how much they dropped SI down over 80% in just two days. - Bears now in total control. - huge drop in XBI & IWM as well. SMH might go from lead bull to lead bear tomorrow looking to short the next hourly or 15m lower high pretty much almost on any bounce if we get a bullish reaction to data tomorrow during PM will be shorting that bounce.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading