Nvidia's Meteoric Rise: A Rally Cools Amid Market TurbulenceIn a stunning reversal, Nvidia Corp.,( NASDAQ:NVDA ) the behemoth in the semiconductor industry, witnessed its most significant one-day drop in nine months, sending shockwaves through the market and prompting questions about the sustainability of its blistering rally.
Traders scrambled to lock in profits following an astonishing surge that saw Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock skyrocket by over 19% in just six consecutive trading days. The chipmaker's shares tumbled by 5.6% on Friday, marking the largest single-day decline since May 31. The magnitude of the drop was staggering, erasing approximately $130 billion in market value—a feat rarely witnessed in the annals of US stock market history.
Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) meteoric ascent this year has been nothing short of breathtaking, fueled by buoyant optimism surrounding the relentless demand for its chips, particularly in the realm of artificial intelligence computing. Despite the setback on Friday, the stock has still managed to post staggering gains, boasting an impressive surge of over 70% since the beginning of 2024. With a market capitalization hovering around $2.2 trillion, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stands tall as the third-largest company in the S&P 500, trailing only behind tech titans Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc.
However, signs of overheating were evident earlier in the session as Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares surged by as much as 5.1%, pushing key momentum indicators to dizzying heights. The relative-strength index soared above 85, reaching levels not seen since November 2021, signaling that the stock was ripe for a correction. The rapid ascent had triggered warnings of potential market turbulence, underscoring the need for caution amidst euphoric sentiment.
The pullback in Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA stock price serves as a sobering reminder of the inherent volatility in the markets, punctuating a period of exuberance with a dose of reality. While the long-term growth prospects for Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) remain robust, investors are urged to tread carefully amidst heightened uncertainty and evolving market dynamics.
As Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) navigates through choppy waters, the focus shifts to the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory and weather the storm of market fluctuations. With innovation at its core and a track record of resilience, Nvidia is poised to emerge stronger from the current setback, reaffirming its status as a stalwart in the ever-evolving landscape of technology and finance.
NVDA
NVDIA: Is it finally correcting?NVDIA Corporation is having a -5.50% day so far and that was enough to make the 1D timeframe not overbought again (RSI = 69.907, MACD = 67.840, ADX = 37.914) for the first time since February 21st. On the 1W timeframe though it remains vastly overbought (RSI = 89.349), which means that on the long term the stock has considerable room for a downward correction.
However on this 1D chart, there are no signs of a bigger correction yet, just a 'standard' -21% to -26%, which gives a short term target on the middle of the 18 month Channel Up (TP = 775.00).
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Nvidia near its cycle peakYou can't turn on the TV without hearing about Nvidia
that means that we're in the cycle distribution phase, can the stock rally to $1,300 certainly
so this isn't a call to sell $950 today at all, but it is a call that the years high probably happens between now and July 4th
start to make your exit plan now, so that when $1,300 arrives, you know what to do.
as new ATH print every week, it becomes easy to accidentally wind up as a boiled frog.
SMCI monster rally will chart a similar course
SOXL: Logscale Bearish Gartley at Trendline ResistanceSOXL has reached the Logscale 0.886 of this potential Logscale Bearish Deep Gartley which aligns with the upper trendline of the channel it has been trading within. If it plays out, I think we could see SOXL come down to the lower trendline and perhaps even lower. This May be sparked by a selloff in NVDA and AVGO.
NVDA Reaches Key $940 Resistance, Monitor for Strong RejectionAfter NASDAQ:NVDA managed to beat extremely high earnings expectations, I made a post-earnings analysis video discussing how NVDA has the potential to reach this strong resistance level around $940. Just a few short weeks later and NVDA has already risen to this price target. I think this will be extremely strong resistance, and I have concerns that NVDA could have a strong rejection and pullback here. The Magnificent 7 is quickly deteriorating with AAPL, GOOGL, and TSLA already showing a lot of weakness. I think if NVDA starts a strong downtrend here this could spell a lot of trouble for the U.S. stock market.
