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Learn How to Apply Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis In this article, we will discuss how to apply Multiple Time Frame Analysis in trading . I will teach you how to apply different time frames and will share with you some useful tips and example of a real trade that I take with Top-Down Analysis strategy. Firstly, let's briefly define the classification of time frames that we will discuss: There are 3 main categories of time frames: 1️⃣ Higher time frames 2️⃣ Trading time frames 3️⃣ Lower time frames Higher Time Frames Analysis 1️⃣ Higher time frames are used for identification of the market trend and global picture. Weekly and daily time frames belong to this category. The analysis of these time frames is the most important . On these time frames, we make predictions and forecast the future direction of the market with trend analysis and we identify the levels , the areas from where we will trade our predictions with structure analysis . Above is the example of a daily time frame analysis on NZDCAD. We see that the market is trading in a strong bullish trend. I underlined important support and resistance levels. The supports will provide the safest zones to buy the market from anticipating a bullish trend continuation. Trading Time Frames 2️⃣ Trading time frames are the time frames where the positions are opened . The analysis of these time frames initiates only after the market reaches the underlined trading levels, the areas on higher time frames. My trading time frames are 4h/1h. There I am looking for a confirmation of the strength of the structures that I spotted on higher time frames. There are multiple ways to confirm that. My confirmations are the reversal price action patterns. Once the confirmation is spotted, the position is opened. Analyzing the reaction of the price to Support 1 on 1H time frame on NZDCAD pair, I spotted a strong bullish confirmation - a triple bottom formation. A long position is opened on a retest of a broken neckline. Lower Time Frames 3️⃣ Lower time frames are 30/15 minutes charts. Even though these time frames are NOT applied for trading, occasionally they provide some extra clues . Also, these time frames can be applied by riskier traders for opening trading positions before the confirmation is spotted on trading time frames. Before the price broke a neckline of a triple bottom formation on an hourly time frame on NZDCAD, it broke a resistance line of a symmetrical triangle formation on 15 minutes time frame. It was an earlier and riskier confirmation to buy. Learn to apply these 3 categories of time frames in a combination. Start your analysis with the highest time frame and steadily go lower, identifying more and more clues. You will be impressed how efficient that strategy is.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
17
AVAX Analysis: Potential Price Movement and Key Levels✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day. 📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the AVAX coin in the crypto market. 🗂 About the Project: AVAX, or Avalanche, is a decentralized platform known for its high throughput and low latency, making it a preferred choice for developers building decentralized applications and custom blockchain networks. It's particularly popular among DeFi enthusiasts due to its unique consensus mechanism and scalability. ⌛️Weekly Timeframe In this timeframe, AVAX has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak of 126.52, which was a critical supply zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, AVAX is at a support level of 20.83 after a correction phase. 📈 If AVAX stabilizes above 31.32, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 58.74. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level. 📉 Conversely, if AVAX falls back into the range between 20.83 and 31.32, and stabilizes below 20.83, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 15.91. 📊In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence. ⌛️Daily Timeframe 🔍On the daily chart, AVAX ranged around the 31.22 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 21.49. 🧲Given the current setup, a stabilization below 21.49 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 31.22, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels. ⌛️4-Hour Timeframe 📈In the 4-hour timeframe, AVAX has pulled back to the SMA99 and reached the resistance at 30.98. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement. 📉For short positions, the key levels to watch are 30.98 and 33.77, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are 25.01 and 21.49. RSI Oscillator 💥The RSI is currently ranging between 44.87 and 59.76 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points. 📉Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans. ⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
3
