Morning Mantra - 8th March 2023Dear All,
The last 2 trading days were indeed amazing for the bulls , as we had got to observe a beautiful bounce back of approx 500 points from our stated support level of 17300.
Moreover, as we have witnessed in the last couple of weeks, the level of 17800 has emerged as a magical level for Nifty , which has simultaneously worked strongly as a Support and Resistance.
Furthermore, on Monday itself we had clearly mentioned about 17800 as a level of resistance for the Index and the same was accepted by the Market itself , as it made a high of 17799.95 , followed by a major supply from the stated level.
So for now, let's keep our fingers crossed for a positive breakout of 17800 level , for 18170 and 18400.
Until then, continue being stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy .
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Niftytrading
Morning Mantra - 2nd March 2023Dear All,
Thankfully Nifty supported the bulls once again, as it made a perfect bounce back from the support level of 17300, yesterday.
Moreover, on a positive note, we had also witnessed a beautiful recovery of approx 150 points from Tuesday’s (28th February, 2023) closing of 17303.
Well for now, we are still with our words, that 17800 will once again be a strong level of Resistance for the Index.
Besides, till 17800, we will continue to consider 17300 as the support level on closing basis.
So, continue being stock specific as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Morning Mantra - 24th February 2023Dear All,
Yesterday, we had once again observed Nifty’s movement towards the level of 17320. Wherein, Nifty had made a low of 17455.40 and had ultimately given us a closing of 17511.25
Moreover, since today is the last trading day of this week, it will be better if Nifty touches the level of or around 17320, today itself. Otherwise, we might get to witness some panic in the Market in the forthcoming week.
Whereas, in the meanwhile, it will be suggested to keep patience and to be stock specific.
Levels : 18170-17800-17320
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Morning Mantra - 17th February 2023Dear All,
Just as we had stated yesterday, about being very near to the level of 18170. Similarly, we did witness a high of 18134.75 in Nifty, yesterday itself.
Also, finally today is the last trading day of this week, and it is indeed expected to be a crucial one.
As so far, we have been fortunate enough to be witnessing a consistent closing of above 17800 for the past 4 trading days. Wherein, if we witness a closing of above 17800 even today, then our support level can be shifted from 17320 to 17800 in the upcoming week.
So, altogether, today’s closing will play a very significant role in deciding a direction of Nifty’s momentum for the upcoming week.
Whereas, in the meanwhile, continue being specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
NIFTY VIEWNSE:NIFTY Nifty has given a Break out from falling channel and also taken out the budget day high.
The Break out is not at all convincing since the volume is missing. You can read it from the chart that last couple of days of moves were backed by low volume.
It is rather looking like a short covering. Going forward Volume profile suggest stiff resistance at (18080 -18120) levels.
Caution is advised and it is better not to chase the present up move.
You can see that price is now at 0.618 levels and could face some resistance look for a pullback to 0.786 which is at 17800. A base has also been formed there, Which will also offer a good Risk/Reward
NSE:NIFTY Hourly time frame VCP pattern is completed and given a break out above budget day high. As mentioned above the break out is not convincing. Wait for a pull back.
Good Luck
Morning Mantra - 16th February 2023Dear All,
Finally we got to witness a beautiful breakout in Nifty, yesterday.
Wherein, just as we have been repeatedly stating the level of 17800, similarly Nifty has shown us a beautiful and an expected bounce back therefrom.
Furthermore, we are now very near to the level of 18170. Provided we keep witnessing a strong and a consistent closing of above 17800 throughout this week.
Also, as per the current circumstances, we can see our support level of 17320 to be shifting to 17800 very soon.
Above 18170, 18400 will be our next target.
In the meanwhile, continue staying stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 15th February 2023Dear All,
Fortunately after yesterday’s trading session, we have once again witnessed a positive closing of 17929.85 from Nifty.
Wherein, notably the index had taken a very beautiful support from our crucial stated level of 17800, yesterday.
The same stated level of 17800, which is repeatedly playing a very significant role as a Resistance and a Support for quite some time now. Thereby, proving our notion to be absolutely on point, i.e.,
Resistance = Support = Resistance
However, for now, we are still with our words that we need to witness a stable and a consistent closing of above 17800 for at least a week. As it is only then, that we may get a clear confirmation from Nifty regarding its decision to move towards the upper Resistance levels of 18170 and 18400.
Besides, as per the current market momentum, the support level of 17320 now seems to be shifting to 17800.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 8th February, 2023Dear All,
Just as we had stated yesterday, similarly we did witness some selling pressure in the Market yesterday itself.