I gave an important NASDAQ:NVDA update about NVDA approaching a key resistance target. This yellow trendline is sloped upwards and increases over time. I said $920s as my price target earlier and in previous updates. There has been a slight increase to $940-942. This will be an extremely important price target to monitor for NVDA and the U.S. stock market.
The RSI is overbought and the conditions are good for a pullback. For the record, I have not been shorting NVDA and I think shorting NVDA has been a bad idea throughout this bullish rally. However, this strong resistance level is an interesting price target for me to consider shorting.
Nvidia - $1000 And Then DropHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Starting in 2018 Nvidia stock has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation. We had the last retest in August of 2018 which was then followed by a +650% rally towards the upside. Considering that Nvidia is now approaching the upper resistance of the channel, I do expect a (short term) pullback to retest previous support and then more continuation from there.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Render #RNDR - Big pattern Big target --- heading to over $30Rndr is in price discovery
Rndr is in the right sector #AI
I can't catch all the ticker's theres way too many
help me out and suggest new altcoins for me to look at..
Anyway
Still lot's left on the table in terms of gains
Even just buying Spot.
Why Technical Analysis is enough to make profits in financial maif you only looked at charts and bought NVDA at 0.61 Fibonacci Retracement, you would be able to 8X your money. Yo don't need to look at any industry trends regarding AI or whatever. You don't need to look at balance sheet, cash flow or any other thing. If the information is important , you will be able to see it on the chart.
Of course if you combine both, you will be unstoppable.
#technicalanalysis #fundamentalanalysis
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 04/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5140
SL - 5132
TARGETS - 5150,5160,5170
SELL BELOW - 5132
SL - 5140
TARGETS - 5120,5110,5100
NO TRADE ZONE - 5132 to 5140
Previous Day High - 5140
Previous Day Low - 5094
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
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AAPL breaks below its 1 year upward trendAAPL has recently broken below its 1 year upward signaling more selling to come. This pivotal event comes at a time when
Overall market sentiment is showing extreme greed (selling soon follows this level)
Recent rally have been prompted by one stocks excellent earnings (NVDA alone cant hold up the economy)
AAPL has been trend down rather steadily for a month
The long term support being broken indicates more selling likely to come.
SQ's rally looks unstable and weakSQ's recent rally shows weakness and not founded on solid reasoning. Current price level appears risky.
SQ had a good rally from Oct to Dec and contracted a fair amount and held. Later on....
SQ had bad earnings
NVDA a very unrelated stock had great earnings pushing SQ up
Recent gap up is clearly irrational
Recent rally is unstable and should expect a contraction in the nearish future
NVIDIA: Large MovesOverview
My first two publications on this idea were removed and I was banned for a day so let's try this out again:
... I finally gave in and started looking into NASDAQ:NVDA and I'm glad I did. If I was going to comfortably invest in derivatives or shares of the tech company, I needed to perform a full evaluation and determine pragmatic price targets.
Price Projections
I have two macro projections and one micro projection that I would like to share with you. On the 1D chart I've established two Fibonacci retracements: one representing uptrend (green) and the other representing a downtrend (red).
At the current moment of this publication, an ascending triangle is beginning to form on the hourly and daily charts. This leads me to believe that the markets haven't had their fill yet and that NVDA is most likely gearing up for another rally. If this breakout does occur, I believe that a price target of $750 is reasonable as this value rests around the 161.8% Fib level.
For my second macro projection: a correction to the low $300s, or even mid $200s, is a reality as both of these values rest around or near a 50% or 61.8% Fib retracement level. The market does not appear to feel bearish on NVIDIA and a correction like this would require the current ascending triangle to become invalid which is unlikely without an external catalyst -- which is most definitely in existence. I explain this concept in more detail later in this article; you can find it under "NVIDIA Outsourcing."
And finally, for those of us that want to make all the short and medium-term trades in-between, I've attached a copy of my projections within the ascending triangle and attempted to match them to the market's sentiments. This led me to project a double bottom within the current pattern. There is a possible second ascending triangle forming at the moment so I am remaining cognizant of significant support around the $470-480 range in the chance that this causes an invalid double-top (M pattern) and a potentially earlier breakout.
