NQ looking for a temp low on TuesdayWorking on my main SPX/ES update, so this will be quick.
Tomorrow am should produce a buyable low IMO followed by a good bounce.
From where I expect a first temp low by Tuesday, another bounce and down into the next week.
There is also a possibility of another move to above 13000 to even 13500+ in Mar time, but that was mentioned in my tonight's NQ/NDX update.
Have a good night
NQ
nasdaq 4 hour : if you have old sell you must you must hedge your old sell in 12300 area ,,,nasdaq after touch fibo61% can flyup to 13300 (see green fibo 161% on chart) 13300 is my upper target
scenario 2 = if big bad news come and nasdaq break big trendline and EMA200 daily (orange line) , it can go downer to 11600 , we must buy nasdaq above green arrow and hold them 10 day to new high =13300
prediction by me = in next 3 year we have bull market so i advice 90% looking for buy in deep and hold it to high
good luck
Tesla TSLA - The Bottom Is In, But It's Still BearishTesla has collapsed for five straight months, much to the delight of everyone who hates Elon Musk. To tell you the truth, I think Musk is something of a combination between a psyop, a Fabian, and a guy with some conservative values who wants to protect the happy life he has, but am not particularly a fan of his and don't trust him.
Regardless, the Mastodon socialists, the Reddit Marxists, and much of the supposed "liberals" just hate the guy because he purged the pro-child grooming pro-human trafficking pro-censorship communist old guard when he bought Twitter.
The way life under Communist Party rule works is this:
1. If the Party says you're good, you're good
2. If the Party says you're bad, you're bad
3. The Party is Great, Glorious, and Correct, and is always right
Thus, it really is self evident that it is time for mankind to sober up and eliminate the Chinese Communist Party's things from the areas outside of Mainland China. The Chinese people will soon deal with the CCP inside the Mainland, and Xi and the Party will be gone overnight.
The reason I bring the above up is not to get political or soapbox, but to point out to readers that when you get yourself caught up in these campaigns, you are going to bottom short and lose money because your vision is clouded and you're listening to a political campaign and not a professional.
I've seen so many people calling for $80 TSLA or for Tesla to go the way of Enron and collapse to zero in the next few months that it's actually both alarming and amusing at the same time.
The more your vision is clouded by prejudice as a trader the more likely you are to be one of those guys on r/WallStreetBets posting his 6 figure account that went busto buying $200k worth of short term $25 call options on Peloton, lol.
Black swan risks:
Because of the situation in Mainland China under the Chinese Communist Party as it faces the disaster of the Wuhan Pneumonia epidemic, Tesla and its Shanghai Gigafactory faces significant risk that could cause any successful long trade to endure a market-open gap down exceeding 20%.
For the reality is that the CCP has always been lying and covering up the pandemic situation. All its data and all its narrative are bogus. Really, the epicenter of COVID and a country of 1.5 billion people is posting positive case counts and death counts 95-99% lower than literally every single other country on the entire planet?!
The Party did the same thing during the 2003 SARS epidemic and yet nobody seems to have learned to not trust what that murderous regime says or the numbers it reports.
But you can't do anything for a fool who believes in the Marxist-Leninist atheism and evolution hoax and actually wants the genocidal CCP Red Dynasty in the first place.
The problem for Tesla is the Shanghai Gigafactory seated in Babylon is "our main export hub, supplying vehicles to most markets outside of North America," according to the Q3 earnings Shareholders Deck .
The Babylon Gigafactory has the capacity for three times as many units as Berlin and Texas, and even exceeds California's production capacity.
This is significant for longs because when the Communist Party falls, 6:00 PM Beijing time is 7:00 AM New York Time, and you won't like getting caught in the 1,000 point SPX gap down that the regime's collapse causes and what Wall Street does during that session as it runs for its life when everyone is caught off guard like they were when the USSR fell.
In my opinion, $108 in the last week of December was Tesla's bottom, evidenced by bounce back to $124 that happened Thursday and the strong weekly close to end the year.
