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Oilanalysis

#OIL SHORT TERM SELL OPPORTUNITYAlright first off price is in bullish Daily trend but it reached 161% of Fibonacci extension ratio and as a result of that we saw a bearish engulfing candle which tells us participants who were long in oil are probably busy with profit taking actions and as a result it is possible that we see a bearish corrective move. If you are with me so far now lets see how we can trade oil in short time. In 4H time frame we saw an impulsive bearish move which shifted the 4H time frame structure to bearish for the first time in long time, after that bearish impulsive move we have a bullish corrective move which you can see in 1H time frame. Now price has reached an important res area with RSI indicator divergence and also we can see 1H bearish engulfing candle which shows us price has an intention for down side move also we kind of see that in 1H time frame price also couldn't create HH and we can see a Double top formation which is another confluence for bearish move. Now in case of trading you can probably wait for the price to come below double top neckline which is around 82.050 and then wait for the retest or you can trade it with your strategy at any given time. But it is important to remember this is a counter trend trading and the overall trend is bullish. For targeting first target obviously would be around 80.500 and after that its kind of risky to hold the position because as I said its against the main trend. Wish you all the best
OShort
by mohemati
USOIL SellAs we saw the movement on the prices of oil the last week we saw strong bullish momentum and high demand on oil during the last week and on our opinion the OIL may make strong retracement to the south to the level of 76.50 at the level of 61.8% Fibonacci expansion and then we might see pullback one more time to the current levels at 78.5 from that we may see continuation to the downside with high volatility and our stop loss will be fixed above the last highest high of the whole bullish movement at the number of 80 and our targets will be 75.50 and 73.50 in sequence use money management and don't move or remove your stop loss trade safe
TVC:USOILShort
by AbdallaAmgad
5
OIL Breaking out of the bull flag or another fakeout?Hello and welcome to my post ! OIL is still in a strong uptrend and we are just breaking out from a bullflag. We are getting strong resistances from EMA100 and MA200. Something worth mentioning is the purple boxes on the chart, they are indicating previously fake out areas, a think that might happen if the price action dosent break the previously mentioned resistances. If we continue from here the break of the bull flag strongly the target is 72$. Indicators: The combination of the overbought SRSI and the mid level RSI suggest a strong momentum for the bulls. Don't forget to protect yourself with proper Risk Management. Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market ! Feel free to ask anything in the comments or send me a message ! Thank you for reading my post,if you liked the idea you can support with a like and a follow have a great day !
O
by AM.98
6
Crude Trend analysisDue to a supply scarcity, rising gas and coal prices are gradually driving utilities to convert from gas and coal to fuel oil. Oil-fired power stations have started up in Sweden. Oil demand will be boosted further by the United States' announcement that the travel ban for fully immunized international visitors would be abolished in November. This could result in a big recovery in jet fuel consumption by the end of the year. "US oil producers are battling to regain output, "The Mars and Ursa platforms in the Gulf of Mexico will be shut down until the end of2021, according to Royal Dutch Shell. According to Bloomberg projections, this would cut supplies by about 300,000 barrels."
TVC:USOILLong
by meelbijendra
USOIL a possible breakout soon Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The Crude Oil market has shown itself to be resilient as we had initially pulled back but now are turning around to show signs of life again. In the last 2 weeks, the market has been moving sideways between a Resistance located between 70.40 - 71.04 and a Support of 68.27 - 66.79. The price has increased from the last drop that happened last month in August by 15% where the market was trading near the 61$ range. Could this movement be the start of a Bearish long-term trend ?? Notice on the chart that for the last couple of months we've been having lower Tops and lower Bottoms, So if we look at the big picture of the market right now it seems that the market is having a corrective wave at the moment but a certain drop will most likely happen soon. But Technical Analysis shows that the market is still in a Bullish state. Possible Scenarios for the market : Scenario 1 : The market is having its corrective wave right now and trading near the resistance zone extended from 70.40 - 71.04, If the Bulls were able to group up and gather their power then we might see a breakout happening in that zone which could lead the market back up to the 73.84 resistance level. The market has formed 3 Outside up candlestick pattern (Strong Bullish Sign). Scenario 2 : Looking at the chart we notice that we are having some kind of a Bearish trend (It Could be Small it Could be BIg) and the price has reached the edge of the resistance zone, which could indicate that the bounce down from that zone will happen and it will drop the price to the 68.27 Level, Where the support zone start. A battle will happen between the Bulls and Bears and the Bears will win if it turns out that the bearish move is big, and a further drop will happen which could lead the market back to the 60$ level in the next 2 months. Technical indicators show : 1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign) 2) The RSI is at 56.00 showing strength in the market. No divergences were found between the indicator and the market. 3) The MACD is above the 0 line which indicates that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line. Daily Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 69.76 1) 70.40 2) 69.35 2) 70.63 3) 69.12 3) 71.04 Weekly Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 68.27 1) 70.63 2) 66.79 2) 71.51 3) 65.91 3) 72.99 Fundamental point of view : At the beginning of the week, OPEC ( Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ) will release the latest monthly oil market report. WTI crude oil prices have been weakening since July. This comes amid concerns about the global growth outlook as the Covid Delta variant has been sapping demand woes. US retail sales may also stir volatility, especially if Covid shows increasing signs of making its way into the economy. Earlier this week OPEC decided to increase output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the month of October, in line with its gradual plan to reintroduce supply into international markets after drastically withdrawing supply at the start of the pandemic. According to Dailyfx This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
TVC:USOIL
by GabiDahduh