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Citigroup (C) A Great Candidate For A Downside SpreadAlthough the banking sector has largely had a rally since the Presidential election, regulatory headwinds and near-term fundamental outlook and projections have seemed bleak for Citigroup’s growth potential.  Long-term, the stock is a great purchase at a somewhat discounted price to its recent trading, but for our swing strategy, the latest break to the downside into a possible downtrend or consolidation is an opportunity for us. If you’re looking for a 1:1 risk/reward trade with a skewed probability curve starting at roughly 62% chance of success to earn 100% ROI, then Citigroup is a gem in this turbulent market.  Actually, we found this trade while scanning due to possibly having to close for a loss on our recent Alphabet (GOOG) trade due to management’s screw-up on an epic scale regarding extremist videos and advertisements on Youtube . Anyways, here’s the trade we see: Current stock price $58.46 Buy X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58.50 Strike Sell X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58 Strike Max Return on Risk/ROI: ~100% Fun times.
NYSE:CShort
by EdgeAnalytics
Sell puts on volatility spikeThe precious metals sector was down hard yesterday on anticipation of further equity market upside post Trump Congress speech today. In this context, SLW was down most on twice average volume. While this would normally make us stay away from the shares, it offers excellent yields on the volatility spike, and a potential opportunity to build a position on the precious metal should the position be assigned: - Indicative prices as per last close - SELL SLW 16JUN17 $18 PUT = 1.02 (5.19% over 108 days, or 17.53% annualized) SELL SLW 16JUN17 $17 PUT = 0.55 (2.80% over 108 days, or 9.45% annualized)
S
by HAL9000
1
TUP - hedge your longs with Feb 55 putsOn January 13th and 17th, Smart money built up almost 5,000 contracts of new open interest in Tupperware Brands Feb 55 puts. Using Friday Jan 13th's cost of $2.40, break even stands at $52.60 -- basically at the recent support confirmed during the last two weeks of December. These Feb 55 puts include earnings and will profit should earnings disappoint or if recent bullish technicals fail to confirm and the stock price resumes it's downtrend from its Oct 2016 highs. With the stock price recently breaking out of a downtrend and recapturing the 50 day moving average, I am bullish as long as price stays above the 50dma, but watching for a Failed Breakout Reversal to join the Feb 55 puts.
TLong
by Eli
Long Term short on USDCADA clear reversal happened the end of 2015 with the dollar, bringing to an end the long term up trend. After a move up this high (2013 .99 - 2016 above 1.45 a natural retracement or consolidating is expected. I see both as an opportunity to take a long term (2 year) position in this buy buying puts on FXC two years out. Technically on the monthly chart there is a clear trend line break (down) and a natural move to the bottom of the consolidation range to test the swing lows at 1.25 +/- is the clear initial target also getting us closer to those fibonacci retracement lines, though 1.20 would be a full 50% retracement. This would also put us below a 30 month moving average and that would change the overall direction to firmly down.
by ChrisD_Macro
2
COF - Double top formation Short from $87.93 to $76.23COF forming a massive double top formation. It touched the double top resistance & seems rolling over to the down side. Overall looks a decent shorting opportunity. Trade Criteria Entry Target Criteria- Break of $87.93 or rally to $91.55 Exit Target Criteria- $76.23 Stop Loss Criteria- $92.13 Option: $90 March/Apr-17 Puts You can check detailed analysis on COF in the trading room/ Executive summary link here- www.youtube.com Time Span- 12:50" Trade Status: Pending
NYSE:COFShort
by AcornWealthCorp
MDLZ - Breakdown trade from $40.37 to $32 area MDLZ seems forming a declining neck head & shoulder formation. It is also running within a channel formation. Technically it looks weak & it had recent insider selling. We think it will decline to 32 area shortly. Trade Criteria Entry Target Criteria- break of $40.37 Exit Target Criteria- Target 1- $36.43; Target 2- $32.23 Stop Loss Criteria- $42.23 Indicator Notes- Negative Twiggs Moneyflow Option- $42 Feb-17 Puts You can check our detailed analysis on MDLZ in the trading room/ Executive summary link here- www.youtube.com Time Span- 3:00" Trade Status: Pending
NASDAQ:MDLZShort
by AcornWealthCorp
NVRO- Upward-channel breakdown, short from $74.17 to $50NVRO running within a long term upward channel type of formation. If it break it will be very substantial. In the short term it formed a H&S formation & broke down to its target price. It also has insider selling. Now A break below Wednesdays low would offer confirmation or second entry criteria. Target 50.00 Would look at February $85 Puts and consider a Stop of 86.33 You can check our detailed analysis on NVRO in the trading room/ Executive summary link here- www.youtube.com Time Span- 1:20" Trade Status: Pending
NYSE:NVROShort
by AcornWealthCorp
Take advantage of volatility spike: Sell puts.FUNDAMENTALLY COMPELLING BUY rated by the consensus +47% average target upside Morningstar rating * * * * TECHNICALLY: COULD BE REBOUNDING SOON? GG is down 35% since the intermediate top above $20 reached in early July This is 2.5X more than the consolidation in Gold (-13.74% since July) Such negative performance has brought a spike in volatility The stock has also just completed a perfect rounding top It has also been forming a consolidation base at 12.65 Too early to buy outright, as the direction in Gold needs confirmation However... ...OPTIONS STRATEGY TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF VOLATILITY: SELL (SHORT-DATED) OTM PUTS FOR AGGRESSIVE TRADERS Sell 16Dec16 $13 put at $0.32/share (indicative) for a yield of 2.38% (54.32% annualized) FOR MORE RISK AVERSE INVESTORS Sell 21Apr17 $12 put at $0.79/share (indicative) for a yield of 5.88% (15.11% annualized)
G
by HAL9000
NTES - Upward channel breakdown, short from $228.93 to $200.33NTES breaking down from a macro frame upward channel. It also looks like a Inverse Bump & run formation. Moneyflow was diverging all the way to the upside & now broken to the down side. We think it will decline further & our first target area is $200 On the option side we would consider $230 March Puts You can check our detailed analysis on NTES in the trading room/ Executive summary link here- www.youtube.com Time Span: 8:35" Trade Status: Pending
NASDAQ:NTESShort
by AcornWealthCorp
Selling Puts on AKS: Low Risk Very High RewardAKS Published good earnings 2 days ago The stock made an intermediate high at $5.75 on this occasion Today the company is announcing a stock issuance at $4.90 The stock price is down some 8% in adjustment to this news Opportunity to SELL NOV 18 '16 $4.50 PUTS at c. $0.14/share If exercised, the reward/risk will be a very compelling 2.8x Adjusted for the risk premium, this would be more than 5x If not exercised, pocket a 2.76% premium ($0.14/$5.07) in 3 weeks (+48% annualized)
A
by HAL9000
Note quite yet, KC longCoffee nearing the orange support line around 122 (2nd month continuation, about 119-120 front month ). Interesting fact about this correction lower from 134 to 122 is that this is the first time in a couple years that we actually have an up-sloping support line (orange line). If the orange support holds this could mark a longer term trend reversal. On the downside further targets remain the lower Bbands as well as the previous lows around 113. IMHO selling put spreads out in Sep16 might be a good risk reward once we reach the orange line (U16 110/100 p spread). The U provides some decent premium over the other contracts as this is the frost scare month.
K
by mjhillpp
Stay Long MPCIf you went bullish on calls per my previous post, you are enjoying a nice pop today. My time horizon is longer so I am holding until $38.75 (the next fib level). The MA just crossed and I want that to marinate for a few sessions. You should be just playing with house money now if you bought the day or day after I posted. This is technicals-only trade devoid of any fundamentals if that had to be said for this website! The narrative is refiners have been oversold for the past couple weeks. The market has realized that now. I'm not paying attention to anything in action in CL or any news about Nigeria. That is all noise to me. The only thing I'm paying attention to is that MA cross and the two fib lines that define my stop/sell positions.
NYSE:MPCLong
by nodiggity