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NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 16-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty 16-Dec-2024 Intro: Yesterday's Plan vs Actual The chart uploaded for 15-Dec-2024 accurately depicted the market's movement. As anticipated, Nifty faced sharp recovery from mentioned zone after a sharp decline in prices. Monday’s plan builds on these insights, focusing on opening scenarios and trading strategies. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,781) If Nifty opens significantly higher, near or above 25,053 : Expect resistance around 25,053 (marked red on the chart). Observe for rejection signals such as bearish candles or reduced buying momentum. Plan of Action: For aggressive traders: Initiate a short position with a target of 24,767 , placing a stop-loss above 25,100 on an hourly candle close basis. For conservative traders: Wait for a pullback toward the consolidation zone ( 24,653 - 24,767 ) for potential long positions, targeting a retest of 25,053 . Watch out for a decisive breakout above 25,053 , which can trigger further bullish momentum toward 25,335 . Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 24,781) If Nifty opens near the previous close: The consolidation zone ( 24,653 - 24,767 ) will act as a critical area. Plan of Action: Initiate long positions if Nifty sustains above 24,767 with targets of 25,053 . Place stop-loss below 24,653 . If Nifty slips below 24,653 , short positions can be considered with a target of 24,542 . Ensure a tight stop-loss above 24,653 . Pay attention to the price action in the yellow trend zone, as sideways movement could lead to traps. Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 24,781) If Nifty opens near 24,542 or lower: 24,542 is the opening support level (marked green on the chart). Observe for sharp recovery signs like bullish engulfing candles. Plan of Action: For bulls: Look for a recovery from 24,542 to target 24,653 with a stop-loss below 24,500 . If 24,542 breaks decisively, expect bearish momentum toward 24,217 . In this case, initiate shorts with a target of 24,217 and stop-loss above 24,542 . Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Avoid taking positions during the first 15-30 minutes of market opening to avoid false moves. For intraday options trading, use at-the-money or slightly in-the-money options to minimize time decay impact. Set a fixed risk percentage (e.g., 2-3% of your capital) per trade. Stick to it strictly. Avoid holding positions beyond your planned targets. Use trailing stop-losses to lock in profits during trending moves. Summary and Conclusion The key zones to watch today are: Support: 24,542 , 24,653 . Resistance: 25,053 , 25,335 . Green trend indicates bullish potential, yellow for sideways movement, and red for bearish scenarios. Adapt to price action at critical levels and prioritize proper risk management. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult with their financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 13-Dec-2024Introduction In the previous day's plan, we analyzed the Nifty 50 Index and identified key support and resistance levels. The chart highlighted a sideways trend in the yellow zone, a bullish trend in the green zone, and a bearish trend in the red zone. The actual price movement today followed the anticipated path, consolidating within the highlighted zones and providing opportunities for both long and short trades. Trading Plan for 13-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens with a gap up above 24,711.00, it is crucial to watch for a retest of the last and important resistance for intraday at 24,735.00. If the price sustains above this level, initiate long positions targeting 24,940.00. Place a stop loss just below 24,711.00 to manage risk. If the price fails to sustain above 24,735.00 and shows signs of reversal, consider short positions targeting the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00. Monitor the price action closely and adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor. Flat Opening If Nifty opens flat around 24,539.50, observe the price action within the highlighted yellow zone. A breakout and sustained movement above this range can pave the way for Nifty to target levels of 24,711.00 and 24,735.00. Initiate long positions if the price breaks above the yellow zone with a stop loss just below the breakout level. If the price remains within the yellow zone, avoid taking new positions and wait for a clear breakout or breakdown. In case of a breakdown below the yellow zone, consider short positions targeting the support zone at 24,484.00. Gap Down Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens with a gap down below 24,450.00, it is essential to watch for a retest of the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00. If the price fails to reclaim this level and shows signs of further weakness, initiate short positions targeting the extended zone for Wave C correction at 24,354.00. Place a stop loss just above 24,484.00 to manage risk. If the price sustains above 24,484.00 after a gap down, consider long positions targeting the yellow zone and monitor for a potential reversal. Adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging and trade within your risk tolerance. Diversify your trades to spread risk across different positions. Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions. Summary and Conclusion In summary, the trading plan for 13-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key support and resistance levels based on the opening scenario. For a gap-up opening, focus on sustaining above 24,735.00 for long positions. For a flat opening, watch for a breakout from the yellow zone. For a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,484.00 level for potential short positions. Implementing proper risk management strategies is crucial for successful options trading. Disclaimer I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty50 Important levels and analysis - 12 Dec 2024After a 10-11% correction the Nifty50 found support at 23250 on 21 Nov 2024 which now acts as a stop-loss for Long term investors. It broke the sloping trend-line on 25 Nov 2024 with a gap-up open, finding resistance at 23350 retraced to 23850 and then made a strong up move, this formation is a ideal setup for Swing Traders, who might have taken a trade at 24350 with a stop-loss at 23850. Next smaller resistance was at 24540 which it broke convincingly on 5th Dec 2024. But over this past one week, that strong move from 23250 has fizzled a little, which until yesterday was alright but today's 12 Dec 2024 bearish candle indicator re-tracement back to 24350. Even though the market is in Rally mode, Level 24753 needs to be broken convincingly for this trend to continue. But it may take some effort as this level (24750) was the base level of the head and shoulder pattern that had formed over Sept-Oct. I am expecting sideways moves in the near term, in the range of 24350 to 24750, but will turn bearish if 24350 support is broken. And bullish only if 24750 is broken with good volumes Disclaimer: This is purely educational and part of my learning, I cannot provide any recommendations, just my educated analysis based on my experience, please consult a financial/investment advisor (which i am not) for any investment/trades.
NSE:NIFTY
by Mukadam
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 12-Dec-2024NIFTY Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024 Intro: Review of 11-Dec-2024 Plan vs Actual The trading plan for 11-Dec-2024 outlined key levels such as the Bullish Order Block (24,655–24,607) and the Liquidity Zone (24,820). As predicted, the market respected the "No Trade Zone" initially, followed by consolidation in the Liquidity Zone. The sideways movement highlighted by the yellow trend prevailed, with no significant breakout or breakdown occurring during the session. The Profit Booking Zone at 25,053 remained untouched. This demonstrates the importance of waiting for clear confirmation before executing trades. Today's updated chart builds upon these levels and provides actionable insights for 12-Dec-2024 based on anticipated price movements. Opening Scenarios and Plan for 12-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,652): If the market opens above 24,750: Resistance Zone: Immediate resistance remains at 24,820 (Liquidity Zone). Price could either consolidate here or witness selling pressure. Monitor price action for clear breakout signals. Action Plan: Avoid long entries near the Liquidity Zone unless a breakout above 24,940 is confirmed. Short positions can be initiated on rejection from 24,820, targeting 24,652. Alternate Scenario: Sustained movement above 24,940 indicates bullish momentum, with targets at the Profit Booking Zone (25,053). Yellow trend highlights a cautionary approach in consolidation zones. Flat Opening (Near 24,629–24,652): If the market opens flat: No Trade Zone: Expect price to oscillate within 24,629–24,652, indicating indecisiveness. Avoid trading in this range. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 24,652 with a retest offers long opportunities, targeting the Liquidity Zone at 24,820. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 24,541.65 suggests bearish momentum, with potential shorts targeting Buyer’s Strong Support at 24,374–24,338. Yellow trend signals limited movement; wait for breakouts for better trades. Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,541.65): If the market opens below 24,450: Support Zone: The critical support lies at 24,374–24,338, aligning with Buyer’s Strong Support near the CHoCH level. Action Plan: Look for reversal signs near the support zone to initiate long trades with a tight stop loss below 24,300, aiming for 24,541.65. Alternate Scenario: If this support fails, avoid aggressive longs and wait for stabilization before entering. Red trend suggests bearish momentum; trade cautiously. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading Use predefined stop losses to cap potential losses. For example, place stops below 24,541 for bullish trades and below 24,300 for reversal trades. Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes to allow for market direction to emerge. For option buyers, select ATM or slightly ITM options to reduce the impact of time decay. Maintain a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio to ensure consistent profitability. Position sizing should align with your risk tolerance to handle volatile price swings. Summary and Conclusion The NIFTY index remains in a consolidation phase with critical levels identified for bullish and bearish scenarios. Liquidity Zone (24,820) and Buyer’s Support (24,374–24,338) are key areas to monitor for actionable trades. Avoid trading in indecisive zones and wait for clear breakouts or breakdowns. Effective risk management remains crucial, especially in volatile markets. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 11-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty on 11-Dec-2024 Intro for the Previous Day's Chart Pattern : On 10-Dec-2024, Nifty exhibited a mixed trend with a sharp shift in demand zones. The chart revealed a significant buyer's support near the CHoCH (Change of Character) level, with a consolidation phase observed in the "No Trade Zone." The yellow trend marked sideways action, while green and red trends indicated bullish and bearish movements, respectively. The index also faced resistance in the liquidity zone, signaling profit-booking scenarios. Trading Plan for 11-Dec-2024 : Gap-Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,620): A gap-up opening above 24,720 would position the index near the liquidity zone. Traders should: Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe price stability. If Nifty sustains above 24,780 (liquidity zone), initiate long trades targeting 24,891 (Resistance/Profit Booking Zone). Place a stop loss below 24,652 (Opening Resistance/Support Zone) on a closing basis. If prices face rejection near 24,820 , wait for a bearish hourly candle to confirm a downside move towards 24,680 . Avoid aggressive buying in the resistance zone. Flat Opening (near 24,620): A flat opening suggests indecision. Plan of action: Let the market settle for 15-30 minutes within the "No Trade Zone." Breakout above 24,652 can lead to bullish momentum, targeting 24,780 and higher. Breakdown below 24,541 could initiate bearish moves targeting 24,374 and 24,338 . Risk management is crucial here; tight stop losses are essential to avoid unnecessary losses. Gap-Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,620): A gap-down opening near 24,500-24,480 will likely test the buyer's strong support zone around 24,374 . Actions to consider: If Nifty holds above 24,374 , initiate long trades for a reversal, targeting 24,541 (Opening Support Zone). If the index breaches 24,338 , prepare for further downside with targets at 24,280 . Wait for clear rejection or reversal patterns to confirm your entries. Avoid panic-selling in bearish moves. Tips for Options Trading Risk Management: Trade with defined stop losses and avoid holding positions beyond your risk appetite. Use "ATM" (At-The-Money) options for quicker returns in trending markets. For sideways trends, prefer strategies like straddle or strangle. Avoid over-leveraging, and never risk more than 2-3% of your trading capital on a single trade. Summary and Conclusion: Nifty's movement on 11-Dec-2024 will hinge on its ability to sustain critical zones like 24,652 and 24,374 . While green trends indicate bullish potential, red trends signal caution for bearish moves. Adhering to risk management principles and waiting for clear price action confirmation will enhance your trade quality and reduce unnecessary losses. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is based on personal research and is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
1
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 10th DecemberNifty opened with gap-down near our buy level 24640 but gave a sharp bounce towards 24705 and then started falling. Nifty broke our sell level 24640 and hit 1st target on sell side at 24590. After that it was trading in a range. For tomorrow, we will look for the sell opportunity either from 24700 - 24690 or if breaks 24580 for the targets of 24530 and below marked level on the chart. Expectations: Trending day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - Sell on rise Sell Below - 24580 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTYShort
by InvestPro_India
1
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 10-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty 50 – 10-Dec-2024 Intro: On the previous trading day, Nifty witnessed a mix of consolidation and momentum shifts. The Liquidity Zone around 24,767 acted as a crucial resistance level, while support near 24,541.65 helped stabilize the index. The chart shows a No Trade Zone between 24,626.60 and 24,652.35, indicating indecisiveness. A clear trend above or below this range will dictate the next move. Yellow signifies sideways movement, green shows bullish potential, and red highlights bearish breakdowns. Opening Scenarios: Gap-Up Opening (+100 Points): If Nifty opens near 24,767 or higher, it will test the Opening Resistance . This level aligns with the Liquidity Zone observed previously. Action Plan: A breakout above 24,767 could push the index toward the Profit Booking Zone at 25,053. Enter long positions only if the first 15-minute candle closes above 24,767, with a stop loss at 24,652.35. If rejection occurs at 24,767, expect a pullback toward 24,652.35. Short positions can be considered below 24,767, targeting the No Trade Zone. Risk Management Tip: Avoid aggressive positions at key resistance zones. Use limited-risk strategies like debit spreads to manage exposure. Flat Opening: If Nifty opens near 24,652.35, it enters the No Trade Zone . This is a neutral region, and waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown is recommended. Action Plan: A breakout above 24,652.35 can lead to a bullish move toward 24,767. Initiate long positions with tight stop losses at 24,541.65. A breakdown below 24,626.60 could trigger bearish momentum, targeting 24,541.65. Consider short trades in this scenario, with stop losses at 24,652.35. Risk Management Tip: Avoid overtrading in consolidation zones. Use trailing stop losses to secure profits during volatile phases. Gap-Down Opening (-100 Points or More): If Nifty opens near 24,541.65 or lower, it will test the Opening Support or even the Buyer's Strong Support near 24,338. Action Plan: Watch for a bullish reversal near 24,338. If the price sustains above this level, initiate long positions targeting 24,541.65. Use 24,300 as a stop loss. A breakdown below 24,338 could lead to a bearish continuation toward 24,200. Short positions can be initiated in such cases, with stop losses above 24,338. Risk Management Tip: In gap-down scenarios, prioritize hedged strategies like iron condors to mitigate large swings. Summary & Conclusion: Resistance Levels: 24,767 , 25,053 Support Levels: 24,541.65 , 24,338 , 24,200 A breakout or breakdown from the No Trade Zone will set the directional bias for the day. Traders should remain cautious and avoid emotional trading. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor or conduct independent research before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 9th DecemberNifty opened flat as because of RBI Policy we saw some volatility in first hour but then Nifty traded in a small range whole day and it was more of a options sellers day. For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 24755 you can consider buying for 27800 and above marked level. On the other side, if Nifty sustains below 24640 you can consider taking a sell trade for the target of 24590 and below marked level on the chart. Expectations: Volatile movement. Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 24755 Sell Below - 24640 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestPro_India
1
Riding the Correction: Unlocking NIFTY’s Next Chapter!Dear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. The recent upward movement & the following correction in the market have unfolded as anticipated. Over the past two months, my analysis has consistently pointed to an expected correction due to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns. Technical Analysis Overview: There are three potential scenarios for the ongoing trend, ranked based on their likelihood of occurring. Scenario I: The move initiated from 20 MAR’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (16,828.35 – 26277.35) has spanned over 80 weeks (18M) and indicates a significant completion of wave patterns, suggesting an imminent correction. See the visual representation of the trend lines and corresponding fib retracement levels here: The correlation between static supports can be observed around 23,893.70 and 21,181.45. This correction is expected to be visible within a 3-month timeframe. Potential support levels include S – I: 24,893 ~ 24,753 ~ 24,430 levels, S – II: 24,050 ~24,000 levels and S – III: 23,683 levels. *These values are not actual but just levels The correction might extend to deeper levels (22,664 & 21,550) as the market progresses. Time resistances are anticipated on 09th OCT, 17th OCT, and 30th OCT for all probable scenarios. --------------- Scenario II: The move from 26 OCT’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (18,837.85 – 26,277.35) has completed mid-way and is expected to continue after this correction, potentially reaching unprecedented levels. Find the visual representation of this move with trend lines & fib retracements here: The range of this move is limited to the monthly timeframe, indicating the completion of 1 year from the start of this sub-trend. Potential support levels include, S – I: 24,525 ~ 24,378 levels, S – II: 23,900 ~ 23,893.70 levels and S – III: 23,450 levels. --------------- Scenario III: The move from 04 JUN’24 – 27 SEPT’24 (21,121.45 – 26,277.35) has almost completed its half journey and is facing a correction before extending its uptrend by a few more waves. While this scenario has the lowest probability compared to the others, it is essential to consider its potential impact on the current trend. The pictorial representation can be seen here: Further details are not added as the market actions till now does not validate this probability. --------------- Other Influential Factors: Geo-political tensions and concerns regarding escalation have historically preceded corrections prior to the US presidential elections, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment. Tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the market plunge, albeit not solely responsible for it. Additionally, the FED's likely rate cuts have been influenced by the upcoming US elections, and SEBI's regulatory actions aim to curb over-optimism and maintain market neutrality. Important Dates to Remember: Mark your calendars for OCT 9th (RBI interest rate decision @ 10AM) and OCT 10th (US inflation reports). --------------- Final Verdict: While the scenarios are meticulously laid out, the selection of the valid scenario remains a work in progress. We are eagerly awaiting further cues from the market and will provide updates as they unfold. However, one thing remains certain – the current trend has reversed (at least for the mentioned time frames). Therefore, adopting a bearish stance could prove to be profitable. --------------- Strategy: Considering the current market conditions, adopting a bearish stance seems prudent, especially levels around 24,450 ~ 24,000 are to be tested. Keep a close watch on the market and stay informed for potential opportunities. Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Fellow Traders, Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be made via this post, new post & through minds) . Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article, Your readership is greatly appreciated. Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan