Natural Gas & Trading Indicator!Nat gas closed the week negative.
We have now had 2 consecutive weeks of sell side pressure.
Next week we will get the golden cross on the daily chart.
Typically this is a medium to long term signal.
Using the prior day high and low signal is an extremely useful tool for traders to identify support and resistance.
NVDA
NVDA: Pullback Ahead?Hourly Chart: Key Support and Previous Top
The hourly chart for NVDA emphasizes the significance of the support level at 125.59. This level was a previous top, and now it is acting as a support, following the Principle of Polarity in Technical Analysis. The chart shows that the previous top, which is now support, has been tested a few times, reinforcing its critical role.
Daily Chart: Bearish Engulfing Pattern
On the daily chart, a bearish engulfing pattern is evident, signaling a potential correction of the uptrend. This pattern forms when a smaller white candlestick is completely engulfed by a larger black candlestick, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This pattern is often a precursor to further downside movement. The red line marks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 115.82, which was a previous resistance seen on the 1H chart as well, serves as an additional support level.
Conclusion
The NVDA charts provide a mixed outlook. The double support at 115.89 on the hourly/daily charts is critical, while the bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart suggests a potential pullback ahead. For now, we should keep a close eye on the 125.59 support level. A hold above this level could indicate a buying opportunity, while a break below could signal further downside to the 115 area.
Keep in mind that the trend is still bullish and pullbacks would be buying opportunities as the price approaches its support levels, when the R/R ratio is optimized.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
$NVDA & $GME Day Trading Strategy With Algorithm Indicator NASDAQ:NVDA We day trade two stocks: Nvidia and $GME. Our strategy is to go long only. We wait for our algorithm to alert us with a large green dot. We have been in a long position with NASDAQ:NVDA since June 11th, and as of today, we exited our position with a nice profit when we received a large red dot.
BTC vs NVDA Fractal 📈📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Fractals are a helpful way to identify how markets have previously moved. When identifying a similar pattern, it can be useful to speculate future potential price action.
In my previous updates, I've mentioned the two scenarios that I foresee for BTC after reaching a new ATH. The one was a correction, and the other was range trading until after the halving. Find the previous Bitcoin post here:
When we compare BTC to how Nvidia has been moving, we see a very similar corrective pattern play out, followed by a steep increase. Then, after a period of sideways/range trading on NVDA, the price continues to even higher highs as it increases parabolically. Could we possible see something similar on Bitcoin? I think it's worth keeping an eye on this fractal and expect some boring price action for a while on BTC.
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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NASDAQ:NVDA MEXC:BTCUSDT
Nvidia Becomes World's Most Valuable CompanyNvidia Becomes World's Most Valuable Company
According to the NVDA chart today, the share price rose yesterday to a new all-time high, surpassing $135 (after a 10-to-1 split). This pushed Nvidia's market capitalisation to $3.34 trillion, overtaking Microsoft, which is currently valued at $3.32 trillion.
As CNBC reports:
→ Nvidia shares have risen by more than 170% this year, with a strong driver being the first-quarter earnings report released in May.
→ Since the end of 2022, the shares have increased more than ninefold, driven by the emergence of generative artificial intelligence.
→ Nvidia holds around 80% of the AI chip market used in data centres, with this business expanding thanks to purchases by OpenAI, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta.
What are the prospects for NVDA's share price? Will the company be able to maintain its status as the most valuable company, a title that has traditionally belonged to either Apple or Microsoft?
Technical analysis of the NVDA chart shows that:
→ The price is moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ In mid-May, the price found temporary balance along the median line of the blue channel;
→ But then, following the positive wave from the 22nd May report, the NVDA price soared to the upper boundary of the channel, forming a trajectory highlighted by the green trend line.
In fact, with such a channel construction, the market is in an overbought state. This thesis is confirmed by the RSI indicator (where signs of divergence are noticeable).
Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the price is in a position vulnerable to correction. Although the extremely strong fundamental background related to AI is unlikely to contribute to a deep correction (if it occurs).
According to TipRanks, the average price target for NVDA, as forecasted by Wall Street analysts, is $130.29 (approximately 3% below current levels) over the next 12 months. This could indicate that NVDA's price already fully reflects all bullish factors, making the prospects for further growth uncertain.
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A better DCA strategy that you need to start using. We all know about Dollar Cost Averaging positions over time.
However allow me to introduce you to a weighted DCA strategy that gets you a tighter average and retains additional capital over time ready to be allocated at "better prices".
First take your monthly $ allocation to your desired Ticker
*For this example we use $400 added monthly and TSLA as the Ticker
We break the monthly add into 1/4ths
So if we have $400 That = 4 lots of $100 dollars.
