Get started

Niftyoutlook

NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 28-Nov-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 28th November 2024 Introduction: On 27th November 2024, Nifty remained range-bound within the Opening Support / No Trade Zone (24,225–24,277), marked by the Yellow Trend, indicating indecision. Attempts to breach the "Opening Resistance Zone" near 24,379 were met with rejection, suggesting the need for stronger momentum to push prices higher. The Last Intraday Support (24,175) held well, showing signs of bullish activity, while the zone 24,096–24,062 acted as a critical reversal area for deeper corrections. The chart also highlights Green Zones for bullish trends and Red Zones for bearish momentum. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Close): If Nifty opens between 24,379–24,449, the focus should be on price action around the Opening Resistance / Consolidation Zone. A breakout above 24,449 could push Nifty towards the Last Intraday Resistance (24,603), which serves as a key Profit Booking Zone. Rejection near 24,449 can result in a pullback to 24,379. A failure to hold this level could bring prices back to the "Opening Support Zone" (24,277–24,225). If Nifty opens directly above 24,449, avoid immediate longs. Wait for retests or pullbacks to 24,449 or 24,379 before entering fresh positions. Risk Management Tip: Use call spreads (e.g., 24,400 CE - 24,500 CE) to hedge risks and reduce premium exposure. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close at 24,277): A flat opening near 24,277 requires patience. Avoid trades within the "No Trade Zone" (24,225–24,277) to prevent getting trapped in sideways movements. A sustained move above 24,277 can trigger long opportunities targeting 24,379 and 24,449. A breakout above 24,449 can lead to a bullish extension towards 24,603. On the downside, if Nifty breaks below 24,225, short trades can be considered, targeting 24,175 and 24,096, provided there is an hourly close below these levels. Risk Management Tip: Deploy straddles or strangles to benefit from potential volatility after a flat opening. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Close): A gap-down opening between 24,175–24,096 requires careful observation for bullish reversal patterns. A strong bounce from the Green Zone (24,096–24,062) can lead to a recovery targeting 24,225 and 24,277. A breakdown below 24,062 could accelerate selling pressure towards 23,950, opening opportunities for put options or short trades. Avoid chasing shorts near 24,096 unless there is decisive volume confirming bearish momentum. Risk Management Tip: Use put spreads (e.g., 24,100 PE - 24,000 PE) to control risk and leverage potential downside moves. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading: Avoid overleveraging in options trading, especially during volatile market conditions. Use defined stop losses based on hourly candle closures to minimize losses. Deploy hedging strategies (like spreads) to manage risk and reduce time decay. Gradually scale into positions to confirm market direction before committing full capital. Avoid trading against strong momentum; wait for confirmed levels to act. Summary and Conclusion: For 28th November 2024, the following levels are critical: Bullish Trend: Sustained move above 24,277, with targets at 24,379, 24,449, and 24,603. Bearish Trend: Breakdown below 24,225, with targets at 24,175, 24,096, and potentially lower. Respect the "No Trade Zone" (24,225–24,277) to avoid false breakouts or choppy movements. Patience and disciplined execution of the plan will help navigate the market confidently. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 27-Nov-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 27th November 2024 Introduction: On 26th November 2024, Nifty traded within a defined range, with price movements largely respecting key levels. The chart revealed a consolidation phase highlighted by the "No Trade Zone" (Yellow Trend) around 24,238–24,303, indicating indecision among market participants. Bullish momentum (Green Trend) was observed above 24,459, while bearish pressure (Red Trend) dominated below 24,109. The market continues to exhibit structural clarity, with specific levels marking key support and resistance zones. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Close): If Nifty opens above 24,303 but below 24,459, wait for price action confirmation. A breakout above 24,459 with an hourly candle close suggests bullish momentum towards the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,603, where profit booking is advisable. If Nifty opens directly near or above 24,459, avoid immediate entry. Wait for retracement near 24,303–24,459 for a better risk-reward setup. Monitor bearish rejection candles near 24,459, as this could signal a reversal towards the "No Trade Zone." Risk Management Tip: For options, consider buying 24,600 CE with strict stop loss based on the hourly close below 24,303. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close at 24,192): If the market opens flat, avoid trading immediately within the No Trade Zone (24,238–24,303). Allow the price to break out or break down from this range. A breakout above 24,303 targets 24,459, while a breakdown below 24,238 may lead to bearish momentum toward 24,109. Monitor price reaction around 24,109 (Best Buy Zone), where retracement buyers might step in for a potential reversal. Risk Management Tip: Utilize strategies like selling Iron Condors to capitalize on the consolidation phase while staying protected. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Close): If Nifty opens below 24,109, watch for support around 24,025–24,002. This zone represents the Last Support and is ideal for reversal trades if bullish price action appears. Avoid chasing shorts immediately after a gap-down. A pullback towards 24,109 could offer safer entry points for bearish trades. Below 24,002, bearish momentum strengthens, and traders can target 23,900 with appropriate position sizing. Risk Management Tip: For bearish plays, consider buying 24,000 PE with a stop loss above 24,109. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading: Avoid over-leveraging; use position sizing strategies to manage risk effectively. Trade liquid contracts to minimize slippage. Use hedging strategies like spreads to limit maximum losses. Exit positions early if the market invalidates your levels, rather than holding onto losing trades. Always base your entries on confirmations such as candlestick patterns, volume, or hourly close signals. Summary and Conclusion: For 27th November 2024, the chart suggests a clear game plan with pivotal levels to watch: Bullish above 24,303, targeting 24,459 and 24,603. Bearish below 24,109, targeting 24,025 and 24,002. Avoid trading within the "No Trade Zone" (24,238–24,303) unless a decisive breakout occurs. By adhering to the plan and practicing disciplined risk management, traders can navigate Nifty's movements effectively. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trades.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Father Line not allowing Nifty but gap up support holding.Father line of 200 Hours EMA at 24212 has not yet allowed Nifty to fly freely up and above. today again like yesterday we got a closing below at 24194. Overall it was a flat day with positive movements mainly in IT, FMCG, media and Small Cap index. Once we get a closing above 24212 the next resistance will be at 24360, 24530, 24673 and 24893. After closing above 24893 Nifty has a chance to be in proper Bullish grip. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 24135, 23948 and 23912 (Major Mother line Support of 50 Hours EMA). Below 23912 bears can drag Nifty to 23616, 23362 and finally 23250. Below 23250 Nifty can have a free fall into strong bearish territory. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 26-Nov-2024Trading Plan for NIFTY - 26th November 2024 Previous Day's Chart Analysis: NIFTY showed a volatile movement after hitting day high at 25351, and closed near resistance zone that I had already highlighted in yesterdays plan. (highlighted in Yellow ) within the "No Trade Zone," respecting the resistance at 24,432 and support near 24,243 . Bullish momentum ( Green ) was seen towards the upper resistance zones, while bearish ( Red ) price action retraced near the support zones. The key levels of 24,609 (Profit Booking Zone) and 24,041 (Best Buy Zone at Retracement) acted as crucial points for traders. Trading Plan for 26th November 2024: Gap-Up Opening (Above 24,432): If NIFTY opens with a Gap-Up above the critical resistance of 24,432 , it is crucial to observe the price behavior near 24,609 . A sustained breakout above 24,609 indicates bullish continuation, targeting higher levels. However, if rejection is observed near 24,609 , a pullback towards 24,432 is likely, which could act as support. Wait for a retest before entering long positions. Flat Opening (Near 24,250): A flat opening within the "No Trade Zone" requires patience. A breakout above 24,325 (upper range of the zone) signals bullish momentum, with targets of 24,432 and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below 24,243 could lead to bearish moves targeting 24,105.95 and 24,041 . Avoid trading within the zone to minimize false signals. Gap-Down Opening (Below 24,243): A Gap-Down opening below 24,243 will turn the focus to key support levels. If prices stabilize near 24,105.95 or 24,064.15 , look for signs of recovery to enter long trades. Failure to hold these supports could trigger further bearish moves towards 23,899 . Aggressive traders can short with tight stop losses. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid aggressive positions during the first 30 minutes of opening to let the trend settle. Use strict stop losses and avoid over-leveraging. Monitor the option's premium decay and implied volatility if the price remains within the "No Trade Zone." Diversify between directional and non-directional strategies depending on market conditions. Summary & Conclusion: The key to successful trading lies in patience and discipline. Focus on the levels discussed ( 24,609 , 24,432 , 24,041 ) for directional trades, and avoid trading within the "No Trade Zone" ( 24,325–24,243 ) to prevent unnecessary risks. Both bullish ( Green ) and bearish ( Red ) scenarios offer opportunities, provided traders respect the levels and manage their risks effectively. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels for 25-Nov-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 25-Nov-2024 Introduction: In the previous session, Nifty displayed a recovery after testing lower support levels mentioned in plan and closed near day high, with buyers stepping in near the retracement zone ( Green ). The index faced resistance in the 23,873–23,920 range ( Yellow ), leading to sideways movement. For today, the market behavior will depend on how Nifty reacts to key levels, with breakout potential to 24,261 or breakdown risks toward 23,411 . Trading Scenarios for 25-Nov-2024: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens above 23,920 , the focus will be on the immediate resistance level at 24,261 : A breakout above 24,261 could lead to a strong bullish trend, with potential targets at 24,350 and beyond. Look for price consolidation above 24,261 before entering long trades. Failure to sustain above 24,261 may result in a pullback toward 23,873 , offering a short-term reversal opportunity. Wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering trades to avoid whipsaws. Flat Opening: A flat opening near 23,873 will bring the "Opening Support / Resistance Zone" ( 23,845–23,920 ) into focus: A bullish breakout above 23,920 could target 24,261 as the next resistance. A bearish breakdown below 23,845 may trigger selling pressure toward 23,759 or 23,684 . Avoid trading within the range ( 23,845–23,920 ) until the trend direction becomes clear. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens below 23,759 , the immediate support lies at 23,684 , followed by 23,605 : A breakdown below 23,605 may lead to accelerated selling, targeting 23,411 . Monitor volume and price action for confirmation. A bounce from 23,684 or 23,605 could indicate a recovery, with potential upside back to 23,759 and 23,845 . Be cautious, as a gap-down opening may lead to heightened volatility. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Use strike prices close to the spot price for better liquidity and responsiveness. Implement strict stop-losses based on support and resistance zones. Avoid trading during the initial 15-30 minutes after market opening, as volatility may produce false signals. Limit your position size to manage risk effectively during uncertain market conditions. Summary and Conclusion: Nifty is at a critical juncture with key levels at 23,920 and 23,845 acting as immediate resistance and support. A breakout above 23,920 could drive bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 23,845 may lead to bearish continuation. Follow the trading plan and avoid impulsive trades. Always prioritize risk management to safeguard capital. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The analysis shared is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
#Nifty50 analysis for the upcoming week 25-29th Nov 2024Nifty Rallies, but Caution Prevails The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 23,907, a robust 375 points higher than the previous week's close. It touched a high of 23,956 and a low of 23,263, staying within the predicted range of 24,000-23,100. A bullish hammer candle formation on the weekly chart, supported by the 50-Week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA), indicates potential upside momentum. However, the elevated India VIX suggests market volatility may persist. For the upcoming week, the Nifty is expected to trade between 24,500 and 23,300 . A breach of these levels could trigger significant price movements. The 23,263 level now acts as a crucial support zone. The BJP's victory in Maharashtra is likely to provide a positive start to the next week, but the extent of its impact remains uncertain. Global Markets Outlook The S&P 500 index closed at 5,969, up approximately 100 points from the previous week. Despite reaching a high of 5,972, it failed to breach the crucial Fibonacci level of 6,013. A decisive close above this level could open the door to further gains, targeting 6,142, 6,225, and 6,376. This positive sentiment could spill over to global markets, including India. Until then, the absence of negative news in the US market can be viewed as a bullish indicator.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11
