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US10Y going lower as Fed has no choice but to continue cutting.More than 1 year ago (November 7 2023, see chart below), we made a bold (for the time being) call on the U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y), as against the prevailing market sentiment we gave a sell signal, right after what turned out to be a top: Today we revisit this pattern, following yesterday's Rate Cut by the Fed primarily because of their statements that instead of 4, they will only proceed to 2 more cuts in 2025. We believe this to be false and expect the Fed to quickly resume the previous outlook. The chart shows that the 1M RSI Lower Highs have are consistent with the previous Bearish Reversal on the US10Y price, similar to 2006 - 2007. We are expecting to hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 2.100%, as the Fed's Cut Cycle will be accelerated in order to meet within 12-18 months their 2% inflation target and stabilize. For better illustration we have plotted also the U.S. Interest Rate (red trend-line), where you can clearly see that the fractal we compare to today, is right before cuts started in August 2007. Also it is a natural consequence for the US10Y to fall when rate cut cycles start, evident also in June 2019, December 2000, May 1995, May 1989 September 1984, May 1981 etc. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:US10YShort
by TradingShot
12
PRODIGAL SOLANA?Today, on this idea, I'm not going to disclose my position on the header. Nevertheless, I'm still overall bearish on the contract . I have marked out a bearish order block in the 4H timeframe, currently the block of orders is being mitigated, and I've marked out the 50% level of the order candle of which I expect price to respect before a possible trend continuation . I'm not placing orders yet, I'll look to seek entry levels at my intermediate timeframe and my lower timeframe (an advice). So back to the question, are we going to see a prodigal BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P ? IMO Hell naw! (Surprised on my precised answer? Lol), Psychologically speaking; festive periods are bad periods for long trades (I will tutorial on that). Now that we know its most unlikely that Solana will go back to papa anytime for now, when should we expect this bloody race to end; SOON! This will lead to the AltSeason , Long investors should not be worried, and this is a good period for accumulation of these alternative coins and tokens ahead of what's big. The cashout level? That's where my swing liquidity lie (and if market dumps more, we should see a bloody $175 - $166 been broken, the latter is a wild expectation). Remember to DYOR. LEAVE A FOLLOW!
Short
by earthtraderx
1
AUDCHF My Opinion! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the AUDCHF next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.5571 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 0.5594 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
XAU/USD 20 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!! ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED) Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!! ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED) Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) . I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line . ⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️ ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
13
GBPJPY BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPJPY is moving in an UP trend channel, is trading along the rising support And as the pair will soon retest it I am expecting the price to go up To retest the supply levels above at The chart broke through the dynamic support, which now acts ... We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Long
by TheGrove
11
Gold can decline to support level and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price started to trades inside a downward wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Soon, Gold broke this level and even declined a little, after which backed up to the seller zone, but soon dropped from this area to the 2590 support level. Next, the price declined below this level to support line of the wedge and then started to grow from this line and soon rose higher than the 2590 level, breaking it again. Then Gold continued to grow and reached the seller zone, after which made correction movement. After this movement, the price some time trades near the support level and later backs up to the seller zone and even a little higher, reaching the resistance line of the wedge. Then price dropped from this line to the support level, breaking the 2690 level and when it reached the support level, the price little declined to the buyer zone, after which started to grow. Now, I expect that Gold can fall to support level one more time and then start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 2660 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
2
SOLBTC—UpdateA 300 days long support and accumulation zone has been activated. The range between 0.001700 and 0.002000. The recent drop is a bullish development. SOLBTC can be bought at this level in anticipation of a new bullish wave. 300 days is a long time for a Cryptocurrency trading pair. There is always a drop before a reversal. After three hundred days of sideways we have a strong drop that is activating a major support range and at the same time producing a long-term higher low (vs March 2024). This is a bullish development and can signal the start of a new bullish wave for this pair. Thank you for reading. Choose to follow. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