Set an Auto buy to $100 (as well as auto div reinvest if there is one)
*This feels like we're leaving too much on the table and not invested, but this is what gives this strategy the sauce.
*We use the Daily chart over a year timeframe for consistency.
If RSI is >= 60 we leave the auto buy of $100 (1/4) as is and save the remaining 3/4s to allocate at another date.
If RSI is >= 50 -60 we buy another 1/4 ($100) (totaling $200 or 2/4s of monthly allocation)
If RSI is <= 30 we allocate the other 3/4s ( $300 ) for a full 4/4s monthly allocation
_We will also @ RSI <= 30 allocate 1/4 of all saved monthly allocations
As seen in the Chart this occurs in Feb of 2024 where we buy $400 ($100 auto buy + $300 manual) and from $1300 reserves we've accumulated we use $325 to purchase additional shares.
This leaves us in great shape, we have a much tighter avg while also maintaining funds ready to specifically purchase more shares at a better price without the fomo.
The monthly breakdown of DCA'd shares looks like this
Shares DCA'd
Jul .35
Aug .789
Sep .794
Oct .773
Nov 1.94
Dec .84
Jan .84
Feb 3.90
mar 1.06
Apr 1.225
may 1.109
Jun 1.13
14.75 shares over 1 year
Total Invest
$3025
AVG/Share
$205 (9% better Avg than regular DCA)
W/ $1775 available for RSI < 30 situations
Any questions/ opinions welcomed.
Good Luck out there.
TSLA / NVIDIA / INTC - The rotation trade?TSLA has been upderperfing the market, but is now showing some signs of potential life since Elon musks pay package was approved.
A bullish breakout pattern is on watch.
NASDAQ:INTC looks ready for a bullish move. Just like NASDAQ:ADBE & NASDAQ:TSLA popped on earnings, it looks like NASDAQ:INTC could be the next oversold S&P500 stock to bounce.
If we see any weakness in NASDAQ:NVDA we may see capital rotate into other cheaper semis.
S&P500 setting nee ATH.
SMCI - Super Micro Computer Inc - 50% move to all-time high?SMCI is approx a 50% gain away from all-time highs. Do you think the chip industry will rally again? How long do you think it will take to gain momentum? Price is currently hovering near the 100 EMA. This could be a good place for a bounce. Add SMCI to your watchlist?
$NVDA Algorithm Buy Alert June 11Our strategy is to wait for the large green dot to enter a long position. One June 11 2024 14:45, we got our large green dot buy alert. We never trade with emotion. By eliminating emotion, we can trade successfully and make huge profits that will pay for the software 10 times over. As of today we are still in Nvidia long position
Big Tech is nearly at All time High's. Just 3% away!It has doubled since the peak Recession fears of 2021
#BTC has also more than doubled
#SOL has 4 or 5 X'd
This chart is combined price chart of
#Googl
#Appl
#MSFT
#Amzn
#NVDA
#NFLX
#META
U can see the two head and shoulder tops in 2021
and also the inverse head and shoulders in 2022
The clean break and run.
And also the Bull Pennant which has already bullishly triggered 3 weeks ago.
From these levels if that Bull pennant target is to be met (log scale)
It seems this basket has another 30% move left in it.
Dow 'Big Yikes' moment as it gravely lags behind BigTech rallyA stock-market rally concentrated on an ever-narrowing cohort of tech stocks is leaving the Dow Jones Industrial Average behind as the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), Nasdaq-100 hit records, making investors nervous.
The scope of the divergence on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq-100 finishing posting a 1.33% gain versus a 0.09% fall for the Dow DJIA was particularly troubling.
This is quite rare moment as the Dow posted a daily close more than 1.0 percentage points below Nasdaq-100 Index and more than 0.9% below S&P500 Index.
That is a 'Big Yikes' moment.
It's largely a statement on very bad breadth of the market, as we're incredibly reliant on just a very small number of names.
The rally more recently, he noted, has been driven largely by longtime AI favorite Nvidia Corp. (NVDA), and Apple Inc. (AAPL), which has surged nearly 9% this week as it outlined its own plans to add AI to its products.
The Super concentration is manifested in any number of breadth statistics, which track how many stocks in an index are participating in a move, including the percentage of stocks at 52-week highs versus 52-week lows and the percentage above their 200-day moving average.
For example, just one component of SP500 Index - that is Nvidia.. had accounted for 35% of the increase in the S&P 500's market cap in 2024.
Such a high concentration implies that if NVIDIA continues to rise, then things are fine and dandy.
But if it starts to decline, then the market will be hit hard.
Overall, presidential-election years tend to be strong ones for the market, particularly in the fourth quarter. And years that begin strong also tend to hold up.
But everything could end, earlier or later.
The main chart is the ratio between Nasdaq-100 (NDX) and Dow Jones (DJI) Indices. That indicates that June quarter posting an extremely new historical high between these two Major indices, first time over the past 25 years.
A very historical times we live.
Nvidia is Topping in the Near TermAlthough having reached my target for wave v of 5, we do not have any evidence of a top in place as of today's trading session. In the days or weeks to come I look for a breach of $116 to give us our initial indication we've topped, with confirmation coming with a breach of $106.
This would be a long term top.
Best to all,
Chris
Nvidia Races Ahead: Can It Lead After Apple Stock SplitNvidia Races Ahead: Can it Maintain the Lead After Apple's Stock Split?
The tech world is abuzz with the news of Nvidia's staggering outperformance of Apple's stock price in 2024. Annually, Nvidia has surged a remarkable 190+%, leaving Apple in the dust with a meager 19% gain. This stark contrast comes just ahead of Apple's highly anticipated 10-to-1 stock split, raising questions about the future performance of both tech giants.
Nvidia's Stellar Rise: A Chip Powerhouse on Fire
Nvidia's dominance can be attributed to its position as a leader in the booming semiconductor industry. The ever-growing demand for powerful graphics processing units (GPUs) for applications like artificial intelligence, gaming, and data centers has propelled Nvidia's growth. Their cutting-edge technology has made them the go-to choice for tech enthusiasts and professionals alike.
Apple's Stagnant Growth: A Maturing Giant?
While Apple remains a tech behemoth, its stock price hasn't mirrored the explosive growth seen in other sectors. This could be due to a number of factors. The smartphone market, a cornerstone of Apple's success, has reached a saturation point. Additionally, competition from other manufacturers, particularly in the Chinese market, has intensified.
Stock Splits: A Psychological Boost or a Price Trick?
Stock splits themselves don't change the underlying value of a company. They simply increase the number of shares outstanding while proportionally reducing the share price. However, stock splits can have a psychological impact on investors. A lower share price can make the stock appear more affordable, potentially attracting new investors and boosting short-term trading activity.
Volatility Ahead: Will Apple Reclaim Its Throne?
Apple's upcoming stock split has the potential to introduce significant price volatility in the short term. The lower share price might entice retail investors, leading to a temporary surge. However, long-term performance will depend on Apple's ability to innovate and tap into new growth markets.
Beyond the Numbers: A Look at the Fundamentals
While the current stock price performance paints a clear picture, a deeper analysis of both companies' fundamentals is crucial for long-term investors. Here are some key aspects to consider:
• Product Pipeline: Both companies have a history of successful product launches. Analyzing their upcoming product lines and potential disruptions will provide insights into future growth prospects.
• Innovation: Continuous innovation is vital for sustained success in the tech industry. Evaluating each company's commitment to research and development will shed light on their ability to stay ahead of the curve.
• Market Expansion: Identifying new markets and customer segments that either company can tap into can be a significant growth driver.
The Verdict: A Tale of Two Tech Titans
Nvidia's current lead is undeniable, but Apple shouldn't be counted out. The stock split has the potential to reignite investor interest in Apple, and its brand loyalty remains unmatched. Ultimately, which company emerges victorious will depend on their ability to navigate the ever-evolving tech landscape, deliver innovative products, and expand into new markets.
For investors, this is an exciting time to be in the tech sector. By carefully analyzing both companies' fundamentals and long-term strategies, investors can make informed decisions about where to place their bets. The race between Nvidia and Apple is far from over, and the coming months will be a fascinating test of their respective strengths and resilience.
$NVDA - Majorly Bearish Macro StructureMy previous NVDA previous came in massively early. I think the stock made a 100% increase in value since the time of my original post, shown below. Despite this fact and the recent split, the overall macro formation of the chart has not changed. Although, I was earlier than I would have liked to have been, I fully believe the general sentiment and drastic nature of my prediction to be spot on.
NVDA has legs to climb up to $150-$200 possibly, but the tumble will be tremendous, over time. With 5 waves up, my fellow Elliotticians, we all know what follows.
Do I think NVDA is a crappy company? No.
Do I seriously think $2 will come? Yes
Nvidia Analysis After SplitThe Nvidia share price has never risen so steeply. Each rise lasted about 30 months and was followed by an average correction of 50%. I think we are getting close to the next correction. It will be an excellent buying opportunity. But until then we can even see $160 because of the FOMO and the new investors who came after stock split.
$AAPL $181 Target by the end of the next 20 trading daysVery simple. 10D candles show practically the same thing. I guessed the run up, now let's get the run down. Pullback neccessaryfor higher prices come late summer before another pullback come mid August. MACD has bearish divergence and also hitting resistance. RSI making lower highs as well.