Weekly Quote | 7 Rules of a Consistent WinnerHello trader, here's a quote from the great book "Trading in the Zone". Hope you'll find some inspiration or maybe even practical advice here.
I'm a consistent winner because:
1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I predefine the risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept risk ($ risk, risk of not being right, not being perfect, being wrong, losing money, missing out, and leaving money on the table). If not - I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me (take partials).
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors (emotional pain or euphoria).
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and, therefore, I never violate them.
Best Regards,
Dima
Psychology
📌Prospect theory; what is it?
Humans are not psychologically good traders by nature !
Have you ever wondered, why trading with real money is overwhelming for you?!
The reason should be sought in the psychological aspect of the case. If you lose amount money in the market, you must gain several times ,so the feeling of happiness overcomes the pain of your initial loss!
although all traders, even successful traders, have tasted loss and it is an inevitable part of the trading journey !But the successful traders have learned how to control the psychologically of it and not be limited by the feelings of a loss!
Prospect theory : also called loss-aversion theory is a theory of behavioral economics and behavioral finance that was developed by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in 1979. .Daniel Kahneman the author of ' Thinking, Fast and Slow ' book is a Nobel Laureate in Economics who is a psychologist by training. He won the prize mostly for his work in decision making, specifically Prospect Theory. This book distills a lifetime of work on the engine of human thinking, highlighting our cognitive biases and showing both the brilliance and limitations of the human mind. This summary attempts to capture some of the more interesting findings.
Based on results from controlled studies ,he describes how individuals assess their loss and gain perspectives in an asymmetric manner (see loss aversion). For example, for some individuals, the pain from losing $1,000 could only be compensated by the pleasure of earning $2,000 or even more. Thus, contrary to the expected utility theory (which models the decision that perfectly rational agents would make), prospect theory aims to describe the actual behavior of people.
In the original formulation of the theory, the term prospect referred to the predictable results of a lottery. However, prospect theory can also be applied to the prediction of other forms of behaviors and decisions.
Prospect theory: stems from Loss aversion, where the observation is that agents asymmetrically feel losses greater than that of an equivalent gain. It centralises around the idea that people conclude their utility from "gains" and "losses" relative to a certain reference point. This "reference point" is different for each person and relative to their individual situation. Thus, rather than making decisions like a rational agent (i.e using expected utility theory and choosing the maximum value), decisions are made in relativity not in absolutes.
Consider two scenarios;
100% chance to gain $450 or 50% chance to gain $1000
100% chance to lose $500 or 50% chance to lose $1100
Prospect theory suggests that;
When faced with a risky choice leading to gains agents are risk averse, preferring the certain outcome with a lower expected utility (concave value function).
Agents will choose the certain $450 even though the expected utility of the risky gain is higher
When faced with a risky choice leading to losses agents are risk seeking, preferring the outcome that has a lower expected utility but the potential to avoid losses (convex value function).
Agents will choose the 50% chance to lose $1100 even though the expected utility is lower, due to the chance that they lose nothing at all
These two examples are thus in contradiction with the expected utility theory, which only considers choices with the maximum utility. Also, the concavity for gains and convexity for losses implies diminishing marginal utility with increasing gains/losses. In other words, someone who has more money has a lower desire for a fixed amount of gain (and lower aversion to a fixed amount of loss) than someone who has less money.
source: wikipedia
Well, with these concepts , we conclude that Losses loom larger than gains!
the Psychological value of a loss equal or even less than previous profit, can
really affect our mindset , and feeling for trade, actually trading bots are
better than us in this aspect, or better to say ;humans should have a proper
trading system , also should cultivate our discipline and diligence to be a good
trader(psychologically ) !
this article is For informational purposes only!
Secret of trading mentality Hello traders 👋
Trading Mentality
First of all, ask yourself this question. ❓
How did trading impact your life ❓
It is important to remember trading could help you reach financial freedom or could easily destroy your life. Everyone knows 90% of the time people lose their money while trading. But it doesn't stop them from trading. Once you start trading it's hard to give that up. Therefore, for anyone who is sure about starting their trading journey. Please pay attention to the following friendly advices.
What to keep in mind when you trade ❓
Technical analysis and indicators are tool to help you do presumptions about trade, not a gaurantee that you will have successfull trades. For example, it is possible that you will have 9 out of 10 successfull trades and lose everything on the 10th trade. So what I'm trying to say is, instead of trying too hard to do presumptions. It is also important to prepare your trading mentality.
What is trading mentality ❓
Anyone who trades studied more than enough about stop lose, risk management and technical analysis. Even though traders studied and uses all of the above, they still lose they money. Traders shouldn't be paying more than necessary attention to these.
When traders start making profit, they start to release dopamine chemical in their brain. This chemical makes you feel good about your confidience, mentality and makes you forget about your fear of losing. For instance, when you fund your account with $500 and you want to make that incease to $10,000. You will start to think irrationally, make wrong decisions and lose.
When you start losing, it negatively impact you financially. You can lose one month worth of salary clicking one button. More you lose more you become stressed and desperate to trade not to feel defeated. When start trading, your brian starts release dopamine again. You body feel more relaxed and feel less negative thoughts.You brain fill with happy thoughts. You will oversee your studies which you spent so much time on and lose money again. If it keeps go on, your life will go down rather than up.
How to prepare for all this?
Of course controlling your mentality.
Next lesson will be on how to control your mentality.
Trader, Doctor B.Yertunts
BTCUSDT - InformativeHello, today I decided to make just an informational post for you.
If you want to become a successful trader in the market one day, you must first accept the fact that the price of any instrument can make any movement, throughout my career as a trader, I have met different people and the ones that never cease to amaze me are those who define one direction and explicitly stands behind it. Such people can even insult you that you are a fool if you think that the market will go in the opposite direction of their analysis.
To start being consistently profitable in the markets you have to be willing to accept the fact that you can be wrong. As I remember my beginnings, I was no different. If my price hit SL, I started to blame those who decided to go against me, that it makes no sense to sell there or, on the contrary, buy. Fortunately, a very long time has passed since then and now I look at the market with the possibility to focus on both directions and I try to trade the one that has a higher probability for me. Of course, the fact that it has a higher probability still does not guarantee that the price will go in that direction!
That's why today when I look at BTC, for example, I determine the potential reversal zones where it can occur and then I focus on whether it will give me an opportunity or not. I am not focused on only one direction, but on several at once. In this way, the market can never "surprise" me again. This, in my opinion, is the rarest thing that can turn a failed trader into a successful one. Once you are mentally aligned with what is happening in the market, you are better able to focus and aim in the right direction, and if your Money Management can still insulate you against a possible market turn, so much the better.
Good luck and put your ego aside, if you can do that, you can be honest with yourself.
Finding your optimal performance 🏃♂️Most traders spend a good bit of time looking at charts.
Well here is a chart we traders should all take a look at.
The chart shown is the Yerkes-Dodson Law.
The Yerkes-Dodson law is a proposition that people perform best at intermediate levels of arousal, and that performance is lower at high or low levels of arousal.
The theory behind this is visually represented by the graphic in this idea.
No arousal levels or a bored/laidback approach to life will mean no stress but no real performance in what you are trying to achieve or do.
However when arousal and stress gets too high by pushing to hard, performance starts to decrease.
It's about finding the right balance to achieve an optimal performance.
A certain level of stress about what you are trying to achieve motivates you to study, learn or train in order to do your best.
A sportsperson has to get bumped up before an event as well as train hard, But getting to worked up and training to hard could cause a decrease in performance when it comes to the event.
Pushing not hard enough to pass an exam will lead to a fail as you haven't studied or don't care, But also pushing to hard could lead to a fail as you've let stress and anxiety take over forgetting everything you studied.
Moderate levels of arousal is best for overall performance.
This theory can be applied to your trading.
Take a non interested approach or bored approach and you performance in this area will be affected. Less potential profits etc.
Get to focused on your trading or trade to hard could lead to poor performance along with a load of stress in your life.
You as an individual will have to self reflect and determine where you fit on the curve in the idea graphic.
If you fell more success, achievement and happiness can be had, by all means crack on and go for it!
However, if you are getting to a point where you feel you might have reached your limit, it could well be time to dial it back a bit.
Don’t push to hard for it that you go down the opposite side of the curve.
This theory can be applied to every aspect in your life by using it to balance all aspects of your life will also help your trading as well as work, relationships and everything else we all go through day to day.
Thanks for taking time to read this.
Darren 🙌
'Trading Psychology: 'The 3 Levels of your Game'Hello Traders,
As we know trading is one of the most challenging professions in the world and not only do you have to do your research and own due diligence on a technical aspect, you must ensure your mind/emotions are on point as it is the most common reason traders lose money in this industry.
I wanted to share a bit of information from a mental and emotional standpoint about breaking down the 3 levels of your Psychology Game. . No matter how skilled one trader is, everyone has an area that could improve and everyone will make mistakes. The 3 main mistakes we as traders make are:
To summarize this chart, the differences between 'B' and 'C' game is that in the 'B' game you have the impulse or thought to make a 'C' game mistake, like closing a trade too early or forcing a trade. Instead you retain the presence of mind and emotional control to avoid it. In your 'C' Game, your emotions are too strong and you cannot stop yourself from forcing trades or cutting profits short. While in the 'A' game, the impulse or thought doesn't happen, or its too small you barely notice.
Your goal to as a trader is to eliminate and correct your performance errors that cause your 'C' game. You cannot by escape how much of the gravitational force 'C' game has by focusing on improving just your trading skills and knowledge. You will continue to make the same errors (possibly different ones, but errors are errors) which will create a level of excess negative emotion in your mind.
Creating and plan of emotions to examine & review on a daily basis will help you correct your failures and fill you with a different type of emotions, happy ones. By writing down your thoughts of what is going on before, after and during, you start breaking down the backend of your trading and your decision-making becomes much easier and more confident. Creating a plan of your emotions could come with a variety of things, some of the most common ones to watch out for are:
-Trigger (eg. Swing trading forex)
-Thoughts (eg. I can't believe I got stopped out, it has to go up!)
-Emotions (eg. I want revenge on any trade that I lost which I know I should have won!)
-Behaviors (eg. Overly focused on one position)
-Actions (eg. Constantly looking at P/L)
-Changes to your decision-making (eg. I need to get my money back, I need to trade more)
-Changes to your perception of the market opportunities or running positions (eg. Your going off prediction rather then reaction)
-Trading Mistakes (eg. I'm taking the same trade over and over, until its clear I'm getting no where)
Journaling down these emotions and also reviewing them on a day to day, trade to trade, basis, will help your trading game improve and make you become much more successful.
I hope this has given a brief insight on how trading psychology plays a huge role in our careers, please leave a comment and share what level of game you are!
If you felt this has shared some good information, please hit the like button and follow me for more of these!
Thanks
Trade Safe!
Think like a PRO and trade at ANY markets🔥Hi friends! Do you want to know what zones I marked on the chart? Put 🚀 and read to the end.
In this educational idea I will explain a few traders secrets that will help you stay profitable in any market for the long term. Take Bitcoin as an example and you'll be surprised how often the same mistake is repeated by beginners and understand how professional traders take advantage of it.
📊 But first, let's find out why the psychology of the crowd drives the market
Fortunately for professional traders, human psychology has not changed in centuries. Bubbles in financial markets now appear just as they did before the Great Depression🔻in the early 20th century, when stocks rose by hundreds of percent in a month, and just as they did during the Tulip Fever🌷in the 17th century, when the price of tulips really soared to the moon due to the huge demand for the flower.
🚩 This shows the similarity in the thoughts of people in the 17th, 20th, 21st centuries. It is these faults in human psychology that allow the patterns in trading to work and professional traders to be profitable over the long term. Just don't tell anyone about it!)
📊 Why do people tend to panic during a fall and get greedy during a rise? The fact is that our brain tends to paint wishful thinking in our imagination. When a cryptocurrency is rising, the imagination thinks that the price will rise forever, and you get excited just thinking about the possible earning. And the happiness hormones just keep surging.
The opposite is the situation with the fall. When markets fall, our brain tries to protect us from more losses and forces us to sell cryptocurrency.
📊 What help the big players to control the psychology of the crowd? Of course, it's the media. Remember when news of the US recession was at its peak and it seemed like a crisis was imminent. Just at the bottom of the market, when Bitcoin fell to $17k and the SnP500 to $361.
I may surprise you, but in 2018, 2020 people had identical thoughts and all thought Bitcoin would fall to $1000. The crypto market can fall lower to 10-12k of course, but just interesting to know did any of my subscribers buy cryptocurrency back then or at 17-19k❓Write in the comments./b]
📊 What are the areas on the chart? I marked 2 areas:
🔥The 1st area (white) is the areawhere the majority of traders, especially newbies, want to buy cryptocurrency. I call this " Bitcoin will rise to 1 million" zone.
🔥The 2nd area (green) is the area where most traders sell the cryptocurrency they bought at a higher price. Most importantly, it is where most traders believe that the fall will continue even lower and do not buy, expecting a fall. I call this "Bitcoin will fall to zero" zone.
✅How can you use the psychology of the crowd to your advantage? I can tell you from my own example that a clear strategy and working with indicators helps me. For example DOM and Footprint, where I can see huge whale orders and open a trade in the same direction as a big player. A large order is a clear signal✅, not a psychological speculation because of the news.
A few days ago I showed in one of my ideas how Bitcoin rebounded from a large whale order. Bitcoin then grow by 4-5% in just a few hours.
I also use trading systems such as Greenwich or Pump Tracker to identify Bitcoin and altcoins bottoms and ATH. You can see ideas about them on TradingView and their live results✅ It may surprise you!
🏁Summary. This knowledges are usefull for any market: crypto, stocks, ForEx, bonds etc. Human psychology and thinking are the same, but each market has its own specifics. Perhaps I will talk about this in the next educational ideas.
Friends, was the idea useful to you? Have you noticed such psychological zones? Do you agree with this idea or do you think Bitcoin will fall below $17k? Write in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Against Our Primitive Nature In Trading 🐵
“I think investment psychology is by far the most important element, followed by risk control, with the least important consideration being the question of where you buy and sell.”
~Tom Basso, Market Wizard
A strong psychological foundation is the key to successful investing. The human mind is a powerful, complex tool that quickly turns into a double-edged sword to those untrained in its control.
It’s like driving a Formula-1 race car. A skilled driver can push his racer to its limits, extracting every last bit of performance. A novice driver on the other hand is better off in a mini-van. Put him behind the wheel of an F-1 and he’ll end up crashing straight into a wall.
Psychology, or emotional strength, is the basis on which high-performance skills are built. It doesn’t matter whether it’s top performing traders, all-star athletes, or extreme back-country skiers. When it comes to risky, high-pressure situations, the mind either snaps into a flow state or crashes and burns.
Decision quality in these high-stress situations requires a person to be emotionally sound. And the only way to develop this emotional toughness is through consistent self-reflection. The goal is to intimately understand both your strengths and weaknesses.
It’s been said that investing is the best way for a person to truly understand himself. The markets will quickly unveil every character flaw, insecurity, and weakness that lies inside. This is the nature of the market and it’s why emotions tend to run wild within it. Fear, greed, hope, self-doubt…..it takes psychological preparation to manage this barrage. The failure to do so leads to disaster.
To deal with these emotions, it helps to understand how the mind originally developed. Humans evolved over millions of years, spending a majority of their time roaming the planet as tribal hunters and gatherers. The advent of cities with large populations is relatively new considering that the Agricultural Revolution was only 10,000 years ago — a small tick of time in the grand scheme of human existence.
The fact that our brains were primarily developed within the harsh tribal lifestyle has many implications on our psychological makeup. It also explains why our pre-wired instincts naturally make us horrible traders.
So then what’s the deal with emotions? Are they an inherent weakness to humans?
NOPE!!!
In fact, emotions are very useful in certain situations.
Think back to the plains life:
A tribal man is walking back from a hunt when he’s suddenly confronted by a mountain lion. As the lion comes into view, his brain’s amygdala triggers a fight-or-flight response. The man is instantly hit with various emotions like fear, aggression, anxiety, etc. At the same time, physiological changes take place in his body. Hormones like adrenaline, testosterone, and cortisol are let loose to prep the man to either fight or run.
The man’s emotional/physiological response not only makes him stronger and more capable to survive this encounter, but it also enables him to make a decision in the blink of an eye. There’s no time to sit and ponder the best course of action in a life-or-death situation. Speed is key and emotions are instrumental in fueling rapid decision making.
Okay, so emotions are great when it comes to dealing with mountain lions… but what about in present day market situations?
Consider this:
A man’s entire life savings is invested in SPY. All of a sudden, the market plummets 5%. And then another 6% the next day. The man is faced with both extreme volatility and huge losses. His family’s financial security is on the line. If he loses his savings, he can’t send little Timmy off to college. And if Timmy doesn’t go to college, he’ll definitely end up flipping burgers for the next 30 years at the fast food joint down the street. It’s a life-or-death situation. A decision needs to be made quickly. *Queue the mountain lion emotional/psychological response.*
Rampant emotions are no good here. Rapid, haphazard decision making doesn’t help either. The man’s love for Timmy will only lead him to make irrational choices that’ll destroy his savings in the long run.
In scenarios like this, the fight-or-flight response works against you. This is where cool-headed, rational decisions prevail. A trader needs to transfer his decision making from his emotional Amygdala to his rational prefrontal cortex. Doing so will help him overcome his immediate emotional and physiological responses in order to make a more sound decision for his savings.
In addition to controlling these emotions, we also have to contend with our strong evolutionary desire to “fit in”.
Think back to our plains-roaming ancestors again. They used to move in small packs that would provide each other with protection and support. All basic needs like food and shelter were met through the group.
This reality made it vital that an individual be accepted by his group. If he wasn’t well-liked, he’d be ostracized and forced to leave, which was the equivalent of a death sentence in those days. A tribeless person would have a difficult time surviving alone and exposed in the wild.
The conformists of the group were the ones who survived the longest. They were also the ones who reproduced the most, passing on their genetic code. The “fitting in” mentality became a dominant survival trait that grew stronger as it passed from generation to generation over millions of years. This is the reason we’re all born with the natural need to be accepted by others. Doing something that goes against the tide, especially something that could cause us to be rejected from our group, goes completely against our nature.
This mentality may have made sense in the past, but it doesn’t make sense today… especially in markets.
Does It Pay To Always Go With The Crowd Or Does It Pay To Think For Yourself?
The answer is obvious — it pays to think for yourself.
And many times independent thinking will lead you to do the exact opposite of the crowd.
As Warren Buffet once said regarding Berkshire Hathaway’s success —
“We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.”
Take March 2009 for example. Fear was running rampant and no one wanted to invest post-crisis. But this was the time when valuations were ripe for the picking. The market was getting ready to turn around.
Going against the crowd and investing big during this period — being greedy when others were fearful — would have made you a fortune.
This is why it’s so important to avoid falling victim to groupthink. An investor needs to make his own decisions based on his own convictions.
But of course this isn’t easy.
Thinking For Yourself Means Violating Your Biological Need To Be Accepted By Others. It Automatically Feels Unsafe And Uncomfortable . But The Ability To Manage This Negative Emotional Reaction That Comes With Independent Thinking Is The Key To Long-term Success .
AVOIDING COGNITIVE BIASES IN TRADING.