However, for long-term Tesla bulls, this is a very bearish indicator, as evidenced on the monthly chart:
For long term bulls, you really do not want a stock to break a major 2-year-old bullish order block, which is exactly what Tesla did. It should maintain it and sharply reverse if there's to truly be another leg up.
There's a direct precedent for this principle on the Nasdaq NQ CME Futures, which did exactly this in March, had an impotent bounce, and has since not been bullish at all. Tech has just been a slaughter house with the exception a few days like November CPI.
Tesla gives you some greater clarity on the weekly candles:
What's strange about Tesla's price action is:
The triple top at $315 before it started dumping. This becomes a big target on a reversal.
The $414.50 ATH. Yes, this was pre-splits, but remember Elon is the guy who paid $5 4.20 a share for Twitter.
Breakaway gap/liquidity void at $263.55. These also become targets once the algo and its MM have achieved their downside objectives.
In my opinion, Tesla on the hourly looks like a pretty solid reversal with the gap between $113 and $118 potentially being a breakaway gap.
Another big factor to consider is that the TSLL 1.5x leveraged bull ETF has fallen from $27~ to $6 during this bear run.
A very likely and rational target for this to retrace to when it does go in the other direction is $10. This is a lot of upside and makes for a heck of a trade. TSLL also traded at double its average volume literally three times last week, with 15 million shares being traded on Dec. 29.
Someone had to be the buyer on those trades and they didn't buy so it can go to $4 so easily.
So here's some potential scenarios:
1. Tesla is extremely bearish but will retrace anyways.
If this is the case then $160 is where it should go and it should get held back at the last green daily candle that peaked at $160.93. Either way, this is a pretty good long from the $120s.
2. Tesla has achieved its downside objective and MMs will target short seller funds' buy stops
This particular outcome I regard with a high degree of probability. If so, $330 is exactly where it will go before it will die. This is an amazing long.
3. Nasdaq is about to bounce to 15,000 and Tesla follows a huge bear market rally to perform a bump and run reversal to $420.20
I have reservations about the realism of this outcome, but I definitely believe it's a significant possibility between now and April if a genuine 2008-style market crash is en route for humanity in 2023.
Things that won't happen:
Tesla will not continue on to $500 with a new leg up. Frankly speaking, we're standing at the end of the good times.
It's up to you what you believe. One thing I know is that people don't believe in anything until they see it, and then they FOMO or get scared and give themselves regrets.
But what I want to say to all of you is: if you want a future you have to "practice social distancing" and "hand sanitizing" with the Chinese Communist Party and all of that Marxist atheism and evolution junk.
You need to return to tradition and come to understand that it's no less than the Divine side of the Cosmos our Earth is seated and rotating in that brings a future.
The Chinese Communist Party is a demon that was arranged to destroy the human race. Whoever can't see this are the greatest morons.
Using Fibonacci Price Theory To PROTECT Your TradesProtecting Your Trades With Fibonacci Price Theory.
Learn to understand the BELTLINE range (50%) and why it is so important for structuring your trades for profit.
Not all trades will be successful - plan for FAILURE.
Planning for FAILURE = Long-Term SUCCESS.
Follow my research.
The rabbit-hole of knowledge I've amassed over the past 25+ years is deep. I could go on and on about different strategies, theories, concepts, and indicators.
What I've learned is...
KISS - Keep It Simple Stupid!
_ The IDIOT SYSTEM is often the best for new traders.
_ Use Multi-timeframes to confirm price trend/direction.
_ Use PRICE STRUCTURE as the core of all of your research.
Hope these help everyone out.
Pay Attention.
Part 2 - Fibonacci Price Theory on SPY 60 Min (Deeper we go)After 25+ years of research, study, and application of some of the most incredible trading strategies - I'm sharing one of the MOST IMPORTANT structural price theories with all of you...
The Fibonacci Price Theory.
The primary rule of the Fibonacci Price Theory is:
Price is ALWAYS seeking NEW HIGHS or NEW LOWS. Price is never NOT attempting to reach NEW HIGHS or NEW LOWS.
Let that sink in for a minute.