REN: Exploring Trends and Key Levels in the Crypto Market✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day. 📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the REN coin in the crypto market. 🗂 About the Project: REN is a protocol that enables the transfer of cryptocurrencies between different blockchains in a decentralized manner. It aims to bring interoperability to DeFi by providing access to liquidity from various blockchains for DeFi applications. ⌛️ Daily Timeframe 🔍In this timeframe, the price has been ranging for a long period around the $0.04996 support. 📊Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: $0.05060, $0.05696 Support: $0.04442, $0.03936 💥The RSI is around 54.25, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. 🧩Currently, there is significant bearish momentum in this timeframe, and the volume aligns perfectly with the downward trend. Recommendation: Given the strong support at $0.04442, we can expect another bearish wave if candles stabilize below this area. ⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe 📈In this timeframe, the price has pulled back to the SMA99 and simultaneously reached the critical $0.04960 resistance, which was the main market low in the previous cycle. The volume is gradually decreasing, indicating that the long-term downward trend impacts the 4-hour timeframe. 🔑Key Levels: For a long position, the key levels are $0.04960, $0.05060, and $0.05696. For a short position, $0.04442 and $0.04500 are critical areas where the price may react in the future. 🎲RSI Oscillator: The RSI is ranging between 39.81 and 54.34, and breaking either of these levels can provide confirmation for opening positions. However, be sure to use these levels only for confirmation and rely on candles to find the trigger. ♟Recommendation: This upward movement offers a better entry point for a short position. Given the bearish market in the 4-hour and daily timeframes and the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, consider opening a short position as the trend aligns with the momentum. ⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
R
by itsparham96
1
GBPUSD Medium cycle GBPUSD was in the bullish channel and now its broken that and its on a supportive level. According to my last idea, i said if its hunt the channel sooner that we expected its show the bearish trend power. Then the bullish channel broke. but now the price on a supportive level and i think the trend can reversal. also the DXY confirm that because its in a resistance level. its show dollar will be weak. Its just my personal comment please don't trade whit this. I have no responsibility for your money.
Long
by Arco-ir
S&P is strong; however, some immediate uncertainty loomsLast week was marked by a very slow start and a chaotic finish. On Monday and Tuesday, prices bracketed in a very narrow range with neither side willing to take action. On Wednesday, the bulls gathered some momentum for a rally only to be countered by the bears the next day. While the bears’ attack appeared fearsome, it lacked real conviction (as I pointed out in my report), and it eventually faded. On Friday, the bulls took the initiative, erasing all the bears’ achievements. From a technical perspective, we have the following disposition: 1. Price is in an uptrend on all major timeframes. Last week closed quite strong. 2. All major S&P sectors are supporting the upward movement (see Market Inner Strength Index) 3. RSI is highly overbought on the daily timeframe and slightly overbought on the weekly timeframe. Although this doesn’t mean much in strong uptrends, we should still pay attention to it. 4. On the hourly chart, there is some unclear bracketing with an extending range. We have both a poor high and a poor low. The bulls clearly have the upper hand on all major timeframes, making the most likely scenario a continuation of the uptrend. Fundamentals are also on the buyers’ side: inflation is decreasing, and the first bank reports were quite positive. However, it is also possible that we’ll see more bracketing in the short term due to political uncertainty, which deprives the market of the conviction needed for prolonged movements. We can see signs of traders’ hesitation on the hourly chart: breakouts without follow-through and reluctance to carry positions over the weekend. Coupled with price overextension (remember the RSI), there are enough arguments to support the need for short-term consolidation and the collection of additional information before moving higher (if nothing changes fundamentally). Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
SANDUSDT: Weekly Update and Trading Triggers✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs. 📅Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the crypto market and the SAND project. 📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis On the weekly timeframe, SAND is ranging within a broader horizontal zone. The current levels show the price struggling around significant support and resistance levels. Support Zone: 0.2818 Resistance: 0.7864 RSI: 39.81 (Neutral to slightly bearish) 📆 Daily Timeframe Analysis In the daily timeframe, the price action shows a more detailed structure within the weekly range. Current Candle: Showing strength after a period of weakness Resistance Levels: 0.4046, 0.4782 Support Levels: 0.3410, 0.2818 RSI: 47.44 (Neutral) ⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis In the 4-hour timeframe, we see more granular details of the recent price movements. Consolidation Range: 0.3436 - 0.2818 Bullish Scenario: Break above 0.3436 with strong volume Bearish Scenario: Break below 0.2818 📈 Long Position Trigger Consider entering a long position after a confirmed break and close above 0.3436 on the 4-hour timeframe. 📉 Short Position Trigger Consider entering a short position after a break and close below 0.2818 on the 4-hour timeframe. 🔑 Key Support and Resistance Levels Supports: 0.3410, 0.2818, 0.2433 Resistances: 0.3436, 0.4046, 0.4782, 0.7864 🌟 Weekly Settlement Since tomorrow is the last day of the week and a settlement day, I recommend securing your profits and opening positions with less risk. Have a great weekend! ⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
