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2024-07-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Down, up, down up. Today was up where open was almost the exact low of the day. Market stalled around 18550 and it’s critical for the bears that it stays a lower high below 18650. Bears need to break the bull trend line for lower prices. Shorting above 18550 and buying 18500 was king today. Can not be anything but neutral going into tomorrow. current market cycle: trading range (big triangle on the daily chart) key levels: 18200 - 18700 bull case: Bulls made around 100 points from eu open to close. Looks more like a leg in a trading range than strong buying. Bulls want a higher high above 18657 but I highly doubt that they get it. Market is in breakout mode. Watch the triangle on the daily chart. There are 2 potential bear trend lines above which can act as magnets. 18600 and 18660ish. I do think that if bulls can break above 18660 again, they can test the bear trend line from the ath around 18800. Invalidation is below 18480. bear case: Bears tried to keep it below 18500 but bulls poked enough that they stepped aside and shorted above 18550 again. Bears need to keep this a lower high or risk a breakout out of this triangle. Their first target is a break below the bull trend line below 18480. Invalidation is above 18560. short term: neutral. Bullish above 18600 and bearish below 18480. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. Update: 400 points in profit, will take most off around 18000-18100 and see where Market wants to go. —unchanged trade of the day: Long since EU open or shorting above 18550 and buying 18500. Clear support and resistance today but tbh, not a fun day to trade this.
EUREX:FDXSU2024
by priceactiontds
2024-07-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Gold had a huge bull day and my line in the sand for bears was 2436. Market now broke above it 2 times and the buying into US close was strong enough for a second leg which could bring us above 2480 again. Still a trading range on the daily chart and anything above 2300 is good for the bulls. Probably another try at printing 2500 over the next days. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2300 - 2500 bull case: Bulls want a new ath and all the stops too close above it. 2500 would be a nice round number to reach. After that I don’t have anything for the bulls. It’s a trading range since April and such big trading ranges happen before the final flag and this one here is probably it. I would not bet on another strong bull trend above 2500. Above was written last week and is valid as ever. Bulls do not want to drop below the 1h 20ema again or the chop continues. They want the momentum continuing and another strong break above 2460 for the second leg up. Invalidation is below 2440. bear case: Bears tried to keep it below 2440 but market made higher lows and on the strong buying at bar 13, they stepped aside enough to let the market rip into US close. I don’t think many bears want to battle between 2450 and 2480, so I expect this becoming a quick move up before they see value in shorting again. Below 2440 I am wrong and bears showing strength again. Invalidation is above 2460. short term: Bullish af again. Want to see a proper channel form, that we can grind to 2480 or 2500. medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is dumb and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so DON’T. —adjusted 2450 to 2500 current swing trade: None trade of the day: Tricky. Bar 10 was strong enough to expect more upside but the pullback afterwards on bar 11+12 was deep enough to trap many traders out. Bar 13 was the long to be in while it formed but tricky in any case.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
EURCAD Forex Pair Analysis: Market Trends and Key Levels✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day. 📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the EURCAD pair in the Forex market. 🗂 About the Pair: The EURCAD pair represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the Canadian Dollar. It's influenced by factors such as European and Canadian economic data, central bank policies, and global market sentiment. 📊 Weekly Timeframe Analysis In this timeframe, EURCAD has shown significant range-bound movement. The pair is currently testing a key resistance level around 1.50153, with major support found at 1.29621. The RSI indicator shows a reading of 62.21, suggesting the market is nearing overbought conditions but not at extreme levels yet. 📈 If EURCAD breaks above 1.50153, we could see further bullish momentum, potentially reaching towards the next resistance level at 1.57769. 📉 Conversely, if the price fails to break through and reverses, a pullback towards the support level of 1.43037 could indicate a bearish trend continuation. 