NZD/JPYFast intraday search through my watchlist.
You can follow the price with candle confirmation or whatever strategy you have.
None of these are 100 %, complete confident analyses.. this market is all about probability .. so try to work on your risk management and self-control.. all the traders in the world can tell for sure what's going to happen or where the price is going in the next 1 hour.
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NZDJPY
NZDJPY - SHORT; Much worse than it looksWith all the excess "liquidity" force down everyone's throat, the world over, this carry trade is no exception. This pair can move 10k pips in a heartbeat when 'it' hits the fan (which ought to be sooner than later). On the long run (full cycle) the NZD is not worth 50 yen! (It is actually much closer to 30, after all is said and done.) With a "live" BoJ meeting expected at the end of this month, all these trades could kick into high gear (trap door), in an instant.
NZDJPY LONG NZD/JPY breaks resistanceNZDJPY resistance at 8555/75. Shorts need stops above 8590.
Targets: 8520, 8480.
CADJPY continues higher as expected but I have not managed to get us in to a long. I should have had us buying on a break above 102.90 so I will use this as a support today.
Longs at 102.90/70, stop below 102.50.
RBNZ announces 0.25% OCR hike, keeps peak rate forecasts unchanged.
Retreat in yields, upbeat concerns about Japan manufacturers also weigh on prices.
Risk catalysts are the key, RBNZ’s Orr eyed for immediate directions.
NZD/JPY stands on slippery grounds as it takes offers around 81.50, down more than 100 pips on a day, as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) fails to offer hawkish surprise to the markets on early Wednesday.
RBNZ announces 0.25% increase to its Official Cash Rate (OCR), as expected, during May month monetary policy meeting. It’s worth noting that the RBNZ defends its cash rate peak at 5.5% and exert downside pressure on the NZD/USD prices.
Apart from the RBNZ moves, the retreat in the US Treasury bond yields and recently upbeat concerns about Japan also weigh on the exotic pair.
That said, the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields retreated from the highest levels since early March the previous day. On the other hand, “Business sentiment at big Japanese manufacturers turned positive for the first time this year and service-sector morale hit a five-month high, providing more evidence of an economy on the mend after a COVID-led recession,” per the monthly results of the Reuters Tankan survey.
Moving on, challenges to sentiment and the bond market moves can entertain the NZD/JPY pair traders while a press conference by RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr could offer immediate directions to the cross-currency pair. Should the policymaker manages to defend the hawkish bias, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) may witness a corrective bounce.
Technical analysis
Despite the latest retreat, a one-month-old ascending support line, near 85.15 by the press time, challenges the NZD/JPY bears dominance.
NZDJPYA trendline is a line drawn over pivot highs or under pivot lows to show the prevailing direction of price. Trendlines are a visual representation of support and resistance in any time frame. They show direction and speed of price, and also describe patterns during periods of price contraction
NZDJPY Support break-outs determine our tradesNZDJPY gave us last time (May 05) a very accurate buy signal that hit the target (see chart below) and even broke the 1 year Resistance Zone:
The pattern that emerged is a Bullish Megaphone, whose latest Higher Low leg is supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), having closed all candles above it. As long as it holds, we remain buyers and target Resistance 1 (89.700). If the price breaks below Support 1 (86.230) we will sell and target the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone at 85.330, near the 1D MA200. A 1D candle close below that, will be a bearish break-out signal for us and we will sell again, targeting Support 2 (83.540).
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💱NZDJPY - Symmetrical triangle in reversal set-upNZDJPY is forming a symmetrical triangle on the background that D1 is in the phase of forming a head and shoulders reversal set-up.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A head and shoulders is forming against support at 87.140 and resistance at 88.56. A strong enough pattern for a market reversal.
2) But! Consolidation is forming, which may send the price to 89.00
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A symmetrical triangle has been forming for the past two weeks.
2) The price cannot approach the support retest, because the liquidity at the bottom does not allow it.
3) The price is heading for the resistance retest. Two scenarios are possible.
4) The price can break through the resistance and form an impulse. Or a false breakout will be formed, consolidation below the resistance will give an entry point
Key support: 86.700
Key resistance: 87.888
NZD/JPY Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZD/JPY next move:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 87.454
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Target - 87.932
Safe Stop Loss - 87.191
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Kepp it easy NZDJPY Long Can go Above 101Trend Bullish
Momentum bullish
Pivozs bullish broken, we will make new Higher Highs
If the NZD/JPY breaks the abovementioned price level, the next stop would be the 89.00 psychological level, as the pair gets on its way toward testing the 2015 high at 92.42. Conversely, the NZD/JPY first support would be the May 23 high at 87.31, which, once cleared, would expose the May 24 daily high turned support at 86.68. The following support levels would be the Tenkan-Sen line at 86.00 and the Kijun-Sen line at 85.56.
Given that the Ichimoku cloud suggests the NZD/JPY is upwards, oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicate that the pair is approaching overbought territory, but its slope aims down. The three-day Rate of Change (RoC) shows buyers are losing momentum.
