Parallel Channel
GBPUSD Wave Analysis 22 November 2024
- GBPUSD broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.2465
GBPUSD currency pair recently broke the support zone located between the support level 1.2620 (former monthly low from June) and the support trendline of the daily down channel from September.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the higher impulse wave (C) from the start of November.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to fall further to the next support level 1.2465, former monthly low from May and the target for the completion of the active impulse 3.
EURUSD → Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go below...FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation in the “flag” format, the purpose of which, in the current situation, is to accumulate the potential for continuation of the trend... Fundamental background is still negative.
On D1 we can clearly see the consolidation below the key level of 1.0600 after a strong fall. There is no proper and logical reaction in the form of a pullback. Accordingly, based on this we can conclude that the dynamics and strength of the buyer is not enough to reverse the local situation.
The dollar is starting the recovery phase again, which may put pressure on the euro.
Technically, the emphasis on consolidation “flag”. The exit of the price from the boundaries of this channel will provoke further movement.
Resistance levels: 1.0606
Support levels: 1.0521, 1.044
It is not worth trading inside the flag. The exception is a retest of resistance. Opening an order is acceptable after a false breakout.
But, the emphasis is on 1.052. Breakout and fixing of the price below this zone can strengthen the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
SOL → One step away from ATH. Will the maximum be updated?BINANCE:SOLUSDT is rallying and testing the high of 248.44, but what is remarkable is that the coin is not pulling back, but consolidating with the aim of reaching ATH or even updating it.
The fundamental background of the coin is strengthening as an exchange-traded fund may emerge on the basis of Solana, most likely the issue will be discussed in 2025. There are only 2 ETFs approved so far, bitcoin and etherium.
Technically, on W1 the bulls are trying to take control of the 243-244 area. Buyer's chances are quite promising, accordingly, if they manage to keep the defense above this zone, the coin has all chances to form a new all-time high.
Resistance levels: 245.3, 248.5, 259.9
Support levels: 242.3, 234.3
The trigger zone is 245.3. A breakthrough and price consolidation above this zone may provoke aggressive buying with the purpose of growth continuation.
It is possible that the price may form a correction, for example, to 242.3, 238, 234 before continuing its growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:SOLUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD: Classic Breakout Trade 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
After a breakout, the price retested the broken structure
and started to consolidate on that, forming a range.
Bearish breakout of the range is a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
It increases the probabilities that the breakout is valid.
We can expect a fall at least to 1.254
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MSTR to spike higher, then pullback to $364MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Everybody buying stocks like crazy. 10 trading days ago, price was $270. Now nearly $500. My charts say price tops out at $519 area, then falls back to $364.
Price above top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price near 4.618 Fibonacci level
In at $518 area
Target is $3640 or channel bottom
SMH bounce to $245MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at or near all bottom channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative
Price at near 3.618 Fibonacci level
In at $240.55
Target is $245 or channel top
Stop loss is manual
BTCUSD to $100K, I guess, then back to $83K areaMODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price closing in on top channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near 2.618 Fibonacci level
Buying AMEX:BITI incrementally as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rises to $100K
Target is 83K or channel bottom
Manual stop loss. Holding until profit made or Dec 31.
HelenP. I Gold will rebound from trend line and grow to $2700Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price started to decline inside the downward channel, where it fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Price some time traded in this area and later broke the 2735 level, after which dropped to almost the support line of the channel, after which turned around and rose to the resistance line, and then continued to decline next. In a short time, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and then bounced up, after which rose a little up and then continued to decline, breaking the 2595 level. Gold later reached the trend line and then turned around and started to grow, exiting from the downward channel. Price soon grew to the 2595 level, broke it again, and continued to move up near the trend line. To this day, the price continues to grow near this line, and I expect that XAUUSD will rebound from the trend line and start to grow to 2700 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Learn Mother, Father and small child theory and Parallel channelThis is an educational video explaining medium to long term analysis of Nifty for educational purpose through my Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I am also trying to explain what happens in the long run, also you will find insights of how to use and draw a parallel channel. I have also done an analysis of Nifty supports and resistances in the medium to long term. We are also trying to understand what can be the channel top in the long run. We are also trying to see how RSI works in brief. The attempt is to explain a lot of stuff in simple jargon free language in roughly 16 minute video so that you get lot of education. It is going to be a power packed 16 minutes once you watch it. Do not forget to like/ boost our video and subscribe our channel.