SWING IDEA - LATENT VIEW ANALYTICSIn the dynamic realm of market opportunities, Latent View Analytics emerges as a compelling prospect, poised for an upside rally. Reasons are listed below : After multiple tests at the crucial 500 level, Latent View Analytics is currently positioning for a decisive breakout. Robust bullish marubozu candles, both on the weekly and daily timeframes, signal a strong upward momentum. Notably, the weekly candle engulfs the preceding six weeks, emphasizing sustained buying interest. An upswing in volumes accompanies the bullish trend, indicating heightened market participation and conviction. Breaking free from a solid two-year consolidation phase, Latent View Analytics signals a shift from stagnation to potential growth. Target - 545 // 573 // 618 Stoploss - weekly close below 443 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:LATENTVIEWLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - CASTROL INDThere seems to be a strong breakout in CASTROL IND . This could potentially be an excellent swing trade. Reasons are listed below : Multiple tests on 161 levels and finally the price broke these levels with high volumes. Marubozu candle (bullish sign) on weekly timeframe. Breakout after a strong consolidation of 5years . Stock price is above 50 and 200EMA i.e the trend is intact. Target - 213 // 242 // 271 StopLoss - weekly closing below 145 levels
NSE:CASTROLINDLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
USDCHF: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇭 USDCHF looks quite oversold after the yesterday's bearish rally. The price is stuck on a key daily support at the moment. My confirmation to buy the pair will be a bullish breakout of a neckline of a double bottom formation on a 4H time frame. A 4H candle close above 0.885 will confirm a violation. A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 0.8874 then. If the price sets a new lower low lower close on a 4H, the trading setup will become invalid. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
3
USD/CAD on a 1-hour timeframeThe current price is around 1.36830-1.36841, which is near the support zone. The recent price action indicates that the market has found support at the 1.3660 level and is consolidating above it. The blue highlighted area around the 1.3660 level, represents a strong support zone. The price has tested this area multiple times and shown a tendency to bounce back from it. The projection indicates a potential bullish move from the support zone up to the 1.37777 level. This suggests an expectation of a price increase after possibly forming a base around the support.
Long
by TopGBanks
2024-07-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment : No deeper analysis needed today. Could have sold anywhere and made money. Tomorrow will be key for next week. Best case for the bears is a weekly close below 19700 but anything below 20000 would suffice. current market cycle: climactic bull trend with overshoots is done. Market will probably range some before we begin a new bear trend over the next months. key levels: 20000 - 21000 - if we break below 20000, next support is 19700 bull case: Bulls see this as a deep two legged pullback but since they are still trading around 20000 and inside the bull channel, their premise lives on. They want a strong reversal tomorrow and since bears were in pain for so long, any good bounce above 20100/20200 could make most bears exit their shorts. Bulls want a retest of the broken channel, which would also be a retest of the ath 20983. After a -3% day, anything in this section is low probability and the best bulls can hope for is to find support and go sideways. Invalidation is below 19700. bear case: Bears are now trading below the multi month and year patterns market broke above, which indeed was a bull trap. The selling was strong enough to let the bulls know the trend is long gone and they are scrambling to secure their profits. Their next target is to break below the bull trend line and below 19700, where many many more bull stops will be. Odds heavily favor the bears for more sideways to down price action. Invalidation is above 21000. short term: Bearish. I think we can hit 19800 and/or the bull trend line. Can we go deeper? Not likely but anything can happen. If the bull trend line breaks tomorrow, this will go full panic selling and the next support would be the 50% pb from the whole bull trend since April, which is 19180. medium-long term: This climactic blow off top is/was the grand finale of this bull trend. Perfect break above multiple patterns which I expect is a bull trap and we will test the various support lines next before the new bear trend will unfold over the next 3-9 months. —unchanged current swing trade: Short since 20800. trade of the day: Sell anywhere and go away until US close. Chart was drawn last Sunday and the big red arrow the week before or so. C target might be couple points too deep but you get the idea.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by priceactiontds
