order-block...?(UMA)📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
how you find order-block?
🔍Entry: 3.40
🛑Stop Loss: 2.99
🎯Take Profit: 4.02
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Orderblocks
XAUUSD BUY AND SELL ScenarioHi guys,
I'm back with another analysis on gold , Market reacted to my levels from previous analysis. Now new levels are available for both short and long trades.
Market is moving up now and there are multiple supply levels available some fresh and some tested before. level 32 is our immediate supply level, following that we have level 43 then 47 and higher levels.
To go long we also have level 24 which market reacted to, hours ago. Below it we have level 19 and 16-14 then 2008.
#As always add your own logic and intuition into this.
#Make sure you pay attention to the news which will be released in an hour.
Be honorable
USDCAD: Bearish Harmonic Pattern and Weekly Range DynamicsThe USDCAD market is currently exhibiting the formation of a potential bearish bat pattern. Notably, the price is approaching a daily level that coincides with a 4-hour order block. This convergence is significant as it marks the completion of the D leg of our discernible bat harmonic pattern. Additionally, it's worth mentioning that the overall market structure is displaying a bearish bias.
Despite the bearish sentiment in the shorter time frames, it's essential to note that the weekly chart indicates a trading range. This information adds a layer of nuance to the analysis, suggesting a potential conflict between short-term bearish dynamics and a more neutral stance in the longer term.
In light of these technical observations, a potential short-trading opportunity is anticipated. The confluence of the bearish bat pattern, alignment with the 4-hour order block at the daily level, and the bearish structure on lower time frames adds an extra layer of confirmation to the trade setup. Traders are advised to exercise due diligence, considering both the potential for a reversal in the indicated zone and the overarching range-bound behavior on the weekly chart. Goodluck!
💰🔥🔥Are you looking for a new trading opportunity? Check out tAccording to our analysis, SPX500USD is currently in a downtrend in 4H or above timeframes. However, we’ve identified a potential opportunity for a long trade. There was a breakout of Key Level 4756.8, we are waiting for a retest on support levels (as marked as Buy limit levels on chart). If all goes well, we could see a touch on 4775.5 and gain some pips from this Long trade. More take profit levels and the Stop Loss are marked on chart too. 🤑🤑🤑
Remember, this is just an idea and not a guarantee. Always do your own research and analysis before making any trades. Good luck! 🤞
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I'm Bullish. Here's WhyHi Traders,
PLTR is oversold on the 2HR, 4HR, and daily charts and has nearly completed a corrective wave. This corrective wave is denoted by the yellow ABC pattern (also known as a Zig Zag pattern) in Elliot Wave analysis. The Wave Trend indicator is extremely oversold since the signal is far below the green boundary as shown on the chart. I anticipate PLTR will close the small gap around the $14.96-$15.94 area, which is also a BULLISH demand zone and a trend support zone. I've decided to use this area as an entry zone. Once price is in this area, consider a bullish position targeting $17. If PLTR closes above $17, target $18.64 based on harmonic pattern analysis, which currently indicates a bullish Gartley. Here's my bullish case, strictly using Technical Analysis:
Harmonics
PLTR is showing three bullish harmonic patterns (Gartley, Black Swan, and Anti-Nen Star). I'd like to focus on the gartley pattern, which statistically has a 75% likelihood in reaching T1 ($18.66). In the chart below, you can also see the oversold RSI at a value of 28.74
Price Action
There is a bearish order block around the $14.75 as denoted in the chart below. Bearish traders sold PLTR back in NOV 23, but PLTR didn't decline further in price. Instead, it gapped up, which indicates Bearish traders exhausted their selling power and will likely be eager to close their positions by buying PLTR at this price point, thereby constituting a bullish demand zone.
Trends
Trend resistance is $16.98 with trend support at $14.40 as denoted by the trend lines on the chart below. The 200 period moving average (yellow line) is $14.80, which coincides with trend line support, gap analysis, and price action order blocks. I consider this strong support for now. The 9 period (purple line) 21 period (blue line) moving averages act as resistance (for now) and are $16.74 and $17.31 respectively. Both coincide with trend resistance at $16.98. The chart also shows positive divergence on the VMMACD and MACD indicators.
Trading Plan
I trade options, and while I do own several hundred shares of PLTR, I generate income by selling CALL and PUT options based on the volatility (i.e. price swings) of PLTR. Since I anticipate PLTR is nearing a LOW, I will likely sell several $14 or $15 PUTs option with a 45 DTE (Date Till Expiration) to collect premium. When PLTR reaches my upside targets, I will sell COVERED CALL options (maybe $18 or $19 strikes) to collect premium, because I know that these upside targets act as supply zones (i.e resistance) and price may decline from these areas.
Happy Trading!
XAUUSD|Trading positions in multi-time framesHello guys, I hope you are doing well. We have the gold chart in 1 hour time frame:
For gold, if you remember, we had an bullish order block area, which moved up well upon reaching this area, and it has also started to move up in the return to the candlestick that was formed in one hour and the demand area was formed.
The point that is important in the one-hour timeframe is the level (2030), which is a resistance on the way of gold.
But if we have a close candle above this level, we can hope for its upward trend until the next supply area, which is around (2038-2041).
In the time frame of 15 minutes, we have the refined area of that one-hour supply area, which we can enter selling positions when the price reaches this area.
In the 4-hour time frame, we had a support, and when we reached it, we moved upwards. As long as it is maintained, gold can achieve higher targets, but if this area is broken down, the numbers that can be expected are the supply areas (2005 -2008) and the next area (1990-1995).
XAUUSD BUY & SELLHi Friends,
Another analysis on gold. As always I keep everything simple. So we have multiple levels of buy and sell. Our immediate sell level is 2047-2049 which price has reacted to.
Below it we have level 27-29 as our demand level and also below it another one. in case market continues rallying up we have couple supply levels like area 61 and 73.
So we have to wait for the NEW YORK session in order to see the direction of the market.
*make sure to pay attention to the PPI news being published later today
Be honorable
ORDER BLOCK trading strategyThe order block trading strategy is based on the concept of smart money, focusing on identifying specific zones where institutional traders previously executed their orders. Once we have successfully identified these zones, we patiently wait for the price to revisit these levels.
By using a suitable strategy, we then enter our trades in the anticipated direction.
-What is an Order Block in Forex:
Order blocks are special zones within the market where significant buy or sell orders from major market participants, like institutional traders, have been previously executed.
These order clusters, situated in specific price regions, hold considerable influence over price action, market sentiment, and liquidity.
Order blocks serve as a specialized methodology to determine crucial support and resistance levels, derived from the trading behavior of institutional traders. These levels are subsequently employed as strategic points for initiating or concluding trades.
-Understanding Order Block in Trading:
In Forex or any other market, ict order block represent crucial price levels where we observe significant and aggressive price movements. These levels are characterized by large firms strategically placing their orders, which often results in the market moving forcefully from those points.
To influence the market in a specific direction, smart money or hedge funds execute orders worth billions of dollars at particular price levels. However, not all of their orders are immediately filled. As a result, smart money revisits these levels to execute the pending orders, leading to further movement in the desired direction.
-ICT Order Blocks Definition:
Order blocks can indeed be identified on any time frame, ranging from small time frame like 15m,30 m and m5 to larger time frames like daily or weekly charts.
Order blocks can be classified into two main types: Bullish Order Blocks and Bearish Order Blocks.
1. Bullish Order Block:
A Bullish Order Block is recognized as the last downward candle before the price experiences a significant and aggressive upward movement. It represents a key level where institutional traders placed substantial buy orders, causing the market to rally strongly from that point.
