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$GOLD PRICE ACTION : (READ THE CAPTION) The four-hour gold chart shows an uptrend. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, which is a confirmation of bullish momentum. Therefore, the market is expected to reach the first resistance. Key levels The first resistance is at $1984.32, which corresponds to the 127.20% Fibonacci level. The second resistance is formed at $2006.86. Intermediate support is located at 1971.03 and can lead to a bullish return of the market. The first support level is at 1949.45, which indicates a strong support zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn6964649
EUR/USD higher after mixed European releasesThe euro has stabilized on Wednesday and is in positive territory. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0519, up 0.50%. Germany is the largest economy in the eurozone. Once a global powerhouse, the economy has weakened and finds itself in the unfamiliar position of being a laggard in the bloc. Recent economic releases haven't been encouraging, but there was some good news from the services sector today. The Final Services PMI rose to 50.3 in September, up from 47.3 in August and above the preliminary estimate of 49.8. Still, the outlook for services activity remains soft as demand has been weak and service providers remain pessimistic. The Eurozone Services PMI remained in contraction territory with a reading of 48.7 in September. This marked a small rise from 47.9 in August and was higher than the consensus estimate of 48.4. Eurozone retail sales declined 1.2% m/m in August, compared to a revised 0.1% m/m decline in July and below the consensus estimate of -0.3% m/m. The decline was broadly based and will likely weigh on third-quarter GDP. On an annualized basis, retail sales fell by 2.1%, following a 1.0% decline in July. This marked an eleventh straight monthly decline. European consumers are grappling with 6% inflation and real wage growth was negative in the second quarter. Against this backdrop, it's no wonder that consumers are cutting back on consumption. ECB President Christine Lagarde signalled that the central bank is likely done with its rate-tightening cycle. Lagarde said in a speech today that interest rates were at a sufficiently restrictive level to bring inflation back down to the ECB's 2% target. The ECB raised rates at last month's meeting but hinted strongly that interest rates have peaked. The central bank is counting on elevated rates to continue filtering through the economy and cooling down growth and inflation. The ECB has raised rates ten straight times in the current tightening cycle, but the last decision was a dovish hike and a pause at the October 26th meeting would not be a surprise. EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.0489. Above, there is resistance at 1.0572 There is support at 1.0404 and 1.0321
by fisherkj4
✏️ $GOLD : Another Fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, the price fell to $1914 and after that it was able to grow up to $1928! The range of $1924 to $1929 is one of the supply ranges, and if the price stabilizes below this level in the 4-hour time frame, we will probably see a further drop in the price! Note that we still have a liquidity void in the range of $1931 to $1945, which we expect to be filled in the short term! Among the attractive and important supply zones, we can mention $1941 to $1947! Don't Forghet To Push The Boost (Like) Button and Follow Me for more ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
83
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/22/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2023 - PR High: 14871.25 - PR Low: 14850.00 - NZ Spread: 47.75 Significant Economic event: 09:45 – S&P Global Services PMI Continuing inventory decline - Near 14800 pivot from 8/25 Evening Stats (As of 1:15 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807) - Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939) - Session Open ATR: 235.77 - Volume: 32K - Open Int: 236K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -11.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 16105 - Mid: 15247 - Short: 14675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQZ2023Long
by mv3trader5
FOMC Order And PredictionTargeting sells from 1944-46 area. Golds sudden bullish movement to this price has caught my eye. I believe FOMC will not raise rates, thus I think it will have a huge impact on metals. There could be range up to that 1948, my stop is at 1948.5 with 2 targets 1940 and 1927 which was around the area of 25 key support. Ive implemented the use of FVG, BOS and CHoCH, Im slightly adjusting the way I trade news, and trying to play it safer with setting orders rather than instant executions. Overall this trade gives me a 1:1, 1:3.75 R/R. Orders set, lets see how my analysis goes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by xEthan
DXY Is About To Revert - Peak Strength Index - 63 DXY Possible? The DXY has been in a position like this 3 times in history 1985 | 2001 | 2023 Every time the DXY has had a TSI 4W cross while the Stoch RSI was in the afterburn stage of rising with the Japanese Currency (JPY) either breaking major support or major resistance it has led to a complete rubber band reversal of the DXY. We now have the USDJPY hanging onto to support from 1990s. DXY losing momentum, PMI index reverting. DXY in Burn Zone. TSI showing strength loss. Annual inflation rate in the US 3% Does not matter if you think the SPY is overvalued, the FRED is done raising rates Inflation has collapsed (for now) meaning their next option is to hold / drop rates + initiate stimulus. This will cause a panic reaction and rush back into all assets away from bonds and money market funds. Recession will be avoided for 2024 and many will blame the FRED for "printing money" but the reality is this is going to cause every market to overheat and burn up depending on how fast the DXY reverts. This is where you get the flash backs of 1920s leverage something worse will develop over the next years and create a larger problem. Get the popcorn ready.
TVC:DXYShort
by FederalXBT
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/6/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023 - PR High: 15525.50 - PR Low: 15509.75 - NZ Spread: 32.25 Economic Events: 09:45 – S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Prev session closed relatively flat - Still inside Friday's range - Fair to expect a breakout trend in the near future Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807) - Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939) - Session Open ATR: 237.20 - Volume: 17K - Open Int: 259K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -7.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 16105 - Mid: 15247 - Short: 14675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQU2023Short
by mv3trader5
Daily Market Analysis - THURSDAY JULY 06, 2023Key News: USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) USA - Initial Jobless Claims USA - Services PMI (Jun) USA - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) USA - JOLTs Job Openings (May) USA - Crude Oil Inventories During Wednesday's trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average concluded the day with a decline, driven by the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes for June. The minutes indicated a growing interest among policymakers in resuming interest rate hikes. However, in the tech sector, major players showcased mostly positive performance. Notably, Meta (formerly known as Facebook) soared to a 52-week high as anticipation mounted for its upcoming Twitter competitor. Specifically, the Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded a decrease of 0.38%, translating to a decline of 129 points. Similarly, both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 experienced a modest 0.2% decrease during the trading session. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index daily chart The release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes from June, which occurred on Wednesday, shed light on the members' sentiment regarding future rate hikes. The minutes revealed that a significant majority of the members, described as "almost all," expressed support for the notion of resuming rate hikes. This position was motivated by concerns about persistently high inflation levels, which were deemed "unacceptably high." Furthermore, the minutes indicated a hawkish stance among some members, with a preference for raising rates rather than pausing during the June meeting. These members highlighted their worries about a tight labor market, recognizing that such conditions could potentially drive up wages and inflation even further. However, while the discussion expressed a general inclination towards resuming rate hikes, the decision to implement such actions in July will largely depend on upcoming data. Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests that the forthcoming data expected to be released this week and next will play a crucial role in shaping the Fed's decision-making process. It is worth noting that approximately 90% of traders, as indicated by the Fed Rate Monitor Tool, anticipate that the Federal Reserve will indeed resume rate hikes in July. Effective Fed Funds Rate Investor concerns regarding a potential global economic slowdown were heightened due to underwhelming services data from China. However, the impact of these concerns on the broader market was somewhat mitigated by the strong performance of prominent technology companies. Notably, Meta (previously known as Facebook) experienced a significant surge of over 3%, reaching 52-week highs. This impressive performance came ahead of the launch of Meta's rival Twitter app, Threads, scheduled for Thursday. It is noteworthy that Twitter had recently announced its decision to temporarily restrict the number of posts users can read on its platform. Meta Platforms stocks daily chart Despite Apple's 0.6% decline, the company's market capitalization remains above $3 trillion, demonstrating its significant value in the market. In contrast, Microsoft experienced a slight increase in its stock price. Wedbush, a prominent research firm, predicts that Microsoft will also join the exclusive $3 trillion club alongside Apple by early 2024. This projection is based on the belief that advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) will be a major driver of Microsoft's growth and valuation. Wedbush noted in a statement on Wednesday that, considering the potential of AI and through a sum-of-the-parts valuation, Microsoft's overall value should propel it to the esteemed $3 trillion club within the next few years. Microsoft stock daily chart During the US Independence Day holiday, major currencies displayed a noticeable trend of trading within narrow ranges in relation to the US dollar. Among the G10 currencies, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) emerged as the top performer. This could be attributed to the unwinding of long positions in the Australian dollar/New Zealand dollar (AUD/NZD) pair, which likely contributed to the NZD's relative strength in the market. AUD/NZD daily chart Throughout this week, European markets have faced consistent declines, with yesterday's losses being notably significant. The downward trend in the markets is expected to persist today. The market weakness witnessed yesterday was primarily fueled by concerns surrounding disappointing services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from both China and Europe. These underwhelming data releases have heightened worries about a potential global economic slowdown. Furthermore, the increasing risks related to interest rates have contributed to weakness in sectors such as basic resources, energy, and financials, amplifying the overall market downturn. These negative sentiments have had a spill-over effect on Asian markets as well, reflecting the widespread concerns about the global economic landscape. Employed Usually Works Full time Chart US Employed Persons status Today's highly anticipated release of the ADP payrolls report is expected to show a robust figure of 225,000, slightly lower than the previous month's 278,000. Despite this slight decrease, it is important to note that the current level of job vacancies suggests that we are unlikely to see a weak jobs report in the upcoming months. Consequently, it is less probable that the labor market will serve as the catalyst for the Federal Reserve to signal a pause in its policies in the near future. US Purchasing Managers Index (ISM) The Federal Reserve has expressed concerns regarding the persistence of services inflation, highlighting its potential impact on the economy. Today's ISM services report is anticipated to reveal a modest uptick in headline activity, reaching around 51.3. However, special attention will be given to the prices paid component, which experienced a decline to 56.2 in May, marking a three-year low. This data will provide insights into the pricing pressures faced by service providers. As for Independence Day, please note that trading hours may be affected due to the holiday in the United States. The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. It provides insights into the health of the labor market and is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and market participants.