If you knew price was always attempting to establish a trend, or continue a trend.. how would that change your trading/investing tactics?
What if I showed you how I use Fibonacci Price Theory? And how YOU can use it to further your own trading skills?
Here you go, A 60 minute SPY chart where I'm applying the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory to the current market price rally.
If you've ever wanted to learn the TRUE CONSTRUCT of price - this is it.
All other technical analysis techniques (Elliot Wave, Indicators, & others) are constructed from PRICE.
Price is the Ultimate Indicator.
Pay attention and follow my research.
Learning Fibonacci Price Theory - MUST WATCHEven though I got cut off after about 25 minutes, I'm sharing this with all of you to teach you how to use one fo the most important PRICE STRUCTURE features for any chart
Fibonacci Price Theory.
The consensus of all TA is that PRICE tells us everything.
Fibonacci Price Theory is the REAL DEAL.
Use it on a 1 minute, 5 minute, 60 minute, or Daily - ANY TIME-FRAME
Use it in conjunction with other TA/Indicators.
Use it with Elliot Wave analysis.
USE IT.
My experience is that all indicators/theories/strategies have strengths/weaknesses. If you are not aware of them (yet) - pay attention.
Follow my research and I'll continue to try to share tidbits of advanced TA/Fibonacci with you.
I created this to help my followers/friends learn one of the most critical price structure components of my own research. I see all price charts in the manner I've illustrated in this video.
After more than 15 years of applied Fibonacci Price Theory/Structure - I can't help but NOT see price as "Fibonacci Fractals".
Hope this helps.
SPY Measure Move (Pause) Video Update - Rally To $421 PendingHere is a video update for my followers. This video is in support of the recent SPY updates I've shared over the past few days.
Follow my research. Learn how my analysis skills can help you prepare for the biggest price swings.
These are not the same markets as 2008 & 2000.
Learn to adapt to price trends and become a better trader.
I'm trying to teach you to use the techniques I've learned over the past 25+ years to hone your own decision-making skills.
Pay attention.
SPX500 / ES / SPY - Enjoy the Party While It LastsThe period of market activity following the November CPI pump has been both a choppy grind and hard to get a handle on. I had personally believed that the market makers would run 3,700 long ago, but that we wouldn't set new lows.
Turns out, after much deliberation, they ran 4,150 instead and dumped it back to 3,800 but still haven't taken 3,700.
When trading, anyone who genuinely "knows" what is going to happen also isn't allowed to speak to the public. There are contracts binding their mouths with big penalties for violation.
Ergo, literally all of us who are trying to do this are making a best-basis effort to anticipate what's going on and what's going to happen with limited information available.
What this means is that to increase your accuracy and avoid blowing yourself up, you have to continually revaluate what you think is going to happen on the basis of what is actually happening in front of you. This is an important ability to build, but there's a lot of inner obstacles. You can only do it via determined and diligent mental and emotional self cultivation and improvement.
All on its own the last 45 days of price action tells us something. The December FOMC rendezvous with the September CPI dump formed a double top where big, big fund positions selling short will be carrying market buy orders to exit their positions as part of their risk model because "resistance was broken."
In terms of the market retracing and coming back to take out that level, this doesn't always work out, as seen on both Tesla at $315 and WTI Crude at $93.
But, when combined with this three week period of "bear flagging" (it's just consolidation) and, as we saw on Friday with an unwillingness to trade lower even on Non-Farm Payroll day, arguably the third most volatile news driver of the month behind CPI and FOMC, it tells us more.
Looking at daily candles,
The fact that the market makers appear to want to trade higher without trading just a little bit lower to take the giant fund sell stops at 3,700 indicates to me that the biggest cowboys are actually long and the intention is to keep selling.
Now, you're probably used to thinking, "Doesn't the price go down when big money is selling? Doesn't it go up when they're buying?" The answer to that is yes, but no.
Think about it: if the banks were to sell low and buy high and then buy high and sell low, like you do, wouldn't there be a 2008 financial crisis all the time? Wouldn't they also blow their accounts like you do?
