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GOLD → Correction is getting stronger. Next is 2500Hello, dear traders, Ben here! Spot gold is consolidating around the $2,600 mark on Wednesday after extending its recent slide to $2,589 per troy ounce, marking the lowest point since September Meanwhile, sellers have decided to take a pause ahead of the key U.S. CPI report, which could significantly impact Fed rate-cut expectations and provide fresh momentum. In theory, any effort to drive gold prices higher might be constrained due to the poor performance of stocks, which continues to boost demand for the U.S. dollar. Most Asian and European indices closed in the red, while Wall Street pared its latest gains, with all three major indices down, albeit with limited declines. Looking ahead, October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to come in at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year, the latter being slightly higher than the previous 2.4%. However, the annual core CPI is anticipated to remain stable at 3.3%. Additionally, market participants are speculating on what a potential Trump return to the White House might mean for the U.S. and the rest of the world. From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a primary range, breaching the key support. If there’s a false break around the 2,610 level, a minor correction toward resistance may form. However, with prices testing a strong support level, we may see a false breakout and a corrective movement to the 2,626-2,636 area (0.618 fib line) before resuming the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
7
Ethusdt plunged in the channel, the target to 3,125 USDTEthereum (ETH) is currently showing a significant decrease in a 1 -hour time frame, moving in a discount channel. With the current price of nearly 3,214 USDT, ETH seems to be having difficulty overcoming resistance around this area. If ETH cannot break the resistance threshold of 3,218 USDT, the downtrend may continue and push prices to lower support levels, namely $ 3,125. Investors should closely monitor ETH's developments in the near future, especially when the price reaches the resistance of the channel. If this trend continues, ETH can decrease further, bringing short -term sales opportunities to short -term trading people.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
ETHUSDT: Buyers Reject 3450. Will Price Continue to Fall?ETHUSDT continues to be under bearish pressure from the 3445 formation. Panic? Profit-taking? Are buyers turning around? Ethereum’s recent price pressure could be due to general market sentiment, possibly due to concerns over regulatory announcements or macroeconomic data impacting risk assets. Theoretically, if the strength of the US dollar continues and the general market uncertainty persists, this could add further bearish pressure to Ethereum. Technically, it is worth noting the support zones mentioned. The 3130 level will hold for the long term as it is a very strong zone, but based on the setup and pattern, there is a high probability of seeing a breakout and decline. The 2775 - 2770 is an ideal zone to test as it is a strong intermediate bottom where price has responded to previous downside. Let me know what you think about this setup or if you have specific questions about this analysis!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
EURUSD: False Resistance Break Could Add to DeclineAs expected, EURUSD continues to hit new lows, currently hovering around the 1.062 level. The Euro's retreat has largely been driven by a sharp rally in the U.S. dollar (USD), pushing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above 106.00, marking multi-month highs. This surge is fueled by market optimism surrounding the so-called “Trump trade,” with investors betting on potential policies under the upcoming Trump administration. On higher timeframes, EURUSD is testing a solid support level, which might trigger a corrective move. However, on the 4-hour timeframe, we can clearly observe a downtrend, with the 34 and 89 EMA acting as resistance and continuing to weaken the buying side. Therefore, any strong resistance level is likely to maintain control over the market. Currently, we are watching for a potential false breakout of the trend resistance, with the aim of consolidation. This consolidation is generally forming within a channel, and if sellers maintain control around the 1.605 - 1.068 area, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, we should expect a decline toward key areas of interest in the medium term.
