Morning Mantra - 22nd February 2023Dear All,
It was a 2nd consecutive day yesterday, where we had observed Nifty taking a beautiful support at around 17800 once again.
Besides, we had also seen a beautiful opening from Nifty yesterday. However, after reaching the level of 17920, the index had somehow failed to sustain the level and so consequently we got to witness a closing of just above 17800, once again.
Nonetheless, we are still with our words that the level of 17800 will once again be a very crucial level for the Market to finally decide its trend. Moreover, we are still quite positive for the upper level of 18170 as the level of Resistance in Nifty, until it is above 17800.
Also, in the meanwhile, continue being stock specific.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Niftyoutlook
Morning Mantra - 21st February 2023Dear All,
Once again Nifty had shown us the magic of the crucial support level of 17800, yesterday. As it made a low of 17818.40 and then had ultimately given us a closing of 17844.60
Well, as we had already mentioned that there’s a close fight going on between levels of 18170 and 17800. So, for now, an either side breakout or breakdown has become very necessary for the new trend identification.
However, until then, continue being stock specific.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
NIFTY outlookNifty created a bullish engulfuing candelstick pattern on a demand zone on 1hr chart supported by a uptrendline by joing the lows of 1st feb 2023 to the lows 17 feb 2023. Also the pattern is supported by fibonacci 61.8% support level. Daily 21 EMA is also acting as support.
Also if we zoom down to 5 min chart a Double bottom chart pattern has been formed.
Untill the lows of 17 feb is maintained my view is bullish on nifty with a target of 18200 .
A breakout above 18260 can lead to new lifetime in nifty.
Nifty ends the week just under mid channel resistance. Some commentators in US are reflecting that during the FOMC in March 2023 can see US Fed hike rate by 50 bps. This move is anticipated based on US Inflation numbers which where worse than expected. Also there are some questions being asked about recovery of certain sectors in China which is still to come out fully from the COVID-19 grip. These two news items in general and US related news in particular purged the momentum Nifty was gaining since beginning of the week and we saw the index nosedive a bit on Friday.
Nifty Supports remain at: 17913 (Major support), 17885, 17794, 17651 and finally 17353.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 17976, 18031, 18134, 18181 and finally there will be a major resistance at 18269.
Long Positions should be taken only after closing above 18269.
Morning Mantra - 17th February 2023Dear All,
Just as we had stated yesterday, about being very near to the level of 18170. Similarly, we did witness a high of 18134.75 in Nifty, yesterday itself.
Also, finally today is the last trading day of this week, and it is indeed expected to be a crucial one.
As so far, we have been fortunate enough to be witnessing a consistent closing of above 17800 for the past 4 trading days. Wherein, if we witness a closing of above 17800 even today, then our support level can be shifted from 17320 to 17800 in the upcoming week.
So, altogether, today’s closing will play a very significant role in deciding a direction of Nifty’s momentum for the upcoming week.
Whereas, in the meanwhile, continue being specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
NIFTY VIEWNSE:NIFTY Nifty has given a Break out from falling channel and also taken out the budget day high.
The Break out is not at all convincing since the volume is missing. You can read it from the chart that last couple of days of moves were backed by low volume.
It is rather looking like a short covering. Going forward Volume profile suggest stiff resistance at (18080 -18120) levels.
Caution is advised and it is better not to chase the present up move.
You can see that price is now at 0.618 levels and could face some resistance look for a pullback to 0.786 which is at 17800. A base has also been formed there, Which will also offer a good Risk/Reward
NSE:NIFTY Hourly time frame VCP pattern is completed and given a break out above budget day high. As mentioned above the break out is not convincing. Wait for a pull back.
Good Luck
Morning Mantra - 16th February 2023Dear All,
Finally we got to witness a beautiful breakout in Nifty, yesterday.
Wherein, just as we have been repeatedly stating the level of 17800, similarly Nifty has shown us a beautiful and an expected bounce back therefrom.
Furthermore, we are now very near to the level of 18170. Provided we keep witnessing a strong and a consistent closing of above 17800 throughout this week.
Also, as per the current circumstances, we can see our support level of 17320 to be shifting to 17800 very soon.
Above 18170, 18400 will be our next target.
In the meanwhile, continue staying stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 15th February 2023Dear All,
Fortunately after yesterday’s trading session, we have once again witnessed a positive closing of 17929.85 from Nifty.
Wherein, notably the index had taken a very beautiful support from our crucial stated level of 17800, yesterday.
