EURCAD: Bullish Move After Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD broke and closed above a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, the price retested the broken structure
and formed a narrow horizontal range on that.
The violation of its upper boundary with a bullish imbalance
is a strong bullish signal.
Chances are high that the pair will go up and reach at least 1.4928 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Priceaction
2024-12-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax futures - Neutral. Bulls tried 4 times to push above 20450 and failed. Bears did not take advantage and we printed higher lows. As of now it looks like 20400 is the neutral price for tomorrow but I expect a bigger range to both sides before we settle probably somewhere around 20400 again. Any close at the extremes to either side would surprise me.
comment: Clear trading range 20300 - 20500 until we strongly break above or below. For tomorrow I think we can do a retest of the ath 20506 and maybe even a breakout below the channel and test 20350 or lower. I do not expect the week to close to at either extreme. 20400 is the 50% of the current range and the biggest magnet for now. Tomorrow is quad witching. So don’t mess up your trading week getting trapped.
current market cycle: bull trend but very late and will end soon
key levels: 20000 - 20500
bull case: Market is not finding enough buyers above 20450 but bulls are still eager to not let the market make lower lows.
Invalidation is below 20300.
bear case: Bears are content with selling 20450 and that’s about it. We are far above the daily 20ema and bears have only printed 2 daily doji bars. That’s as weak as it gets. Higher prices are still possible. Only a daily close below 20k would help their case. On the 1h chart one could argue that we had 3 legs up inside the current bull channel and market is free to test lower but where are the consecutive strong bear bars? Bears are weak.
Invalidation is above 20520.
short term: Mostly neutral but we are making higher lows and higher highs. Expecting a bigger range for tomorrow but any close above 20500 or below 20380 would surprise me.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-02: 20000 hit, hope you listened. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your current trading at all. Now it’s about being patient and waiting for the profit taking to start.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buy low sell high inside range or just don’t trade at all. Atrocious day.
Plan for 13th December 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing trading ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
USDCHF ready to continue the upward move! Hello traders!
Price making a candlestick with a long lower shadow indicating a bounce into support. The downtrend was broken a few candles ago. Price at 61.8% Fib after a correction. Volume and CVD supporting the idea.
Timeframe: daily
Idea support:
- Price action
- Volume Analysis
- Trend analysis
DXY FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for finding the upcoming moves and changes in DXY price. Here I'm using base and trendline strategy along with price action. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze or prediction.
#DXY 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD ANALYZEHere we are analyzing 2H time frame for gold. By using trendline and price action module. According to this analysis I'm looking sell trade when price come into our zone than we will take some confirmation like candles confirmation and price action and than after strong confirmation we will take sell trade.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
CHFJPY: Intraday Bearish Move Confirmed 🇨🇭🇯🇵
I think that CHFJPY may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
I spotted a formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern on an hourly time
frame after its test.
The breakout of its support line indicates a local strength of the sellers.
We can expect an intraday bearish movement at least to 171.82 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
2024-12-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures - Neutral. Having a hard time being bullish inside trading ranges and unexpected moves higher. Volume is utter trash and yet market broke above last weeks high and the bear trend line. Bulls want 71 next but I would not be surprised if we go down to 68 or even 67 again.
comment: Daily chart shows the trading range which is still contracting but the very small break above last weeks high is a start for the bulls. Buying at previous resistance inside a trading range is always a bad trade. I’d rather wait if bulls come around big time on a pullback and see if it has strong momentum and can break above 70.5.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 67 - 71
bull case: Bulls made a small higher high and now want 71 next. The rally is not particularly strong and the volume is also atrocious. I don’t have many arguments for the bulls here.
Invalidation is below 66.27
bear case: Bulls have not printed more than 2 consecutive bull bars for almost 2 months now. Bears see that, previous resistance 70.5 from last week and still a bear trend line close enough. They have much more reasons to sell this, than bulls have for buying it.
Invalidation is above 70.6.
short term: Neutral. I wait for one side to gain momentum again but my bar for the bulls is higher than for the bears. I don’t have an opinion on where this goes next. For me it’s 50/50 if we go down to at least 69 or higher to 71.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10 : Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade : Nope
trade of the day: Tough. Long was obviously right but there were so many trend lines that could have been resistance, it was much more reasonable to not take the longs than to hope for a breakout above multiple trend lines.
NZDJPY is all set to continue its upward movement! The price is moving within an ascending channel and has just hit the lower limit again, bouncing back up and forming a bullish candlestick with a long lower wick and a small body. This suggests that sellers have made another unsuccessful try to change the trend, even creating a higher low that backs up the uptrend. The price is also bouncing off the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. NZDJPY is moving towards the major volume activity price range around 90.5. On top of that, volume analysis backs this up, indicating that buyers are getting stronger and ready to push the price up.
Time Frame: daily
Idea support:
- Price action
- Volume Analysis
- Trend analysis
EURAUD is all set to continue its downward movement! The price is moving down within a descending channel. Right now, it bounced off the upper boundary and hit a key weekly resistance. A candlestick pattern with a long upper wick and a small body has formed. Plus, there's a rising wedge on the 4-hour chart. A short trade looks good based on price action and backed by volume analysis, which clearly shows a clear exhaustion of buyers.
Time Frame: daily
Idea support:
- Price action
- Volume Analysis
- Trend analysis
2024-12-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Beautiful bear channel and you should trade it until it’s clearly broken. We are going down but it’s weak selling. Bears barely get lower prices, even on increased volume. Means that there is also much scaling into longs for probably another big leg up.
current market cycle: Bull trend - very late and we are in the very last stage of it
key levels : 21000 - 21700
bull case: Bulls are keeping the market two sided, since the channel is shallow. Market closed only 80 points lower than yesterday. As long as bulls have strong pull backs in between, they are fine and they can scale into longs and make money. Bears have to take profits at new lows in fear of another big pull back higher. That is why we are mostly moving sideways, despite making lower lows and highs.
Invalidation is a daily close below 21000.
bear case: Bears are trying on increased volume but they are not doing enough damage to the bulls, to make more cover or prevent them from buying new lows. Bears can’t sell 21400 because we can easily test back up to the top of the channel. If bears are strong, they will keep it below 20500 tomorrow but I highly doubt that. I do think the high 21606 will hold. Trade the channel.
Invalidation is above 22000.
short term: Bullish for 21500ish. Maybe 21530. I favor one or two more legs down before Friday’s close. As of now with the structure we have, I can only imagine that we will see another full melt up from next week into year end. Maybe 22000. If this closes 2024 below 21000, consider me surprised big time.
medium-long term: Will update this over the weekend. 22000 is a possibility but a bit far for now. Daily close above 20500 would bring it in play. First target for Q1 2025 is 19000.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Selling near 21600 was perfect. Bears showed strength in that area and once we broke below 21540, market never looked back.
2024-12-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold - Bullish but only until 2740ish. Bulls broke strongly above 2700 and the triangle is dead. Next stop is previous resistance around 2743. I do expect a pullback first, since the channel is obvious. Chart shows the preferred way for me.
comment : Bulls are in control again. My chart is very clear, so I won’t try to make stuff up in here. 2678 should not be broken again and next target for the bulls is 2743ish. I expect a pullback down to 2710 or even 2700 before another leg up. If we break above the current channel, we will likely print 2800 before end of Friday.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2680 - 2745 (above that is 2800 next)
bull case: Chart tells the whole story for the bulls. Don’t make this more complicated as it is. Any pullback below 2710 is a decent buy with stop 2678.
Invalidation is below 2678.
bear case: Bears gave up once they could not reverse the market below 2670 again after y close and the early test down to 2683 in the EU session.
Invalidation is above 2745.
short term: Bullish. Look for longs near the lower channel line or 1h 20ema.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom near 2680.
Review and plan for 11th December 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Stock- swing trading.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Decentraland (MANA)📊 MANA Analysis
🔹 Overall Status:
MANA has successfully broken out of its descending channel. However, it failed to push higher after reaching the weekly resistance (red zone). Currently, the coin is correcting and pulling back from this resistance toward the top of the descending channel.
🔹 Daily Timeframe Analysis:
Correction of the Uptrend:
The upward wave, which started from the bottom of the channel, has now retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
Forecast:
This correction might deepen further and test lower support levels, such as 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
🔹 Weekly Timeframe Analysis:
If MANA can break its weekly resistance:
The price could rally toward the gray zones.
These zones align with the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci levels.
🔹 RSI and Entry Signals:
The RSI entering the Overbuy zone on both daily and weekly timeframes can act as a trigger for entry.
✅ Conclusion and Recommendations:
1️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels:
0.382 Fibonacci level (current support).
Red zone (weekly resistance).
2️⃣ Entry Strategy:
Gradual laddered entry after confirming support or breaking the weekly resistance.
Support confirmation could include retesting and stabilizing at these levels.
3️⃣ Monitor RSI:
Pay close attention to RSI signals on the daily and weekly timeframes to ensure trend strength.
4️⃣ Risk Management:
Laddered entries help reduce investment risks and allow for adjustments if deeper corrections occur.
💡 Pay close attention to price behavior, manage your risk effectively, and stay alert to key support and resistance zones.
GOLD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 2H time frame for GOLD. Today I'm looking for potential sell trade opportunity. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.