Pivot Points
ETH / BTC Secondary trend. Descending channel. Wedge. 18 10 2024A local wedge-shaped formation has formed in the descending channel in this ETH/BTC trading pair. There is potential for a breakthrough and price growth, to the resistance of this descending channel. Perhaps after consolidation. If this happens, then most of the “long-suffering” altcoins will similarly go up in price, but with a larger %. The local alt season will begin.
This trading pair clearly shows how money flows from one high-cap asset to another. Shown on the chart. Look at the time and the Bitcoin to Dollar chart, at the time of the breakout of the symmetrical triangle of the distribution zone downwards (weakness of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin). Since then, Bitcoin has grown in price by almost +200%. While Ethereum relative to Bitcoin has weakened by as much as -50%.
Now there is a reverse flow of bitcoin into ether, and some alts, for about 1.5 months already. Then, the money will flow into a variety of alts, which will consequently be reflected in their prices a little later. Today is a significant date 18 10 2024. There are 18 days left until the US presidential election.
Remember, about this, where this zone is in the main trend.
SP500 Secondary Trend. Bowl + handle. Resistance zone. 11 2023Logarithm. Large timeframe 1 week. On the chart a big bowl, you can say already with a handle, the price is testing the resistance of the previous market highs for the 3rd time (entering this zone). Breaking through it, this resistance will become a very strong support during the pumping (probability no more).
Simplifying the complex is the key to success.
Complicating the simple is a guarantee for your own confusion and mistakes on the plain.
It is based on knowledge and experience, which always leads to simplification of actions, not to complication !!!!
The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such.
The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such.
1️⃣ The increase in % rates will stop closer to the US presidential election, which is logical.
2️⃣ Before elections, the ruling party always shows the people the positive in its work for the people, even if there is none, i.e. injects money into the economy.
3️⃣ Handing out "free money" to potential voters before elections. Who will take it to the stock and cryptocurrency markets.
4️⃣ Changing the bear market cycle to a conventionally bullish one in 2024 and a bullish one in 2025.
5️⃣ Overcoming previous all-time highs, this is the third time we have tested this resistance of the SP500 index.
In other words, everything is as always. Before the elections, “everyone is good” and is pushing the economy up. USA together with the Fed. Only the so-called “black swan” can influence this, whether it is real (there are no such things) or staged, it doesn’t really matter. But, this is all a hypothetical probability, nothing more, which must always be kept in mind. Therefore, when the market rises, protect your profits with stop losses or hedge with correlated positions. As a rule, nothing happens, and if it does, the event itself is always inflated by the media and bloggers tens of times in importance, thereby creating the illusion of fear. Don't fall for such tricks, either.
The present, and especially the future, is not always a projection of a repetition of the past. It may be conditionally the same, but the details are radically different. This must always be remembered.
On linear, it looks like this:
The main trend of the index More than 100 years for clarity. Publication 11/22/2022
SP500 index. The whole trend. Anniversary 100 years
Vertical growth by +372% (madness, super pump)
Before the super collapse of the “Great Depression” Publication 11/22/2022
SP500 index. Pumping before the "Great Depression" Code 372-69
The game controls the people, not the people the game. The concept of a lot is always replaced by a little, a little more, until all their expectations “burst” from greed. This encourages some to become wiser, some, on the contrary, the closer the abyss, the cuter the devils.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 18.10.202415m Swing, Internal and Fractal Bearish and we are now testing fractal supply. We might get a bearish momentum to kick in from here or price could target deeper levels to mitigate premium supply zone
For shorts it makes sense to follow Bearish order flow.
For longs ideal to wait 4H Internal ( or 15m Swing ) to shift bullish
I have already mentioned couple of times that we could get fake breaks as we are in unmitigated daily demand range now and we already had fake bullish 4H ChoCHs. This could be to target unmitigated supply zones. Wait for strong bullish momentum to play longs.
Decline in EURUSD
Yesterday, as expected, the ECB lowered the interest rate, and EURUSD tested the next support level.
For now, it’s holding above 1,0800 with no potential for new trades.
When you don't have a reason to make a trade, don’t force one—look at other instruments instead.
For buying EUR, consider EURJPY.
For selling EUR, consider EURAUD.
EUR/AUD Testing Support Below 1-Year PivotHello,
FX:EURAUD remains bullish in the long term; however, the price is currently below the 1-year pivot point (PP) and is testing support levels, though the extent of this decline is still somewhat uncertain. At present, the price is expected to drop to around 1.605445 or 1.600245. The initial 1-year support at 1.603541 has, so far, been sufficient to push the price upward temporarily.
TradeWithTheTrend3344
EUR/CHF Eyes Bullish Reversal at 1M PivotHello,
OANDA:EURCHF continues to encourage buyers to maintain long positions. The 1-month pivot point (1M PP) has served as resistance, and additional support tests are likely unless the price breaks and holds above the 1M PP. If that happens, we could see a reversal into bullish territory.
TradeWithTheTrend3344
WTI Rebounds but Bearish Outlook PersistsHello,
BLACKBULL:WTI has gained some upward momentum after rebounding off the 1M pivot point (PP), but the overall outlook remains bearish. It's important to take calculated risks. Currently, the 1M and 1D pivot points have acted as support, and if the 1M PP continues to hold, we could see further upside potential.
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Brent Finds Support, Caution Amid Bearish TrendHello,
BLACKBULL:BRENT appears to have found support at the 1M pivot point and is now heading toward the 1W pivot point. However, caution is warranted as the overall trend for Brent remains bearish. Currently, the price is at a neutral level from a long-term perspective.
TradeWithTheTrend3344
USD/CHF looks set to leap out the gatesUSD/CHF has performed well since its latest rebound from 0.84, a level some analysts suspect prompts the SNB to intervene when prices cross beneath it. but unlike USD/JPY, its rally hasn't stalled near a big round number such as 150 or look overextended.
The daily RSI (14) is confirming the rally and not in the overbought zone. The USD-CHF 2-year spread has accelerated higher ahead of prices to suggest upside pressure could be building for USD/CHF.
And a solid bullish trend is apparent on the 1-hour chart, prices are consolidating above the weekly R1 pivot point and trades around the 20-hour EMA. on balance volume (OBV) is also confirming the bullish trend on the 1-hour chart.
Bulls could seek dips towards the weekly R1 pivot or enter around current levels in anticipation of an upside break of its consolidation. The weekly R1 makes a viable upside target, a break above which brings the R3 into focus around 0.8690.
AUD/JPY looks on the verge of a breakoutAnother strong employment report for Australia helped the Aussie dollar gain traction on Thursday. And with Wall Street stocks remaining supported amid a weak-yen environment, AUD/JPY could be nearing a bullish breakout.
AUD/JPY found support at the 200-day SMA on Wednesday and formed a bullish engulfing candle on Thursday. The 2-year AU-JP yield differential also appears set for another leg higher, which could help AUD/JPY break out of a potential bull flag.
The 102 handle sits near the monthly R1 pivot, making it an interim target. A break above which brings the June low and 103 handle into focus.
- Bulls could seek dips to the 100 handle and target the 102 and 103 handles
- A downside risk for this pair is if we enter a period of risk off
- A break beneath Wednesday's low invalidates the bullish bias
MS
WTI crude hints at cheeky bounce to $72WTI has fallen over 11% in seven days, and the loss of momentum around $70 could appeal to bullish swing traders. We're not looking for anything heroic here given the mixed signals on futures positioning, but it might be able to deliver a cheeky bounce higher over the near term.
MS.