The same stated level of 17800, which is repeatedly playing a very significant role as a Resistance and a Support for quite some time now. Thereby, proving our notion to be absolutely on point, i.e.,
Resistance = Support = Resistance
However, for now, we are still with our words that we need to witness a stable and a consistent closing of above 17800 for at least a week. As it is only then, that we may get a clear confirmation from Nifty regarding its decision to move towards the upper Resistance levels of 18170 and 18400.
Besides, as per the current market momentum, the support level of 17320 now seems to be shifting to 17800.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 14th February 2023Dear All,
Once again in the yesterday's trading session, we had got to witness how crucial the level of 17800 has become for Nifty.
Wherein a strong Resistance is being faced at this level. As even yesterday, Nifty gave us a closing of 17770.90. So somehow Nifty seems to be struggling at around this level of 17800.
Therefore, it has now become very important for the index to crossover and to sustain above this level of 17800 for at least week. As it is only then, that the probability of witnessing the levels of 18170 and 18400, will increase.
Until then we can see that it’s a crucial fight between the Resistance and Support where
Resistance = Support = Resistance
So, in this volatility we must witness a positive and a stable closing of above 17800, which will be on our radar.
In the meanwhile, stay stock specific and follow the Cherry Picking Strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 13th February 2023Dear All,
As we told you on last Monday, about witnessing the formation of a Piercing Pattern on the weekly chart of Nifty, which was somehow indicating a bounce back in the Market. Fortunately, thereafter, we did witness a beautiful weekly closing of above 17800 in Nifty.
So for now, with the support of 17320, the level of 18170 will be our Resistance level once again.
Furthermore, the impact of the budget and the quarterly results are somehow indicating that there’s a huge probability of witnessing a beautiful rebound in the Market once again, from this level of 17800 towards 18170 and 18400.
So in the meanwhile, along with being stock specific, following the Cherry Picking strategy will be a good idea here.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 10th February 2023Dear All,
Fortunately, we got to witness a closing of above 17800 for two consecutive days. This altogether, strengthens our expectations towards the level of 18170 for the near term.
However, it will be suggested to keep patience for now, since today is the last trading day of this week. As, the weekly closing will somehow help us to understand the Market's momentum for the upcoming days.
Furthermore, if the Index manages to give us a weekly closing of above 17800 today, then our support level will once again shift from 17320 to 17800, as we usually say that,
support = resistance = support.
So for now, continue being stock specific and wait and watch for today's closing.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 9th February, 2023Dear All,
What a beautiful day it was yesterday, which seemed like a perfect “8 ke thaat”. Wherein Nifty had given a beautiful closing of above 17800.
Just as we had stated in our weekly analysis on Monday itself, similarly, perfect Piercing Pattern on the weekly chart can push the index towards the level of 17800 and then further to 18170.
Moreover, a contribution from all the sectors is somehow indicating a positive post budget impact on the Market, which may take the index towards the 18400 level in coming days.
Also, in the meanwhile, following the Cherry picking strategy will be a good idea.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Once Nifty is able to cross 50 Hours EMA it can travel further. Once Nifty is able to cross 50 Hours EMA it can travel further. 17793 is the number above which Nifty needs to sustain.
Supports For Nifty: 17649, 17580, 17495 and finally 17345. Below 17345 Nifty will become very weak.
Resistances for Nifty: 17793, 17828, 17914, 17974 and finally 18200. Above 18200 Nifty will be Bullish.
Morning Mantra - 8th February, 2023Dear All,
Just as we had stated yesterday, similarly we did witness some selling pressure in the Market yesterday itself.
Wherein, once again even after making a high of 17811.15 in the initial Market hours yesterday, Nifty failed to sustain above its stated Resistance level of 17800 and ultimately gave a closing of 17721.50
Therefore, we can observe the importance of the 17800 level. Just as strong as it was as a level of support earlier, similarly it is now proving to be a strong level of Resistance for the Market.
Besides, with the support level of 17320 we are still hopeful.
Moreover, this may be due to the Results season and post budget effect that Nifty seems to be confused once again. So, having a little patience will be beneficial for now. Until the time Nifty decides its direction towards either a breakdown of 17320 level or a cross over of above 17800.
So, in the meantime, continue being stock specific.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 7th February, 2023Dear All,
On observing yesterday’s market momentum, where Nifty had made a high of 17823.70 but had somehow failed to sustain above the level due to selling pressure. We can altogether see how crucial is the level of 17800 for the Market.
Once again, Nifty seems to be finding difficulty to stably cross over the stated Resistance level of 17800.
Moreover, on observing the formation of a bearish harami pattern on the day chart of Nifty, we can sense a little cautiousness in the Market for today.
Nonetheless, we are still positively hopeful for the Market with the support of 17320.
Thus in the meanwhile, stay cautious and be stock specific for now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya