GAS/USDT The confirmation of a breakout for a long trade!BINANCE:GASUSDT.P The breakout from resistance in the GAS chart is evident, signaling a favorable moment to enter a long trade.
#GAS/USDT LONG SCALP
Entries: $7.196
Take profit 1: $7.308
Take profit 2: $7.518
Take profit 3: $7.918
Stop Loss: $6.543
Stay tuned for trade confirmation and additional updates. Feel free to express your thoughts by liking and sharing in the comments section:)
Thanks
The sroced.
Patterns
RUNE/USDT The breakout for a long trade in has been confirmed!The chart clearly indicates that RUNE has broken out of its resistance. Now is an opportune moment to initiate a long trade.
#POLYX/USDT LONG SCALP 🍀
Leverage: 3x
Entries: $5.940
Take profit 1: $6.291
Take profit 2: $6.850
Take profit 3: $7.205
Stop Loss: $5.353
Stay tuned for trade confirmation and additional updates. Feel free to express your thoughts by liking and sharing in the comments section:)
Thanks
The sroced. BINANCE:RUNEUSDT.P
Gold (XAUUSD) Update Next Week 18-22 Dec23 The market seems poised for a period of consolidation, suggesting a sideways movement before a potential directional shift. During this phase, support is anticipated around 2010 - 2007, and a retracement could lead to a brief upside towards the resistance at 2028 - 2030. The market currently aligns with a green chart pattern, showing a possible resistance followed by a descent to 2000 - 1995 for Target 1, and further down to Target 2 at 1975 - 1960.
Other side, If market successfully breach its resistance levels of 2030 - 2033, as indicated in the buying zone, an upward trajectory is likely possible. This could result in reaching the Target 2050 - 2060, with a subsequent move towards 2090. Monitoring the market closely is crucial to identifying whether it will adhere to the consolidation phase or exhibit a breakout in either direction.
Bitcoin Power of 3In this theory we take the 2013 cycle as a trend line and place the correction from ATH > ATLs. History claims that in every cycle we have completed this pattern. There are 3 set rules in order to confirm a bottom is being made.
Note: These trendline are all identical and are not manipulated in anyway. Trendlines may vary on other BTC pair charts.
2013 Cycle - Marks the Power of 3 (Template)
1. Bottom Trend Line - Marks from absolute bottom target to previous low.
2. Median Trend Line - Marks from absolute bottom target to 50% projection retracement.
3. Top (Confirmation) Trend Line - Marks from absolute cycle top draw down to intersect points of 1 and 2 and must not cross or overlap.
At point 3 confirmation you need to see a PIN point mark.
Based on this theory, when these 3 lines intersect at their lowest point and it marks a cycle bottom, you have confirmation.
I've marked that a Fib Ring to POC from 2018 as a point that could be potentially marking a confirmation bottom. If this mark is not hit then it is much further down.
What do you do when your trading plan fails? Yesterday I wrote about a beautiful chart pattern that was forming on the Bitcoin daily time frame that ended up failing not long after I wrote the post. That kind of thing will shake a trader to their core, especially if they thought it was going to play out, but ended up losing their shirt.
This is why it is important to set stop losses, so that if the trade does go the other way, you will be out of the trade before it gets too bad. This is simply called risk management, and is one of the biggest things that any trader, especially new traders need to master.
Trading is a business of statistics and probabilities. Just because something has worked for you in the past, doesn't mean it is going to work for you every time. So when something like a bullish pattern that you have traded many times fails, you have to reassess and move on to the next trade. Out of 100 trades, that pattern may only work 6 or 7 times which gives you a 60-70% chance of it working in your favor. That's how it works, nothing is ever 100% in this game. So you always have to be ready for things to not work out the way you think they should.
If they don't work out, don't freak out! Just learn from your mistakes, readjust your plan, and move along to the next trade! Hopefully things like this will help you better understand the importance of a good risk management plan.
Be safe out there everyone and trade logically!