About the CEO
Jensen Huang is the CEO and President of NVIDIA and has held his title since 1993 when he first co-founded the company. He has a Master of Science in Engineering from Stanford University and, from what I've seen in a couple of his interviews, is very intelligent and self-aware. I'd like to regard him as a more stable version of Elon Musk or Steve Jobs.
NVIDIA Outsourcing
The impression I received during my research is that a lot of the semiconductor chips used in NVIDIA's A.I. projects are sourced from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). As you probably already guessed, TSMC is located in Taiwan. The reason I believe that this can be problematic for the company is because, as of late, China has become more outspokenly aggressive towards Taiwan whom it believes it holds sovereignty over. Should China choose to invade the nation I believe this will result in a choke on NVIDIA's production which -- on top of market reactivity -- will drive the share prices downward.
To touch on another geopolitical issue very briefly, Huang has made it clear that they supply China with limited-capacity chips to uphold National Security concerns in regards to artificial intelligence. This could very well serve as a motivator for China to want to gain control of TSMC as it would then obtain an advantage over NVIDIA: "give us fully capable chips or else." This is just my opinion and I came to this conclusion from my own research and from my limited knowledge on human psychology.
Second red flag for outsourcing, TSMC requires the use of a specific technology that is only delivered by a Dutch company called Advanced Semiconductor Materials Lithography (ASML). I won't dive into the full details but their technology has yet to be reverse-engineered or produced at the same efficiency. ASML provides TSMC the ability to create an end product for NVIDIA. I think it goes without saying, that if NVIDIA does not figure out how to create an equally efficient manufacturing technology, or at least close to, then if ASML one day decides to stop providing said technology -- a market crash will occur for NVIDIA.
Fundamental Analysis
Time for the dry stuff. According to NVIDIA's Q3 Earnings Call, the following data is assumed to be true:
Current Ratio (current assets/current liabilities) = 3.59 --> a 2% increase since January 29, 2023.
Cash On-Hand has increased by 62.85% since January 29, 2023.
Total Assets outpaced Total Liabilities with assets increasing by 31.49% while liabilities increased by 9.44% since January 2023.
Retained Earnings increased by 100.18% since January 29, 2023.
Long-Term Debt decreased by 12.84% since January 29, 2023.
Other notes:
NVIDIA is presently undergoing several class action lawsuits filed in the United States District Court for Northern District of California, for the District of Delaware, and in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware. The lawsuits claim that certain NVIDIA executives made misleading statements related to channel inventory (product in between the manufacturing and reseller inventory stages) and impact of cryptocurrency mining on GPU demand between May 2017 and Nov 2018.
There has been significant insider liquidation in 2023. In total, executives from NVIDIA – including Huang – have liquidated upwards of $786.8M in company shares within the calendar year. I would typically consider this a red flag but not a sign for impending declines; securing profits may be the only motivation.
NVIDIA’s Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program up to $25.24B. Approximately 800K shares ($366M) were repurchased by the company from October 30 - November 17, 2023. This coincides with a relatively large rally followed by a 10% dip immediately after the Q3 Earnings Call.
Nvidia's Spectacular Rise: A $2 Trillion ValuationNvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), the powerhouse in AI chip technology, is poised to close with a staggering $2 trillion valuation, marking a historic milestone in the realm of tech giants. The ascent comes on the heels of an optimistic forecast from Dell Technologies, propelling Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock to new heights and igniting a broader rally in the AI sector.
Dell's rosy outlook, particularly regarding the surge in orders for AI-optimized servers powered by Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) processors, served as a catalyst for the market frenzy. With Dell's shares soaring to record highs, Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock surged by 3.6%, solidifying its position as a dominant force in the AI ecosystem.
At $2.05 trillion, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) now stands as the third most valuable company on Wall Street, trailing only behind tech behemoths Microsoft and Apple. This remarkable valuation underscores the pivotal role Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) plays in shaping the future of AI-driven innovation.