📊 Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, EURCAD has been trending upwards since early 2023, with the current price action testing the resistance around 1.50153. The RSI at 63.44 reflects bullish momentum but is close to overbought territory. 🧲 A breakout above 1.50153 could signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting higher levels. 📉 However, a reversal or stabilization below 1.49002 may indicate a weakening of the bullish trend and potential for a correction. 📊 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis In the 4-hour timeframe, EURCAD recently experienced a strong bullish impulse, followed by a consolidation phase. The pair is currently testing resistance at 1.50182. 📈 For long positions, a breakout above 1.50182 could provide an entry point, with targets at 1.51000 and beyond. 📉 For short positions, key support levels to watch are 1.49188 and 1.48730, with a potential for deeper retracement towards 1.47733. 📊 RSI Oscillator The RSI across the timeframes is currently indicating a mixed outlook: Weekly: 62.21, close to overbought Daily: 63.44, nearing overbought 4-Hour: 46.58, neutral with room for both upside and downside A clear break of the RSI levels, combined with price action confirmation, could help identify potential trade entries. 🧲 Conclusion Given the current bullish momentum in the weekly and daily timeframes, a short-term long position could be considered if EURCAD breaks above 1.50153. However, caution is warranted as the pair approaches resistance, and the RSI suggests potential overbought conditions. A watchful eye on support levels and volume trends will be crucial for assessing the strength of any moves. ⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply providing this analysis for educational purposes. Always do your own research and consider your trading strategy and risk management plan. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
solanaHey guys It seems that we can expect a reaction from the two specified price ranges. On the thirty-minute time frame, a compression movement has been created and it seems that according to the signals issued by Ichi Moko; We can expect an upward trend up to the specified price area. Keep in mind that if the marked red support area is completely consumed, the possibility of a downward trend to the $60 price area can be considered!!! Is the news that QSOL is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange true? What do you think?
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by BiTBingo
ETH - Bullish Short-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. ETH has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel in red. 📈As long as the last low in red holds, a continuation towards the $2500 would be expected. In parallel, if the red low is broken downward, a bearish correction towards the $3000 round number would be expected. Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
3
CAMPUS: Low Public Shareholding 📉🤦 The shareholding pattern of a company refers to the distribution of its ownership among different categories of investors, including promoters, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII), Domestic Institutional Investors (DII), and the general public. The ideal shareholding pattern can vary depending on the nature of the company, industry dynamics, and regulatory guidelines. However, A low public shareholding tells a lot about the future of both the company and its shareholders. Below are some good to know pointers: 1. Low Liquidity: Low public holding can lead to lower trading volumes a.k.a. Low liquidity. It means there are fewer buyers and sellers in the market. 2. Wider Bid-Ask Spreads: The reduced liquidity could result in wider bid-ask spreads. The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest price a buyer is willing to pay (bid) and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept (ask). In illiquid markets, bid-ask spreads tend to be wider, making it more expensive to buy or sell shares, and potentially making it difficult to execute trades at desired prices. 3. Lack of Price Discovery: The market sets the price for every security after discounting it for everything that matters. In illiquid markets, the true market price may be difficult to determine due to a lack of trading activity. This lack of price discovery can make it harder for investors to assess the fair value of the share. 4. Market Manipulation and Market volatility: Low liquidity markets may be more susceptible to market manipulation, as a small number of investors can have a significant impact on prices. Imagine a particular DII or FII exiting its entire position in an illiquid market. The prices would crash like crazy. 