Instead, although it takes a lot of money to buy and sell the orders planted along the way, the reality is that big funds and banks are selling on green and buying on red.
Selling on green and buying on red.
I've heard if you work at a trading desk and you buy on green and sell on red you'll quickly find yourself holding a filing box on the sidewalk waiting for the Uber to take you back to your apartment.
This is really worth thinking about.
Looking at monthly bars, last January was a 600 point nuclear month. The algorithms, although they do perform fractals on a consistent basis, generally, do not like to repeat themselves in such an obvious way.
Ergo, expecting January '23 to be a big nuclear month may be a bit of an error in judgment.
I think everyone now understands that the global economy is in big trouble, the living environment is in trouble, and on top of that the central banks aren't in the mood to run a bailout or a rate cut to save markets from crashing.
And yet, they don't crash.
That's because it's the same idea as the blade of a guillotine. Before you drop the hammer and decapitate your victim, you first slowly pull the rope so the knife is hanging high over head.
"The bigger they are, the harder they fall."
I believe that what we're about to see happen is SPX 4,230. There's a gap conveniently placed right above the double top from before September CPI. Both this and the late December pivot @ 3,79x are both very obvious on weekly candles.
Once we get there and everyone has turned bullish again and forgotten where they are in the diagram, then it's time to start looking seriously at getting risk off and buying puts.
Once the calamity really starts to unfold, you aren't going to see consolidation like this and we're not likely to get big bounces along the way. The kind of 200 points down one day 200 points up the next saw during COVID hysteria also isn't likely to unfold.
It's just a question of what the catalyst will be.
And that catalyst may very well come in the form of "China."
I say "China" because although it may unfold in the nation of China, the issue is the Chinese Communist Party. You really have to separate that rogue regime from "the Chinese people" and "the Chinese nation."
China is being absolutely sacked by Wuhan Pneumonia. The pandemic situation there is not like the COVID pseudo-pandemic we saw in North America. And this situation has been true for the better part of 3 years.
Although the CCP covers it up and hides the data, just like they did during 2003 SARS, nobody seems to have learned their lesson that the regime is a chronic liar. Or at least, when it comes to the topic they exercise "Three Monkeys."
One day that isn't all that far away, Xi Jinping and the Party will really be unable to contain reality any longer. In the same way that a forest fire that's absolutely out of control and absolutely raging will eventually roll towards the city (See 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire) and start smashing up industry, people, lives, and the regime for real.
The warnings signs of this will be kept quiet by western media until it can't be hidden any longer. So you likely won't get much notice besides that prices stay high while volume drops and the USD and VIX start going on a "weird" moon mission.
When it starts, you'll be greeted by unprecedented Monday morning breakaway gap downs that never recover.
Ultimately, what I want to say to everyone who reads this is that the tribulation won't be limited to China's borders and will quickly become international. It will be the kind of thing that global governments cannot keep a handle on, either, and the problem will concern more than your stock portfolio.
To evade and escape the disaster, it's absolutely critical that you do your part to oppose, reject, and stop supporting the Chinese Communist Party and all the Marxist-Leninist, socialist things it has spread around the world during the last 23 years via the United Front Work Department.
It's a choice you both have to make, and one you'll be forced to honour by history.
SPY Update (60 Min) - Rally Day Pause ExpectedEven though my SPY Cycle Patterns suggest today is a RALLY day, I see the SPY has extended to an upper resistance channel (near $414.80) and may pause/slide sideways/downward a bit today.
I do expect support near $412.30 to act as a floor for any contraction. I would expect the SPY to hold above $412.30 and attempt to rally higher IF this price level is tagged today.
Overall, if we see a rally above $415 today - the SPY will likely extend the rally phase. Possibly target $421 to $427.
The Fed unleashed a wave of RALLY (Risk-On) for many investors.
My advice - play this move safely right now. Although it looks very promising, I still believe 2023 will stay very congested until Q3:2023. Then, we may see a moderate MELT-UP extend to new all-time highs again.
Follow my research.