The ripple effects of Nvidia's success were felt across the semiconductor industry, with companies like Super Micro Computer, Broadcom, and Marvell Technology witnessing significant gains. The PHLX chip index itself rallied to a record high, reflecting the widespread enthusiasm for AI-related investments.
Nvidia's stranglehold on the high-end AI chip market, with prominent clients including OpenAI, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms, highlights its unrivaled position in driving advancements in generative AI technologies. As demand for its components continues to soar, Nvidia's stock has emerged as the most traded on Wall Street, surpassing even the likes of Tesla.
The meteoric rise of Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock, which has surged by 65% in 2024 alone, underscores the insatiable appetite for AI-driven solutions and the company's relentless pursuit of innovation. With its stock market value eclipsing that of tech giants like Amazon and Alphabet, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has firmly cemented its status as a powerhouse in the tech industry.
While Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) journey to a $2 trillion valuation is nothing short of remarkable, it also poses challenges and scrutiny. Questions about market dominance, supply chain constraints, and the sustainability of growth loom large as Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) continues to chart its course in the ever-evolving landscape of AI technology.
NNOX To The Moon!!I have been in NNOX Calls for about a week now. I added to my position after reviewing the 15m chart this morning. Both ups and downs did not bottom out, they stayed strong and brought a higher high as you can see with both low white lines in my chart. Moving upwards, It seems to me that it broke the level of support and now has huge potential to gap up to the $12.25 - $14 range. If i see this stock breakout past the $14.50 mark, i am doing heavy $20c with small $10p
Micron Technology ($MU) Strike Partnership with NvidiaMicron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) emerges as a pivotal player, strategically positioning itself to capitalize on the accelerating demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Embarking on a promising trajectory, Micron's ( NASDAQ:MU ) recent collaboration with Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) heralds a new chapter in its journey, propelling the company towards unprecedented growth and market dominance.
Harnessing the Power of AI:
As AI permeates diverse sectors, from autonomous vehicles to healthcare, the demand for robust computing solutions intensifies. Micron's ( NASDAQ:MU ) foresight in recognizing AI's pivotal role in shaping the future prompts strategic investments, particularly in its high-bandwidth-memory (HBM) chips. The integration of Micron's cutting-edge technology into Nvidia's latest H200 semiconductors amplifies performance, heralding a paradigm shift in AI infrastructure.
Strategic Collaboration with Nvidia:
The symbiotic partnership between Micron ( NASDAQ:MU ) and Nvidia underscores a shared vision of pioneering advancements in AI computing. Nvidia's unveiling of the H200 chip, boasting doubled inference performance over its predecessor, signifies a quantum leap in AI processing capabilities. Micron's ( NASDAQ:MU ) pivotal role in supplying HBM chips for the H200 not only underscores its technological prowess but also signifies a lucrative revenue stream, with projections hinting at generating "several hundred millions of dollars" in fiscal 2024.
Positioned for Growth:
Micron's ( NASDAQ:MU ) bullish stance on AI augurs well for its financial outlook, with projections indicating robust revenue growth amidst escalating demand for AI-related technologies. Despite an anticipated loss per share in the upcoming second-quarter earnings, Micron ( NASDAQ:MU ) remains buoyant, with revenues forecasted around $5.3 billion. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra's optimistic outlook underscores the company's confidence in navigating the burgeoning AI landscape, poised for sustained growth and market expansion.
Driving Innovation, Redefining Possibilities:
Micron's ( NASDAQ:MU ) innovative strides not only amplify AI performance but also address critical concerns such as power consumption, aligning with the industry's sustainability agenda. By enhancing memory bandwidth and capacity, Micron ( NASDAQ:MU ) empowers AI developers to unlock new frontiers of innovation, transcending conventional boundaries. As the International Energy Agency highlights the exponential growth of data centers, Micron's technological breakthroughs emerge as a catalyst, fueling the AI revolution and shaping the digital landscape of tomorrow.