5. Risk of Delisting: This is a rare case scenario but is still a possibility. PE and VC funds keep an eye on such companies as it is comparatively easier to make such companies private. When to invest in such companies: Taking a closer look at CAMPUS's shareholding, we can see that promoters own about 75% of the company, while Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have 7.5%, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) hold 6.5%, and the general public has around 8%. This does show that the promoters, DIIs and FIIs are pretty confident about their investment. Promoters, FIIs, and DIIs are different from regular individual investors. They invest for the long haul, focusing on the company's overall health rather than just buying and selling shares. Unlike many individual investors, FIIs and DIIs carefully choose to invest in a business for specific reasons. They're patient and willing to wait for their investments to grow over time because they believe in the company's potential. A retail investor may invest in such a company if: - He has confidence in the industry the company operates in, - He trusts that the company's business is solid, - He has faith in the management's ability to make good decisions, And - He is willing to be patient for the Company to reach its prime Else, investing in such a company can be a real Nightmare. Campus stands at an All-Time low. Imagine an investor who invested during its IPO and is still red. Can you tell us what other companies have low public shareholding? What should we analyze next? Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? DM us or comment below.👇 ⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
NSE:CAMPUS
by TheChartereds
9
2024-07-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Lower low again after market formed a perfect double top with Globex high, which was couple of ticks above Globex open. Market is going down but barely. Bears taking profits at new lows and wait for market to go higher again before they sell it. 1h 20ema is a roller coaster. Need to trade small, have wide stops and wait for decent pullbacks. current market cycle: trending trading range or broad bear channel, whatever you prefer to call it key levels: 74 - 78 bull case: Bulls buying new lows and making money. That’s about it. They are too weak to push to make new highs and bears will probably stop at bigger resistance which I think is below 74. Invalid below 73. bear case: Bears in control but they are taking profits at new lows and thats why the channel down is so broad and we have two sided trading. Play the bear channel until it’s clearly broken. Do not try to be a rocket scientist here and start with macro schmackro stuff about oil. It’s going down, look for shorts. Be Forest Gump and not Cathie Wood. Invalid above 78. short term: Bearish. Play the channel. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday current swing trade: Still short since 82.69. trade of the day: Selling the double top Globex and EU high at 77.6. Had to get short latest at bar 42 but better 41 since it was also a head & shoulders or the top of the trading range. More than enough reasons to sell.
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by priceactiontds
2024-07-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Decent selling by the bears today. I expect follow through tomorrow but mostly sideways markets going into US close tomorrow. Earnings is a gamble imo and I don’t do that. I’m playing the bear channel and will be flat once market stalls. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18200 - 18700 bull case: Bulls also bought new lows here and scalped. They bounced at the 50% pb from last week and now they want to go mostly sideways to break out of the bear channel. I don’t think they want to die on that hill. They had a decent pullback last week and know that bears want at least 18300 again. Invalidation is below 18200. bear case: Bears did ok today but closed barely below Friday’s close. They want to continue the channel down to 18300 but I don’t think many traders want to have big positions going into tomorrow’s US close given the earnings releases. Play the channel until it breaks. Invalidation is above 18560. short term: Bearish as long as the bear channel holds. 1. Target below is 18300 medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. Update: 400 points in profit, will take most off around 18000-18100 and see where Market wants to go. —unchanged trade of the day: Trading range from Globex until US opened. Best trades were shorts from EU open bar 28 for gap close and can exit bar 37. Next best short was bar 52, follow through selling after a two legged pullback right below the 15m 20ema.