2024-07-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Indexes all read except DJI. Given the overbought conditions especially for the russel, tis was expected. Tech selling continued and is accelerating. For Nvidia all but 1 remaining bull trend line are broken and if bears can close the gap down to 114, they can probably print 100 over the next weeks. My measured move target 96 is from 2024-07-06. Selling today was strong enough to expect more tomorrow, especially going into the weekend. Commodities - Gold printed a rather neutral doji on the daily chart after a new ath 2488. Will we sell off from here or can they go 2500? I don’t know. 2500 is an obvious magnet but Opex is around the corner and maybe too many yolo’d into 2500 calls. Oil got the expected bounce to 83, which I have been writing about since Sunday. Buying was strong enough for follow through tomorrow but bears need to keep it below 84 or this is not a pullback anymore. Bitcoin - Market has still not touched the 4h 20ema since Saturday. Very strong buying by the bulls but it gets weaker. I don’t know if they can break out above again without a deeper pullback first. It’s also very bullish, that nasdaq sells off while btc stays above 62000. Should only look for longs as long as market stays above the 4h ema. dax comment: Will change from dax cfd from EasyMarkets to dax futures from now on. Market opened below y close and quickly filled the gap before bears took over and grinded it down. 18500 was bought as expected but the two legs up were so strong, that bears did not try to force another test of 18500 and market went mostly sideways, which is a neutral signal going into tomorrow. The bear channel is holding properly but bears would need a weekly close below 18500 for more selling next week. Market has formed a triangle with the bull trend line and the most recent bear channel resistance line and market will break out tomorrow. current market cycle: trading range (triangle on the daily chart - technically bears traded back into the triangle) key levels: small range 18500 / 18900 - If 18500 is broken for good, next support is 18360 bull case: Bulls bought where they had to and stopped a bigger sell off. They need to break the bear channel for another test of 18900 or higher. They bounced at the daily 20ema yesterday and today they closed above it again, which means that bulls are technically still in control but if they do not reverse it tomorrow, it’s night night. Invalidation is below 18500. bear case: Bears now had 3 decent legs down to 18500 and market then oscillated around the 50% pullback from the recent bull trend, which is 18570. As long as the bears keep it mostly below the 1h 20ema and inside the bear channel, they are good and market will continue down. Their target is a weekly close below 18500, which would make most bulls cover and it would be a strong sell signal going into next week. Invalidation is above 18720. short term: Neutral between 18500 - 18650. Bearish below and bullish only on a strong break above the bear channel. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. —unchanged trade of the day: Longs from the strong open were decent but you had to think fast. After the gap close market quickly reversed and since it reversed right at the 1h 20ema, that was your hint to look for shorts next time market gets near it.
EUREX:FDXSU2024
by priceactiontds
EUR/CHF: Bearish Signals and Breakout Opportunities✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs. 📅 Today's Analysis: Today, we'll be diving into the Forex market and analyzing the EUR/CHF. 📉 Recent Performance The EUR/CHF pair has seen significant movements recently, breaking through multiple support and resistance levels. The primary support at 0.95366 and resistance at 0.99155 are key areas to watch. ⚠️ Bearish Momentum The RSI is currently at 45.71, indicating potential bearish momentum. If the RSI drops below 30, we could see increased selling pressure. 📊The pair is currently in the 0.618 to 0.707 Fibonacci range. If it breaks below 0.94838, the next target could be around 0.93119. 🔻Short Position Strategy A confirmed break below the 0.94838 support level with increased sell volume would be an ideal short entry point. The target for this move could be the next support at 0.93119. 🔼Long Position Strategy For a long position, wait for a clear breakout above the resistance at 0.99155 with increased buy volume. This would signal a potential bullish reversal. 📝 In conclusion, EUR/CHF is showing bearish signals with critical levels to watch. A short position could be triggered below 0.94838, while a long position is advisable only after a breakout above 0.99155. Always monitor volume and RSI closely to confirm momentum and manage risk appropriately. ⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