To learn Mother, Father and small child theory to the deeper extent and to learn about RSI do read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google playbook in E-version.
Disclaimer: Purpose of the video is for education. Do not treat this as a buy or sell call on Nifty. I am just trying to teach / throw light on Mother, Father and small child theory in brief along with the use of parallel channel. Hindi and English both languages are used in the video for wider audience to understand the same.
XAUUSD Bearish Reversal: Double Top and Golden Pocket Breakdown!OANDA:XAUUSD - 2Hr
The analysis suggests the market is showing bearish signals, particularly after price rejected at key resistance zones during the Asian session. The Ascending Channel indicates an upward trend, but the breakdown from the channel signals that bullish momentum is weakening.
Key Elements Driving the Short Trade:
1. Golden Pocket (0.5–0.618 Fib):
The price has reached the Golden Pocket (between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels), a strong reversal zone. Rejections in this zone often signal a potential change in trend, especially when combined with other bearish signals.
2. MML Major Resistance:
The MML Major Resistance suggests that the market is encountering a significant obstacle, further validating the potential for a reversal.
3. Strong Resistance:
The price is facing Strong Resistance at higher levels, which is causing the price to struggle and reject, confirming the reversal bias.
4. Double Top:
The Double Top pattern at the Golden Pocket indicates that the price has attempted to break higher twice but failed, signaling weakness and a likely bearish shift. This pattern often leads to a trend reversal.
5. Price Gap:
A Price Gap further confirms a shift in market sentiment, with a possible imbalance or sudden price movement that reinforces the bearish view.
Current Price Action:
During the Asian session, price broke down from the Ascending Channel, signaling a shift from an uptrend to a potential downtrend. The breakdown occurred near Equilibrium and the 50% Fib retracement, reinforcing the idea of a reversal as this is where price typically finds resistance in a trend. The Double Top at the Golden Pocket suggests a strong potential for a downward move as the price has failed to continue higher. Currently, the price is above a Strong Pivot Point, which is acting as support, potentially leading to a short-term pullback or consolidation before the bearish move continues.
Interpretation:
The combination of the Golden Pocket, Double Top, and rejection at key resistance levels gives a strong bearish signal. The ideal entry point would be after confirmation of price breaking below the Strong Pivot Point or failing to sustain above it, with a target near the next support or at Price Gap, as mentioned Price target. Place the stop loss just above the Double Top or near the Strong Resistance zone to limit risk in case the market reverses back up.
In conclusion, the market is showing signs of a bearish reversal after rejection at multiple key levels, and the analysis points toward potential short opportunities with proper risk management.
"Stick to Your Plan and Manage Risk, Happy Trading!"
S&P500 INDEX (US500): One More Bullish Confirmation
S&P500 leaves one more bullish clue after a recent test of a daily support.
This time, the price managed to violate a resistance line of a falling
parallel channel.
With a high probability, the index will reach 5954 level soon.
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BITCOIN → Bullish run to $100,000. When's the correction?BINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a strong rally. Most likely the token is preparing to go even higher. The target of 95K-100K is getting closer and closer and is becoming more and more realistic. FOMO or managed to get on the northbound train?
The fundamental backdrop is strong. Trump has been a driver for bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market. The phenomenon as a whole is quite interesting.