EUREX:FDXSU2024Short
by priceactiontds
EURUSD trading signals✨EUR/USD is trading highs near 1.0850 during the European session on Thursday. The pair ignored risk-on market sentiment and dismal German IFO data, finding support from US dollar weakness. Traders are now looking to US Q2 GDP data for fresh guidance. ✨Technically EURUSD is in an uptrend. Our BUY signal is in the critical zone of the EMA combined with the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level. The starting point of wave 5 of the Elliot wave model with the expectation that the currency pair will reach the resistance level at 1.1000 coincides with Fibonacci 1.272. BUY EURUSD now zone 1.08500-1.08300 ↠  Stoploss 1.08000 → Take Profit 1 1.08800 → Take Profit 2 1.09500
Long
by TVS-Trader
6
Gold Analysis July 26Fundamental Analysis: Gold prices gained some positive momentum during the European session on Friday, seemingly snapping a two-day losing streak. Better-than-expected US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data released on Thursday reinforced the view that the economy is holding up well. Gold has shown resilience below the 34-day simple moving average (EMA) on the H1, amid expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September. However, upside momentum appears to be limited as traders await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index later on Friday for further clues on the Fed's policy path. Technical Analysis Gold is trading in a narrow range ahead of the PCE data. Initial resistance is at 2373-2375, created by the trendline and the falling channel formed in the morning. If this price channel is broken, the SELL zone at 2385 and 2400 is formed at strong resistance. In the opposite direction, the support zone may sweep and the liquidity zone at 2353 and we can scalp around the 2350 zone. The support zone is stronger at 2333. Pay attention to the strong ports to have a suitable news trading strategy. SELL zone 2400-2398 Stoploss 2404 SELL zone 2384-2386 Stoploss 2390 BUY zone 2335 - 2333 Stoploss 2330 BUY zone 2350-2348 Stoploss 2345
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
SWING IDEA - SUPRAJIT ENG Suprajit Engineering , renowned for its excellence in automotive cable manufacturing, stands as a stalwart in the industry, poised for potential growth and value appreciation. Let's delve into the technical factors guiding this promising swing trading opportunity. Reasons are listed below : A notable breakout has occurred, as the stock successfully breaches a symmetrical triangle pattern. A robust bullish Marubozu candle graces the weekly timeframe, signifying significant buying momentum and potential continuation of the uptrend. Notably, the breakout candle engulfs the preceding seven weekly candles, marking a decisive shift in market sentiment. The stock finds support at the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) on the weekly timeframe, reinforcing the bullish bias and providing a solid foundation for further upward movement. Accompanying this breakout is an uptick in trading volumes, indicating heightened investor interest and participation in the stock. Target - 475 // 540 StopLoss - weekly close below 380 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:SUPRAJITLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
#202431 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: comment: Bull trend is losing steam but still very bullish. Every dip is bought and market is mostly staying above the 4h 20ema. My measured move target upwards is around 72000. Do not look to short this is my advice and only look for strong bull breakouts on pullbacks. Trend kinda had 3 pushes up already but until the bull trend line is broken and market is trading below the daily 20ema, looking for shorts is a waste of time. comment: Bull trend stalling and market went sideways for a week. Bulls want to touch the bear trend line around 71000 again and bears want to break the bull trend line and drop below 63000 again. Simple as that. Will buy on strong momentum up and only consider shorts once the bull trend line is broken. current market cycle: Trading range (smaller bull trend inside of it) key levels: 53000-70000 bull case: Bulls move sideways for a week and got a strong rejection from 69400. They ill poke again above 69000 and try to print 70000 or higher again. Since this is a trading range 63000-69000, there is no deeper analysis. Bulls could have another leg up or not. I wait for a clear breakout and trade along. Invalidation is below 65000. bear case: Still nothing for the bears. Best they can hope for is to make the market go sideways under 70000. I do think that if they break the bull trend line, market can drop faster than it went up. Invalidation is above 70000. outlook last week: (none) short term: Bullish if we break above 68000 for tp 70000 or higher. Absolute no interest in shorts. → Last Sunday we traded around 68000 and now we are at 68000. High was 69400, so 600 points short. Decent outlook. short term: neutral. My best guess is that market is not able