Wick Differential is an important part of target here in NQNQ was down -341 for the week as soon as the daily balance held on the day for NQ which was -60 and as soon as NQ went to +61 the obvious target was +341 and the high of the day was +347 for the bears who wanted to scalp on the puts this area was the best to short and around this level at 3:45 and gave a nice +3 point down move on the QQQs so how will I play this tomorrow I will only want to be long above +341 if NQ trades above 12553 will be long if it opens below it you can enter with a stop at 12553 this is the weekly balance tilt and if this balance tilt holds we can go up another 341+ by Friday minimum move will be half of +341 so +170 if the NQ does not take out +341 balance tilt in the first 10 minutes of tomorrows open it can go down -170 tomorrow before resuming the move up
Will this week reveal an ongoing earnings recession?On 5th January 2023, we noted that the breakout above the upper bound of the descending channel would be bullish for the Nasdaq 100 index in the short term. Quickly after that, NQ1! broke above the resistance and embarked on the longest winning streak since November 2021. This recent move-up has been accompanied by market euphoria and overly bullish calls. Many investors are already dismissing the prospect of recession in 2023 and thinking the bear market is over. However, these calls are likely to turn out to be premature. Therefore, we will pay close attention to earnings reports from various companies. We will seek a decline in corporate profits to confirm our bearish thesis (beyond the short term). In addition to that, we will look for downgrades in future outlook and warnings over the slowing economy. As a result, we expect reality to creep back into the market and drag it lower over time. Accordingly, we maintain our 2023 price target for NQ1! at $10 000.
Big names reporting their earnings this week:
Microsoft
J&J
Verizon
Lockheed MartinRaytheon Technologies
General Electrics
Tesla
AT&T
IBM
Boeing
General Dynamics
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of NQ1!. The yellow arrow indicates a bullish breakout above the resistance, followed by the longest winning streak since November 2021.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bullish
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of NQ1! and two simple moving averages. We would like to see the index break below the 50-day SMA to support a bearish thesis. Contrarily, we would like to see the price hold above the 50-day SMA to support a bullish continuation of the rally.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
If SPY Breaks Above $410 - we could see $420+ very quicklyBreaking above the $410 resistance level could be a very big sign that bullish price trending is building momentum.
Ultimately, I don't believe the SPY has enough momentum to get above $440~450 in 2023 - but I could be wrong.
I do believe we will move into a bout of sideways congestion after Q1:2023 - and slide into a period of complacency.
Near the start of Q3:2023, I believe we will see the bullish price trend resume - likely starting a push towards new all-time-highs again.
We are certainly living in interesting times.
If you are not following my research - please take a minute to review my posts/comments.
Here we go.
NASDQ 4 HOUR : looking for buy in deep and hold it 10 day all pro trader belive nasdaq going to 13300 (see green fibo 161% )
2 place we must buy ,,,see green arow on chart
if nasdaq can break big trend line can crash to red fibo61% 11350
if you have old sells,,dont add new sell,main trend is very up ,,,looking for hedge in deep(above green arrow
good luck
NQ hit its C&H target last week and rratraced.We have successfully shorted on Fri and covered on Monday pre-market.
This is the chart I updated last night, the AH's session support was held to the penny, and now it's in the resistance zone.
It can extend to 12200, when SPX has a strong resistance at 4065-70.
It's a month-end close today, so it is very important to watch if it closes above or below Nov close.
We have a good R/R setup coming, not posting it on tradingview!
SPY COVID Correlation - 119pt BOTTOMI just noticed this (should have seen it earlier).
In the midst of a GLOBAL ECONOMIC COLLAPSE, the SPY fell a little over 119 points before bottoming. My interpretation of this move is that traders/investors suddenly realized the US/Global markets would continue to function - even in the midst of a global lockdown.
Now, fast-forward to 2022.
Hey, guess what. The range from the peak in early 2022 to the bottom in October 2022 was just a little over 119 pts.
Correlation or coincidence?
Can we try to equate this -119pt contraction to a global crisis event (like COVID) - where the entire globe moved into LOCKDOWN?... Um. NO.
Are we seeing global financial conditions tighten as central banks raise rates? You bet.