Short
by Bentradegold
BTCUSDT: Coin Just One Step Away From Rising !BTCUSDT Accelerates and Updates New Highs Around 90,000. Crypto Market Potential Begins to Unfold Amid Trump Win Excitement While Bitcoin is hitting an all-time high, one of the most important factors is inflation data from the United States, especially the CPI (Consumer Price Index) report, which is likely to directly influence the interest rate expectations of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). If the CPI is higher than expected, the Fed may continue to maintain or raise interest rates, which could boost the value of the USD and put downward pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin. Theoretically, if inflation declines and expectations of a Fed rate cut increase, this could create positive momentum for Bitcoin and other risk assets. However, BTCUSDT is at a key level with upside potential. Technically, the support zone around 76,000 and the liquidity zone just above are areas to watch closely. To confirm the uptrend, investors should wait for confirmation signs at these zones, such as positive price action or increased trading volume. If these conditions are met, a break of the 90,000 resistance zone is within reach, which could trigger a rally to new highs.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
NIFTY 450+ Points Profit Short Trade: A Perfect Execution The NIFTY (15-minute timeframe) chart highlights a well-executed short trade setup, delivering exceptional precision and profitability. Using the Risological Trading Indicator , traders were able to navigate this trade seamlessly. Trade Highlights: Entry Point : Positioned at 24,207.85, following a strong bearish signal confirmed by the downward Risological Lines and swing trendline alignment. Targets Achieved : All targets were successfully hit: TP1: 24,128.20 TP2: 23,999.25 TP3: 23,870.30 TP4: 23,790.60 Stop-Loss: A tight SL at 24,272.35 ensured disciplined risk management. Key Observations: Risological Lines : The collapsing Risological Red lines indicated strong bearish momentum, guiding traders to confidently hold the short position. Momentum Continuation : Steady selling pressure confirmed the trade's directional strength, allowing all targets to be met efficiently. Conclusion: This trade on NIFTY showcases the power of technical analysis and precise execution. The well-structured risk-to-reward ratio made this short trade an outstanding success. Traders leveraging the Risological Indicator reaped impressive intraday profits—yet another win for technical discipline!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
What opportunities for BTC when Bitcoin is nearly 100,000 USD?Currently, I'm observing Bitcoin fluctuating around 87,690.84 USD, and I have to say, this has been a pretty impressive price surge recently. There are several factors driving this uptrend. First, interest from large institutions and investment funds is growing stronger, which could be a primary catalyst for BTC's price increase. Additionally, macroeconomic factors like stable interest rates and new capital inflows into the cryptocurrency market are helping BTC maintain its appeal among investors. Moreover, with the rapid development of financial and investment companies in the cryptocurrency sector, coupled with the potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF in the U.S., the market is anticipating a new wave of price increases. From a technical perspective, BTCUSDT is maintaining a strong uptrend, with the price still above the EMA 34 and EMA 89. This is a clear sign that the bullish momentum remains strong. The current chart also indicates an Elliott wave pattern, with BTC breaking through a series of recent resistance levels and heading toward Fibonacci extension levels. The short-term target I’m watching is the resistance level at 104,119.28 USD (corresponding to the Fibonacci 1.618 level), which serves as the first price target (TP1). If BTC can break through this level, the next target I'm aiming for is 153,100.86 USD (TP2, corresponding to the Fibonacci 2.618 level). With positive signals from both the technical chart and supporting news, I believe BTC has the potential to reach higher levels in the near future.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
2
ETHUSDT Maintains Uptrend – Next Target $5,000?Currently, ETHUSDT is in a steady uptrend within an upward price channel, defined by two upper and lower trendlines. This price channel shows sustainable growth and creates trend-following trading opportunities. The main support zone is located in the green area (from around $2,400 to $2,800). This is a strong support zone that has been tested many times, providing a solid foundation for Ethereum's uptrend. The EMA 34 (purple) and EMA 89 (orange) are below the current price, which is a signal that the bullish momentum is still dominant. As the price continues to stay above these EMAs, the uptrend will be further strengthened. If ETH can maintain the uptrend and break out of the support zone, the next price targets will be higher levels within the price channel. The chart shows a potential rise to the $5,000 region and a possible test of the upper resistance of the long-term price channel if the uptrend is maintained.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
XAUUSD: 2600 support level is in focus, will it hold?Hello all dear XAUUSD traders! Gold price today is trading at $2,620/ounce, down sharply by $64 from the previous day's opening price of $2,684/ounce. Gold fell mainly due to the US dollar holding its position at a 4-month high around 105.5 points. In the same view, Daniel Ghali (analyst at TD Securities) agrees that the possibility of high tariffs applied during Donald Trump's presidency and the demand to hold USD are putting pressure on gold prices, as it is also related to the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (FED) may delay cutting interest rates. Technically, the price is reversing and intends to test the liquidity zones at the bottom... Emphasis on dynamic support at 2600. A consolidation before a breakdown is forming. If the price breaks this support level, selling pressure may increase. I do not rule out another attempt to retest resistance, say 2680-2685 before continuing lower following the classic structure as mentioned on the chart. Overall, both fundamentally and technically, the market feels in favor of the bears...