Wherein, once again even after making a high of 17811.15 in the initial Market hours yesterday, Nifty failed to sustain above its stated Resistance level of 17800 and ultimately gave a closing of 17721.50
Therefore, we can observe the importance of the 17800 level. Just as strong as it was as a level of support earlier, similarly it is now proving to be a strong level of Resistance for the Market.
Besides, with the support level of 17320 we are still hopeful.
Moreover, this may be due to the Results season and post budget effect that Nifty seems to be confused once again. So, having a little patience will be beneficial for now. Until the time Nifty decides its direction towards either a breakdown of 17320 level or a cross over of above 17800.
So, in the meantime, continue being stock specific.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 6th February 2023 Dear All,
Finally we got to witness a beautiful week.
Moreover, just as we had stated earlier that support = resistance and resistance = support, similarly, the level of 17800 which was earlier a Support is now a level of Resistance for the Market, which was beautifully achieved by Nifty on last Friday.
As of now, on a weekly basis we can observe a Piercing Pattern on the chart, at around our stated level of 17320, which was altogether a good indicator.
Furthermore, for this week the level of 18170 will work as a strong Resistance for the Market once again. Above which, we can witness the level of 18400 in the near term, with the support of 17320.
Also, continue being stock specific as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
NIFTY 50 - Sell on RiseThis week started with a gap down opening at 17541 vs Friday close at 17604.
Made low at 17405, though did not sustain at lows, moved up and closed near the day's high at 17648.
The previous support that nifty broke on Friday is going to act as immediate resistance
Currently, nifty50 looks like sell on the rise
Notice price action in the resistance zone and any weak price action would be an opportunity to create short trades.
Trade at your own risk
Nifty 50 for 22 December 2022#nifty50
1. Daily Chart
Opens with a slight gap
Did not sustain
Closed near day's low
Formed Bear Candle
Expectation for tomorrow
Gap down or flat opening
Sell on rise
Resistance @ 18400-18420
2. Hourly Chart
LL, LH structure.
Immediate resistance 18260 - 18300.
Sell on Rise
If we see a pull in the initial hour, watch for a sell signal near resistance.
There is a possibility that we might not see a pullback tomorrow,
NIFTY FOR TOMMOROW -14 Nov 22 - 18 Nov 22Weekly Chart
Nifty opened this week with a Slight gap @ 18211 vs the previous week's close @ 18157.
During the week it slides lower only to take support at positional levels @ 178950, and bounces from there to close near the week's high.
Week's Candle: Indecisive candle( Hanging man types)
Next week's opening Probability: Gap up or gap down
Volatility: indecisive candles near high suggesting increased volatility.
Positional Support @ 17850- 17950
View: Positive - as long index trades above 17850.
Daily Chart
Nifty 50 opened with a gap of approx 285 points, that's a huge opening controlled by the bulls.
Since Opening prices sustained the gap and moved slowly to the upside and closed near the day's High. i. e 18349.70
Current levels:18350
Immediate support @ 18160-18200
Immediate Resistance @ 18550
View: Buy on a dip near support levels.
NIFTY 50 for tomorrow - 11 November 2022Nifty opened with a gap on the downside @ 18044 vs the previous close @ 18157.
Since nifty opened below the support area, there were high chances that it going to test the next support @ 17950-17850 and it did.
Now tomorrow's opening can mostly gap up or gap down.
Immediate resistance @18056- 18035
Support @ 17950-17850 (Positional support Breaking this level, the index could slip further and faster.)
I will Buy only above 18060
I will Sell around 18056- 18035, on observing weak candles with strict Sl
Volatility will remain High.
NIFTY 50 for tomorrow -04 November 2022Nifty Opens Gap down
Took support around 17950 levels.
Closed near Day's high
What's for tomorrow
The range for tomorrow: is 17950 - 18180
Immediate support 17950- 17940, likely hold the price for a while.
Immediate Resistance 18050 - 18070
Above 18100, it could move towards yesterday's high i.e 18160-18180
NIFTY 50 for tomorrow - 21 October 2022Nifty opens the gap down below the support of 17500 and moved all the way to 17421-17400 to find the support.
It formed a bullish candle at the support indicating strength in the index and moved all the way to 17600 levels.
For tomorrow if it opens gap up above 17600, it might move towards 17700-17720.
Though if it opens flat or gaps down, it might test 17400 again.
So the nifty does look sideways
upper range: 17600
lower-range 17400
For me buy on dips near support levels
NIFTY FOR TOMMOROW - 28 June 2022Nifty opened gap up.
Did not sustain the move and closed near its low.
Though it managed to open above the support turned resistance zone i.e 15600-15800 and also managed to close above this zone.
Now for tomorrow, how the market would open would decide the trend for the rest of the day.
Gap down opening- could take nifty towards 15600 levels.
Flat opening - the market might test today's high.
Gap up the opening - the market may trade choppy.