to reach 70000 again and reverses over the next days. Obviously too early to talk about shorts but I have no interest in longs above 66000. medium-long term: I have been writing about getting down to 50000 for many many weeks now and since we are only 3500 points above it, it’s time to review my medium-long term take. I do think we are doing a very similar thing to 2021. Market will probably touch the monthly 20ema at 46000 soon and then go for a dead cat bounce. I do not think market can do a higher high again. For me it’s lower highs from here on and highest I think it can get again is 65000 but I do think there is a good chance, 63000 may be all bulls can get again. If it trades strongly below 46000, probably 30000 soon after but let’s make 46000 first and then I reevaluate my take. Update: Dead cat bounce way too strong to call it that. Still holding my 40000 target for 2024. current swing trade: none chart update: none
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
1
#202431 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: bear case: Bears made another amazing trade selling above 2440 and since this was the third time, they are confident they can push the market lower to at least 2300 again. The selling was strong enough for a second leg and right now a measured move would bring us exactly to 2300. Coincidences huh. Every time someone tells you technical analysis does not work, just nod and make money. It’s not worth the discussion. comment: Bears got their second leg down and the buying has been lackluster at best. Leaning heavily bearish until bulls trade strongly above the daily 20ema again. It’s a tight channel down and already much stronger than the previous sell offs from > 2400. As long as the channel holds, I’m full bear. No deeper analysis needed. current market cycle: trading range on the daily chart but small bear trend inside, which could bring us to 2300. key levels: 2300 - 2488 bull case: Bulls are very weak. The pullbacks they printed so far were doji’s and inside bars. Until they can print a big bull bar closing on it’s high, they have no reasonable arguments for a reversal. 2300 is much more likely than a strong breakout above the bear channel. Expecting more buyers to step in around 2300/2310. Invalidation is below 2290. bear case: Increased volume on the sell off and every rip is sold. Play the channel as long as it holds, bears have every argument on their side. The odds that we break below 2300 this time are decent, since market now tried 3 times to hit 2500 and market will only try one thing so many times until it does the opposite. Invalidation is above 2436. outlook last week: “ short term: Full bear mode if we close below 2360 over the next 1-2 days. At least down to 2300 but decent chance we drop lower this time and start a new bear trend.” → Last Sunday we traded 2399 and now we are at 2381. Low of the week was 2352, outlook was good for 47. short term: Full bear mode continues as long as the bear channel holds. Look for shorts near the top and take profits at new lows. medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is moronic and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so don’t. —unchanged since May current swing trade: None. Will short on weakness on Monday. chart update: Added bear channel.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by priceactiontds
#202431 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: comment: Increased volume on the down move is telling you that this one is the real one. Over the next months, market will test down to the bull trend line from 2023-10, which is also where the weekly 20ema is. Friday we stopped around the smaller bull trend line and it’s a decent place to expect some pullback before we be on our way to 5400/5450 comment: Low of the week was 5432 and I wrote 5400/5450, +121 points. For most letters/rooms/subscriptions you have to pay good money for those outlooks, if you even get them this accurate. Hope you made some. current market cycle: Bull trap triggered. Probably forming a trading range first before we get to the bear trend. First guess for the range would be 5300 -5600 key levels: 5400-5600 bull case: Lower lows and lower highs. Bulls stopped the selloff where they had to and their last bull trend line before only the one from the covid low remains. I do think the two legged correction is good for now for the bears and a bounce is due. Since both sides have reasonable arguments, I think it will come down to earnings. If the mag7 report good and their outlook stays good, we bounce higher. If they fail or some fail, we move sideways. Slightly favoring a higher bounce to form a proper channel downwards. Decent chance bulls might close both bear gaps. Invalidation is below 5400. bear case: Bears see another minor pullback which could not even get to the daily 20ema at 5640. They want another strong leg down to 5300 to make it clear that the bull trend is dead. It’s not out of the picture that they get it. Probability wise, it’s more reasonable to expect the bull trend line to hold and at least go more sideways before another leg down. Issue with that is, that next week we have so many news that will have a big influence on longer term traders, that we will most likely go higher than 5500 or lower than 5400. For bears it’s a really bad short right at the big support. You can scalp short on strong momentum again but bears will likely wait for a pullback before they try again. My preferred path forward is the bear channel on my chart below. Invalidation is above 5600. outlook last week: short term: Bearish but also expecting a pullback first. Same as dax. → Last Sunday we traded 5553 and now we are at 5499. Low was 5432. Bearish was right. Pullback was right. Hope you made some. short term: Neutral. Both sides have valid arguments. Will make this dependent on earnings and will only do scalps for now. Market has to form a better channel if it wants a sustained down move. medium-long term: First target for this section was 5450 and that will be hit over the next days or 2 weeks. After that is 5300 over the next 3-8 weeks and 5000 could be hit again in 2024. —update: 5450 was hit mid July. Next comes 5300 over the next 2-6 weeks. current swing trade: Took profits on the swing short from 5700. Will add again above 5550. chart update: Added my preferred bear channel for the next weeks.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
#202431 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls and bears alike knew the recent high at 18900 was a bad buy and they tried to save their bull case on Tuesday but once Wednesday came around and 18700ish was resistance the third time, they gave and we only produced lower highs since. Best bulls can hope for now is to keep it above 18000 and bounce at the weekly 20ema which is exactly right under Friday’s close and that the bull trend line from April will hold. Market expects a pullback and bulls want it to go above 18600, which increases the odds of this being a continuation of the triangle, rather than a new bear trend. comment: Bulls got to 18774, which was way too high for it being a pullback in a bear trend. Market is in a descending triangle where the support is 18200ish. Since we are in the middle of it, worst place to trade. Both sides have reasonable arguments for Monday but this pattern will break next week to one side or the other. Given the many upcoming earnings, I won’t predict them, nor gamble on a trade before market is showing the direction. current market cycle: trading range - go look at the monthly chart. It’s a clear 5 month trading range. —update: 5 months now instead of 4. Will break soon. key levels: small range 18000 / 18900 bull case: Bulls had a two legged pullback which got higher than the bears would have liked, which increased the odds of a continuation of the trading range. No side is strong enough to keep the market above or below the daily 20ema, so we are neutral af. You don’t need to analyse it further. Save your mental capacity on other markets and wait for a clear breakout. Invalidation is below 18147. bear case: Bears lost control on Tuesday where they allowed the market to go 200 points above the daily 20ema. They got a strong reversal from above 18700 down to 18200 but there they took profits again and the range continues. 18500 is a bad spot for everyone. Maybe strong bears will respect the minor trend line we formed and trade back down from here to retest the lows but that’s a weak argument at best. The other bear trend line around 18400 is a more reasonable expectation. If we get there, I expect bears to show strength again, just as bulls will probably buy 18200 again. Below 18200 comes 18000 and 17840 in play. Invalidation is above 18785. outlook last week: short term: Full bear mode. Will try to catch the bounces as good as one can but the big money will be made to the downside over the next months. Short term we will see a bounce that should stay below 18500/18600 and from there I expect another big leg down to 17800. → Last Sunday we traded 18298 and now we are at 18535. High of the week was 18774 and the low was 18200. Said we get a bounce to 18500/18600 and the high was 18774. Almost perfect outlook since the downside was not as deep but we will get there in the next days/weeks. short term: Neutral. Can see this going both ways and I don’t gamble. No bigger interest in buying this but rather waiting for weakness above 18600 to short again. medium-long term: Time to update this section. I called for 17000 for couple of months now and I said, any short around or above 19000 is amazing. The highs held and now we will see how low we can get in 2024. 17100 is still my first bigger target and should be reached in 2024. At this point it does not make sense to call lower targets. —unchanged since 2024-07 current swing trade: Took some profits on my shorts at 18300 and would add above 18600 again. Chart update: Added minor bear trend lines and adjusted the lower bull trend line but I don’t think market is respecting it that much. Support around 18200 and a descending triangle is more likely.