LEVELS
Previous Daily High 87
Previous Daily Low 86.07
Previous Weekly High 85.55
Previous Weekly Low 84.42
Previous Monthly High 87.31
Previous Monthly Low 83.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 86.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 86.42
Daily Pivot Point S1 86.32
Daily Pivot Point S2 85.73
Daily Pivot Point S3 85.39
Daily Pivot Point R1 87.25
Daily Pivot Point R2 87.59
Daily Pivot Point R3 88.18
NZ Dollar to Yen forecast by day
Date Weekday Min Max Rate
04/07 Tuesday 88.10 90.78 89.44
05/07 Wednesd 88.79 91.49 90.14
06/07 Thursday 88.93 91.63 90.28
07/07 Friday 87.82 90.50 89.16
10/07 Monday 88.22 90.90 89.56
11/07 Tuesday 88.40 91.10 89.75
12/07 Wednesd 88.25 90.93 89.59
13/07 Thursday 88.63 91.33 89.98
14/07 Friday 89.44 92.16 90.80
17/07 Monday 88.61 91.31 89.96
18/07 Tuesday 88.22 90.90 89.56
19/07 Wednesd 89.21 91.93 90.57
20/07 Thursday 89.77 92.51 91.14
21/07 Friday 90.46 93.22 91.84
24/07 Monday 91.29 94.07 92.68
25/07 Tuesday 91.30 94.08 92.69
26/07 Wednesd 92.18 94.98 93.58
27/07 Thursday 92.22 95.02 93.62
28/07 Friday 91.94 94.74 93.34
31/07 Monday 92.06 94.86 93.46
01/08 Tuesday 92.01 94.81 93.41
02/08 Wednesd 92.59 95.41 94.00
03/08 Thursday 93.08 95.92 94.50
04/08 Friday 92.32 95.14 93.73
The NZD/JPY is still upward biased from a daily chart perspective, as the pair remains above the Ichimoku cloud.
NZD/JPY Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZD/JPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 87.48
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Target - 89.00
My Stop Loss - 86.39
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 87.647.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 89.204 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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nzdjpy huge bearish 18 julthe price of nzdjpy created rising wedge and broke out and pullback.
now it continue its trend with engulfing as confirmation.
The price can be seen as head and shoulder breakout to downside.
The stoploss is above engulf candle (depend on position size and risk preference)
The target is defined by fibonacci projection.
The risk reward ratio in this trade is 7
NZDJPY - Bearish Head and Shoulders📉Hello Traders!
On The Daily Time Frame, The NZDJPY Price Formed a Head and Shoulders Pattern📉
i'm waiting for a neckline break!
Then, we will see a huge bearish move📉
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TARGET: 84.050🎯
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NZDJPY: Use the 1D MA50 as the pivot level for your trades.NZDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since March with the 1D timeframe neutral (RSI = 52.530, MACD = 0.380, ADX = 27.602) after last week's rebound on the 1D MA50. This tells us that this is the technical pivot and as long as it holds the new Higher Low for the Channel Up, hence a bullish signal targeting the R1 (TP = 89.675).
If the price crosses under the S1 (86.235) this bullish signal will be invalidated and we will sell, targeting the S2 (TP = 83.550).
An early sell confirmation may come when the 1D RSI crosses under its HL trendline.
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Analysis: NZD/JPY Trend-Following TradeAnalysis: NZD/JPY Trend-Following Trade
Based on my analysis of the ongoing upward trend and the potential breakout of resistance in NZD/JPY, i have formulated a plan to follow the trend and enter a buy trade. Here is a breakdown of your trade plan:
Currency Pair: NZD/JPY
Entry Price: 88.994
Stop Loss (SL): 86.541
Take Profit (TP): 99.221
Upward Trend and Resistance Breakout:
i have observed a continued upward trend in NZD/JPY, indicating strength in the New Zealand dollar against the Japanese yen. Additionally, i anticipate a potential breakout of a resistance level, suggesting a further bullish move in the currency pair. This trend-following approach aims to capitalize on the upward momentum.
Entry Point (88.994):
my chosen entry point is at 88.994. This entry price should be determined based on technical analysis, such as identifying key support and resistance levels, trend lines, or chart patterns. It is important to ensure that the entry point aligns with the ongoing trend and provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop Loss (86.541):
To manage risk, i have set a stop loss at 86.541. The stop loss level is placed below a significant support level or a point that, if breached, would invalidate the bullish scenario. It acts as a protective measure to limit potential losses in case the trade moves against your expectations.
Take Profit (99.221):
my take profit level is set at 99.221. This level represents your target for closing the trade and taking profits. It should be determined based on resistance levels, Fibonacci extensions, or other technical indicators that suggest potential areas where the price might encounter selling pressure or reach a significant target.
Please note that market conditions can change rapidly, and it is important to continuously monitor price action and adjust your trade management accordingly. Additionally, consider fundamental factors, economic data, and geopolitical events that may impact the NZD/JPY pair.
Remember to conduct your own comprehensive analysis and use proper risk management strategies to protect your trading capital. Following a well-defined trading plan and maintaining discipline are key elements of successful trading in the financial markets.
NZDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NZDJPY 4HIn technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate key areas where a stock may reverse or stall. Common ratios include 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%, among others. Usually, these will occur between a high point and a low point for a security, designed to predict the future direction of its price movement
NZDJPY held the MA50 (1d) and can rise +7%NZDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up and Wednesday's contact with the MA50 (1d) resulted in a 3 day rebound so far.
That was the latest Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up, the previous was also formed on the MA50 (1d).
The two bullish legs have risen at least +7%.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Sell below Support (1).
Targets:
1. 92.300 (+7% rise to the top of the Channel Up).
2. 83.550 (Support 2).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also trading inside a Channel Up. The recent bottom matches the one on the MA50 (1d).
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