2. Bearish Order Block:
On the other hand, a Bearish Order Block is characterized by the last upward closing candle before the price undergoes a sharp and forceful downward movement. It signifies a critical level where large market participants, such as institutional traders, positioned significant sell orders, resulting in a significant decline in the market.
By identifying and analyzing these Bullish and Bearish Blocks, traders can gain insights into a potential reversal or continuation patterns and utilize them as entry or exit points for their trades.
Trading order blocks go beyond solely identifying the last up or down closing candle. To effectively trade order blocks, it is essential to consider several contextual factors, including:
1. Liquidity Hunt: Market participants, especially institutional traders, may strategically place their orders to trigger stop losses or create a liquidity imbalance. Understanding liquidity patterns and how they can influence price action is crucial.
2. Daily Bias: Evaluating the overall market sentiment and bias for the day is important. This involves considering factors such as news events, economic releases, and geopolitical developments that may impact the market and influence order-block behavior.
3. Interest Rates and Fundamentals: Fundamental factors, including interest rates, economic indicators, and central bank policies, can significantly influence market conditions. Understanding how these factors interact with order blocks can provide valuable insights for trading decisions.
By taking these contextual factors into account, traders can enhance their understanding of order blocks and make more informed trading decisions.
To identify order blocks, price action traders typically examine historical price movements on the chart to locate areas where the market has shown strong reactions.
-How to identifying order blocks:
1. Look for strong price reactions: Analyze the chart to identify areas where the price has displayed significant and notable reactions, such as sharp reversals, extended consolidations, or breakouts.
2. Mark potential order block levels: Once you identify these areas of strong price reactions, mark them as potential order block levels on your chart. These levels represent key price zones where institutional traders may have executed large orders.
3. Assess support and resistance characteristics: Consider how the price behaves with the marked order block levels. If the price bounces off a specific level multiple times, it indicates a robust level of support or resistance, depending on whether the price approached the level from above or below.
4. Watch for role reversal: When an order block level is breached, its role as support or resistance can reverse. For instance, a broken resistance level may transform into a support level, and vice versa. In such cases, traders often wait for a retest of the broken level before entering trades in the direction of the breakout.
By following these steps and considering the principles of support and resistance, traders can effectively identify and utilize order blocks in their trading strategies. However, it’s important to note that order block analysis is just one tool among many in a comprehensive trading approach.
-How To Trade Order Blocks:
The steps you’ve mentioned provide a general guideline for trading order blocks in forex. Here’s a breakdown of each step:
1. Point of Interest (POI): Start by identifying potential order blocks on higher time frames, such as daily and 4-hour charts. These could be areas of consolidation or strong price reactions. Once you’ve marked these POIs, move to the next step.
2. Optimization: Switch to lower time frames like 1-hour, 15-minute, or 5-minute charts to refine and optimize your POIs. By zooming in on these lower time frames, you can better analyze the price action within the identified areas.
3. Price Observation: Keep an eye on the price action in the higher time frame. Monitor how the price behaves as it approaches your POI. This observation helps you determine the strength of the order block and potential trading opportunities.
4. Rejection Analysis: When the price reaches your POI, switch to the lower time frame to examine how the order block reacts to the price. Look for signs of rejection, like fair value gap
5. Entry on Lower Time Frame: Once you’ve observed a rejection or a significant reaction at the order block on the lower time frame, you can plan your entry. Look for suitable entry signals, such as a breakout, pullback, FVG price Imbalance, and more
6. Stop Loss Placement: To manage risk, it’s important to place a stop loss order. Consider setting your stop loss 1 to 5 pips below the order block ict to allow for potential market noise and fluctuations. This helps protect your trading capital in case the trade doesn’t go as planned.
Remember, these steps provide a general framework for trading ict order blocks, but it’s crucial to develop a trading strategy that suits your risk tolerance, trading style, and market conditions.
It’s recommended to thoroughly back test and practice your strategy before applying it with real money. Additionally, staying updated with market news and having proper risk management practices are essential for successful trading.