Gold analysis new week☘️Fundamental analysis Gold prices rose to the 2410 zone on Friday after hitting an intraday low of $2,391. The yellow metal will extend gains for a third straight week on speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could begin an easing cycle in September. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday revealed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased slightly in June, above analysts' estimates. As a result, US Treasury yields are falling, a boost for the non-yielding metal, which benefits from low yields. Meanwhile, Fed officials remain cautious about changes in monetary policy. Fed President St. Louis Alberto Musalem stated that current interest rates are appropriate for current conditions and expects the economy to grow between 1.5% and 2% this year. US Dollar Index (DXY), according to The US dollar tracked against six other currencies, which fell more than 0.40% to 104.09. ☘️Technical analysis Gold prices consolidate above $2,400 for the second day in a row after decisively breaking the Head-and-Shoulders neckline. Momentum favors the buyers, despite being depicted by a flat Relative Strength Index (RSI). That being said, the path of least resistance is up. The first level of resistance for XAU/USD will be the yearly high of $2,450, ahead of the $2,500 round mark. Conversely, if Gold slips below $2,400 there will be many support levels to push the gold price back to its orbit. Two notable levels coincide with the two EMA lines at 2390 and 2365. Deeper is the 2340 most important Break Out zone that we pay attention to for gold to maintain its long-term uptrend. Support: 2390-2365-2351-2340 Resistance: 2424-2433-2450
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
BITCOIN 4h On the 4-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin's price faced some demand after ranging and minor fluctuations around the $53,700 level. Following the break above the $60,000 channel, it managed to grow by almost 20% to the $65,000 range. Currently, it is trading around $64,400. My expectation for Bitcoin is that it could grow to the 66,700–67,500-dollar range. If we see weakness in the candles and confirmation of resistance around the crucial 67,500-dollar level, we might witness consolidation and a correction. To better understand the ongoing trend, we should observe how the price reacts to these key levels. If it encounters demand and manages to break through the significant 67,500-dollar mark, the next target could be around 69,500 dollars. Remember, this is just my personal analysis, not financial advice. Do your own research and make informed decisions. Happy trading!✌😎 If you have any questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I’m here to help!✌ If you found my analysis helpful, please show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌
by SasanSeifi
2024-07-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: In my weekly post I expected a pullback to the bull trend line and that bulls would buy it again. That happened and then some. Very strong buying and market is right under prev ath 2477.1. It’s strong enough to expect more upside and we can probably print 2500 tomorrow. Where are the bears? Gone and waiting for bulls to start profit taking. You will see consecutive big bear bars and know when they appear. Will be a decent tripple top to short. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2300 - 2500 bull case: Bulls want a new ath and all the stops too close above it. 2500 would be a nice round number to reach. After that I don’t have anything for the bulls. It’s a trading range since April and such big trading ranges happen before the final flag and this one here is probably it. I would not bet on another strong bull trend above 2500. Invalidation is below 2400. bear case: Bears stepping aside enough and letting the higher high happen. They will probably wait for the bulls to begin the profit taking before shorting aggressively. Since the highest monthly close is from May and below 2350, I don’t have much arguments for the bulls until they close a month above that price. Invalidation is above 2510. short term: Bullish af. Don’t look for shorts. Go long on strong momentum and see how high this can go. 15m 20ema is my stop on any long as long as it holds. medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is dumb and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so DON’T. —adjusted 2450 to 2500 current swing trade: None trade of the day: Long anything around the 1h 20ema.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
2024-07-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears got follow through down to 18600 where Bulls were eager to buy and not wait for the market to hit the daily 20ema or the bull trend line. That’s strength by the bulls. My target was 18570 and we got 18590, that’s decent enough. The buying in the US session was still surprising to me but then I guess it’s up again. Last stand for the bears is 18740ish where the weekly 50% pullback is but I doubt it can hold. current market cycle: trading range (triangle on the daily chart - technically bears traded back into the triangle) key levels: small range 18600 / 18900 bull case: Bulls bought the double bottom 18600 above the bull channel support line and now they want back up above 18800 and print a new ath. The broad bull channel leads exactly to the ath and leg1 and leg2 were 630 and 550 points big. If we get 500 points up, that would lead us to 19100. Invalidation is below 18600. bear case: Bears failed at 18600 and now odds favor the bulls to get back above 18800 again. Can the 50% pb at 18740 or the broken triangle bear trend line act as resistance? I highly doubt that. Got nothing for the bears here. Invalidation is above 18750. short term: Bullish if we stay above 18600 for at least 18800 but probably higher. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. —unchanged trade of the day: Again buying a double bottom at big support on the 1h tf. Bar 8 + 14. Both had bigger tails below and market found not enough sellers below 18600. Had to get long latest bar 17. Buying bar 16 was tough because you would have bought right under the 1h 20ema and previous resistance. Any long below 18600 was king.
