SUI: Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave Align for Potential UpsideSUI is following the Hurst cycles quite closely, with the price movement rising and falling in line with these time-based signals. These cycles give us a useful indication of when certain price actions may occur. Given that the peaks have aligned well with the midpoint of previous Hurst cycles, we could see more upside for SUI in the short term.
Additionally, the Elliott Wave pattern (1,2,3,4,5) further supports the idea of potential continued upside. This signals a possible hold for now, as we wait for either a break of the upper trendline, which could lead to higher highs, or a reversal, keeping SUI within its current channel.
Follow for more.
Parallel Channel
BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Mastering Range Trading for Higher ProfitsRange trading is a strategy focused on capturing price movements within a defined range, marked by consistent oscillation between two levels—support and resistance. In this approach, support is the level where buyers prevent further declines, while resistance is the level where sellers cap price increases. Range traders aim to profit from buying at support and selling at resistance, capitalizing on predictable price swings.
While range trading is effective during periods of sideways movement, it has its limitations, particularly when the market becomes volatile or when a trend emerges. By integrating range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies, traders can better adapt to changing market conditions. This blended approach allows traders to capture profits in both consolidating and trending markets, maximizing trading opportunities.
Understanding Range Trading
Range trading focuses on identifying a price range where an asset consistently fluctuates between established support and resistance levels. Traders use this predictable pattern to generate profits by entering long positions at support and selling at resistance. Technical indicators, such as oscillators and volume analysis, help confirm entry and exit points within the range. The primary goal is to capitalize on repetitive price movements, with no expectation of a breakout or major trend shift.
Example of Range pattern in S&P500
Key Advantages of Range Trading
-Consistent Trading Opportunities: Ideal for non-trending markets, offering regular chances to profit from predictable price movements.
-Lower Risk: Relies on established support and resistance levels, minimizing the risk of sudden price swings.
-Simplicity: Easy to understand and implement, making it suitable for traders of all levels.
Limitations of Range Trading
-Vulnerability to Breakouts: Prone to significant losses if a breakout occurs and the price moves beyond the defined range.
-Smaller Profit Margins: Focuses on short-term price moves, resulting in lower profits compared to trend-following strategies.
-Market Dependency: Effective only in non-trending conditions; becomes less reliable during strong trends.
Combining Range Trading with Trend-Following
Trend-following strategies focus on riding sustained price movements in one direction. By entering positions in the direction of the trend, traders aim to capture larger gains as the trend progresses. The integration of range trading and trend-following can create a more adaptive trading plan, allowing traders to capitalize on both sideways and trending markets.
Example Range Trading on EUR/USD Following the trend - SMA 50
How to Blend Range Trading and Trend-Following
-Transition Points: During consolidation phases, range trading can be used to capture smaller price movements. When a breakout occurs, traders can shift to trend-following to capture larger price swings.
Indicators for Blending Strategies:
Use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought and oversold conditions within a range.
Practical Implementation:
For example, when a currency pair is range-bound, traders can buy at support and sell at resistance using range trading. If a breakout follows, they can switch to a trend-following strategy by placing trades in the direction of the breakout.
Integrating Breakout Trading with Range Trading
Breakout trading aims to capture significant price movements when the market breaks beyond support or resistance levels. When combined with range trading, it can maximize trading opportunities, especially during high volatility periods.
Breakout example Range Trading EUR/USD
How to Integrate Breakout Trading with Range Trading
Spotting Breakout Setups:
Use range analysis to identify potential breakout points, as repeated tests of support or resistance often signal an impending breakout.
Managing Risk:
Set Stop Loss orders just below/above the breakout level to protect against false breakouts.
Use position sizing to manage risk according to your risk tolerance.
Maximizing Profits:
Use trailing stops to lock in profits as the market continues to move in the breakout direction.
Key Technical Indicators for Blending Strategies
Moving Averages (MA):
Identify trends and confirm breakouts.
-Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Help identify momentum and reversals, suitable for both range trading and trend-following.
Example of RSI Use on Range Trading
Choosing the Right Trading Platform
To effectively blend range trading, trend-following, and breakout strategies, it’s essential to use the right trading platform.
TradingView: Known for its intuitive interface and wide range of indicators, ideal for technical analysis.
