REN: Exploring Trends and Key Levels in the Crypto Market✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the REN coin in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project: REN is a protocol that enables the transfer of cryptocurrencies between different blockchains in a decentralized manner. It aims to bring interoperability to DeFi by providing access to liquidity from various blockchains for DeFi applications.
⌛️ Daily Timeframe
🔍In this timeframe, the price has been ranging for a long period around the $0.04996 support.
📊Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: $0.05060, $0.05696
Support: $0.04442, $0.03936
💥The RSI is around 54.25, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
🧩Currently, there is significant bearish momentum in this timeframe, and the volume aligns perfectly with the downward trend.
Recommendation: Given the strong support at $0.04442, we can expect another bearish wave if candles stabilize below this area.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
📈In this timeframe, the price has pulled back to the SMA99 and simultaneously reached the critical $0.04960 resistance, which was the main market low in the previous cycle.
The volume is gradually decreasing, indicating that the long-term downward trend impacts the 4-hour timeframe.
🔑Key Levels: For a long position, the key levels are $0.04960, $0.05060, and $0.05696. For a short position, $0.04442 and $0.04500 are critical areas where the price may react in the future.
🎲RSI Oscillator: The RSI is ranging between 39.81 and 54.34, and breaking either of these levels can provide confirmation for opening positions. However, be sure to use these levels only for confirmation and rely on candles to find the trigger.
♟Recommendation: This upward movement offers a better entry point for a short position. Given the bearish market in the 4-hour and daily timeframes and the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, consider opening a short position as the trend aligns with the momentum.
⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Oscillators
Hash rate capitulation in full effectThe hash rate capitulation indicator is showing full-on capitulation of the hash rate spurred by minors needing to pull back on the hash following the halving. The timing for price peaks following HRC flashes have been different, but HRC flashes are generally followed by increased prices (sometimes multiple Xs). I'd say the probability is very high that we will see higher prices in a few months.
Note: The trigger on July 6th, 2023 was near a bottom, but we did go sideways and then lower (FTX) for an extended period of time after that.
#ALICE/USDT SHORT ENTRY#ALICE/USDT SHORT ENTRY
Leverage: 3x
Entries: $1.515
Take profit 1: $1.490
Take profit 2: $1.417
Take profit 3: $1.296
Stop Loss: $1.603
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
BINANCE:ALICEUSDT.P
Thanks
The sroced.
BITCOIN More Correction to 50-48KHello!
According to the daily chart,
we observe a double top, which indicates a further decline. also a pullback to broken trendline. so BTC can go lower , in the range of 50,000 to 48,000. ❌❗❌
This is the same strong resistance range that the price broke through a few months ago, leading to a significant rise. 📚💡
it is possible to see
some range candles too 📚💡
📖💡 Feel free to express your perspective by commenting below. Thanks! 🐋
AUD/JPY looks set to bounce from OS levelsAUD/JPY fell nearly -4.5% since the MTD high to today’s low. And as AU employment has raised the takes for another RBA hike – even if only very slightly – we suspect further upside over the near term. Besides, assuming the MOF did intervene on the yen on Wednesday, it seems unlikely to be followed up with more action today. And that could allow the yen to drift lower and provide a slight tailwind for AUD/JPY.
The daily RSI (2) reached oversold on Wednesday. Today we have seen prices open above the April high, dip beneath it and back again. This could suggest we have already seen the daily low. The 4-hour RSI (14) is well within its oversold zone, and two very negative delta volumes (bids – asks) suggests some bears got greedy on the way down. Besides, volumes were also relatively thin in the recent leg lower looking at the volume profile, hence the bias for a corrective bounce towards 106.
Bulls could seek dips within the prior 4-hour bullish pinbar with a stop below.
Could AUD/USD be getting ready to visit .6850?? - AUHere I have AUD/USD on the Daily Chart!
Since price last visited the 2023/2024 Fall Support Zone making a Divergent Low @ .63623 , it has continued to move higher finding Support at a Local Support Zone!
After this we see a New High @ .67141! Using the Fib Tool from Divergent Low to New High, we are given a Fib Entry Zone where Price has already corrected too!
Currently, we see price is now struggling with the Fib Kill Zone!
-All this Price Action is happening just under a Falling Resistance and with this much built up pressure I believe we could see price make quite a move to the UPSIDE!!!