EASYMARKETS:DAXEURLong
by priceactiontds
DXY: Deep Dive Analysis And Its Impact on Other Assets✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs. 📅 Today's Analysis : Today, we'll be diving into the Forex market and analyzing the DXY index. 🔄 Previous Analysis Recap : In our last analysis, we reviewed this index in the weekly and monthly timeframes, incorporating fundamental analysis based on US interest rates and economic conditions. We noted that if support at 100.883 is broken, the price might start a downward movement. Today, we'll delve into the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes to examine the smaller cycles and waves of this index. 📰 News Overview : Let's start with significant US news. The most noteworthy event is the incident involving Donald Trump, the Republican representative, who luckily survived. This incident has swayed many votes towards Trump, and positive discussions about him are trending on social media. This happened on a Sunday, so its impact on the Forex market was limited, but it immediately influenced the crypto market. Given Trump's support for crypto, Bitcoin saw a 2% upward candle and continued a short-term upward trend. On the other hand, the situation for Democrats isn't looking good. Joe Biden, their representative, seems unlikely to win based on his debate performances. The general sentiment on social media favors Trump, and with the power of media, it seems likely that Trump will be the next US president. If Trump wins, we might see growth in the crypto market due to his supportive stance. 📅 Weekly Timeframe [/b In this timeframe, after a significant price rise, the correction began, and the price dropped from the 113.305 peak to the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 100.883. It has since formed a long-term range between 100.883 and 106.630 since late 2022. Within this range, there's a symmetrical triangle pattern, and we are in the last third of the triangle with reduced price fluctuations between 104.039 and 106.121. 🎯 If the price gains downward momentum, our target can be 100.883. If it breaks the 106.121 resistance, the price will enter a strong supply zone between 106.121 and 106.630. For more details on this zone, we should move to the daily timeframe. 📅 Daily Timeframe In this timeframe, I've adjusted the support and resistance levels for more precision. The supply zone between 106.338 and 107.017 is crucial because the price faked out below the trendline once and bounced back up from the 100.883 static support, indicating a strong upward trend. However, it failed to penetrate this supply zone and was rejected at 106.338 without reaching the main resistance at 107.017. 📉 Last week's candle closed below the trendline, but I don't consider this breakout valid yet as it could be another fake-out, with the price bouncing from the nearest support and resuming its upward movement. I'll wait to see if the 104.039 support holds before confirming the trendline break. If this support breaks and the price stabilizes below it, a downward wave may begin, targeting 102.668 and then 100.883. 📈 If the price bounces back up from 104.039, the nearest resistance is at 106.338, a very strong supply zone. 🧩 Given the fundamental conditions and the break of 38.71 support in the RSI oscillator, a price decline seems more likely, but nothing is certain. If I see bullish signs and confirmations according to my trading strategy, I will adjust my view. The market is always changing, and one should not be biased towards a previous analysis. 📅 4-Hour Timeframe: This timeframe is too noisy for detailed analysis, so I'll focus on triggers and key points. 📈 If the price stabilizes above 104.524 and forms a higher high and low, we might see a Failure Swing pattern, indicating a trend change per Dow Theory. If this pattern completes, we can consider the market bullish in the 4-hour timeframe. Breaking the 50 level in RSI could provide additional confirmation. ⚡️ Next resistances are 105.162 and 106.121. 📉 For a bearish scenario, the 4-hour trigger aligns with the daily, and a break below 104.039 would suggest a downward move. 🔍 Let's look at the DXY's impact on Gold and Bitcoin. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis If the USD strengthens, Bitcoin might see another correction wave to the 56k and 47k levels. If the USD weakens, new ATHs for Bitcoin could be on the horizon. 🧲 Given Bitcoin's strong upward momentum and the visible curved trendline, we can target 130k for Bitcoin if the USD's value drops. 🥇 Gold Analysis Gold has significant upward momentum and is currently recording new ATHs. If the DXY declines further, gold could target $2800. 🔑If the DXY strengthens, gold might correct to around $2000, but this seems unlikely as gold typically has minor corrections and maintains a long-term upward trend. ⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
TVC:DXYShort
by itsparham96
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