Backtesting Tools: Use backtesting features ( from Tradingview ) to evaluate the performance of your integrated strategy against historical data.
In Conclusion combining range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies can significantly enhance your trading performance. This comprehensive approach allows you to capitalize on consolidation phases, trend shifts, and breakout opportunities. By adapting to different market environments, traders can achieve more consistent and profitable results.
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XAUUSD Strong Bullish Momentum1. Trend
Uptrend: The price is trending upwards within the ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market sentiment.
2. Support and Resistance
Support: The lower boundary of the channel acts as dynamic support, where price has bounced multiple times. If the price continues to move within this channel, it may find support around the 2,680-2,700 USD range.
Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel acts as resistance. If the price reaches this level, it could face resistance near 2,750-2,760 USD in the near term.
3. Price Action
Bearish Candle: The recent candle shows a significant drop (-1.11%), indicating bearish pressure. The price is testing the lower channel boundary, which could be a critical support zone.
Potential Reversal: There seems to be a projection for a bullish bounce off the lower boundary, suggesting a possible upward move back towards the mid-to-upper range of the channel, as shown by the zigzag projection on the chart.
4. Projections
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds at the lower boundary and rebounds, it could aim for a move back towards the upper channel line, targeting around 2,760-2,780 USD.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the channel, it could signal a shift in the trend, potentially targeting support levels below 2,680 USD.
5. Key Levels
Immediate Support: 2,700 USD (channel support)
Immediate Resistance: 2,750 USD (upper channel resistance)
Potential Targets: A bounce could aim for 2,760-2,780 USD, while a breakdown may push the price down to 2,660 USD or lower.
In summary, the XAU/USD pair is in an overall uptrend but is currently facing a pullback near channel support. The next few sessions are critical to see if the price respects the channel or breaks downwards. If the support holds, a bullish continuation is possible.
Gold Analysis==>>Correction Time!!!Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , as I expected in the previous post . ( The Long position is closed. )
Gold is moving near the Upper lines of Ascending Channels .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of main wave 5 . So we have to wait for the CORRECTION .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the lower line of the ascending channel(Big) and the Support zone($2,686-$2,666) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(Small) .
⚠️Note: If Gold can form a 4-hour candle above $2,800, we should expect gold to increase and pump again.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Roadmap==>>When will Gold Correction Start Begin!?Today, I want to show you the Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) roadmap before the US presidential election .
Gold has started an upward rally for over 2 months and is moving in an Ascending Channel .
Educational tip : Try to draw the channels you draw in the chart with a tolerance.
The question that arises for us is how long this bullish Gold rally can continue and when the correction of Gold will begin.
In addition to the fundamental discussion , we can use technical analysis tools to answer the above questions . One of the best methods is the Elliott Wave Theory .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 in the Ascending Channel(small) .
I expect the main wave of 5 Gold to finish in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) , and then we have to wait for the starting correction .
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Let's see what the history of gold has been like in the last month before the US presidential election .
Throughout history, gold prices have often fluctuated in the months leading up to U.S. presidential elections. These changes have been influenced by various factors specific to each period. Here's a brief summary of gold's performance before some key U.S. elections :
1- 2016 Election (Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton) : Prior to the 2016 election, gold experienced significant volatility. Uncertainty about the outcome, especially with Trump's unpredictable economic policies, increased demand for gold as a safe haven. Gold prices rose in the months leading up to the election, reaching new highs after Trump's victory.
2- 2012 Election (Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney) : Leading up to the 2012 election, gold showed less volatility compared to other years. The Federal Reserve’s expansionary monetary policies and low interest rates kept gold attractive as a safe investment. Gold prices remained relatively stable before the election but surged after due to concerns over the "fiscal cliff."
3- 2008 Election (Barack Obama vs. John McCain) : The 2008 global financial crisis had a massive impact on gold prices. In the months leading up to the election, gold saw increased demand as a safe haven. Economic uncertainty and large bailout packages led to a significant rise in gold prices during this period.
4- 2000 Election (George W. Bush vs. Al Gore) : The 2000 election was marked by the "hanging chad" controversy, causing significant political uncertainty. This drove demand for gold. In the months before the election, gold prices rose, and after the election, due to ongoing political unrest and doubt over the result, gold saw further increases.