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
1
ETHUSDT Aims for New High: Will It Reach Target of 3,974 USDT?Ethereum (ETH) is making waves in the crypto market as it broke out of its long-term consolidation zone, creating a strong uptrend. Currently, ETH is trading around 3,134 USDT, recording impressive growth in recent days. On the daily chart, we can see that ETH has broken above two important moving averages, the 34-day EMA (purple) and the 89-day EMA (orange), indicating that bullish momentum is taking over. Using the Fibonacci measurement, if the bullish momentum continues, the Fibonacci retracement levels plotted on the chart show important support levels that ETH could revisit in the event of a short-term correction. Specifically, the levels of 0.5 (2,804.34 USDT) and 0.618 (2,910.69 USDT) are likely to be strong support zones, providing opportunities for investors to buy in with bullish expectations as mentioned on the 1-day chart.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
Analysis of SOL/USDT frame 1 hourOn the 1 -hour frame chart of SOL/USDT, the price is moving stably in the price increase channel. Currently, this pair of money has reached an important support area (blue), with two EMA 34 lines (purple) and EMA 89 (orange) are maintaining below, supporting the uptrend. If SOL is maintained on the support area, it is likely that the price will turn on and continue to increase, towards higher target landmarks in the channel, such as $ 220. This is the potential buying order when the price checks the trend of the channel. In case the price breaks below this support area, SOL can check lower levels, especially around the EMA 89 in the $ 200 area. However, if the price increase channel is still maintained, the likelihood of turning up will be high. Proposed trading strategy Buy (Long): prioritize the purchase order when the price is on the support area and start the signal increasing. Short -term sale: If the price breaks under the support area and cannot be kept in the channel, it is possible to consider the sale order with the goal near the EMA 89 area. With the maintenance of EMA and canal structure, the prospect of price increase for SOL is still very positive.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
1
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisCurrently, BTCUSDT is trading around 81,113 USDT, with a slight bullish bias. On the chart, we can see the 34-day (purple line) and 89-day (orange line) exponential moving averages (EMAs), which act as dynamic support for the price. The price zone between 79,000 and 80,000 is marked as a strong support zone, where the price is likely to retest (pullback) before bouncing up. If the price stays above this support zone and the 34-day EMA continues to hold, BTC is likely to recover and resume the uptrend, heading towards higher resistance levels around 82,000 – 83,000.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn86525521
Gold Bearish Trend Analysis: New Bottom May Be FormingWelcome to all gold traders! After a volatile week with a series of news, today's gold price has gradually shown a downward trend. At this time, gold is fluctuating around the 2670 threshold and has not yet found the momentum to escape the downward trend. Many people must be wondering: Why did the gold price drop so sharply? Regarding the international market situation: The main reason for the recent gold sell-off is the strengthening of the USD, which increased sharply after a series of remarkable economic news. In particular, bond yields increased due to concerns about new tax policies and tax cuts that could push inflation back. Investors reacted to the possibility that the Fed would maintain tightening policies for longer, putting great pressure on gold prices. Gold Technical Analysis and Forecast: On the technical chart, gold has broken below both the 34-day and 89-day exponential moving averages (EMA), which is a clear signal that the downtrend could continue. Currently, gold is hovering around the support level of 2665, while the nearest resistance level is at 2680. If the support level of 2665 is broken, there is a high possibility that gold will continue to fall to lower levels, such as the bottom of 2643 and even deeper.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
EUR/USD Trend: Possible Deep Drop To 1.0650?EUR/USD remains under pressure and fell to 1.0750 after Thursday’s rally. The main reason for the decline is the recovery of the US dollar and the cautious sentiment weighing on the pair as traders digest Trump’s victory and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcements. I am currently monitoring EUR/USD on the 1-hour time frame and I see clear bearish signs. In particular, after peaking at 1.08260, the price fell sharply, breaking the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels at 1.07545 and 1.07376. Additionally, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are pointing to a bearish trend as the short-term moving average (EMA 34) is below the long-term moving average (EMA 89). This is a signal that sellers are in control of the market. If price continues to sustain below the 1.07100 - 1.06830 support zone, I expect the pair to drop to deeper support around 1.0600.
Short
by Bentradegold
3
XAUUSD: The Downtrend Is Not Over YetDear Traders! Today, gold prices fell sharply, ending the week at $2,684, recording a decrease of 0.83%. The rising US dollar, fueled by political uncertainty, put a lot of downward pressure on gold. The shift of investors to riskier assets added to the selling pressure on gold in the market, reinforcing the bearish trend. Analysis of the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are currently facing resistance at the important resistance zone of $2,700 - $2,715. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that sellers are in control. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone and continues to be under pressure, gold is likely to find support at $2,640 - $2,656. In the event that the price drops below $2,640, the short-term bearish outlook will become stronger, with a deeper target in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
EUR/USD: Bears Dominate!The EUR/USD pair remained under bearish pressure for the second consecutive session, hovering around 1.0720 during Monday’s Asian trading hours. The pair was weighed down by a stronger US dollar and political uncertainty in Germany. As seen on the 1-hour chart, the technical outlook favors continued downside momentum, with a potential target towards support around 1.0688. A rejection of the 1.0742 resistance could confirm this bearish move, creating an opportunity for short positions.