Learn Mother, Father and small child theory and Parallel channelThis is an educational video explaining medium to long term analysis of Nifty for educational purpose through my Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I am also trying to explain what happens in the long run, also you will find insights of how to use and draw a parallel channel. I have also done an analysis of Nifty supports and resistances in the medium to long term. We are also trying to understand what can be the channel top in the long run. We are also trying to see how RSI works in brief. The attempt is to explain a lot of stuff in simple jargon free language in roughly 16 minute video so that you get lot of education. It is going to be a power packed 16 minutes once you watch it. Do not forget to like/ boost our video and subscribe our channel. To learn Mother, Father and small child theory to the deeper extent and to learn about RSI do read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google playbook in E-version. Disclaimer: Purpose of the video is for education. Do not treat this as a buy or sell call on Nifty. I am just trying to teach / throw light on Mother, Father and small child theory in brief along with the use of parallel channel. Hindi and English both languages are used in the video for wider audience to understand the same.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
7
NIFTY : Trading Levels for 22-11-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 22-Nov-2024 Introduction: In the previous session, With a Opening Drop in Nifty displayed a consolidation pattern near the support zone with a lack of strong follow-through on either side. The index closed near 23,346.75, hinting at indecision among traders. Key levels have been identified for today's trading, with distinct zones marked: Yellow for sideways movements, Green for bullish trends, and Red for bearish trends. Trading Scenarios for 22-Nov-2024: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens above 23,414 , it will likely face resistance near 23,522 . Look for price action in this zone: If rejection occurs at 23,522 , a retracement towards the 23,414 level is possible, offering a shorting opportunity. If an hourly candle sustains above 23,522 , it can target the next resistance at 23,669 . Wait for clear breakouts or rejections before entering trades. Avoid chasing prices in a strong gap-up scenario to minimize risk. Flat Opening: In case of a flat opening near 23,346 , monitor the immediate support at 23,295 : A breakdown below 23,295 can lead to a bearish move towards 23,231 . If Nifty holds the 23,346 level and moves above 23,414 , a bullish momentum toward 23,522 is likely. Trade cautiously in the flat opening zone, as the initial price action might remain range-bound. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens below 23,231 , the 23,120 support zone will be crucial: A breach of 23,120 could trigger a sharp sell-off towards 22,986 . If prices reverse from the 23,120 level, expect a recovery rally back to 23,231 or 23,295 . Watch for rejection or reversal candlestick patterns at these levels before entering trades. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes of market opening to let volatility settle. Use defined stop losses based on hourly candle closings. Focus on at-the-money options for higher liquidity and better premiums. Limit your risk to 1-2% of your total trading capital per trade. Summary and Conclusion: The market's direction today hinges on how it reacts to key levels around 23,414 (resistance) and 23,295 (support). Keep an eye on broader trends and ensure to wait for confirmation signals before initiating trades. Practice strict risk management to safeguard against market volatility. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 21-Nov-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 21-Nov-2024 Intro: On 20-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a volatile session, with the index struggling to sustain above 23,712 , the last intraday resistance. A yellow-shaded "No Trade Zone" highlighted indecisive price action between 23,561 and 23,622 . The index tested support near 23,296 , which aligns with an SMC entry zone and buyer’s support after a liquidity sweep. The green trend depicted potential bullish moves, while the red trend reflected bearish reversals, helping traders prepare for possible outcomes in the upcoming session. Trading Plan for 21-Nov-2024: Gap Up Opening (100+ points above 23,561): If Nifty opens above 23,622 , monitor for a breakout above 23,712 . Sustained movement here could target the Profit Booking Zone (23,815–23,860) . Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to gauge market direction. Failure to hold above 23,622 might indicate a reversal, pushing the index back into the "No Trade Zone." Flat Opening (Near 23,561): A flat opening within the "No Trade Zone" requires patience. Look for a breakout above 23,622 to go long, targeting 23,712 . A breakdown below 23,468 may trigger bearish momentum toward 23,296 or lower. Avoid entering trades in the yellow-shaded zone to reduce risk from whipsaws. Gap Down Opening (100+ points below 23,468): A gap down below 23,441 may result in bearish momentum towards 23,296 , where buyers could provide support. If 23,296 holds, watch for a pullback toward 23,468 or higher. A breakdown below 23,296 could open doors to deeper bearish moves, targeting 22,964 . Use tight stop-losses for short positions. Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: Use stop-losses based on the hourly candle close to avoid getting trapped by intraday volatility. Avoid trading large positions in the "No Trade Zone"; focus on directional confirmation. For gap openings, consider strategies like spreads to manage premiums and volatility. Limit risk to 1–2% of your capital per trade to safeguard against sudden market moves. Summary and Conclusion: Key levels to watch are 23,712 on the upside and 23,296 on the downside. Trade cautiously within the "No Trade Zone" ( 23,561 – 23,622 ). Let the price action guide your trades, with trends expected to be influenced by intraday volatility. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty 50: Projected Growth Path to 34,500 by 2027 – Key DriversMy projection of Nifty50 reaching 21,500 and then gradually climbing to 34,500 by September 2027 suggests a long-term bullish scenario for the Indian equity market. This type of projection can be influenced by various factors: Key Considerations for the Journey: 1) Economic Growth : India's GDP growth trajectory will play a major role. Sustained economic expansion, driven by infrastructure projects, digital adoption, and manufacturing, could fuel market growth. Global capital inflow into emerging markets like India due to favorable growth prospects might also support this rise. 2) Corporate Earnings : A robust increase in corporate profitability will be critical. If sectors like IT, banking, infrastructure, and energy witness strong earnings growth, it will push the index higher. 3) Institutional Participation : Continued investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide consistent upward momentum. 4) Policy Support : Pro-business government reforms, favorable monetary policy, and stable inflation could act as catalysts. Regulatory support from entities like SEBI ensuring market transparency and investor confidence would bolster market growth. 5) Global Markets and Trade : Stability in global markets, alongside favorable geopolitical conditions, will be important. Trade relations and global commodity prices (e.g., crude oil) might significantly influence this trajectory. Risks to Watch : Geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, or sharp interest rate hikes by central banks could derail this optimistic scenario. Overvaluations might lead to corrections if fundamentals don't keep pace.
NSE:NIFTY1!Long
by ganesanselvaraj
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that. 1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump). 2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version. 3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days. These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action. Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory. Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 19-Nov-2024Trading Plan for 19-Nov-2024 Intro: Previous Day’s Chart Analysis On 18-Nov-2024, the market exhibited a mix of bullish recovery and consolidation. Yellow regions indicated sideways movement, suggesting indecision in the market. Green zones demonstrated bullish recovery attempts, while Red zones highlighted bearish breakdown scenarios. Intraday resistance at 23,725 played a key role in limiting gains, while support at 23,324 helped prevent a deeper sell-off. Gap-Up Opening Scenario (+100 Points or More): If Nifty opens around 23,600–23,700 , look for rejection near the resistance zone at 23,657 . Wait for a confirmation candle before entering short positions, targeting the 23,456 support. If momentum sustains above 23,657 , expect bullish continuation towards 23,725 . Initiate longs after a retest of 23,657 , with a stop loss at 23,600 . Avoid initiating trades if Nifty stays within 23,657–23,725 without a clear breakout or breakdown. Flat Opening Scenario (+/- 50 Points): A flat open near 23,462–23,475 would place the market in the No Trading Zone . Observe price action in this zone to gauge direction. If the index breaks below 23,456 , short with targets at 23,396 and 23,324 , maintaining a stop loss at 23,475 . For bullish setups, a breakout above 23,475 could lead to a move toward 23,657 , with stop losses placed at 23,450 . Gap-Down Opening Scenario (-100 Points or More): If Nifty opens near 23,324–23,350 , monitor for a pullback to 23,396 . Short positions can be initiated on rejection at 23,396 , targeting 23,291 and 23,123 . A strong recovery above 23,396 could indicate bullish reversal potential. Longs can be considered after confirmation, with targets at 23,475 . For aggressive selling, watch for a breach below 23,291 , which may trigger further downside to 23,123 . Use tight stop losses to manage risk. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid chasing trades immediately after the opening bell; let the first 15–30 minutes establish a clear trend. Use stop losses based on hourly candle closes to reduce the impact of market noise. Limit position sizes in volatile zones and avoid holding positions into key economic events. Keep track of implied volatility (IV) levels to assess premium pricing; avoid overpaying for options. Summary and Conclusion: The market's reaction near critical levels such as 23,657 (resistance) and 23,324 (support) will determine the trend for the day. Bullish momentum above 23,657 could target 23,725 , while failure to hold 23,324 may lead to a retest of 23,123 . Follow disciplined trading, and remember that patience and risk management are key to navigating uncertain conditions. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty near Mid channel & 50 Weeks EMA (Mother Line) support. Nifty after closing below the 200 days EMA Father line on daily charts, may find support near 50 weeks EMA (Mother line of Weekly chart). The 50 weeks EMA is at 23233. Before reaching there today's low of 23350 will also be a support. If by chance both these levels are broken the mid channel support for Nifty seems to be at at 22800 zone. Below which the bears have potential to drag Nifty further down to 22500 or even below 22K levels. To know more about Parallel channels and how they work or my Mother Father small child theory you can read my book The Happy candles way to wealth creation. Available in Paperback or E-version on Amazon and Google Play book. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 23658, 24122, 25012 and 25898. Above 25989 Nifty will aim to make a new all time high again as channel top currently seems to be near 27K. RSI is also suggesting that Nifty can make a substantial come back any time now. Bollinger band lower band width has been pierced today both in daily chart as well as weekly chart indicating that market is heavily oversold and short covering can lead to a moderate recovery or substantial recovery sooner than later. The signs of bottom formation are clear unless FIIs begin another round of aggressive selling. The selling by FII has been continuous but seems to have decreased in the last few sessions rising further hopes for recovery. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
In Depth Analysis for Nifty 50 Index (1-Hour Chart)Symbol: Nifty 50 Timeframe: 1-Hour --- Technical Analysis: The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23,559.60, moving within a well-defined downward-sloping channel. The price is nearing a crucial support zone (23,480-23,570), which could act as a potential area for a short-term bounce. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a breakout occurs above the resistance levels. --- Key Observations: 1. Trend: The index is clearly in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows within the channel. The bearish sentiment remains dominant. 2. Support & Resistance: Immediate Support: 23,480-23,570. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,200. Immediate Resistance: 24,070-24,540. These levels correspond to the midline and upper boundary of the channel. 3. Volume Analysis: Declining volumes on the recent down move indicate a potential loss of selling momentum, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback. 4. Potential Reversal Zone: A break above 24,070 could trigger a short-covering rally, pushing prices toward 24,540. --- Trade Setup: 1. For Bulls: Entry: Consider going long near 23,480-23,570, provided there are bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle. Target: 24,070, and an extended target of 24,540. Stop Loss: Below 23,450, to minimize downside risk. 2. For Bears: Entry: Look for shorting opportunities on rejection near 24,070 or at the channel’s upper boundary (24,540). Target: 23,480 and further downside to 23,200. Stop Loss: Above 24,600. --- Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Breakout: A decisive close above 24,070 will confirm a breakout from the channel, opening doors for a move toward higher levels. 2. Continuation of Downtrend: If the index fails to hold the 23,480 support, it could continue its bearish trajectory to 23,200.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradeAXN
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Nov-2024** Nifty Trading Plan for 18-Nov-2024 ** Previous Day Overview: On 17-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a consolidative pattern near the Important Zone for Long-Term Trend at 23,711 , signaling indecision among traders. The chart highlights three key trends: Yellow showing a sideways movement, Green representing bullish attempts facing resistance near 23,808 , and Red depicting bearish pullbacks testing support at 23,504 . The session emphasizes the significance of these levels in determining market direction. --- ** Opening Scenarios: ** Gap Up Opening (100+ points above) If Nifty opens above 23,808 , it could test the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,009 . Monitor the price action in the first 15-30 minutes for consolidation near 23,900 . A sustained breakout above 24,009 could indicate strong bullish momentum. Avoid chasing trades in case of high volatility; instead, wait for a retest of 23,808 as support for a safer entry point. Flat Opening (within ±50 points) A flat opening near 23,559 may provide a clearer picture of market sentiment. If Nifty holds above the Opening Resistance at 23,711 , a bullish move toward 23,808 is likely. Conversely, a breakdown below 23,568 could lead to a retest of the Opening Support at 23,504 . Prioritize risk management, as a flat opening could result in sideways movement initially. Gap Down Opening (100+ points below) A gap-down opening near 23,504 will shift focus to the Support Level at 23,123 . Allow the first 30 minutes for price stabilization; if Nifty sustains below 23,504 , expect a bearish move toward 23,123 . However, a quick recovery above 23,504 may present a reversal trade opportunity targeting 23,711 . --- ** Risk Management Tips for Options Trading :** - Use well-defined stop-loss levels, preferably based on hourly candle closes, to avoid unnecessary losses. - Reduce position sizes when trading gap openings to manage volatility risks effectively. - Opt for at-the-money (ATM) or slightly out-of-the-money (OTM) options for better liquidity and quicker premium adjustments. - Avoid over-leveraging, especially in highly volatile market conditions. --- ** Summary & Conclusion :** For 18-Nov-2024, the key levels to monitor are 23,711 on the upside and 23,504 on the downside. A breakout above 23,808 could signal bullish momentum, while a breach below 23,504 may indicate bearish pressure. The market remains poised for both sideways and directional moves, depending on the opening scenario. --- **Disclaimer:** I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
4
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 18-22nd Nov 2024Nifty Takes a Beating: A Deep Dive Last week, the Nifty 50 index experienced a significant downturn, closing at 23,532, a 600-point drop from the previous week's high of 24,336. The index breached the crucial support level of 23,550, dipping as low as 23,484. Currently hovering near its 50-week exponential moving average (50WEMA) at 23,230, the Nifty is expected to consolidate within a range of 23,100 to 24,000 in the coming week. Wednesday our markets will be closed due to Maharashtra elections so volatility will be high. As previously highlighted, the monthly chart has weakened, and its impact is already evident. A further correction seems likely before a sustainable bottom is formed. A breach of the 23,250 support level could trigger a deeper correction of 7-7.5%, potentially taking the index down to 21,555. To resume its upward trajectory, the Nifty needs to convincingly close above 24,500 on consecutive days. The S&P 500 also faced rejection from a critical Fibonacci level of 6,013, resulting in a 2.7% correction to 5,870. A breach of this week's low of 5,853 could lead to an additional 1.2% decline to 5,783. Such a move could intensify selling pressure in global markets, including India.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty at cross road of critical support. Nifty this week gave a closing at 23532 a fraction below 200 days EMA or Father line which was at 23542. It will be imperative for Nifty to close above it within next week for bulls to get out of jail. Closing above 23542 will not be enough as there are many more hurdles to cross for Nifty once it scrambles above 200 days EMA. If the Nifty is not able to cross above the 200 day's EMA by any chance next week the down side supports for Nifty will be at 23360, 23054 and 22819. Out of these 3 levels, 22819 is the most important support as it is the channel bottom support. This current channel in which Nifty is travelling initiates from May 22. Which means it is a pretty solid final support below which there can be a free fall into intense bear territory. In this case bears can drag Nifty further down to 21840 or 21264 levels. On the positive side the resistances for Nifty remain at 23864, 24265, 24565 (Major resistance 50 days EMA) followed by 24796 and 25436 levels. Above 25436 we can see a pure Bull Market again. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Key Technical Analysis of Nifty50: Upcoming TrendIntroduction: Understanding key support and resistance levels is essential for traders and investors looking to capitalize on market movements. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the Nifty50 index's weekly chart, highlighting essential price levels and trends that indicate potential bullish or bearish movements in the coming months. With Nifty's recent performance, it is crucial to evaluate these technical levels to identify future price action possibilities. 