by FOREXN1
15
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/5/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2023 - PR High: 14584.25 - PR Low: 14556.25 - NZ Spread: 62.5 Economic Events: 09:45 – Services PMI 10:00 – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Relatively small weekend gap down. - Yet to be filled - Didn't take long to break into PR bear zone. - Low volume to start Monday session. Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM) - Weekend Gap: -0.08% (open > 14586) - Session Open ATR: 207.47 - Volume: 28K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -13.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 14675 - Mid: 14103 - Short: 31531 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQM2023Short
by mv3trader5
$QQQ Outlook 05/30 - 06/02The tech sector is on a tear. NASDAQ:NVDA earnings set the tone last week and the AI craze is on. NASDAQ:QQQ had a bullish week, closing up +3.53%, bringing it up +8.76% on the month. Strong earnings, job cuts, and developments in AI technology has sent the sector higher. Technical Analysis: The last two weeks saw NASDAQ:QQQ break out of the rising wedge we were watching. Last week’s high signaled a test of a bullish channel. This channel uses the same uptrend support line we’ve been watching since the beginning of March. We are looking to see if this continues higher, or if the channel resistance is respected. My general lean for this week is bullish, although after last week’s incredible run, I do expect a bit of a retrace before we head higher. A healthy pullback is due so we can continue to move up this channel. I would be bullish if price action can continue to hold above last week’s close of 348.40. Bear case if we can break below last week’s open at 336.25. I’d expect a bounce here as it is in the golden pocket (0.618 retrace would be 337.08), but if we cannot hold this level, we could target the gap to fill below down to 332.91 which would invalidate the golden pocket. Upside Targets: 348.40 → 349.25 → 350.72 → 352.46 → 354.43 Extended: 356.78 Downside Targets: 346.38 → 344.57 → 341.31 → 338.19 → 336.25 Extended: 334.35
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by peterjames_6
$SPY Outlook 05/30 - 06/02With a tentative agreement to raise the debt ceiling reached over the weekend, we now look to see how the markets react when it is voted on later this week. Technical Analysis: The megaphone pattern we’ve been watching all month is still in play. We also have the macro uptrend line that we have not tested since March. My general lean for this week is bullish. Bulls will want AMEX:SPY to hold above last week’s open at 418.64. Barring any additional news, I’m expecting us to fill the gap above to 420.77 - 421.22 when markets open on Tuesday. I do see a 15 minute Fair Value Gap around last week’s open at 418.64 where we could potentially form a support base before we head higher into the 423-425 range. Although I can see the market moving higher in the short term, I’d expect some corrective action in the coming weeks. Bear case if we fail to hold the 418.64 level, we could potentially retrace to the 0.618 fib at 414.04. Should we invalidate a golden pocket bounce, our next support zone would be the daily gap under the 50 SMA from 409.87- 407.27. Under this… megaphone plays out and we test the macro support trendline. Upside Targets: 420.77 → 421.22 → 421.97 → 422.82 → 423.54 Extended: 425.26 Downside Targets: 418.64 → 417.30 → 416.25 → 414.94 → 414.15 Extended: 408.87
AMEX:SPYLong
by peterjames_6
EURUSD Weekly Forecast | 22nd May 2023Fundamental Backdrop This week watch out for notably the German Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI. The German Flash Services PMI is expected to drop from 56 to 55. This can cause the EUR to weaken further Technical Confluences Resistance at 1.09900 Near-term support at 1.07550 Major support at 1.05340 Idea We could possibly see price continue it's bearish momentum from last week into this week and head towards the major support at 1.05340. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
DXY Weekly Forecast | 22nd May 2023Fundamental Backdrop The Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to decrease from 50.2 to 50.0 which shows contraction in economic health. The Flash Services PMI is also expected to drop from 53.6 to 52.6. The FOMC Meeting Minutes on Thursday. The FED will talk about future interest rates which was previously indicated to be on pause. Technical Confluences Near-term resistance at 103.500 Next resistance at 105.000 Minor support at 102.765 Major support at 102.200 Idea With the Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI expected to drop, it could cause the DXY to drop further towards the 102.700 minor support. If the FED chooses to pause or indicate pausing of interest rates, it can cause the DXY to drop even further towards the 102.200 major support level. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by OlympusLab