Gold Consolidates Between Key Levels Amid Bearish TrendGold Technical Analysis The price recently reached the support level at 2585 and reversed. However, the bearish trend remains intact as long as gold trades below 2612. Gold is currently consolidating between 2612 and 2585. A breakout in either direction will determine the next trend: Stability above 2612, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, suggests a move toward 2623. Stability below 2585 indicates a drop toward 2558. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2612 Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653 Support Levels: 2586, 2572, 2558 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum: Likely below 2623 and 2612. Bullish Momentum: Possible above 2623. Previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
CARDANO: Re-EntryTo those who did not catch the first entry I have shared with you, I show you new possible entry. It is between two green lines, with possible SL approximately 5-7% (depends on level of buying). This level also stands as a 50% FIB line from bottom to the top. Which signals great potential of stepping into the crypto market. For those, who like this idea, set your SL! Bellow purple box, and TP? As high, as you want.. Naah.. smart move is gonna be setting your TP at level around 1.01 (safe spot) and after reaching that level, move your SL to break-even. Then sell ADA at new ATH next year. BINANCE:ADAUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSD COINBASE:ADAUSD
Long
by PaulShepherd
Weak Bitcoin Above $100,000? Correction Or Bullish? +AltcoinsLet me ask you, is one day red really a strong correction? Is it really that bad? Or is it more of a market reaction to a speculative news event? The answer to this question doesn't really matter, Bitcoin continues strong and is trading above 100K. How are you doing my fellow Cryptocurrency trader? I hope you are having a wonderful day. Recently we established some resistance and support levels as Bitcoin was climbing up. In early November, as soon as Bitcoin moved above 74K, we would say, "Ultra-bullish above 70/74K." And this condition remains above 69K and 64K based on the 2021 bull-market All-Time High. But Bitcoin ended up stronger and being super-strong, prices continued to climb higher and higher it is today; Bitcoin is going up. The previous all-time high and the March 2024 peak price soon became irrelevant; the next support level on a drop we considered to be 80K. Bitcoin passed 80K easily in this current price discovery phase and there has been no retrace, no retest, nothing; straight up; Bitcoin continues to grow. Now the main level is 90K but this is pretty far away based on current market action and conditions. The next immediate support is already sitting at 100K. As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000, we are hyper-bullish, that's all we need to know. Bitcoin can shake, Bitcoin can drop, Bitcoin can do anything in a matter of hours or days; but focus on the candle close, can be weekly, daily or monthly and see the price; ask yourself, at what price is Bitcoin trading today? If the price remains above $80,000, $90,000 or $100,000, you know we are ultra-hyper-mega bullish long-, mid-, and short-term. On the daily timeframe we can track 100K. On the weekly timeframe we can focus on 90K. On the monthly timeframe we have 80K. These are the support levels and we are considering these only if you want to protect yourself and you lack trust on Bitcoin, the Cryptocurrency market, and all of us. We know that 2025 is the full-blown bull-market. We already have a preview, the whales know. So what is everybody doing now? They are accumulating before maximum growth. Since everybody is accumulating, prices will continue to grow. Prices will continue to grow for Bitcoin and for the Altcoins, all across. It will continue to grow long-term. It is not over, this is the beginning not the end. If Bitcoin were to go down and test these support levels —a blessing, use this as an opportunity to buy more, but this opportunity is hard to come by, it is no longer early, we are already within the start of the first bullish wave. Many Altcoins are still trading low but the majority are 3-5 levels higher compared to their market bottom. There is good news though, there is still plenty of room left for additional growth. Is one day red a strong correction? It isn't... One day of bearish action is considered chart noise. Bullish consolidation continues; Consolidation leads to higher prices. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Whatever you do, focus on the bullish side. It is an easy win right now. Being bearish at this point can be the biggest mistake of your trading life and can result in massive losses and missing an amazing, and obvious, opportunity that is right in front of us. First we look for proof on the chart. Then, we confirm this proof based on price action. The market is growing. That's all you need to know. We've been here before... The end result is good and a positive one. It doesn't matter what happens in the short-term, Bitcoin will always recover and continue to grow. There is no scenario where a bull-market ends before the bull-run. The bull-run is months away; the market is big and continues to evolve. We have most of 2025 to experience success and maximum abundance. If you haven't been bullish by now, that's ok, take the loss and move on. If you stay bearish now, you cannot blame anybody because everybody knows that Crypto is going up. Adapt and change. We all make mistakes, but it is time to join the next Cryptocurrency market bullish wave. We are going up and the market continues doing great. This is positive. It is the best possible scenario. We are set to experience growth long-term. Any retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy. Right now is great timing to reload on all Altcoins; the retraces is over. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
3
Buy GBP/CHF Bullish PennatThe GBP/CHF pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined Bullish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1427 2nd Support – 1.1475 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13