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Apple is near key levelsFirst of all, forgive me to draw so much in this chart but AAPL is on fire and we've to take a close look to price movements because we could see awesome opportunities soon. We all know AAPL, amazing business, great margins but now suffering some issues with production that can lead to some volatility. In this chart, you can see: 1. A very big historical bullish channel in grey that give us resistance prices in the 100-110$ level. 2. An amazing expanding triangle unfolding with potential price objective at 100-110$ zone. Take care, I'll explain further this price formation and why it could end at 120 or 115$ the movement. 3. The RED danger zone explained in the idea of few days ago. The break of this support led to -7% returns by now. 4. The small downtrend blue line that was our previous idea. We expected a bullish break that never happened, instead we've seen the break of the danger zone support, so our mind is bearish since then in AAPL. (Please see previous idea to understand this in detail). 5. Some blue lines that are major resistances, the lowest one in the 105-110$ zone. Note that this is also the expected zone of 1 and 2. Expanding triangle explanation An expanding triangle is a chart pattern that occurs in a trend and is characterized by a series of higher lows and lower highs. This pattern is formed by two trendlines that converge towards each other as the price moves in a wide range. The upper trendline represents resistance and the lower trendline represents support. As the price approaches the apex of the triangle, it becomes increasingly volatile, and a breakout is likely to occur. If the price breaks out to the upside, it is a bullish sign and may indicate that the trend will continue higher. If the price breaks out to the downside, it is a bearish sign and may indicate that the trend will reverse. The consequences of an expanding triangle in the market depend on the direction of the breakout and the strength of the trend leading up to the pattern. If the breakout is strong and the trend is bullish, it may lead to further price increases. If the breakout is weak and the trend is bearish, it may lead to a reversal or consolidation in the price. By now, we see a wave 3 which is 1,618 times the first wave. We expect a wave 5 which could be 1,618 times the wave 3, this would move the price to 110$, again this zone... Take care, by now wave 5 is slightly more than 100% of wave 3, so the triangle could end at any time, but for us makes sense to wait for lower prices to have a better risk reward ratio. Ahead we have 120$ and 115$ levels which are also important previous supports and resistances and could lead to some bounces or eventually to the end of the pattern. Let's keep watching! Worst case If the price loses the 105$ level, we have no historical volume until 80$ so a crash could happen easily. Anyway, the 105-110$ zone is strong enough to believe that demand will appear there and the expanding triangle could then be confirmed.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TopChartPatterns
1
APLLTD- Bearish Trend ContinueAPLLTD is in a bearish trend and with its pattern probability to go down further, today it was consolidated in a very narrow range after a breakdown. So very high possibility of breakdown from the current consolidation zone and gives a very good risk reward. As you can also see POC created a very downside in the volume profile tool which gives very good confirmation. Entry Price:- below @571 Stop Loss:- Above @575 Target:- !:1 or 1:2 or more
NSE:APLLTDShort
by investing_views
HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN - TRADING GUIDE Head and Shoulders pattern This lesson will cover the following What is a “Head and Shoulders” formation? How can it be confirmed? How can it be traded? The Head and Shoulders pattern forms after an uptrend, and if confirmed, marks a trend reversal. The opposite pattern, the Inverse Head and Shoulders, therefore forms after a downtrend and marks the end of the downward price movement. As you can guess by its name, the Head and Shoulders pattern consists of three peaks – a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The head should be the highest and the two shoulders should be at least relatively of equal height. As the price corrects from each peak, the lows retreat to form the so-called neckline, which is later used for confirming the pattern. Here is what an H&S pattern looks like. Other key elements of this pattern and its trade process are the breakouts, protective stops, profit target, and volume, which is used as an additional tool to confirm the trend reversal. So here is how you identify the Head and Shoulders pattern and how its individual components are characterized. Formation and confirmation In order to have a trend reversal pattern, you definitely need a trending market. Let's talk about the first model of H&S, the Inverse or Reversal will have the same methodology but exactly in the opposite way. While prices are trending up, our future patterns left shoulder forms as a peak, which marks the high of the current trend. For the shoulder to be formed, the price then needs to correct down, retreating to a low, which is usually above or at the trend line, thus, keeping the uptrend still in force. This low marks the first point used to determine where the neckline stands. Afterward, a new higher peak begins to form, stemming from the left shoulder low, which is our pattern head. As the market makes a higher high (the head), it then corrects back and usually, this is the point where the upward trend is penetrated, thus signaling a shift in momentum and a possible Head and Shoulders pattern. The second low that is touched after the retreat from the heads peak is the other point used to build the neckline, which is basically a line drawn through the two lows. The subsequent rebound from the second