EUREX:FDXSU2024
by priceactiontds
Comprehensive Analysis of CFX✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day. 📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the CFX coin in the crypto market. 🗂 About the Project: CFX, or Conflux, is a decentralized platform designed to facilitate the creation of decentralized applications and to support large-scale commercial use. Known for its unique Tree-Graph consensus algorithm, it aims to provide high throughput and low latency for blockchain transactions, making it a popular choice among developers. 📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis In this timeframe, CFX has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak, which was a critical supply zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, CFX is at a support level of 0.1081 after a correction phase. 📈 If CFX stabilizes above 0.2336, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 0.5155. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level. 📉 Conversely, if CFX falls back into the range between 0.1081 and 0.2336, and stabilizes below 0.1081, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 0.0539. In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence. 📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, CFX ranged around the 0.1955 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 0.1421. 🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below 0.1421 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 0.1955, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels. 📅 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis In the 4-hour timeframe, CFX has pulled back to the SMA99 and reached the resistance at 0.1976. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement. 📈 For short positions, the key levels to watch are 0.1976 and 0.2611, where price reactions could provide better entry points. 📉 For long positions, critical levels are 0.1421 and 0.1081. 📊 RSI Oscillator The RSI is currently ranging between 44.24 and 55.86 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points. 📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans. ⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
priceactiontds - weekly update - nvidia #6Good day and I hope you are well. Last time I talked about Nvidia was 2024-07-06 and Nvidia was at 125.8 and my targets were 117 first and later 100. Low was 106.3, so my last post was good for 9$ or 15%. Hope you made some. comment: My reading from 3 weeks ago was correct but market did another bounce in between to form a nice lower high double top. Yes, double tops can be slightly higher/lower and technically function as a double top. Why do you care if they are not perfect if the market is treating them the same way? The big round number 100 as a target remains and the current tight bear channel is decent enough to get us there. There is always the possibility of the pattern failing and market would break above the bear flag to test the highs again. Given the overall market weakness for the past 2 weeks I expect a bounce more than another strong leg down. Given that the upcoming week will have huge amount of big earnings, I think market will react to those and I am not in the business of forecasting earnings. So how does this information help with structuring a trade from the current price 113? Not much to be honest. Please red below bull/bear case. current market cycle: Most likely a trading range. The strong climactic bull trend is over and market is most likely in the process for forming a trading range at the highs. The argument that the big bull trend line, currently running at 100 is intact and therefore the bigger bull trend is still ongoing is valid. key levels: 100 - 140 bull case: Every bull who bought above 120 is underwater and since the ath was at 140, there a probably plenty. Market now dropped below 120 for the third time and if bulls can not strongly close above 120 soon again, they will give up for good buying high and will only buy pullbacks. Earnings end of August can be another surprise upwards but would you bet on another ath? Risky to say the least. Bulls need to keep the current bull gap, down to 96, open or the bull trend for sure is over and the upside around 140 limited, while the downside risk stays the same. bear case: Last time I wrote again that this stock will half again and the current 26% drop is a pretty good start. That's enough to burn all late bulls and they will not buy high again. That is why my preferred path is a bounce over the next 1-2 days but the bear flag will hold until market touches the 100$ target. If the bull flag breaks convincingly, I am wrong and bulls took control again and will most likely test above 130 again. The measured move target (orange line) is also around the weekly 20ema and the big round number 100. More than enough reasons to test that price. short term: Leaning slightly bearish but given the amount of earnings next week and that the overall market is due for a bigger bounce, more reasonable is to be neutral until you see strong momentum to either side. medium-long term: This stock will touch 100$ in 2024 again. current swing trade: Last time I said on the next weakness I'd short and my target 117 was good but market gave 106. No current position but will look for shorts above 130 again.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by priceactiontds
