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Producing Recurring Income in GoldGold has long been a darling of investors. Its holders - whether households or central banks - seek refuge in the yellow metal in times of crisis. Gold is a resilient store of wealth, offers durable portfolio diversification, exhibits lower volatility relative to equities & bonds, and serves as an inflation hedge. But it has a big downside. As mentioned in our previous paper , gold pays zero yield. Shares pay-out dividends. Debt earns interest. Property delivers rents. But gold? Zero! There are multiple methods of generating yield from gold. This paper illustrates a risk-limited, easy to execute, and capital-efficient means of producing yield by investing in gold. Innovation in financial markets enables even non-yielding assets such as gold to produce regular income. A class of derivatives known as call options can be cleverly deployed to generate yield. Call options are derivative contracts that allow its buyers to profit from rising prices of the underlying asset. When prices rise, call option holders earn outsized gains relative to the options price ("call premiums"). Unlimited upside with limited downside describes the call option holder's strategy in summary. What has that got to do with generating yield in gold? Everything. For every buyer, the market requires a seller. Options sellers collect call premiums which comprise the income. Many widely believe that options are weapons of mass wealth destruction. Not entirely wrong. Used poorly, options devastate investors' portfolios. Deployed wisely, options help astute traders to better manage their portfolio, generate superior yield on their assets, and construct convexity (disproportionate gain for fixed amount of pain) into their investing strategies. Fortunately, a covered call is a strategy which uses options prudently. As the strategy involves holding the asset whose prices are expected to rally, the risk of the strategy is hedged with risks well contained. Gold Covered Call involves two trades. A long position in gold and a short position in out-of-the-money gold calls. In bullish markets, investors gain from call premiums plus also benefit from increase in prices. Covered calls not only enable investors to generate income but also reduce downside risk if asset prices tank. A covered call trade in gold can be implemented in a margin efficient manner using CME’s Gold Futures and Options. A long position in CME’s Gold futures (“Gold Futures”) gives exposure to 100 troy ounces (oz) of gold per lot. Combining long futures with a short call option on Gold Futures at out-of-the-money strike allows investors to harvest premiums. Selecting an optimal strike and an expiry date is critical to successfully execute covered call strategies. First, Strike. It is the price level at which the call option transforms to be in-the-money. Strikes which have daily volumes & meaningful open interest enable options to be traded with ease and provide narrow spreads. Strikes that make options expire worthless benefits the covered call options holder. Second, Expiry. Options have expiry. Options sellers thrive on shrinking expiry for generating yields. Investors selling call options optimise their risk-return profile by selecting an expiry with higher implied volatility (IV). Option prices are directly proportional to IV. Higher IV leads to larger premiums enriching returns. SIMULATION AND PAY-OFF MATRIX This paper illustrates a covered call strategy in gold using the CME Gold derivatives market: 1. Long one lot of Gold Futures expiring in Oct (GCV3) at $ 2,050/oz. 2. Sell one lot of Call Options on Gold Futures expiring in Oct at a strike of $ 2,275 collecting a premium of $ 40/oz. The pay-off matrix simulates the trade P&L under four likely outcomes among many possibilities at trade expiry: a. Gold rises past the strike ($ 2,400): Options get assigned to the buyer. Covered call option holder incurs loss of $ 85/oz (=$ 2,400 - $ 2,275 - $ 40) from short call offset by profits from long futures ($ 350 - $ 85) = $ 265/oz. Each GC contract has 100 troy ounces of gold, so total profit will be $ 265 x 100 = $ 26,500. b. Gold rises but remains below the strike ($ 2,250): Options expire worthless to the buyer. Seller retains premium in full. Covered call option holder profits from long futures + call options premium ($ 200 + $ 40) = $ 240/oz. Each GC contract has 100 troy ounces of gold, so total profit will be $ 240 x 100 = $ 24,000. c. Gold price falls marginally below the entry price ($ 2,030): Options expire worthless to the buyer. Covered call option holder loses money from long futures and thankfully the loss is offset by call options premium (-$ 20 + $ 40) = $ 20/oz. Each GC contract has 100 troy ounces of gold, so total profit will be $ 20 x 100 = $ 2,000. d. Gold price falls ~5% below the entry price ($ 1,950): Options expire worthless to the buyer. Covered call option holder loses money from long futures and the loss is partially offset by call options premium (-$ 100 + $ 40) = -$ 60/oz . Each GC contract has 100 troy ounces of gold, so total loss will be -$ 60 x 100 = -$ 6,000. The chart below describes the pay-off from Gold Futures (Long position), Gold Call Options (short position) and Covered Call (combination of the two trade legs). MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX:GCV2023Education
by mintdotfinance
3
Tesla to the Downside Part.2 4/9/2023 Tesla Trading Plan Trading Price Close: 185.06 After Hours: 184.95 Decrease : .11 Cent Put Call Ration PCTS (tradingview tiskcer) : .83 which is greater than .7 Which is considerd Bearish Earnings Date Wensday 19th of April Press 1.Tesla Nominates Former Tech Chief JB Straubel to Board 2.Tesla Cuts Prices Again as It Seeks to Lure New Buyers Tesla cut the prices on its more expensive Model S and Model X vehicles by HKEX:5 ,000 each and lowered the price on its Model 3 sedan and Model Y sport-utility vehicle by HKEX:1 ,000 and HKEX:2 ,000. 3.Tesla Plans China Plant To Build Storage Batteries. Current State Levels to brake Resistance 187.02 186.35 Support 184.35 182.77 182.04
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by HelloUs
1
$SPY: Breakout/drop to $395? Broadening formation's fate hangsTomorrow morning, we'll be receiving GDP data and jobless claims, which could have a significant impact on the market. Currently, $SPY is at a crucial point on the daily chart, nearing the upper limit of its broadening formation. It's showing positive trends on the daily, weekly, monthly, and quarterly charts. Keep in mind that the month and quarter will close on Friday, along with the release of PCE data. GDP results are expected to come in flat tomorrow morning, while the jobless claims at 8:30 am could potentially offset the GDP figures. If the data leans bullish, $SPY has the potential to break through the $405 price level and run like a bat outta hell. On the other hand, if the data comes in bearish, we may see a retest of the $398 level, followed by a potential drop to close the bullish gap at the $395.7 price level.
AMEX:SPY
by Solidified
BA 190/170 May put vertical spreadTrade thesis - technical breakout (bearish) - downward break out of 3 months consolidation zone - weekly stochastic showing more room to downside - entry trigger: retest of demand zone and failure to hold above (wicked into the zone and closed below on daily) Position - strategy: put vertical - structure: long 05/19 190p short 05/19 170p - cost: $450 - delta: -19.68 - theta: -2.311 - gamma: 0.54 - vega: 10.15 Targets - 1st target: $190.50 zone (previous gap fill) - 2nd target: $173-169 zone HVN from post covid to present confluence of .5 retracement level from previous low to recent high - SL target technical: weekly close back into consolidation zone discretionary: price action at key price levels discretionary: price action when stochastic enters oversold level (below 20)
NYSE:BAShort
by EqEx
$VIX - Something is brewingIn my previous post, I outlined where $SPY rejected off the bear flag resistance. You'll see that those two times correlate with the two times $VIX tested pennant support. With the third VIX retest, we may see $SPY near my gray TL of ~$400 (see related idea linked). I'm still expecting another leg down, and will take a short position if I see optimal R:R (I'll update). No doubt, today was a boring day for $SPY. As I outlined in my update above, staying patient and understanding the right time to execute is what'll get you the W. Good luck!
TVC:VIX
by theapearmy