Raising My Targets on Litecoin. New Cup and Handle Spotted.As you know, I went long LTC at around $68. My target was $81. I am now in the profit and have raised my stops to just over break even ensure that I won't take a lost. While browsing the charts this morning, I spotted something on Litecoin that I did not see previously, a new cup and handle pattern! This one is longer term and gives Litecoin a much higher target, or targets. I will be raising my targets on Litecoin now due to this new pattern spotted.
Target one will be $89.
Target two will be $96.
This is not fin advice.
Best,
Stewdamus
Double Top - GUHere I have GBP/USD on the 4 Hr Chart!
We have a nice outline of 2 Peaks or Highs forming what looks to be a possible Double Top formation!
With price failing to make a Higher High @ 1.27245 and now on its way back down to the Confirmation of Pattern @ 1.26035, I believe we will be seeing a Break of the current Low giving us a Lower Low signaling Price to extend further down!!
Fundamentally this week:
GBP - Construction PMI and BOE Bailey Speaks (Wed)
USD - JOLTS (Tue) Non-Farm (Wed) Unemployment (Thur) Non-Farm and Unemployment (Fri)
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!
-Pattern Prediction-
If Price Breaks and Closes above 1.27245, Pattern INVALIDATED!
If Price Breaks and Closes below 1.26035, Price Action will Initiate my Trade Action Plan!
Head and Shoulders - GUHere I have GBP/USD on the 30 Min Chart!
We currently have price outlining 3 different Highs outlining what looks to be a Head and Shoulders Pattern on top of the Support or "Neckline"!
I believe we could be seeing a possible Reversal coming!
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!
-Pattern Prediction-
If Price Breaks and Closes above 1.27085, Pattern INVALIDATED!
If Price Breaks and Closes below 1.26729, Pattern CONFIRMED and will initiate Trade Action Plan!
Pennant - AJHere I have AUD/JPY on the 4Hr Chart!
Price was Rejected @ 98.534 creating the high on Nov' 15th. Since then Price failed at the same level and again at attempted Higher High on Nov' 27th! Following this Lower Highs are Higher Lows which seem to be forming a Pennant Pattern!
Currently we have 3 Tests of the Falling Resistance and getting the 3rd test of the Rising Support now!
Pennants are likely to break Bullish OR Bearish so we must wait for the Proper Break!! Given AUD has some big news tonight, this will play a big role!
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
Fundamentally this week:
AUD - CPI (Tue) and OPEC (Thur)
JPY - OPEC (Thur)
Bearish Sequence (Descending Triangle) - EJHere I have EUR/JPY on the 4Hr Chart! I believe we are seeing a Correction in the Bearish direction since EUR/JPY has been traveling in a UPTREND for quite some time!
Our current Highest High @ 164.308 on Nov' 16th is the first touch of the Falling Resistance followed by the failed attempt at a Higher High @ 163.719 on Nov' 26th forming what could potentially be a Descending Triangle Pattern!
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!
Fundamentally this week:
EUR - CPI (Wed), Flash CPI & OPEC (Thur) and President Lagarde Speaks (Fri)
JPY - OPEC (Thur)
-Bearish Prediction-
If Price Breaks and Closes above 163.719, Set-Up INVALIDATED!
If Price Breaks and Closes below 161.245, Price Action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
How to trade Double Tops to the Short Side using 1 hour barsI always ask myself: What's my favorite chart pattern for finding high probability entries? I look at my stats, I look at my various strategies, and I always find I like one type of trade best: Trend Continuation trades using double tops for shorts and double bottoms for longs.