On top of rampant emotions and a dire need to “fit in” , our biological evolution also had another side-effect. It made us lazy.
Back in the day we were faced with an endless cycle of feast and famine. We’d have short periods of feeding followed by long periods of minimal sustenance living. So naturally we evolved to conserve our energy as much as possible.
If given two options we’re conditioned to choose the one that involves the least amount of effort. This applies not only to physical activities, but to mental functions as well. After all, the brain does account for up to 20% of the body’s total energy usage (more than any other organ). We’ll always go for the quick and easy solution over the tough one that requires more thinking. This is true even if the easy option ends up being wrong…
To help facilitate this low-effort decision making we’ve developed Heuristics . Heuristics are simple, efficient rules we use to quickly make decisions and form judgments. They’re mental shortcuts that slice through complexity.
Yet even though these Heuristics tend to work well most of the time, they can also lead to decisions devoid of rationality and logic. The resulting errors are what we call cognitive biases. Understanding these biases is important to help avoid them when making our trading decisions.
Recency Bias
Recency bias is believing what occurred in the recent past will continue to occur in the future.
Say you flip a coin and get heads five times in a row. Naturally you’ll begin to think the sixth flip will also be heads. Heads is the trend.
But in reality, you’d be wrong. This is called recency bias . You’re letting recent outcomes incorrectly influence your belief of future outcomes.
No matter the outcome of the previous trials, the probability of the next coin flip being heads will always be 50%. Believing anything else is illogical.
Investors consistently fall victim to this bias. It’s the main contributor to the complacency we see during each market cycle.
Consider the “buy the dip” mentality that plagued the post-QE era. One of the greatest financial crises in history occurred 8 years prior, and in the time in between investors trained themselves to throw risk management out the window and aggressively buy more each time the market fell.
It’s true that “buy the dip” worked well during that time, but there was no guarantee it would work in perpetuity. This is especially true considering the nature of market cycles. Strategies tend to work for a period of time until they don’t. And it’s usually the previously successful strategies that end up failing the hardest in the new environment. No one wants to be caught buying the dip when the market morphs from bull to bear. But unfortunately, recency bias leads a majority of investors straight off that cliff.
“Buy the dip worked before… so it must work again!”
Nope. Sorry.
Gambler’s Fallacy
On the other side of the coin (pun intended) we have the gambler’s fallacy (also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy).
This is the opposite of recency bias. It occurs when you start believing that because a certain result happened more frequently in the past, there’s a higher probability a different result will occur in the future.
Take the coin flip example again. Someone who flipped heads five times in a row may think the next flip has to be tails because of the 50% probability associated with the game.
This is once again illogical.
Over a large enough sample of trials (which can be performed through a Monte Carlo simulation), the number of heads and tails will be evenly split. But over any individual, shorter stretch, there is no requirement they must show up equally. You can have 100 head flips in a row and yet the probability of the next flip will still be 50% heads, 50% tails. The Gambler’s Fallacy is thinking the probability of a tails flip has increased based on the previous streak.
Our “buy the dip” example once again shows the dangers of this bias in markets.
The post-QE era was littered with the corpses of fund managers who tried to short the indices. Why’d they do it? It’s because they thought that after working so many times, “buy the dip” had to fail eventually.
“Business cycles only last 5-7 years. It’s due time for the market to correct for real and blow out all these “buy the dip” idiots.”
Again, this is not how it works. As John Maynard Keynes once said:
“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”
Sunk-Cost Fallacy / Loss-Aversion
A sunk-cost fallacy is continuing an endeavour due to previously invested resources (time, money, effort) even when the optimal decision is to stop.
Ever get full at dinner, but finish your plate anyway because you don’t want to waste the good money you paid for it? That’s the Sunk-cost Fallacy in action.
Loss-aversion is the tendency to strongly prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains. The pain of losing greatly overwhelms the pleasure of gaining.
Marketers use Loss-aversion all the time. Which of the following headlines make you want to buy more?
“Buy our insurance and save $100 a month!”
Or
“You’re losing $100 a month on insurance. Buy ours and save!”
The second one of course. The thought of losing $100 is much more powerful than the thought of just saving it.
Both Loss-aversion And The Sunk-cost Fallacy make it difficult to cut losses in the market.
No one wants to cut a losing position after spending countless hours developing a thesis. It feels like a waste… all that work for nothing. It becomes easy to find yourself attached to an investment because of the Sunk-cost Fallacy.
But this mentality is completely irrational. Refusing to cut a loser, regardless of the initial time investment, leaves you exposed to an even larger total loss (time & capital) down the line.
Cutting a loss also becomes even harder when loss-aversion comes into play. Taking a loss not only means admitting you’re wrong, but also turns your paper loss into a real account drawdown. This is too much to handle for most, even if it’s in their best interest. The illogical fear of taking the pain now opens the door to even more pain in the future.
Confirmation Bias
Confirmation bias is seeking out information that supports an initial thesis while disregarding all else.
Rose-colored glasses are a large problem in the investment world. Too many investors find a company they like and then proceed to become its #1 cheerleader. They only look for news and press releases that support their positive image of that company. Any fundamental warning signs are immediately disregarded and objectivity is squashed.
This is asking to be unpleasantly surprised in the future. Confirmation bias creates a dangerous blind spot that has a high likelihood of decimating a trading account.
Observational Selection Bias
Similar to Confirmation Bias , Observational Selection Bias involves noticing a particular idea and then falsely assuming that the frequency of available evidence supporting that idea has increased.
Say you develop a thesis that Solar Stocks should take off soon. And as soon as you create that thesis, you start to notice a huge increase in News stories and data that support it. This makes you even more confident in Solar Stocks.
This is most likely the bias in action.
Developing your initial solar thesis has you primed towards certain types of information. This priming is very easily confused with actual increasing sentiment towards the solar sector. Objectivity is once again smothered, making this bias crucial to avoid.
These Cognitive Biases are completely natural to have. And that’s what makes them dangerous. We need to stay vigilant of these biases to make sure they don’t creep into our analysis process. Objective analysis is the key to success in the markets. But for objective analysis to flourish, biases need to be squashed.
PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLAN
Clearly Our Biology And The Biases That Come With It Are Hazardous To Our Financial Health.
But how exactly do we solve this problem?
The trick is to Plan Your Trades And Trade Your Plan.
The First Step To Successful Trading Is Creating A Solid Strategy That Accounts For Every Possible Market Scenario. High Volatility, Low Volatility, Black Swans, It Doesn’t Matter. Everything Should Be Planned For. Nothing Should Be A Surprise.
