$NVTS - Presenting a buying opp. before it's massive 300% move! NASDAQ:NVTS
As I said from the beginning, this name is going to be a bumpy ride, but I believe it's presenting another buying opportunity as we pull back to level 2 support at $2.90ish, which is also where the 9ema and falling wedge retest area are. I'm not concerned because we haven't started moving big on the IWM yet, and until then, most small caps won't move unless they have a catalyst.
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Searching for out support to create our Williams Consolidation Box officially
-Two separate volume shelfs below.
Everything is still intact; you just have to be patient.
NFA
Nvts
$NVTS - The Next High Five Trade! 300% UPSIDE!!!🚀 The Next H5 Trade 🚀
Navitas Semiconductor - NASDAQ:NVTS 💾
-Falling Wedge Currently Breaking Out!
-H5 Indicator is Green and Giving a BUY Signal
-Williams R% needs to create support and it's Williams Consolidation Box. I'm thinking we get a big push up to $3.50 - $4 before pulling back to retest the falling wedge breakout and continue higher.
-Launching off of a massive Volume Shelf with a large GAP to $4.65
-500M Mkt Cap Name (High Risk / High Reward)
-Any partnerships or big news out of this name with Semi's spinning back up the Gain Train then this name won't be hard to EXPLODE higher with it being a small cap.
🎯$4.65
🎯 $8.47
📏 $11.17
⏳ Before APR 2026
Thank you for all the love 50 was tough for a Monday morning, I really appreciate all of you!
Not Financial Advice
$NVTS showing technical strength into Q4.$NVTS:1W
Small cap semi-conductor company and Seeking Alpha darling NASDAQ:NVTS is showing signs of strength, holding the 0.5 Retrace with a bullish outside bar on the weekly time frame.
For NASDAQ:NVTS to breakout from the downward wedge being formed on the weekly chart, I would need to see strong consolidation above the 1.382 (9.12) price level and for an extended period of time (4-6 weeks)
After a prolonged and recent selloff, I believe market clarity stemming from the ‘fog of war’ will provide a catalyst for NASDAQ:NVTS to reclaim the 1 Ret (7.46) which is roughly 20% higher than the current price at time of publication. It is also quite possible that this could be the beginning of a longer cycle 3rd wave on the weekly time frame.
The technical risks that I see here are the bearish price to RSI divergence (dotted trend lines) that is emerging on the 1 week time frame. This comes on the heels of the recent rally in price that came directly after a bullish price to RSI divergence (solid bottom trend lines) and provides me an element of technical confliction in the analysis that warrants caution. As a result, I’m cautiously bullish here with a minimum price target of 7.46 and a secondary target of 9.12 before the end of the year.
Not financial Advice. All stocks can go to zero.
Dynamic Range NVT Signal for Long-term Bitcoin ValuationABOUT DYNAMIC RANGE NVT SIGNAL
NVT Signal (Credit: woobull.com) is akin to a "PE" ratio for Bitcoin, and can be used to identify when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold based on the relative value of transactions sent across the network.
This indicator includes a 2 year moving average and standard deviation to identify outlier values, instead of declaring a static high-low range for relative valuation.
THEORY
A dynamic "high-low" range was chosen for the following reasons:
- Bitcoin is only 10 years old, it is likely that relatively "high" and relatively "low" NVT values will change with time, as have PE ratios over the last century.
- Some transactions are now made off-chain (eg. Liquid Network's private side-chain which is used by many major exchanges). If this trend continues, we can expect "normal" NVT ranges to increase with time (as the relative portion of public on-chain transaction values decreases).
CALCULATION
- NVT = Circulating Market Cap / 90 average On-chain Transaction Value*
- Overbought (default): NVT > 2-year mean + 2*standard deviations. I.e. NVT Signal is in the top 2.5% of values for the prior 2 years.
- Oversold (default) NVT < 2-year mean.**
*Data source: Blockchain.info, estimated transaction value does not include returned to sender as change.
**Oversold under 2-year mean was chosen due to the skewness of NVT Signal, it is not quite normally distributed. For example: NVT Signal has never been less than the 2-year mean - 2* standard deviations. This may change in the future.
NOTES ON USAGE
- Use with care. Bitcoin can remain "overbought" or "oversold" for extended periods (eg. 2015-2016).
- As Bitcoin ages, the validity of NVT Signal will need to be monitored. Particularly with respect to potentially increasing use of side-chains, private transactions and potentially the lightning network.
- It is likely that a 2-year “look back period” for calculating mean and standard deviation will not be sufficient in the decades to come. As Bitcoin matures and stabilizes (some time in the future), a longer "look back period" should probably be used. To allow for this, the defaults for this indicator can be easily adjusted.