5- 1980 Election (Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter) : During this period, severe inflation and political uncertainty, both domestic and international, increased the demand for gold. In the months leading up to the 1980 election, gold prices were on an upward trend and reached new highs.
Conclusion : History shows that gold often rises in the lead-up to U.S. elections due to political and economic uncertainty. Elections coinciding with financial crises or heightened uncertainty (such as in 2008 and 2016) have had a greater impact on gold price surges.
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Now, let's see how gold has performed in November .
Here’s a summary of the percentage changes in gold prices during November over the last 10 years :
1- November 2023 : Data not yet available, but gold has been volatile due to economic and inflation concerns.
2- November 2022 : Approximately +8% increase due to lowered interest rate expectations and recession concerns.
3- November 2021 : Approximately -1% decrease due to rising interest rates and stronger financial markets.
4- November 2020 : Approximately -5% decrease post-U.S. election, but demand remained high due to COVID-19 and stimulus packages.
5- November 2019 : Approximately +3% increase due to the U.S.-China trade war.
6- November 2018 : Approximately +1% increase after a few months of decline.
7- November 2017 : Approximately -2% decrease due to stock market growth and higher interest rates.
8- November 2016 : Approximately -7% decrease following Trump’s victory and market optimism.
9- November 2015 : Approximately -6% decrease due to anticipation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates.
10- November 2014 : Approximately -5% decrease due to a stronger U.S. dollar and improving U.S. economy.
11- November 2013 : Approximately -4% decrease due to global economic recovery and the Fed's exit from its quantitative easing policies.
Gold in November tends to be influenced by changes in monetary policy and economic conditions. Years with inflation or uncertainty saw increases, while years with economic recovery and rising interest rates experienced declines. But in general, there has been a downward trend, especially in the years when the US presidential elections were held.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>1-hour time frame==>>Filling CME GapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Important Resistance lines ( Bitcoin is attacking important resistance lines for the fifth time ) in the Resistance zone($70,080- $68,250) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the small ascending channel .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to fail again after breaking the lower lines of the ascending channels (small and big) and then fill the first CME Gap($67,250- $67,050) .
⚠️Note: The formation of the Bull Trap is probably high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) and Resistance lines, we should wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Another day another weak show by Nifty. Nifty again could not sustain the highs of the day and ended up in the negative. Nifty on an hourly chart is spiralling downwards in a downward parallel channel. Every bounce even if it is a small one is seen as an opportunity to sell specially by the FIIs. Even today the signs or signals for bottom formation are not visible.
To know more about a parallel channel do read my book the Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version.
One thing is for sure upward curve also starts out of nowhere just like the downward slide started out of nowhere so there is no need to sweat about it as the Macros for India remain healthy. Dollar index gaining more and more strength is a sign of concern however. Once the Dollar starts to relent we will see a better performance from many sectors. RSI of Dollar index is just starting to touch the overbought zone.
Nifty supports remain at 24370, 24149, 23806 and finally 23111.
Resistance levels for Nifty remain at 24592, 24757 and 25069 levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
BTC - Next Support...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉As per my last BTC analysis (attached on the chart), we know that BTC is currently in a short-term correction phase.
The question is: till when/where?
📈From a medium-term perspective, BTC has been bullish trading within the rising channel in blue.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the orange demand and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin will break support level and continue to fall to 61800Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, but at once rebounded and declined a little below. After this movement, the price started to grow inside an upward channel, where it soon reached the 59000 level and broke it. Next, the price made a correction to the buyer zone and then continued to move up to the channel's resistance line, which coincided with the current support level and then turned around. BTC corrected the 59000 level, after which it rebounded and in a short time rose back to the 66300 level and some time traded near. Soon, the price broke this level and rose almost to the channel's resistance line, but recently it turned around and dropped to the support level, which continues to trade very close. In my opinion, the price can make a small move up and then continue to decline to support line of the upward channel, breaking the support level. That's why I set my TP at 61800 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold prices continue to search for new peaks?Conan, hello everyone!
Today, the price of gold continues to break records by maintaining a new peak around $2700, and the growth trend seems to show no signs of slowing down this year.
Notably, this week, the European Central Bank held a meeting and officially decided to cut interest rates for the third time this year, with a reduction of 0.25 percentage points. At the same time, gold has attracted more attention from investors after the LBMA poll released earlier this week. These developments have made the gold market hotter than ever. It is expected that this price increase will reach $2760. What are your thoughts on this issue? Do you agree with me?