A Detailed Strategy Will Pre-plan The Action Steps You’ll Take In Specific Market Situations. This Ensures You’ll Have Strict Guidelines To Follow When Your Emotions Inevitably Run Wild. Your Past Objective Mind Will Have Already Made The Correct Decisions For Your Current, Emotionally Charged, Irrational Mind. This Is How You Avoid Destructive Choices In The Heat Of The Moment.
But This Only Works If You Actually Execute Your Plan When The Time Comes. This May Sound Simple. And Honestly It Is. But That Doesn’t Mean It’s Easy. Execution Is Difficult Because Our Biological Wiring Does Everything In Its Power To Prevent Us From Pulling The Trigger. Our Emotions And Biases Flare Up And We’re Forced To Do Battle With Them Before All Else.
The Best Trading Plan In The World Won’t Prevent Your Fight-or-flight Response. It Won’t Cure Your Dire Need To Stick With The Herd Or Your Cognitive Biases Either. You’ll Still Experience All The Feelings That Come With Your Biological Reality. There’s No Way Around It.
That’s why you need to accept it. Let the process play out. Feel what you’re feeling. But as it happens, take a step back, and from a distanced view, fully acknowledge what’s occurring. Objectively analyze it:
“The market just dropped 400 points and I’m feeling x, y, and z. Why am I feeling like this? Should I be feeling this way? How should I react?”
Explicitly following through with this exercise, either mentally, or even better by physically writing these questions and answers down, immediately switches your brain from using its emotional Amygdala to its rational prefrontal cortex. The process will prevent the type of knee-jerk decisions you’re trying to avoid while reminding you to stick to your pre-defined trading plan.
Another effective tactic to ensure execution is reducing your stimuli. If the market is crashing, don’t sit in front of your computer screen and watch it. Every tick will cause an emotional response. And the more frequently you have to deal with these emotional responses, the more likely you’ll succumb to them and deviate from your trading plan.
Just like you don’t trust a toddler with a bunch of colored markers in an empty, white-walled room, we don’t trust ourselves with a mouse and keyboard during trading hours. Both result in a mess.
As the Legendary Trader Peter Brandt said:
“Trading an upstream swim against human emotions.”
These are wise words from a wise man. Plan your trades and trade your plan . That’s How You’ll Win In The End.
& Thank For Reading Untill End, No Problem If You Skipping Some Text.
I Hope You Find Something Useful In This Post.
Stay Safe & Good Luck.
Thank Alex Burrow MACROOPS
Thank For Artist The Image
W.D. Gann’s 28 Trading Rules - Part 2When you decide to make a trade be sure that you are not violating any of these 28 rules which are vital and important to your success.
When you close a trade with a loss, go over these rules and see which rule you have violated;
then do not make the same mistake the second time.
Experience and investigation will convince you of the value of these rules,
and observation and study will lead you to a correct and practical theory for successful Trading.
Like and follow for more!
W.D. Gann’s 28 Trading Rules - Part 1When you decide to make a trade be sure that you are not violating any of these 28 rules which are vital and important to your success.
When you close a trade with a loss, go over these rules and see which rule you have violated;
then do not make the same mistake the second time.
Experience and investigation will convince you of the value of these rules,
and observation and study will lead you to a correct and practical theory for successful Trading.
Like and follow for more!
The One That Got Away After a ten-month hiatus from charts, I came back to charts to try to rewire my trader's eye. Fundamentally, intuition tells me that Gold is bullish; I had a one-minute time frame entry in the highlighted region, I was doing everything wrong against my system overtrading, the timeframe is not my entry timeframe, I overleveraged after three years of trading, I'm still making rookie mistakes of wanting to have that one big trade that will take care of everything. Consciously I'm keeping track of my emotions; anxiety was at an all-time high when executing this trade. I pulled out the trade too early to recoup some of my daily losses, plus add 10% growth to my account. I may still have profit, but I lost the war with my mind. However, long story short, you can feel you are the most skilled trader of all time, but you can't beat an uncalm mind
Is mindset holding you back 🤔Trading can be a rollercoaster of emotions.
Many traders are unaware of when their state of mind leads to underperforming trades and why it happens.
We are all different and unique when it comes to trading, and understanding the type of trader you are is essential to your success.
Traders can spend a lot of time studying technical indicators and strategies, but understanding the psychology driving your trading decisions is just as important.
The first starting point of getting on the right path in regards to trading psychology and emotions is by having the right one of two mindset choices.
There's two mindsets which will effect your trading results and progress massively.
They are 'Growth mindset' and 'Fixed mindset'
Of those two mindsets there is only a place for one when it comes to trading and that is 'GROWTH MINDSET'
The graphic on chart shows the difference between the two mindsets.
If you can't ditch the 'Fixed mindset ' you will never be able to progress in trading.
No matter how great of a trader you think you are, or how well you think you handle your emotions.
It's impossible to remove them from the equation completely when trading.
When emotions are combined with a 'Fixed mindset' mentality however you are going to feel emotional pain and loss of money when it comes to your trading.
Once you have learned to recognise your mindset, you can then begin the next important step of switching to the ' Growth mindset '
People with a ' Fixed mindset ' believe they are born with a certain amount of intelligence and that it is fixed for the rest of their lives.
People with a 'Growth mindset ' however know that intelligence is not fixed and that you can in effect grow your brain.
They see their traits as just a starting point and know that these can be developed by hard work, effort, dedication and challenge.
Having a growth mindset can improve your progress and attainment and this is crucial in being successful as a trader.
The brain can be developed like a muscle, changing and growing stronger the more it is used.
Your abilities are also very much like muscles they need training in order to perform at their peak.
You can learn how to do anything you want to do and you can get better at whatever that is with time and consistent practice.
Even if you have what you perceive to be a talent or ability for something, if you never practice that talent or ability you simply will never improve.
Applying this theory to your trading game will help you grow not just your accounts but as a person also.
Get that 'Growth mindset' and start believing in your ability to change.
Thanks for looking.
Darren 🙌
This mistakes can rip your depositEveryone goes through the path of their own mistakes, gaining experience. But maybe this video can help you avoid some mistakes in the future, if you have just entered the cryptocurrency market.
The first mistake, and perhaps the most important, is not to analyze your actions.
It doesn't matter if it's trading, futures trading, participation in an IDO or simple investments. When you make some action on the market with your deposit, and then lose or earn money, always analyze what you did right and where you made a mistake.
You entered a trade without a stop loss and lost part of the deposit, you did not analyze the period of coin unlocks and bought at the wrong time, or bought on greed already at too high a price.
