QQQ The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 446.21 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 452.09
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 435.52
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ
$RTX Ready for Flat Base Breakout?NYSE:RTX Well Fargo upgraded RTX yesterday and give it a $120 price target. I used this morning’s early pullback to get an early start on this one. It will not be a technical breakout until it moves over 92.81. My plan is to build an oversized position after it breaks out of this flat base. I will be patient but have a stop of no more than 3% loss.
On another note, in the first 20 minutes of trading the volume was already 28% of the daily average.
See notes on the chart for more detail. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
QQQ (Nasdaq etf) - Potential Bearish Momentum - WeeklyQQQ (nasdaq etf) has been uptrending for over a year (2023 to 2024).
However, signs of a potential pullback in the long-term charts are showing with the price and rsi oscillator.
In the long-term, a potential pullback may occur in the price, and the price could fall down to $426, $419, $400, $394 support levels.
Long-term resistance levels are: $460, $470, $480, $500.
QQQ etf volatility and trend can be affected by FOMC Interest Rates, Corporate Earnings, Consumer Sentiment, and Global Event Catalysts.
A major bearish catalyst or a series of bearish events would be needed to reverse the price back down.
Note: Without bearish events, the price of QQQ could continue rallying to new all-time highs.
$PLTR Reversal Confirmation?I am back in $PLTR. I have an extensive post on this one which I will link below. Suffice to say I am bullish went long and manually closed the position as I did not like yesterday's action. I am back with a 1/2 size position. Lets see how it plays out.
$OKTA PEG (Power Earnings Gap) CandidateNASDAQ:OKTA jumped over 22% at the open from earnings reported on February 29th. It had a wide range of trading that day and closed just under the open about midway through the candle. It has been digesting that big move on lower volume for sixteen “trading” days (3 weeks). I went long this yesterday on the break of the downtrend line (blue). It pulled back by the end of the day but has not triggered my stop which is under the low of March 19th (103.61). It is recovering today but it really needs to get up and over yesterday’s high before I would now consider it a breakout.
I do have a one-half size position and if it can get up and over 107.30, I plan to bring it up to a full-sized position. As mentioned above, I do have a stop in place just in case it continues to the downside.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$GTLS PEG (Power Earnings Gap) CandidateNYSE:GTLS is in the energy space as an equipment manufacturer. One that may not come on your radar. The average price target on this is $197.68. USB just gave it a new “BUY” rating and a price target of $170. At the current price that implies a 16% move. At the average price target the implied move would be over 34%.
Now the technical that I trade. This had over an 11% Gap move on earnings. It has been digesting that for fifteen trading days now. I have an alert set just over today’s high of 150.50. Should that trigger, I will look to go long with a stop on a decisive close under the 10 DMA (Bluish) which would be a nice risk reward trade. All TBD.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Chart Industries, Inc. is a leading independent global manufacturer of highly engineered equipment servicing multiple market applications in Energy and Industrial Gas. Our unique product portfolio is used throughout the liquid gas supply chain in the production, storage, distribution and end-use of atmospheric, hydrocarbon, and industrial gases. Chart has domestic operations located across the United States and an international presence in Asia, Australia, Europe and Latin America.
$ARKK - VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern)AMEX:ARKK Mark Minervini made famous the VCP as a set-up. It is also simply a wedging pattern that can break either way. However, where there was a previous uptrend, like in this chart, the direction of the break is usually to the upside. The path of least resistance is a continuation of the previous trend.
ARKK had a move of over 60% from the Oct 30th low to the Dec 27th high. It pulled back about 18% from that high and has been digesting since and is now down less than 8% from that most recent high.
As in life there are no guarantees on this. But here is my plan, I have an alert set on the upper downtrend line. Should that trigger, I will look to go long with a stop either below that day’s low or a close below the 20 EMA (White). All TBD.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NQ_F / QQQ Descending Triangle Into Demand / FOMC Analysis We see NQ forming a descending triangle into a key demand zone of 18165-18075 along with a key support zone of 18100-18060 that's been holding for some time now. With FOMC tomorrow, this will be a key zone, along with the descending pattern.
Below 18060 puts targets below into play.
Break above the descending triangle puts ATH back into pay.
$XBI Pulling Back – Retesting Flat Base Breakout?AMEX:XBI Formed a flat base from early January to late February before breaking out. You can see on this chart it is either a failed break-out (with more downside to go) or it is retesting that breakout area and will soon resume its upward trend. All TBD.
In addition to coming down to the breakout area it looks like it “may” be getting support at the 50 DMA (red). My plan is that if it breaks back above the blue downtrend line, I will go long with a stop just below that days low. Should it drop below the 50 DMA I would reconsider it as a short candidate.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Nasdaq, Semiconductors, Natural Gas, Bitcoin: FOMC reviewDiscussing the sell off in semis today.
Potential reversal in Nat gas
Bitcoin & crypto selloff.
FOMC tomorrow: No rate cut.
Will Powell come out hawkish tomorrow? its looking likely he will based off of the BOJ rate hike. Oil surging doesn't help the dovish case.
Commodities breaking out doesn't help the inflation fight.
QQQ Falling Out of Channel on Quad Witching DayQQQ is down over 1% today and falling out of the channel it's been in since October. It's quad witching today so could not be a coincidence that the market might be changing phases. An obvious spot for support would be the 50 EMA down between $425-$427.
$PLTR Pulling Back to Pivot / Breakout AreaNYSE:PLTR Here is a strong one for your watch list. This is perfectly normal action (so far) for a stock to pull back to its breakout area. It is pulling back on declining volume. All this is textbook action.
I will be looking for the resumption of uptrend before I get involved. That could take a day, a week, or more. Patience will be key. I will update this idea if / when it looks to me to get involved. All TBD.
For those interested, the chart set-up I am using is the LevelUp All-in-One Charting Tool here on TV.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Options ahead of the FOMC decisionAfter the 2023 Price target was reached for QQQ:
Now Powell's likely to take a hawkish stance tomorrow, given the CPI, PPI, and GDP data.
Interest rate cuts probably won't happen before June, in my opinion, potentially causing both indices and the crypto market to decline.
I would consider purchasing the 416usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.55.
My end of the year Price Target for QQQ, the Nasdaq 100 ETF, is $470.
SPY has bullish bias after a day downtrending LONGSPY on the 15 -minute chart is shown to be in a megaphone or broadening wedge pattern since
March 5th. Price is now at the lower support ascending support trend line. The Gaussing
regression line forecast indicator an example of predictive modeling confirms with a prediction
that price will trend up inside the pattern and head toward the upper resistance trendline.
The mass index appropriately has signaled a reversal with a signal line that topped 32 and then
fell below the trigger. I found two long bottoming wicks in the prior two days at nearly the
same bottom level. The line /ray connecting them comes to a value of 512.75 which becomes
my immediate-term target. I will enter a trade of shares along with call options. The call
options are for a next-day expiration striking 513 ( OTM just a little). TEXT BOX correction:
The regression line forecast by Luxalgo's algorithm suggests a reversal and trend up into the ascending resistance.
$DOCN Base on Base Ready to Breakout?I got into this one on Mar 6th when it re-took the 20 EMA (green) where it also found support at the 50 DMA (red). My plan was to bring up to a full-sized position on a breakout over 41.07. However, on the 13th when it did break above that it promptly pulled back. Fast forward to today once it moved back over Friday’s high (which again found support at the 20 EMA) I did make it a full-sized position.
The true breakout is yet to come. It needs to close over 41.07 for that to happen. From the low in November to today this stock is up over 100%. I think it can double again. My plan is to add anytime it bounces back off the 20 EMA. My stop will be on a “decisive” close under the 20 EMA but not more than 5% loss, whichever is less.
This may be one you want to look at. If so, make it your own trade and follow your own rules.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$SCHW Cup with Handle FormationIf you look at this chart of Schwab, you can easily see the cup w/ handle formation. It has broken the blue downtrend line and is taking on good volume this morning. I have started a one-half size position here as the risk reward is exceptionally good. My stop will be below the most recent low which also corresponds with the 20 EMA (green). This could easily move to upper band of resistance around 71.40. All TBD.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$QQQE & $RUT show breadth is not as bad as they're saying$QQQW is the equal weight NASDAQ:NDX and it is at an all time high, forming a cup. The question is, "Will it form the handle & breakout"?
TVC:RUT is in an uptrend but facing trouble at resistance.
This shows that breadth is not as bad as they paint it to be. However, it could be a lot better.
AMEX:IWM
$Z Regains 50 DMANASDAQ:Z has had a nice move off its recent bottom of around 76%. Sorry to say I missed it. However, it has now been consolidating those gains for about 80 days now. It recently dipped below the 50 DMA (Red) and has now recovered for the last three trading days. I like that the 5 DMA (White) is now above all the Moving Averages. I have started an early entry here in anticipation of a breakout above the blue horizontal line above. All TBD. I will place my stop on a close below the 50 DMA which makes for a good risk reward trade.
See Notes on chart for more details. The chart I am using is LevelUp All-In-One available here on TV. It has a lot of information at a glance all built in.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
🔜 S&P 500. A key point between Bull Extension and Bear ReversalThe S&P 500 Index ( SPY) Wednesday closed down -0.22%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index
DIA closed up +0.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ) closed down -0.83%.
Stocks Wednesday saw downward pressure from the +4.1 bp rise in the 10-year T-note and a sell-off of more than -2% in key chip stocks.
However, the Dow Jones Industrials saw support from blue chips such as 3M
(MMM), with a gain of +5.42%, and gains of more than +1% in Travelers (TRV), Chevron (CVX), Caterpillar (CAT), Home Depot (HD), NIKE (NKE), Goldman Sachs (GS), and Coca Cola (KO).
Stocks on Wednesday gave back some ground after Tuesday’s +1.5% rally in the Nasdaq 100 index that was sparked by optimism that the U.S. Feb CPI report was not as bad as feared and the Feb core CPI dipped to a 2-3/4 year low of +3.8% y/y. However, the Feb headline CPI of +3.2% y/y was slightly above expectations of +3.1% and was 0.2 points above last June’s 2-3/4 year low of +3.0%. Both CPI measures remain well above the Fed’s +2% inflation target.
Fed Breadcrumbs
Fed Chair Powell said last week that the Fed is “not far” from having enough confidence to cut interest rates. However, the markets are discounting the odds at virtually zero that the Fed will cut interest rates at its meeting next week since inflation is still too far above target. The odds for a rate cut are much better for the June meeting.
The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 1% for next week’s March 19-20 FOMC meeting, 13% for the following meeting on April 30-May 1, and 73% for the meeting after that on June 11-12.
Economic Reports
In some positive news for the housing market, the MBA mortgage applications index rose +7.1% in the week ended March 8, after rising +9.7% in the previous week. Mortgage purchases rose +4.7%, and refinancings rose +12.2%. The MBA’s average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the latest week fell to a 5-week low of 6.84% from 7.02% in the previous week. The mortgage rate is currently only 13 bp above the 10-month low of 6.71% posted in December.
On the U.S. economic report front, the markets are awaiting Thursday’s U.S. retail sales and PPI reports. Feb retail sales are expected to show an increase of +0.8% m/m, reversing Jan’s -0.8% decline. Feb retail sales ex-autos are expected to rise +0.5% m/m, reversing most of Jan’s -0.6% decline. The Feb final-demand PPI is expected to rise to +1.2% y/y from Jan’s +0.9%, but the core PPI is expected to ease to +1.9% y/y from Jan’s +2.0%.
Interest Rates
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM24) Wednesday closed down -7.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose by +4.1 bp to 4.192%, up from last Friday’s 5-week low of 4.034%. T-note prices saw weakness on (1) carry-over bearishness from Tuesday’s stronger-than-expected CPI report, and (2) Wednesday’s slight rise in the 10-year breakeven inflation expectations rate to 2.31%.
T-note prices also saw supply overhang with the Treasury in the market again Wednesday, along with strong corporate bond issuance. The Treasury Wednesday sold $25 billion of 30-year T-bonds, after selling $54 billion of 3-year T-notes on Monday and $42 billion of 10-year T-notes on Tuesday.
Inflation Fears
Oil prices rose about 3% to a four-month high on Thursday (March 14) on a surprise withdrawal in US crude inventories reported on Wednesday (March 13), a bigger-than-expected drop in US petrol stocks and potential supply disruptions after recent terrorist Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries.
Putin says Ukraine trying to disrupt Russia's presidential election.
Brent crude oil futures rose to nearly $85 per barrel - the highest mark since November, 2023. In technical terms, crude oil futures are on positive path in 2024 with near 9% YTD return, attempt to hold firmly above weekly SMA(52), while the epic triangle' breakthrough can be nearby.
High Risk - High Reward
S&P500 index (SPY) is on positive path in 2024 with +9.28% YTD return in this time. This is a 3rd highest YTD return by this time of year, next to 2012 and 2019 returns by mid-March.
Technical graph for S&P500 indicates that we are near upper line of upside channel, thanks to recent Santa rally and slight signs of US Govt Treasuries buyout in Q4 2023.
Following this path, there can a possible Bull extension, as Reversed Head-and-Shoulders Price Pattern can be in further development.
On the other hand, inflation fears can extend also, just to erase all the Bullish gain in 2024.
Please God, Just One More Bubble. What Crying 2000's Are CallingChastened by the tech bust, venture capitalists and entrepreneurs have spent the last couple of years taking startups back to basics. No longer could they expect to turn an idea scribbled on a napkin into an instant company and cash out in a couple of years. To get funding and go public, companies had to have solid technology and business models, experienced management, reasonable valuations -- and, above all, profits. This reassuring regime made it easy to laugh at a bumper sticker sighted around the Valley last year: "Please God, just one more bubble."
Now, it looks less like a joke than a warning. Too many tech investors, from Wall Street to Sand Hill Road, seem to be ignoring why they crashed after the 1990s hit a dead end. Venture capitalists are pouring money into look-alike startups in nascent sectors such as social networking. Even after a recent swoon, stocks of some dot-coms, such as eBay Inc. (EBAY ), look pricey. And not only are more money-losing companies going public, initial valuations can be distinctly frothy. Google Inc.'s imminent offering, for instance, could value the search engine phenom at $36 billion. Says Bill Burnham, managing partner of the VC firm Softbank Capital Partners: "Some people expect the good old days will be back and they can party like it's 1999."
Indeed, the rise in shaky initial public offerings may be the most worrisome indicator that not all investors have learned their lesson. Some 44% of the companies going public so far this year were losing money, compared with only 30% last year, according to the investment bank Renaissance Capital. "They've lowered the bar," says Renaissance analyst Paul Bard. Why? "The VCs are pushing their companies to go out," says Jef Graham, CEO of networking startup Peribit Networks Inc., which has held off going public for now. "Bankers are like sharks smelling blood in the water."
That was a part of Bloomberg publication , dated on August 25, 2004.
It's gone 20 years or so..
- Something changed?
- Nope. Nasdaq-100 is near the same 'red lines'.
BITCOIN risk is 11 out of 10 being long stillBitcoin has now reached 4.235 and 3.618 at 72 296 we have seen a peak into 73500 even and into the spirals peak due 3/11 plus or minus 2.5 days for the markets in spx qqq bitcoin the flow of money models say move from friendly and bullish to now SHORT ALL ASSETS look for major decline now into 4/2 to 10 I am now 100 % SHORT AS OF THIS POST