Short
by Bentradegold
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Corn Futures and PPI InsightsIntroduction to Corn Futures Market Sentiment Corn Futures are capturing the interest of traders as technical indicators and economic fundamentals align in a potential bullish setup. Currently, the Corn Producer Price Index (PPI) shows a Commodity Channel Index (CCI) bullish crossover, indicating a possible uptrend in prices. Corn Futures have followed suit with an earlier CCI bullish crossover, adding strength to the view that Corn prices could see upward momentum in the coming months. As Corn Futures reflect early signals of a shift in market sentiment, this article explores a straightforward yet effective Bull Call Spread strategy using June 2025 options. By leveraging these CCI signals and key resistance levels, traders could position themselves to benefit from a potential rise in Corn prices while maintaining a controlled risk profile. Corn Futures Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements Understanding the specifications of Corn Futures is essential for managing both position size and margin requirements effectively. Here’s a quick breakdown: Price Tick Size: The minimum fluctuation is 0.0025 cents per bushel, equivalent to $12.50 per tick. Margin Requirement: Approximately $1,000 per contract, although this can vary based on broker and market conditions. Analysis of Key Indicators and Market Setup Two primary indicators support the bullish case for Corn Futures: the CCI bullish crossover in both the Corn Futures and the Corn PPI. The CCI, a momentum-based indicator, identifies potential trend reversals by highlighting overbought and oversold conditions. The recent CCI bullish crossover in Corn Futures suggests early buying pressure, while the subsequent crossover in the Corn PPI confirms this trend on the economic front. This alignment between technical and economic indicators provides a potentially unique opportunity for options traders to capture potential upward movement, particularly as Corn prices approach critical resistance levels in front of a potential breakout. Identifying Key Resistance Levels for Corn Futures Resistance levels play a crucial role in setting realistic targets and managing expectations. In the current Corn Futures landscape, the primary resistance level for the front contract is observed around 550. For our target contract, ZCN2025 (July 2025), this resistance translates to approximately 485 due to the effects of contango/backwardation. These resistance levels serve as benchmarks for setting exit targets in a Bull Call Spread. If Corn prices rally towards this zone, it could provide a favorable exit opportunity while maintaining a controlled risk-to-reward structure. The Bull Call Spread Strategy Setup In this setup, we employ a Bull Call Spread using options with a June 20, 2025, expiration date. This strategy is ideal for capturing moderate upside movement while limiting downside risk through a capped loss. Here’s the specific setup: Long Position: Buy the 460 Call for a premium of 25.41. Short Position: Sell the 490 Call for a premium of 15.87. By buying the 460 Call and simultaneously selling the 490 Call, we establish a Bull Call Spread that allows us to benefit from price increases up to the 490 strike level. This setup reduces the net cost of the trade while capping the profit potential at the 490 strike price, aligning with our outlook based on resistance levels. Net Premium (Cost): 25.41−15.87=9.54. Reward-to-Risk Analysis A Bull Call Spread provides a straightforward way to define both maximum profit and loss at the outset. Here’s a closer look: Maximum Profit: Achieved if Corn Futures price rises to or above the 490 strike level at expiration = (490−460)−9.54=20.46. Maximum Loss: Limited to the net premium paid = 9.54. Breakeven Point: 469.54, calculated by adding the net premium to the 460 strike. This structure results in a reward-to-risk ratio of approximately 2.14:1. Forward-Looking Trade Plan and Execution Strategy This Bull Call Spread strategy is structured with specific entry and exit conditions in mind: Entry Condition: Triggered once the ZC1! (continuous Corn Futures contract) surpasses the prior month’s high at 434'2. This confirmation aligns the technical breakout with the ongoing bullish trend indicated by the CCI and PPI crossovers. Target Exit: Based on the resistance level, the target for this trade is 485 on the ZCN2025 contract. Reaching this level would allow for a strategic exit with a maximum profit potential. Alternative Exit: If Corn Futures prices fail to sustain the breakout or if technical indicators weaken significantly, an early exit can be considered to limit losses or preserve gains. By setting these clear parameters, the trade plan maintains discipline, helping traders avoid reactive decision-making and align with the predefined strategy. Risk Management Essentials Effective risk management is crucial, especially when trading options. Here are some best practices: Stop-Loss Strategy: For options traders, a stop-loss can be set based on a percentage of the premium paid or by monitoring underlying futures price action. Position Sizing: Limit the size of the position relative to the account balance to avoid overexposure. This is especially relevant for volatile markets like Corn. Discipline and Emotional Control: Stick to the plan, avoid emotional reactions to market noise, and adhere to entry and exit conditions. Risk management ensures that even if the trade does not perform as expected, losses are limited and capital is preserved for future opportunities. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZC1!Education
by traddictiv
USD/JPY: Should We Continue to "Buy" Following the Trend?Today, USD/JPY continued its remarkable rally, reaching 153.63 with a 0.67% increase on the day. This is an important step as the USD regains strength, while the JPY weakens due to political instability in Japan. Notably, the bullish trend remains intact with two stable EMAs below the candlestick chart, reinforcing the bullish momentum of this currency pair. Personally, Ben, recommends continuing to prioritize the "buy" strategy following the current trend. What do you think about the future of USD/JPY? Will the price continue to rise or is there a possibility of a bearish reversal? Share your thoughts and trading strategies!
Long
by Bentradegold