If this the end of the move? I'm not sure, but it would appear to be lacking any global crisis event - we could have already seen the low/bottom in October 2022.
I have a funny feeling the -119 price contraction will come into play in the near future.
Are you following my research yet?
Nasdaq Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023 Nasdaq Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023
Based on the data from VXN we can see that currently the IV for this week is at 25.01%, equal to last week.
This can be translated in +/- 3.47% weekly movement from the open of the candle, which makes the next top/bot channel
TOP: 12640
BOT: 11788
The probability to break this channel(aka the close of the weekly is going to end up either above/below this channel) is at
If we were to make a more accurate statement, based on the current percentile of the VXN( from 0 to 10) , we can apply a condition in the filter
to look for scenarios when the volatility were lower than 50 percentile( bottom half). If we were to take this data we can see, that our numbers would be:
84% according to the last 20 years of data
100% according to the data since 2022( I would recommend the 87% instead)
So we can use this data instead for proper calculation of our trading plan
From the technical rating analysis point of view we can deduct the next information:
Currently there is a :
78% to touch the previous weekly high
26% to touch the previous weekly low
At the same time if we are going to take a look at the moving average rating for different timeframes we can see :
4H Timeframe: +53% Bullish Trend
D Timeframe: +66% Bullish Trend
W Timeframe: -26% Bearish Trend
Lastly on average, based on the current percentile, we can expect that our asset is going to move:
3.37% from the open to the close candle for the bullish scenario
3.4% from the open to the close candle for the bearish scenario
nasdaq daily technical say : fibo 161% 13333 is nasdaq target for short term nasdaq want touch daily chart fibo 61% =12500 see blue fibo in left side (after sell pinbar on higher time frame we can pick low size sell with Sl on pinbar high,ok?)
then it must pullback aand touch breaked trendline
still i advice 90% looking for buy in deep (after pinbar comes on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart come ) and hold it 7-8 day to new high
wonderful = see COT data (big banks net open orders,they on sell !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!?
what is bad scenario ? if red trendline break nasdaq can crash to 10.000 area (fibo 161% exactly 9700
if you have old sells against my last 3 month analyse=
1-if you are near margin call,you must put hedge buystop on last high(friday high) and never close that buy,,,wait and in next low close sells frist then wait for next high and close buy understand? if you close buy frist you will 0.00
2-if you are safe and your size is low,,,wait 20-30 day for above green arrow in 11900 ,close all sell and pick buy and hold30-40 day to high
wish you win my friends , think 1 month about this secret = stable profit secret is simple 1- stand on very very low size and fix size and very low levrage (max 1-20) big levrage =big size = margincall
2- always put Sl on last high,low ,,,eat SL not bad show pro trader high control on mind and powerfull skill , new traders want eat only TP and cant eat SL = margincall
www.tradingview.com
Nasdaq NQ - Unpopular Opinion #2,118: 14,000 is ComingEverywhere I look I hear the narrative that we should be making new lows and everyone should be dumping because the Federal Reserve won't pivot and because the inflation keeps going up.
Yet, at the same time that they make that argument, they completely ignore what the Dow Jones did in October, which was no less than a 4,300 point rally forming an outside bar.
Dow has always been the weakest index. It fell farther during Coronavirus Disease 2019 hysteria. It rallied less during the greatest bull market of all time. It dumped more during this year's corrections.
Yet, the Nasdaq and the SPX have lagged it, and lagged it hard, during last month's 2022 Low of the Year recovery.
This should have any bull's interest piqued, and yet, because prices are low, they're not. People just want to get short. Everyone is telling you to look below October's low.
Sometimes I think to myself that people actually like buying high and selling low, if only because they're just very attached to "seeing" and "confirmation." Ordinary people all follow this idea that "I won't believe what I don't see" and are completely unwilling to exercise even a modicum faith.
It's fundamentally irrational.
Yet, if you never change this deficiency, you will never be able to leave the bottom of the Cosmos and the bottom of life. The whales will always eat you, for you will always be plankton.