How to trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)This trading strategy was initially popularized by an infamous trader who is also the founder of the Inner Circle Trading (ICT) method which is claimed to be the evolved version of the SMC. Let’s first take a look at the building blocks of this trading strategy and compare it with the well-known trading concepts by industrial titans (Dow, Wyckoff, Elliott).
Essentially, SMC puts forth the notion that market makers, including institutions like banks and hedge funds, play a deliberate role in complicating trading endeavours for retail traders. Under the Smart Money Concepts framework, retail traders are advised to construct their strategies around the activities of the "smart money," denoting the capital controlled by these market makers.
The core concept involves replicating the trading behaviour of these influential entities, with a specific focus on variables such as supply, demand dynamics, and the structural aspects of the market. Therefore, as an SMC trader, you'll meticulously examine these elements when making trading decisions, aligning your approach with the sophisticated techniques of prominent market figures. By embracing this perspective and closely monitoring the actions of market makers, SMC traders endeavour to establish an advantageous position in their trading activities, aiming to capitalise on market movements driven by smart money.
When you initially dive into the Smart Money Concepts (SMC), the technical vocabulary can be a bit overwhelming. To help demystify it, here's an overview of some common terms used by SMC traders.
1. Order Blocks
These are used to discuss supply and demand. Some SMC traders consider order blocks as a more refined concept than standard supply and demand, although not everyone agrees on this.
An order block signifies a concentrated area of limit orders awaiting execution, identified on a chart by analysing past price movements for significant shifts. These zones serve as pivotal points in price action trading, influencing the market's future direction. When a multitude of buy or sell orders cluster at a specific price level, it establishes a robust support or resistance, capable of absorbing pressure and triggering price reversals or consolidation.
2.Fair Value Gap
You should clarify whether your current trading style suits you. If you don't have time to look at charts during the day, you should not focus your strategy on intraday trading using 1
5-minute or 30-minute charts. It is definitely better to develop an approach that works on a 4-hour or daily chart so that you have enough time to analyze the charts before or after work.
Ideal time and timeframe
This phrase describes an imbalance in the market. It occurs when the price departs from a specific level with limited trading activity, resulting in one-directional price movement.
In the case of a bearish trend, the Fair Value Gap represents the price range between the low of the previous candle and the high of the following candle. This area reveals a discrepancy in the market, which may indicate a potential trading opportunity. The same principle applies to a bullish trend but with the opposite conditions.
3.Liquidity
Liquidity plays a pivotal role in SMC. It pertains to price levels where orders accumulate, rendering an asset class "liquid." Essentially, these are price points with available orders ready for transactions. Liquidity can manifest in various forms, such as highs and lows or trend line liquidity.
How liquidity is handled varies depending on the trader. One of the most common approaches is to use a pivot high or pivot low. For better understanding, a pivot high or low is formed when several adjacent candlesticks have a higher low or lower high.
In the picture, we can see the pivot low. The candlestick has the lowest low compared to its three neighbours to the right and left.
4.Break of Structure (BOS)
Once you become familiar with this terminology, you'll realize that many SMC concepts are consistent with traditional trading ideas. A fundamental element of SMC market analysis is the emphasis on the "break of structure" (BOS) in the market.
5.Change of Character (ChoCH)
For instance, in a chart illustrating breaks of structure, each time the price surpasses the previous high, a break of structure occurs. Conversely, when the price drops below previously established lows, it signals a change of character (ChoCH). SMC traders leverage their understanding of these patterns to make informed decisions based on the market's behaviour.
NZDUSD Potential SELL opportunity!NZDUSD is currently exhibiting a downward structural trend, with prices rebounding from weekly and daily highs. As the market retraces into weekly demand, we anticipate further bearish price development. Notably, the 4-hour supporting trendline has been breached, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Our strategy involves patiently awaiting a pullback on the 30-minute timeframe, where we can identify optimal entry points for potential selling opportunities. Stay tuned for updates as the market unfolds.