At Market Open, Price had opened WAYY above our Falling Resistance making a GAP to FILL and price has already done that!
-Price now is also trading ABOVE the 200 EMA
-If price can continue to stay above the Kill Zone, I believe it will have a good chance at Breaking the Local Resistance Zone and then onto the Dec. 2023 Resistance Zone @ .6850 Levels
OverstrechedMeta is strong - to strong. It has been rising for 2 years without a major correction.
There was a correction of this year's rise at least and now we are trying to retest this year's high again. I expect this test to fail despite there is still some momentum.
The correction is required to get the market clean of the "weak hands" which hamper the finding of a fair value of the stock.
This correction may be long sideward movement. But with a change of the overall market sentiment a certain Fibonacci retracement may be expected.
Meanwhile the April decline has been retracedit may be the right time of another fall to begin.
Oil's Descent: Triangles, Elliott, Reversion, & BackwardationIn this analysis, we will delve into the oil market’s current state and explain why a significant reversal is imminent.
Contracting Triangle
Oil has been forming a contracting triangle since the beginning of May. The lead-up to the triangle was bearish, so statistically, the breakout should also be bearish. The upper extreme of the triangle is at $84.45, but prices could advance up to $87.67 before invalidating the bearish breakout.
Wave C of E of X
According to Elliott Wave analysis, contracting triangles form five waves (i.e., A, B, C, D, E). Typically, each of those five waves subdivides into a zigzag (i.e., A, B, C). We can clearly count five waves of the triangle and three waves of the final zigzag, indicating that the reversal should occur at any moment.
Mean Reversion
On the daily timeframe, oil has approached the overbought level on three different mean reversion indicators. It has been overbought since June 17, according to the Stochastic Oscillator, and it will be overbought according to RSI and Bollinger Bands at $85.09.
Backwardation
Backwardation, where forward contracts are traded below the expected spot value at maturity, often signifies a bullish outlook for crude oil. However, it can also indicate short-term market stress caused by buyers' panic over excess demand or insufficient supply. This scenario often results from an overreaction, and as future supply and demand expectations come into balance, the oil market tends to experience a selloff towards more rational pricing. Given the current strong state of backwardation in oil futures, this dynamic could unfold, contributing to the next market downturn.
Executing the Bearish Strategy
As this is a countertrend trade, risk should be tight, and one’s stop loss should be adhered to religiously. While unlikely, if prices were to continue their ascent, and you have a wide or flexible stop loss, you could experience a substantial loss.
I believe the best place for a stop loss would be just beyond the end of intermediate wave C at $87.68. If prices move beyond this level, it would invalidate the Elliott analysis and offer a strong indication of a bullish breakout from the triangle. As long as prices hold below this level, the outlook would remain bearish, unless a strong consolidation pattern forms near these highs.
If the analysis is correct and we do see a bearish breakout, prices could easily decline to $65, possibly lower. This would be a reasonably conservative target, but I am planning a discretionary exit as price action develops.
As for entry, this is a personal decision. I see three possible options:
Wait for prices to climb a little higher (less risk at entry if successful, with a chance of entering lower with more risk if unsuccessful).
Wait for prices to decline a bit to confirm the analysis (higher probability of a winning trade, with greater initial risk at entry).
Enter now (somewhere in between options 1 and 2).
Good luck, everyone!
EURNZD to continue in the upward move?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 1.7921.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 1.7928 (stop at 1.7878)
Our profit targets will be 1.8048 and 1.8068
Resistance: 1.7978 / 1.8061 / 1.8100
Support: 1.7925 / 1.7900 / 1.7870
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
KAS - the gift that keeps on givingI've been playing KAS for the better part of 2 years and for the life of me, I'm not sure why more people are not taking advantage of it. Over time, it has followed a nice logarithmic growth pattern (around 180 days), technical indicators show we are out of peak fear after the last impulse up, heading to peak greed. KAS continues to consolidate higher, now in the 0.18 range. I tagged-in at 0.10 and 0.11 recently so plan to sell above 0.20 cents with a stop loss around 0.16383 just to protect my current profits.
GBPNZD - Potential Perfect StormTaking a look at RSI on the 1 hour timeframe, it's obvious we are getting some bearish divergence after a strong week long rally.