UNI Market Outlook: Trends and Levels to Watch✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day. 📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the UNI coin in the crypto market. 🗂 About the Project: UNI, or Uniswap, is a decentralized trading protocol known for its role in facilitating automated trading of decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens. Uniswap is also the name of the company that initially built the Uniswap protocol. The protocol enables users to trade crypto assets directly from their wallets without relying on a centralized intermediary. ⌛️Weekly Timeframe In this timeframe, UNI has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw a downward trend reaching a critical support level of 7.030. Following this, the price has shown some consolidation, suggesting a potential shift in trend. 📈 If UNI stabilizes above 7.030, we can anticipate bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 12.099. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level. 📉 Conversely, if UNI falls back and stabilizes below 7.030, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 4.039. 📊 In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence. ⌛️Daily Timeframe 🔍 On the daily chart, UNI ranged around the 8.193 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 7.280. 🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below 7.280 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 8.193, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels. ⌛️4-Hour Timeframe 📈 In the 4-hour timeframe, UNI has pulled back to the resistance at 7.683. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement. 📉 For short positions, the key levels to watch are 7.683 and 8.278, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are 7.463 and 6.945. 💥RSI Oscillator The RSI is currently ranging between 42.46 and 53.05 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points. 📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans. ⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
2
Profitable Triangle Trading Strategy Explained Descending triangle formation is a classic reversal pattern . It signifies the weakness of buyers in a bullish trend and bearish accumulation . In this article, I will teach you how to trade descending triangle pattern. I will explain how to identify the pattern properly and share my trading strategy. ⭐️ The pattern has a very peculiar price action structure : 1. Trading in a bullish trend, the price sets a higher high and retraces setting a higher low . 2. Then the market starts growing again but does not manage to set a new high, setting a lower high instead. 3. Then the price drops again perfectly respecting the level of the last higher low, setting an equal low . 4. After that, one more bullish movement and one more consequent lower high , bearish move, and equal low . Based on the last three highs , a trend line can be drawn. Based on the equal lows , a horizontal neckline is spotted. ❗What is peculiar about such price action is the fact that a set of lower highs signifies a weakening bullish momentum : fewer and fewer buyers are willing to buy from horizontal support based on equal lows. 🔔 Such price action is called a bearish accumulation . Once the pattern is formed it is still not a trend reversal signal though. Remember that the price may set many lower highs and equal lows within the pattern. The trigger that is applied to confirm a trend reversal is a bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern. 📉Then a short position can be opened. For conservative trading, a retest entry is suggested. Safest stop is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. However, in case the levels of the lower highs are almost equal it is highly recommendable to set a stop loss above them all. 🎯For targets look for the closest strong structure support. Below, you can see the example of a descending triangle trade that I took on NZDCAD pair. After I spotted the formation of the pattern, I was patiently waiting for a breakout of its neckline. After a breakout, I set a sell limit order on a retest. Stop loss above the last lower high. TP - the closest key support. 90 pips of pure profit made. Learn to identify and trade descending triangle. It is one of the most accurate price action patterns every trader should know.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/GBP Forex Pair Analysis: Key Levels and Market Insights✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day. 📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the EUR/GBP pair in the Forex market. 🗂 About the Pair: EUR/GBP represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. This pair is heavily influenced by economic policies, political events, and market sentiment in the Eurozone and the United Kingdom. 📅Weekly Timeframe In this timeframe, EUR/GBP has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak, which was a critical supply zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, EUR/GBP is at a support level of around 0.8383 after a correction phase. 📈 If EUR/GBP stabilizes above 0.8515, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 0.8759. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level. 📉 Conversely, if EUR/GBP falls back into the range between 0.8383 and 0.8515, and stabilizes below 0.8383, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 0.8246. 📊 In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence. 📅Daily Timeframe 🔍 On the daily chart, EUR/GBP ranged around the 0.8497 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 0.8437. 🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below 0.8437 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 0.8497, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels. 📅4-Hour Timeframe 📈 In the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/GBP has pulled back to the SMA99 and reached the resistance at 0.8497. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement. 📉 For short positions, the key levels to watch are 0.8497 and 0.8531, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are 0.8437 and 0.8388. RSI Oscillator 💥 The RSI is currently ranging between 41.44 and 50.42 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points. 📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans. ⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1