You must understand that there is no more money in the market, it just flows from one hand to another. If today you have earned, then someone has lost. So, do not ignore your actions, keep a trading diary, tracking your portfolio for investment. Analyze why you are buying this coin, what you intend to receive and when to exit the project, options for exiting the project if everything does not go according to plan, where you will transfer your money if you exit the coin. What tools will you use while trading, what indicators and why. Also write down your psychological and emotional state at one time or another, this will help you invest money more rationally in the future.
The second mistake is that you are simply trying to copy someone else's trading or investment strategy. Perhaps somewhere you saw someone's advice that should bring you millions, and you began to blindly repeat the same actions, but no one gives you guarantees in cryptocurrency.
What worked in 2017 may not work in 2023 , you have to understand that. You must work out for yourself two investment strategies and a trading strategy. Conducting analysis and working on their improvement just for yourself. Because if one strategy becomes available to everyone, the market maker will do everything to ensure that this strategy stops working. That is why classical tech analysis practically does not work in the cryptocurrency market. Do not try to shift the responsibility for your income or losses to someone else. Your money is your decision.
The third mistake Do not invest the entire deposit in one coin.
Diversification. If you invested in 100 projects and 80 of them failed, then you will still end up with money. But if you invest in one project that fizzles you will lose all the money. I think the recent terra luna example is a great example. I’m afraid to upset you, but everything is possible in cryptocurrency, so even coins such as ether, cardano, polkadot, bitcoin are also not immune from falls.
The fourth mistake is to sit 100% only in cryptocurrency. Even if it is a stable coin. The recent example with ust also perfectly describes this error. Nobody knows what might happen to usdt or stablecoins in general in the future. Therefore, withdraw part of the funds always into real fiat money in the real world. Buy something for yourself, your money should bring you emotions and you should see the physical result, and not just the numbers on your wallet. Don't wait until you reach a certain amount. Perhaps at the peak you can lose everything.
You can’t fall in love with projects, those projects that were in the top 10 in 2017 are not in the top 100 now. Think about it.
The cryptocurrency market is changing and new projects will appear every year. Earn money, not just the number of coins. Don't be afraid to take profits, you will never hit the bottom and you will never hit the top of the market. Fix gradually, and buy coins step by step. Creating your average check. Remember, many projects are launched to earn money by their creators. No one is interested in what ordinary investors would earn. Don't be greedy and always take profits.
I had an example with ShibaInu. I bought this coin even before the listing on binance, and during the listing, I did not sell the coin without taking a profit of 200k. That's when the market crashed. I fixed part of the profit, and also part of the profit on its subsequent growth. But if I hadn’t been greedy, but fixed it and bought it back, but already cheaper, I could again earn another 200 thousand in November at the new peak of the market. In the end, I did not do this, because I succumbed to the information field that this project would grow. As a result, Shiba Inu lost capitalization from 42 billion to 14 billion. That is, someone fixed a profit and next time they will invest this money in a new project. Don't fall in love with projects
Share with your friends who are just starting their journey in the cryptocurrency world.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
Hagakure : Trade Like A Samurai 🏯👺The Hagakure: The Book of The Samurai records Yamamoto Tsunetomo’s views on bushido and the warrior code of the samurai. It was written in the early 18th century and explains many principles of the Samurai warrior. Many of these same principles can be used in business, sports, trading, and investing to achieve a warrior mindset and overcome your ego and emotions along with your adversaries.
Bushido Code
The Bushido was a code of conduct for the Samurai consisting of 8 core principles.
Righteousness
Heroic Courage
Benevolence & Compassion
Respect
Integrity
Honor
Duty & Loyalty
Self-Control
Let’s apply these same principles to success in trading and investing.
Trading Like A Samurai
Doing the right thing: If you have your own system, method, and process with an edge over the competition then if you follow it you should be free of guilt and regret. Knowing you are doing the right thing is a powerful psychological tactic that frees your energy and creates single-mindedness and focus of action.
Confidence in yourself and your strategy : You can take immediate action to follow your strategy when you have faith in yourself and your process. Faith in action leads to less stress when facing unknown future events.
Positive self talk : We must be a friend to ourself with internal self talk. Our own inner dialogue and thoughts should be positive and like that of a friend and coach not an enemy.
Self respect:
We must appreciate our past successes and have confidence in our path and future goals. We should never talk negatively about ourself to others. Right action and effort creates self respect, laziness and wrong action hurts it.
Know yourself :
Be whole and undivided in who you are and what you believe. Ensure your actions match your words and beliefs.
Honor:
Samurai were warriors with a sense of self worth and lived by the highest code of behavior and conduct. To abide by the principle of honor, we must acknowledge your moral responsibilities for taking actions consistent with or systems and beliefs.
Doing the work consistently: We choose the method we will focus our work and effort on at the beginning of our journey. Then our path consists of executing loyally to our goals.
Managing emotions, desires, and ego:
The ability to use your mind and your principles to override feelings, wants, and arrogance is true power. A true samurai first defeats their self before facing any external enemy.
"Study hard and all things can be accomplished. Give up, and you will amount to nothing."
- Yamaoka Tesshu.
Thank For Reading This, Hope You Find Something Useful In Here.
Source The Hagakure : The Book Of Samurai By Yamamoto Tsunetomo
,Steve Burns.
Learned helplessness in tradingBINANCE:BTCUSDT
A classic situation for a trader is the fear of opening a position, dictated by the negative previous experience in an identical situation. How usually manifested after a series of failures (losing streak) and leads to ignoring further trading setups. Let's look at this case in more detail. The material will consist of three components:
The biological component describes the possible mechanisms of the brain in the field of decision making, touching on the cognitive error described above. This cluster is of no practical use in the context direct solutions to the problem, but brings the understanding that not all mental processes can be felt at the objective level perception, but can latently contribute their own changes in behaviour patterns.
And the psychological component describes the mechanisms problem in terms of psychology person.
The release of adrenaline does not necessarily lead to reaction, according to the strength of the corresponding reaction “beat or run", but to some extent capable induce a general mobilization of organs and systems. This is manifested in an increase in heart rate and respiratory rate, dilated pupils and other reactions directed to fight stress.
Similar episodes of stress are also recorded by the cortex hemispheres and hippocampus with the formation associations. In the future, these associations will intensify, if negative outcomes prevail over positive. Association cortex conditionally "compares" the number of positive behavioral patterns and positive emotions with quantity negative, preferring to slow down the launch behavior that led to stress.