Approaching Key Levels with Potential Deep Correction Ahead!OANDA:XAUUSD
Current Price: 2737.445
2H Chart
Reason for Correction:
1H - Monthly: Overbought Zone (Deeper Correction Possible)
As indicated on the chart, the price is in an uptrend within an ascending channel on the Daily chart, and a similar trend is observed on the 2H chart, where an additional ascending channel is also forming.
Moreover, Gold is currently in the overbought zone across multiple timeframes, from 1H to the Monthly chart.
Before a potential correction, the price may rise to the overbought zone at 2753.906 or even the extreme overbought zone at 2773.699. However, it is not necessary for the price to reach these levels, as a correction could begin sooner.
A potential correction could target 2700, a significant psychological level, and extend further to 2685. It’s also possible for a deeper correction to occur, which will be addressed in a subsequent analysis.
Key Levels:
• 2753.90
• 2773.70
• 2700.00
• 2685.44
Happy trading!
EURUSD → Is a 300 pips drop not the limit? What's next?FX:EURUSD reaches an important target. As part of the realization, the price passes 300 pips. The fundamental background for further rate cuts is generally favorable
The strengthening economy in the U.S. combined with a growing dollar (extreme rally of the index), the rate of interest rate cuts in Europe are doing their job. The fundamental background for the currency pair is weak, accordingly, in relation to this situation, in the medium term it is worth considering the continuation of the decline.
The price reaches 1.078 - the liquidity zone. The pool of liquidity below this zone can push the price away, forming a correction to the imbalance zone, or to the local maximum, from which we can further consider the continuation of the fall.
Resistance levels: 1.085, 1.087
Support levels: 1.078, 1.067
The last time the level was tested in early August. This fact in tandem with an aggressive fall of 3% may form a rebound due to the lack of technical potential to break the support level. Consolidation or correction may allow the market to accumulate strength...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Attempting a trend change. Retest 149.0FX:USDJPY is testing range resistance in the rally phase caused by Friday's news - strong NFP report. The fundamental backdrop within the short-to-medium term is set...
From the opening of the session a small correction is forming, the aim of which may be a retest of the support or imbalance zone and consolidation of energy before a further breakout. The market structure is locally bullish on the background of the dollar growth. The Japanese authorities are still silent about their actions to strengthen the national currency (either they think about it or don't think about it :) ), so traders are increasing JPY sales in order to buy USD.
The first retest of the resistance at 149.4 failed (bounce). Emphasis on 0.5 fibo or 147.2 support from which the growth may resume...
Resistance levels: 147.38
Support levels: 147.5, 147.2, 146.15
On the chart there are preconditions for the change of the local trend to a bullish one, the fundamental background is favorable for this. If the bulls will keep the defense above the support and continue to test the resistance with a breakdown target, then in the short-term-senior perspective we can catch the forging of the impulse to 152.0.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF: Growth Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Earlier, I have already predicted a bullish movement on USDCHF.
I see one more bullish confirmation this morning.
The price successfully violated a resistance line of
a horizontal parallel channel on a 4H time frame.
The next goal for buyers - 0.87 psychological resistance.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
$AVAXUSDT: Bullish Breakout Ahead!CRYPTOCAP:AVAX has broken out of a long-term downtrend channel and is now forming a symmetrical triangle. With exciting news like the Avalanche CRYPTOCAP:AVAX Visa Card launch for crypto payments, we’re expecting a breakout from this triangle that could lead to a significant upward move. Overall, the outlook is bullish—let's see where it goes!
BINANCE:AVAXUSDT Currently trading at $27.6
Buy level: Above $27.5
Stop loss: Below $23.5
TP1: $30
TP2: $35
TP3: $40
TP4: $50
TP5: $65
Max Leverage 3x
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$BTC - Bull Run BeginningsWe have been in a massive accumulation phase since early this year, right now we could be laying the foundation for the next major leg up.
On the 1hr time frame we are green, 2hr also just flipped and the 3 will follow shortly if this base holds.
We are getting to the point where if this thing is going to happen at all , it's going to have to be starting soon.
The stage is set! What do you think?