The strategy is simple: Using 1 hour wickless bars, (I'll show you how in the video), identify a trending stock by seeing where price is clearly up or down, then identify a double top or double bottom occurring along the trend. When you have two confirmed tops or bottoms, get short or long, as the case may be. The patterns really do come in all shapes and sizes, but they are best when they occur along a resistance line, be it VWAP, a 20 EMA, or some other. They also can be confirmed by looking at your RSI chart which will indicate clearly two v bottoms for a long entry or two peaks for a shorty entry. Seeing where on the RSI chart these double patterns are forming is also instructive. Longs should show up on the RSI chart as a pair of v bottoms occuring at the bottom of the upper half of the chart, above the 50% line. Shorts should show up on the RSI chart as a pair of peaks at the top of lower half of the chart, just below the 50% line. Because you're using 1 hour bars to find entries, it naturally stands to reason that your setups will trigger at the top of the hour, when there is typically a burst of volume. If your analysis is correct, that volume burst will push your trade in the proper direction within seconds, so if you like instant gratificatrion like I do, you'll enjoy that aspect of trading this way.
What Traders and Detectives Have in Common 📊🕵️♀️In this article, I want to talk about the interesting similarities between trading and detective work. Like detectives solve mysteries to find the truth, traders explore the market to understand patterns and make smart decisions.
1️⃣ Gathering Clues:
Both trading and detective work rely on the acquisition of timely and relevant information.
Traders stay informed about market news, economic indicators, and patterns, just as detectives gather clues from witnesses, documents, and other sources. In both cases, the quality of information directly impacts decision-making.
2️⃣ Risk Assessment:
Detectives must carefully assess risks and probabilities to navigate the unknown.
Similarly, traders must evaluate market risks, weighing potential rewards against potential losses. Just as a detective gauges the likelihood of various scenarios, a trader assesses market conditions to make calculated decisions that align with their risk tolerance.
3️⃣ Patience and Persistence:
Success in both trading and detective work demands patience and persistence.
Detectives may spend long hours sifting through evidence, and traders may patiently wait for the right market conditions. Like a detective unraveling a case, a trader must persistently analyze data and adapt strategies to changing market dynamics.
🔎 In essence, trading is a financial investigation, where observation, critical analysis, and connecting the dots play a crucial role.
As we navigate the market's complexities, let's embrace the spirit of a detective, ever vigilant and ready to uncover hidden truths that guide our decisions.
Wishing you successful trades and discoveries in your financial journey.
Did I forget any similarities? What are your thoughts?
Also, what would you like me to compare traders to next?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Pennant - UCADHere I have USD/CAD on the Daily Chart! Price has been creating Higher Lows into Lower Highs which is outlining a Pennant Pattern!
Important factors to mention:
The High price created at the First Touch of the Falling Resistance was unable to stay above the Previous Highs made on Oct. 13th '22 and Mar. 10th '23 and seems to be struggling with this Resistance at 1.38621.
The USD has been severely falling since last weeks news on CPI BUT could potentially find support at this 103.0 area like it did last time it was here on Aug. 31st!
Fundamentally this week:
USD - FOMC Meeting (Tues) Unemployment Claims (Wed) Thanksgiving* (Thur) Flash PMI (Fri)
CAD - CPI (Tues)
My bias on the pair at the moment is neutral due to the Heavy flow of News this week and the impact it all may have. WAIT for price to give a PROPER break of either the Falling Resistance or Rising Support!
*Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
Bull Flag - XRPHere I have XRPUSDT on the 4Hr Chart in what looks to be a Bull Flag!!
Price was previously in a Strong Uptrend prior to entering the pattern.
-Price gave us 3 tests of the Falling Resistance and 2 tests of the Falling Support.
If this is in fact a Bull Flag, we should expect a Bullish Break to this continuation pattern where price should continue HIGHER!
**Chart patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If price Breaks and Closes below Falling Support, pattern INVALIDATED!
*If price Breaks and Closes above the Falling Resistance, price action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
NVDA: What to expect for earnings next week?This huge semiconductor has plenty of clout in terms of popularity with retail investors. HFTs are likely to gap on its earnings news which arrives on 11/21, next week.
Clearly there are many who are confident NASDAQ:NVDA will meet or beat analyst estimates despite setbacks and restrictions.
The run hit resistance and became overextended, so some profit taking is occurring for now. The stock is likely to shift to a tighter consolidation near the high of this platforming range.
Dollar Index (DXY): Price Action Analysis & Bearish Outlook 💵
Dollar Index formed 2 bearish patterns:
First, the price started to trade within a rising wedge pattern,
Then, a cup and handle formation was formed within its boundaries.
With a single 4H candle, the price violated both the neckline of the pattern
and a support line of the wedge.
I expect a bearish continuation to 105.45 now
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Potential Inverted Head & Shoulders - GMEHere I have GameStop stock on the 4Hr Chart exhibiting signs of a potential Head & Shoulders pattern! GME hit its 52-Week Low last Monday so I believe this could be a great area for a potential reversal in the Bullish direction!
www.tradingview.com
The Neckline @ 14.30 has been tested twice now, once after the creation of the "Left Shoulder" and again after the creation of the "Head".
Now what I expect for GME is for price to come down for the creation of the "Right Shoulder" with Pattern Invalidation at 12.90!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If price Breaks Down and Closes Below 12.90, pattern INVALIDATED!
*If price Breaks Up and Closes Above 14.30, price action initiates my Trade Action Plan!
CUP O' THE MORNING! - AJHere is AUD/JPY on the 30 Min Chart in what looks to be a VERY convincing Cup and Handle Pattern starting to form!
I expect price will finish the "Cup" @ 97.007
-THEN-
Give us our "Handle" (Higher Low) to continue HIGHER being that its a Strong Reversal Pattern!
Fundamentally:
AUD -> NAB Business Confidence (Mon), Wage Price Index (Tue), Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (Wed)
JPY -> "Clear News Week"
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
Descending Triangle - EUHere I have EUR/USD on the 1Hr Chart which seems to be outlining what looks to be a Descending Triangle pattern!!
We had price test the Falling Resistance TWICE with price showing the Support Zone down below.
If this Descending Triangle should stand true I would like to see a THIRD test of the Falling Resistance before price falls back down to the support area and BREAKING BEARISH!!
-BUT-
There is always the chance EUR beats out USD being so light on News this week that if news is bad for USD, we could see a BULLISH BREAK to this Pattern instead!
Fundamentally:
EUR -> Economic Forecast (Mon), Economic Sentiment (Tue) and Lagarde Speaking (Fri)
USD -> CPI (Tue), PPI & Retail Sales (Wed), Unemployment (Thur) and Building Permits (Fri)
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If price Breaks and Closes above Falling Resistance, pattern INVALIDATED!
*If price Breaks and Closes below Support Area, price action will initiate Trade Action Plan!
Mickey Mouse is UPSIDE-DOWN!Here on the Daily Chart we have The Walt Disney Stock. Price has been outlining what looks to be a possible Inverted Head and Shoulders!
The "Neckline" @ 86.28 has been tested twice, once on Sept. 15th after the creation of the first "Shoulder" and again on Oct. 17th after the creation of the "Head". Now since we have the creation of the second "Shoulder" or the Low that did not surpass the Low of the "Head", I suspect price will make a trip back up to test the "Neckline" one more time before possibly giving us a Bullish Break to go higher!!
As added confirmation, My DSR is flattening and and the second "Shoulder" was terminated by my Fib'd Kill Zone giving this a high chance of reversing!
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If price Breaks and Closes below 79.23, pattern is INVALIDATED
*If price Breaks and Closes above 86.28, price action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
Pennant - AJHere on the Daily Chart I have AUD/JPY showing signs of a Pennant pattern!
Lower Highs into Higher Lows until a "Pinch Point" where price will need to break Bullish or Bearish. Pennants can break either way but the direction of the Market usually has an influence on where price will go after the break.
Price has tested the Falling Resistance and Rising Support twice already, so I am waiting to see what the Third test of either Trendline will bring! Price currently is on its way up so I suspect we will get a third test of the Falling Resistance shortly!
*Chart patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!