Learned helplessness is a state in which an individual does not attempts to improve his condition, although he has such an opportunity. The key factor causing this condition is imaginary inability to influence the situation, and lack of connection between actions and results. However, if the negative situation is repeated repeatedly, there is a feeling that there will be more only worse.
To begin with, it is very important to understand that there is no magic a method that will restore confidence in one's own actions. One way or another, you have to do it on one's own. Psychology cannot solve your problems instead of you.
It can only point out some points that worth considering in order to form the correct an approach to accept negative situations and help find a way to solution to this problem. So, what to do if it works for you psychological "feet" before making important decisions based on the previous negative experience? Here are some practical tips.
Catch yourself by the hand every time thoughts visit about failures that are not related to a specific situation, but projected from the past. The brain accumulates sums up negative experiences, which is common cognitive error. Although due to feelings of learned helplessness in humans and may give the impression that his chances of success after a series of failures, much lower than it really is, In practice, they are not at all diminished by the fact that was earlier. Your chances of success in this particular moment are always static and depend only on the cold mind and clear calculation.
While this may not be easy, it is necessary get rid of emotions and conduct a substantive assessment their results. At what point was your result positive and why was it so? And in what moments your result was negative and,Of course, just try to find out. Probably, if you analyze your failures, you can visually observe that between your failures there was no relationship, but the fact that they went in a row, or the fact that lately there are too many of them - not more than a coincidence. If you determine that the reason for your failures was specific (impulsive decisions/exceeding risks/ignoring your own rules), you you can learn from this experience and, in the future, avoid repetition of such situations.
No matter how banal and paradoxical this may seem advice, but it really works in practice. Our the brain is designed in such a way that when we give in to problems, we lose faith in ourselves and our own success. This does not mean that one should act recklessly. However, if you objectively assess the situation and decide that acting now is a good option which fits within the framework of the strategy, do not ignore such possibility. In case of failure, you will gain experience, and afraid to try, you will only start stronger believe in your own helplessness.
The problem is sometimes not the situation, but the loss of will and belief in the significance of their actions. The “act when you decide to act" allows you to save or regain a subjective sense of control over situation.
If accumulated failures have undermined your faith in success, false beliefs about their abilities. Since it didn't work out before, will succeed in the future. In time, man pays more attention to the experience that confirms this assertion. It only focuses on negative results, ignoring exceptions when he did it all. These fears of failure kill future success. Due to the formed negative thinking patterns in the human imagination is drawn only sad turn of events. In such situations it is important to find special cases of your own success in past.
If you lack self-confidence, remember when did you get it right? Think about these sensations. It is necessary to learn to see alternatives, positive developments that form a new self-image opportunity to influence what happens in positive key.
In the end, I would like to say that failures happen with absolutely everyone. And it's up to us how we We respond to them and deal with them. Do you lose confidence in yourself and your abilities? or accept failure, analyze, learn from it experience and continue to work, developing on professional field, looking forward to the future success?
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
* Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
* For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
What to include in your Trading RoutineMost people dive straight into trading without knowing how or why. They also don’t plan ahead.
This is why most people are unsuccessful at trading.
Having a well developed plan is KEY 🔑 to trading success!
Let’s see what in must need in trading routine:
1. Trading Journal 📝
You won’t improve without a trading journal, your whole trading routine is built around your trading journal. The time you’re trading without one is wasted time period.
2. Backtest 📌
Do it every week at least once.
Backtesting increase:
- Confidence in your strategy;
- Self-confidence to execute it;
- Discipline (when you’re confident about your strategy, you are more likely to respect it.)
Tip: Journal your backtested setups.
3. Weekly mental preparation ⏳
Write down things like:
- What are the things you want to work on.
- What are the habits you want to improve.
- What are your goals for next week.
4. Technical preparation 💡
- Make your analysis.
- Study the different price scenarios.
- Prepare your trading ideas.
You can do it weekly or daily depending on your needs.
5. Weekly performance analysis 🎭
Open the psychology section of your trading journal:
- What did you do well?
- What could have you done better?
- What lessons did you learn?
- Realization about yourself, your strategy and the market.
6. Wins and Losses analysis 🌓
- Open the charts of your trades one by one.
- Read your mistakes
- Write down at least one lesson you took from each trade.
Tip: always take a screenshot at the exact entry point of each trade. This allows you to mitigate the hindsight bias and develop your pattern recognition skills.
7. Writing ✏️
Write down your thoughts and emotions on bad days.
It helps you understand your mind and gives you clarity.
It’s a great way to focus on the process and be patient.
8. Activities outside of trading 🚴🏻♀️🚣🏻♂️
You’re going to lose motivation and belief with your trading many times, you need to have extra motivational source.
If you only rely on your trading results to feed your persistence, you ganna give up easily.
If you like this content help me grow ❤️🌱
I’d be happy you add more tips to learn from each other
3 paradoxes in tradingIn life, as in trading, there are many paradoxes.
Some things are obvious, some are not.
With experience comes awareness, and we begin to see what we have not seen before.
Understanding the fundamental principles will help you move on correctly.
Paradox #1: The more you need money, the longer you won't have it
Everyone who came to trading needs money.
Often a new trader is a person who has recently lost his job and now hopes to earn them by trading.
Here they will be disappointed. After all, trading is a very risky activity, and if you still do not have knowledge and experience, the risks increase to the skies.
When you are in desperate need of money, your thoughts and actions are driven by emotions, not logic. And your trade is doomed.
As the saying goes, "if you can't afford to lose, then you can't afford to win."
The more you strive to make a profit from trading, the more it will elude you.
If you came to the market because you really need money, your brain is already set up for emotional mistakes. This is a bad attitude, leading only to big losses.
Paradox #2: The more mistakes you make, the more likely you are to succeed
Mistakes are good! If you don't forget to learn from them.
If you lost everything and still didn't give up, you got closer to victory.
This is a very important point, most of them give up here, and the best continue to work.
No matter what anyone tells you, the most important thing in trading is practice.
Nothing in this life teaches better than the good old practice.
Real trading will immediately show all the flaws of the above trading system, flaws in your brain.
This is the best teacher, but don't forget to listen to him!
Make one mistake, write it down and don't repeat it again. Work it out and continue trading further. I promise that you will learn much more from this experience than from any trading seminar from the "guru" of trading.
Make enough mistakes (and learn from them) and you will start making money. It's very simple.
Paradox #3: The more you are convinced that you are right, the less likely it is that you have the right knowledge
"One of the problems in our world is that smart people are full of doubts, and stupid people are full of self–confidence" - Charles Bukowski.
Some people may say that trade is neither a science nor an economy.
Unlike the physical sciences, financial markets simply have too many unknowns to have a high degree of confidence in the accuracy of forecasting future prices.
To send a rocket to Mars, it is enough for us to understand the laws of physics accurately, but we cannot predict tomorrow's market prices with approximately the same degree of accuracy.
Why?
This is because we can rely on the laws of physics that remain unchanged, but we cannot rely on the same thoughts, moods and actions of people who essentially drive the markets.
The best retail traders understand that regardless of the thoroughness of their analysis, there is still much that they do not know and cannot know about the market.
Thus, when they are "lucky", they use trading methods that increase their profits, and when they are "unlucky", they use trading methods that limit their losses.
In trading, as in life, confidence is nothing but an illusion.
Good luck!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Can Interest Rate Be Traded Or Invested?How can we participate in the rise and fall of interest rate? Firstly, we need to understand the difference between interest rate and yield.
Interest rates are a benchmark for borrowers whereas yield is for investors or lenders.
• Interest rates are the fees charged, as a percentage from a lender for a loan.
• Yield is the percentage of earnings a person receives for lending money.
Both move in tandem together, meaning if yield moves higher, interest rates will follow.
Discussion:
• Direction of the Yield in the short-term and
• Direction of the Yield in the long-term
Divergence in a bull market means the bull is losing its momentum, keep a look-out for trigger points that may cause further stress to the market.
Micro 10-Year Yield Futures
1/10 of 1bp = US$1 or
0.001% = US$1
3.000% to 3.050% = US$50
3.000% to 4.000% = US$1,000
Note:
Micro Treasury futures are not micro-sized U.S. Treasury securities. They convey no rights of ownership, nor or they pay or accrue interest.
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Power of Correlation Good day friends... From my last post I shared how I have a bullish bias on XJPY pairs. And here sits beautiful EURJPY giving us a bearish setup 🤣... Am I looking to go short ? Answer is no... Why ?... In simple and plain terms ... Audjpy, EURJPY, CHFJPY, NZDJPY, GBPJPY are all positively correlated so if 4 out of the 5 have ruptured bearish order flow it's only a matter of time before EURJPY follows suite.. so probability is not on my side here. Isn't that what trading is all about? Putting probability on your side?... There you have it, the reason why I'd be sitting this beautiful setup out. Have u been making use of Correlation?
Remember this isn't financial advice.
Basics of trading psychology + mecanism to improve winning rateHey everyone
Today we will make the cheat sheet with good tips of trading psychology and mecanism to improve his efficiency while trading. This is important because I think they already said to you :
"trading is 90% psychology and 10% Technical analysis" , indeed it is. Because a trader with the best technical analysis but poor trading psychology and mechanism will got very low performance or will stay a break even trader or even worst ! a loser :(
Why do you need psychology and mechanism to trade well? because it's like if you are in a car but you don't have break, or it's like jumping from an helicopter without parachute. You are going
to a complete disaster. Market psychology is essential for the good health of your trading account and also your physical/mental health (yes to keep losing and losing put you in a very bad mood and
can be potentially)
I will resume all and go deeper on psychology and mechanism on this text to get the best potential of this lesson, the chart is only partial. It's good to print them and have them always
on your desk while your trade
So lets begin !
1) maximum % loss reached per day = no more trade
Taking losses put you angry, emotionally weak and provoke reaction most of the time. you will be in a mind to recover your losses. But learn when to stop is the best thing to do if you want to survive. You'll have to deal with losses literally everyday of your trading career. learn to tame/manage them and you'll be always safe.
tips: cover your losses with your winning trade (by taking half) when you can. If you can't wait for the next day to trade.
2) adding to winners and don't touching at losers
This is the simplified sentence of "let run your winning trade and cut your losses". this mean don't cut your loss manually because you'll always use SL. This means don't bother you with losses (again), just try to add some trade on your winning trade when you already took half. This is a good potential wealth accident
3) dont look at the price when you take a trade
Don't stay blocked in front of your pc, go for other activity and keep an eye on the trade but not every seconds of every minutes of every hours ;)
4) don't chase the price (wait for a real opportunity, a real good plan), including fight the trend (don't force the market)
High quality trade gives you High quality potential of win. Focus on the quality of your setup and then market will surely give you your wage.
5) Find the most profitable SL on each market
to have a too short SL put you in losses more often, and when you have a too large SL you wait too much to take your win. Find the optimal SL for each market (ex: personally I use around 200 pips SL on each of my forex trade. Sometimes a little less, sometimes a little more but I try to have the optimal SL that gives me the optimal potential of winning rate.
6) no emotions, you win it's good, you lose it's ok
The market isn't your psycholog, you'll trade very bad and make a lot of errors if you have emotions while taking loss and wins (try to avoid them, emotions is human but get outside of the market when you feel your emotion taking control of you trading).
Don't rationalise every losses. (try to find the errors to upgrade your trading style but understand that sometimes market is simply irrational)
7) don't take a trade on the same market immediatly after taking some loss.
refers to rule 2 and 4. wait some hours or some days. Focus on finding other opportunities,you'll always find opportunity on the market. don't torture yourself if you don't took a trade at time or if you lose it and can't retry
8) avoid following other ideas
ideally make yours to become a better trader.
9) trade like a robot (no bad / sad moon, no angry, no revenge trade)
refers to rule 6. Even a small thing (like a dispute with a friend) can make you sink into the wall. Be totally calm and without aftertoughts
10)stay humble or the market will humble you
be satisfied with what you got by the market. if you did your average weekly performance be satisfied, if you make more be satisfied, if you make less be satisfied.
11)Make the choice to don't trade is also trading
when you feel bad about a trade (not sure) and you don't take it you preserve your capital. so you avoid loss. but don't be extreme and avoid every trade. it's exceptional
12) follow the trend
trend continuation trader have best result then countertrend traders. refers to rule 4, don't try to find every tops and bottom, If you found a reversal it's ok but don't focus on them.
principally use trend continuation method.
Dont forget to like and subscribe if you want more content
Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P and RussellHow to use related markets to complement each other? Definitely you can apply this technique to other related markets.
In this tutorial, I am seeing Nasdaq as a leading indicator for the rest may likely to follow.
i) Nasdaq bear trend was nicely formed, but not yet for the Dow Jones, S&P and Russell.
ii) Nasdaq in the short-term has also a confirmation for a rebound, and I believe the rest of the indices likely to follow subsequently.
Discussion:
• Drawing primary and secondary trendline
• Nasdaq has broken above, the rest should catch-up, why?
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Feel free to leave any comments below, I love to exchange ideas with you.