Bitcoin is coming out of a 9-month accumulation and is strengthening by 34% as part of the rally. Can this rally be even bigger? Yes! And there are bullish premises for that:
Technically, bitcoin is not trying to update the lows. It is forming a smooth, calm and upward movement with gradually updating highs, and in the last two days the price has been accumulating in front of a strong resistance level. An ascending price channel is forming on H1-H4.
The recent 7% retracement of the ATH is nothing more than profit-taking. There are no funadamental and technical reasons for a deep correction yet.
Resistance levels: 91650, 93250
Support levels: 90300, 89200, 87500
At the moment consolidation is forming near 92K. The emphasis is on 91650. A breakdown and consolidation above this area may trigger a continuation of the impulse (rally).
I do not exclude that on the background of reduced liquidity (Saturday/Sunday), bitcoin may test the support area before further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Measured move for DOGE? Or more crabbing/fakeouts?The more I look over the DOGE charts, the more of a DOGE bull I become!
This looks like it's winding up very nicely into a bull pendant- a much more predictable bull pendant than any of the weird crap the BTC perps chart keeps throwing out.
It's almost like there are government/enterprise traders who know exactly how far they need to dither each candle to shake out retail traders, just in time for more ETF news...
I'm liking DOGE a lot more.
$FTM HTF Bullish Scenario Currently we are experiencing bearish activity perhaps till December.
I expect a subtle consolidation of accumulation near the trend line of the channel before making its move to the upside. I do think once it has gone past the fib levels of 0.618 and 0.65, price will retrace back to the zone before creating a bullish takeoff.
SET:SONIC is coming out soon. Marketing is there, and the chain is being used. More influencers are shilling UPCOM:FTM currently.
Once the BTC dominance stops making all the alts bleed, I do believe it will give the alts the chance to start seeing their highs as profits rotate in crypto.
Natural Gas Wave Analysis 20 November 2024
- Natural gas broke the multi-month resistance level 3.150
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3.750
Natural gas continues to rise strongly after the earlier breakout of the key multi-month resistance level 3.150, reversing the price from May.
The breakout of the resistance level 3.150 accelerated the active impulse waves 3 and (3) – both of which belong to the long-term upward impulse wave 3 from August.
Given the clear daily uptrend, natural gas can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3.750, which is the target price for the completion of the active wave (3).
GOLD → Are the bears in doubt? Resistance aheadFX:XAUUSD strengthens to 2625, jeopardizing the local downtrend. Fundamentally, the situation is complicated, as well as technically...
The metal price is actively influenced by the escalated geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine. The market is also watching the Middle East, as despite the reduced news flow, the situation is still tense. In addition, expectations of additional stimulus measures from China also favor the growth of prices for this metal. It is still unclear whether gold will be able to hold on to the bullish momentum as the price is approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they await new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, as the price is still within the boundaries of the local descending channel, it is worth considering selling from strong zones and levels. The situation will change when the price breaks (it is not a fact) the channel resistance...
Resistance levels: 2626, 2643
Support levels: 2604, 2590
Most likely, the market seeks to test the resistance, relative to which a stalemate situation is forming due to the mixed fundamental background.
A false break of 2643-2626 will strengthen the selling and bring us back to the downside. But an unexpected resistance breakout will bring back the buyers' motivation
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
SP500 bounce to 5926MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is turning spiked positive negative
Price at 2.618 Fibonacci level
In at $5884
Target is $5926 or channel top
no stop loss. manual close.
AUDCAD Superswing to 0.9400AUDCAD has been trading within an upward channel since September 2023. Currently, the price is near the bottom of the channel, reacting to the 0.618 Fibonacci level (drawn from the low of August 5th, a pivotal day for this pair).
The plan is to wait for a confirmation of a structural shift on the 4H chart, followed by a retest, and enter a long position around 0.9120. Partial profits will be taken progressively, with the final target set at 0.94.
Stay tuned for updates on my trade: entry, take-profit levels, and exit strategy.
See details on my signature to get in touch with me.
Good luck!