As with all fractals, take a step back and look at the wider horizon. Nasdaq would have to fall another 10% from its October LOY to bounce off the pre-COVID highs, something which that pesky Dow already did in June.
Not only that, but Nasdaq left two really significant areas of low volume on its way down this year. One of those areas just happens to be right above the August bear market rally highs.
Taking a look at the weekly, we can see that for six straight weeks, Nasdaq trades under equilibrium for the total COVID-panic <--> all time high range.
When people who are trading billion dollar position sizes take a look at this phenomenon, they're looking to get long, but hedging short. Unlike retail, who wants to buy puts thinking that 6,000 will come on CPI Thursday.
On the daily, we can see that there's a lot of manipulation around this trendline superstition. "Meh June low trendline support has become resistance. This is going down!" is what every retail trader has been Pavlov's Dogged into believing and thinking.
Nasdaq tends to be the most wild of the indexes. If Nasdaq had have traded like the Dow just did, it would have traded to 13,000 points.
Assuming that SPX and Nasdaq follow in the footsteps of Dow in this bear market rally, and don't kid yourself, Friday's price action should indicate to you that we're going higher, not heading for new lows, Nasdaq is likely to be more insane than the Dow, and very likely to take out the August bear market high.
While all and all I believe you're looking at a pending 30% rally, from where we stand now, you have 1,000 points to gain being long just to take out the October equal highs. This is enough to formulate trades with and make some good money on without having to take on a lot of risk.
Specifically, some of the key (and not-so key) tech stocks are set up to go totally rocketship. At least in my opinion:
AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and Gloom
&
META Facebook/Meta - Too Much Bear, Not Enough Bull
&
BBIG Vimco Ventures - A Classic Triangle Pump
Trade carefully. When the Chinese Communist Party falls, it will happen while the US equities market is closed. Indexes will gap down 20% and stocks will gap down 50%. There won't be a recovery because every single bank will be completely risk off.
Almost all of Wall Street has dirty hands providing financial "blood transfusions" to the most evil and murderous regime in all of human history, one which despite having killed many times more people than Hitler, and having perpetrated the organ harvesting persecution of Falun Gong practitioners, has not only remained in power for more than 100 years, but it and its Marxist-Leninism is supported by virtually every government and its people in the whole world.
A lot of people, institutions, governments, and companies will run for their lives the day that Xi Jinping throws the Party away like Gorbachev threw the USSR away, because the nature of having a closet full of skeletons is that once sunlight is cast upon those unprecedented sins, the game ends in Checkmate.
"What an ordinary person believes can happen and what is actually happening are always two totally different things." -Lord Wrymouth
W for the Win QQQOk I waited for this and really doubt it would pan out.
We have a W pattern in the brink of a breakout.
Now, lets take the political spectrum. We are not in the climate for expansion after the dwarf star called the stimulus pack from 2020.
Even if it was not a recession it is hard to be bullish.
So lets get to it
Bullish View - Earnings report was interesting. There was very little that showed stock weakness including the massive move by Tesla. I can see $300 level being a big barrier from getting the W pattern to play out. Be vigilant that it can turn back around as quick as it ran up.
Bearish View - Lets be serious... how this run up still here? Being below the 0 line in the weekly does not bold well for enthusiasm to take this to 300, let alone the measured move of 310. Look for reversal patterns and exhaustion. Time to take this down, been months since a new low was formed.
NASDAQ: my view for Intraday and SwingHi Traders,
This is my view for this week on
NASDAQ
I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected.
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Pit
DISCLAIMER:
Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies, videos, images, trade setups and forecast, everything you see on this website and are the result of my personal evaluations and was created for educational purposes only and not as an incentive to invest. Do not consider them as financial advice.
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NQ Reverts Off 618 Support ($11,6389)If you are short, stay very cautious.
This base/bottom in the NQ may be the start of a breakout rally phase after months of consolidation below a strong downward sloping trend line.
Far too many people are failing to understand the market dynamics at play right now. Shorts are getting slaughtered as the reversion/reflation trade is happening.
Follow my research. This is just getting started.