CADJPY Analysis: Potential Shorting Oppoturnity! Gartley PatternCADJPY is currently rebounding from a significant weekly resistance level. Upon closer examination of the daily timeframe, a Break of Structure to the downside is evident. Additionally, a well-defined Harmonic Gartley pattern is taking shape, with the completion of the D leg aligning with the 4-hour Order Block.
Anticipate a potential downward movement from the identified 4-hour Order Block, as highlighted on the chart. Exercise patience and wait for a change of character in lower timeframes, such as the 15-minute or 30-minute intervals, as the lower timeframes still exhibit a bullish sentiment. Wishing you success in your trades!
USDJPY Bearish order block. 15 min chart.A strong impulsive move that left an imbalance on the 15 Min after leaving behind some liquidity proves a valid bearish order block for a trend continuation trade. I've measured with the Fibonacci retracement, it aligns with the 61.8% level. As well as using the volume profile sentiment of recent price history. (Valid POC). Hence, price could potentially retrace to this bearish order block before continue pushing downwards.
XAUUSD BUY & SELL Scenario Hello Friends,
Another Gold analysis , So market is currently at 2065, our immediate supply level is 2068 which market has already reacted to. Should price go up then area around 78-81 would be good for a sell and also area around 84-88.
In case dollar strengthen we should expect a drop to around 55 and 45
So as always make sure you have these levels around for a trade but add your own logic and intuition into it.
Be honorable.
EURUSD Buy opportunity.As you can see, on the 1 hour chart, the trend has been very bullish lately. However, there has been a recent pullback. We are looking for a buy opportunity on the open next Monday, as a trend continuation trade.
My reasons to believe price will keep pushing upwards are the main confluences that hint toward this move.
- Fibonacci retracement 50.00%.
- Many buyers previously interested in this region.
- Support zone/bullish OB. (on the HTF)
- Lower bearish volume.
🚀How to Profit from AUD/JPY’s Bullish TrendFrom our AI screener, it shows the currency Japanese yen is turning to weak side after over bought last week.
Moreover, AUD and NZD is going to strong side.
Based on Technical analysis in higher time frame we found AUDJPY and NZDJPY has a new trend to upside.
💰Here we sharing the buy limit order levels of AUDJPY for the week as shown on the chart.
💹News about Japanese Yen recently which may be one of the reason make JPY become weaker since last week.
In November 2023, the annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 2.8% from 3.3% in the previous month, which is the lowest it has been since July 2022. This was mainly due to a decrease in food prices, which rose by 7.3% compared to 8.6% in October. Additionally, the cost of transport, housing, furniture & household utensils, clothes, culture & recreation, and miscellaneous items also decreased. However, fuel and light prices fell for the 10th consecutive month, due to a decrease in electricity and gas prices. Education prices remained unchanged, while healthcare prices increased slightly. The core inflation rate also decreased to 2.5%, the lowest in 16 months, from 2.9% in October. Consumer prices fell by 0.1% on a monthly basis, the first drop since February, after a 0.7% gain in October.
XAUUSD BUY & SELLHello Friends,
In this analysis as always i have multiple areas of sell and buy. To begin with currently price is at area 31 which is a buy side level, just below it exist level 26 which is also a potential winner. should price go up level 39 -42 is a supply zone and just above it there is a QM level which price reacted to yesterday and it would be second reaction(risky).
* As always make sure you pay attention to the news which is going to be published later this afternoon. *
Be honorable
NZDCAD BUY SIGNALThis setup has been analysed on multiple timeframes. On the 4hr you can see there is a change of character as trend breaks to upside. Overall trend when zooming out was also on uptrend. I have drawn an order block on 1hr timeframe that includes imbalance. Enter when market opens and gap closed. Targeting the order block on daily timeframe which also has imbalance to be filled (0.84435)