low forms the third peak – the right shoulder. It should be lower than the head and overall match the height of the left shoulder (keep in mind that exact matches rarely occur). It is also preferable that the two shoulders have required relatively the same amount of time to form as this would make the pattern stronger. In order for the Head and Shoulders pattern to be confirmed, the retreat from the third peak (the right shoulder) should penetrate the neckline and a candle should close below it. The neckline itself should be horizontal in the perfect case scenario, but that rarely happens. Instead, most often it is sloping up or down and that is of significance as well – a downward-sloping neckline is more bearish than an upward-sloping one. Volume As mentioned above, volume plays a key role as a confirmation tool and can be measured via indicators or by just analyzing its levels. Presumably, volume during the left shoulder advance should be higher than during the subsequent one, because as the head hits a higher high on the base of declining volume, this serves as an early signal for a possible reverse. This, however, does not happen every time. The next step of confirmation comes when volume increases during the decline from the head's peak and the last nail in the coffin are when volume gains further during the right shoulder's decline. Trading the pattern, stops and profit targets We said earlier that the Head and Shoulders pattern is deemed confirmed if the right shoulder's decline penetrates through the neckline and a candle closes below it. As soon as that happens and you are reassured that it is not a false breakout, you can enter into a short position. However, as you already know, no trading decisions should be made on the go, i.e. you need to have predetermined where your protective stop is going to stand and what your profit target is. Protective stop There are two common places where you can place your stop loss. The first one, which is more conservative, is right above the peak of the head, while a more standard position is right beyond the right shoulder. You can see those visualized in the following screenshot. The second option makes more sense because if the breakout through the neckline actually fails and the price rebounds back with such momentum that it rises beyond the right shoulder, then the whole pattern is flawed and you definitely do not need to wait for it to exceed the head as well. Besides, such a loose stop significantly increases the risk and reduces the risk/reward ratio, thus, reducing this pattern's trading appeal. Profit target The most common and often advised profit target is the distance (number of pips) between the head's peak and the neckline. Having estimated that distance, you then need to subtract it from the neckline, just like in the screenshot below. And how does that translate in terms of risk/reward ratio? If the breakout confirmation (the close beyond the neckline) appears very close to the neckline itself, and we enter into a short position there, we generally have a 1:1 risk-to-reward proportion, if we use a conservative protective stop. Why? Since our profit target is the distance between the heads peak and the neckline, if we decide to use the conservative option for a protective stop, then we will have the same distance as a loss limit, thus, reducing our risk-to-reward ratio to 1:1. This is why, in order to improve that ratio, most experienced traders place their protective stops more often above the right shoulders peak, given that they use the head-to-neckline profit target. However, keep in mind that this price distance should serve as a rough target, because things are usually not that straightforward and other factors such as previous support levels, crossing mid-term and long-term moving averages, etc. must be taken into consideration as well. Two ways to trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern There are generally two ways to trade this pattern, depending on how it plays out. The first one we've already mentioned. As soon as a candle closes below the neckline as a sign of confirmation, you enter into a short position with the respective profit target and protective stop described above. Now for the second way to trade the H&S formation. In this case, we have a pullback after the neckline penetration, which, once support, now acts as a resistance level. This time we need to go short once the price pulls back and tests the neckline as resistance. As soon as it rebounds from the neckline, we enter into a short position, using the same principle for placing the protective stop and aiming for the same profit as in the first scenario. Here is what this would look like.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
AUDNZD SHORTThis pair has been in a long term bearish trend with multiple tests against the channel's resistance. It has previously broken out of this channel and re-tested a horizontal resistance, which we are expecting it to test again here. The indicators have confirmed it is overbought on lower time frames, and are close to an oversold level on the higher time frames too. BDPO forex are keeping an eye on this but will wait for confirmation before making a decision. Follow for more.
Short
by BDPO_Trading
2
EURCHF LONGEURCHF is, and has been trading within a nice channel over the last month, and is continuing to range nicely. With anticipation of continuing this trend, and also by taking the trade at this key pivot point on the channel's support, we expect the price to come down to the support and continue to bounce to the upside. This also allows us to look at risk management and set a tight stop-loss below the support of the channel in the event of a breakout to the downside. Our risk reward ratio will also be 2+ due to the take-profit being within the channel (near the top of the channel with a partial exit within the channel). Follow for more.
Long
by BDPO_Trading
2