1. Previous Resistance Turned Strong Support Nifty previously broke out of a strong resistance level around the 19000 mark, which now acts as robust support. This previous resistance level, marked with a red zone, signifies a major price zone that could halt potential downward movements, providing a solid foundation for buyers if Nifty pulls back to this level. 2. Support Trend Line and Bullish Continuation A support trend line, indicating an ongoing bullish trend, extends from early 2023 to the current date. This trend line has been a crucial indicator of the index's positive momentum, providing support on multiple pullbacks. As long as Nifty respects this trend line, it could continue its bullish trajectory, making this level ideal for those looking to enter long positions. 3. The Key Support Zone at Last Swing Low A major support zone sits around the 21000 level, marked by Nifty’s last swing low. This green zone is a significant area of buying interest. If the index begins a downward correction, this support zone will be closely watched by traders looking for signs of reversal or continued decline. 4. Trend Reversal Zone and Bearish Potential If Nifty breaks down below the support trend line, it would signal the potential start of a bearish trend. Sellers could see this as an opportunity to enter short positions, especially if the breakdown is accompanied by strong volume. This area is essential for risk management, as a trend line breakdown could lead to a decline toward lower support levels, such as the 21000 zone or even further to 19000. 5. Reversal Confirmation and New Highs On the upside, a reversal confirmation near the current support trend line could signal a renewed bullish push, with the possibility of Nifty making new highs. If this reversal takes place, it would present an attractive opportunity for long-term investors and buyers aiming for a rally continuation.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
NIFTY Future going to 21426Market analysts generally predict a bullish outlook for the Nifty 50, with expectations of reaching up to 25,000 by the end of 2024 if current trends hold. This projection reflects the influence of strong corporate earnings, robust domestic economic growth, and significant inflows from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), partly driven by India's inclusion in global bond indexes. These factors have improved investor confidence and are expected to provide sustained market support. Historically, the Nifty 50 has displayed resilience, backed by factors like steady mutual fund inflows through SIPs (Systematic Investment Plans) and high levels of government spending on infrastructure. Analysts highlight that these trends, alongside anticipated global interest rate cuts, could continue to drive market gains in the coming months. For My 21,500 target, the overall sentiment appears supportive, though any abrupt shifts in global markets, geopolitical developments, or fluctuations in FPI behavior could still influence market movements. anticipate the Nifty 50 index moving toward 21,500 by the end of 2024, that aligns with some analysts’ outlooks, albeit more conservatively, compared to the upper targets of around 25,000. Such a level could be feasible if current growth drivers remain steady and if the market’s broader accountability or earnings stability continues.
NSE:NIFTY1!Short
by ganesanselvaraj
Nifty 50 analysis- "In recent days, Nifty has formed a bearish head and shoulder pattern, indicating potential downside. It has currently reached 26,277.34, which is approximately 10.50% below its previous high. The 23,500 level is a crucial support zone, coinciding with the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Historically, Nifty has tended to bounce off this 200-EMA. However, it's important to note that market sentiment has turned bearish. Therefore, a prudent strategy would be to adopt a cautious approach, considering selling into rallies until we receive clear signs of upward momentum."
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ayushishri
NIFTY50 // Breakdown or Reversal?www.tradingview.com Everyone has seen a severe breakdown in Nifty in recent days and approx. 11% correction. But hey, wait a minute. Did you checked the level where it is holding right now? It is the same level from where it has taken a pause and breakout in past. Meaning, we can consider it as a strong buying zone. Along with the above, it is also a level where 38% retracement is there from Fibonacci retracement perspective. Consider the level of support at 23500, if Nifty doesn't goes below from here next week, be ready for a resume of bull run again. So, the next resistance will be : 24500, 26300, 28200, 30000 and, the support will be : 22500, 21600, 21000. Please note, there is an open gap between 20300-20500. That is the only concerning area. If it goes there to fill the gap, the last support will be 19900. So, wait for the end of the current weekly candle. If you could see there are approx 6 divergence too on weekly candle which suggest change in situation. Good luck. Thanks StoxWare team
NSE:NIFTY
by Stox_Ware
9