This strong bullish price action was attributed to the RBNZ interest rate decesion last week where interest rates were left unchanges at 5.50%
However, later today we get the latest CPI data from New Zealand followed by UK's CPI data a few hours later. Could this be a potential perfect storm where New Zealand will show a surprise to the upside followed by a surprise to the downside with the UK?
If that happens, I would expect this ascending support trendline to break opening the doors for a reversal.
Time will tell but early clues are beginning to develop on the 1 hour timeframe with RSI.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe.
$SPY July 16, 2024XETR:AMEX : SPY July 16, 2024
15 Minutes.
XETR:AMEX : SPY made 3 HH pattern.
So, if we take 555.83 as low, we can expect 566-567.5 levels as target for now provided it holds around 557 levels
At the moment it took support at 61.8% of the fall as support.
For the fall 564.83 to 559.62 it needs to cross 563.8 levels to resume uptrend.
So, for the day Buy above 564 to 566-567 as target and sell below 556.5.
If this level is broken, I expect a 4 to 5 $ fall.
Remember 556 is 9 MA support in daily.
EUR/USD Hesitating at 1.09The world's most widely-traded currency pair has seen a big bullish run over the last 2+ weeks, but today's price action shows some hesitation around the 4-month highs at 1.0900.
The combination of a daily doji candle (in progress) and relatively stretched RSI and MACD oscillators hints at a pullback if tomorrow's US Retail Sales report can beat expectations. To the downside, the next logical level to watch would be at the convergence of the 50- and 200-day moving averages near 1.0800.
-MW
GBP/USD Fade Potential Off Key 1.30 LevelCable has rallied in 10 of the last 12 days, taking the pair up to its highest level in nearly a full year. For this week, the key level to watch will be psychological resistance at 1.3000: If that level, which also represents the late July 2023 high, is convincingly broken, GBP/USD could make a run at its 2+ year high near 1.3150 next.
Meanwhile, given the pound’s 17-year high in net speculative long positioning and the overbought RSI, a profit-taking dip off this resistance level would be logical, especially if this week’s UK data disappoints. In that scenario, previous-resistance turned-support near 1.2900 will be the key level to watch.
-MW
BITCOIN LINE IN THE SAND BTC has lost the 1D 200 EMA for the first time this year which is a major TA trend Indicator.
On the daily timeframe we can see a clean breakthrough below on the first touch since October of last year, which initially is surprising as this level is seen as key support for keeping a bullmarket going. Now that BTC has fallen under the moving average we've seen attempts at breaking back above for the last 3 days in a row, and with FED chair Powell set to testify today and tomorrow along with CPI &PPI on Thursday and Friday respectively. It's quite a FED heavy week with can bring volatility to the market.
The ETH ETF is rumoured to begin trading next Monday (15th July) which could be the catalyst to get both BTC & ETH back above their 1D 200 EMA's. For now the general worry is that the selling pressure caused by the German Government and Mt. Gox is what is dragging price down. However, yesterday recorded a net inflow of $295m for the Bitcoin spot ETFs, the most in 21 days which suggest there are buyers looking to absorb those Bitcoins that are being offloaded.
I am still a little confused as to why the German Government have decided to market sell through an exchange instead of any OTC transactions, perhaps it's a play to shake out weak hands and make retail panic?
The FA is always complicated but I still believe that the bearish factors are more short term when compared to all the bullish more long term factors. Short term market selling vs long term supply shock caused by the halving, institutional investors and ETFs buying, US election and rate cuts.
CPI & PPI can be volatile news events for the market, I think it could be one of these events that could be a catalyst to reclaim the 1D 200 EMA, we've seen a full reset of the RSI since the rally of earlier this year. Historically these are all good long term entry criteria.
BTUCUSDT EQUIDISTANC DESCENDING CHANNELMFI shows a bullish divergence and a pullback up is possible but the overall trend is still down LL and LH.
Very high probability for the price to pullback up into the VAL line and the strong resistance level before doing down again .
Enter short after the pullback up completion and a reversal candle stick while MFI still below 50 level
Good LUck
Multiple Indicator - TRIVENI📊 Script: TRIVENI
📊 Sector: Sugar
📊 Industry: Sugar
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB and giving breakout of it.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Double Moving Averages are giving crossover.
📈 Right now RSI is around 71.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 426
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 451
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 416
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