Nifty next moveNifty has reached to its saturation.. now it could be seen drop by 500 to 800 points... nifty cmp is 17550, next could be...17490, 17390,17171... there will be gap up first on Monday...as some volume seen at last of the session...so don't get trap on up side...trade wisely...
It's just an aducation purpose...
Niftylevels
Nifty levels & strategy for 29/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty is up by 36 points. However, Nifty closed almost flat, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Market was stable for most of the day on Friday but we have seen fear & high volatility in last hour. PCR shifted slightly below from 0.76 to 0.73 which is clearly in bearish zone.
Highest open interest on call side at 17700 (Shifted down from 18500 to 17700)
Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained same at 17000)
BANK NIFTY
Bank Nifty is up by 36 points. Bank Nifty closed almost flat, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Bank Nifty trader firmly and sideways throughout the day Last hour sharp selling/volatility gave opportunities to bears as well as bulls. PCR stayed almost at same from 0.66 to 0.67 which is clearly in bearish zone.
Highest open interest on call side at 39500 (Remained at same level)
Highest open interest on put side at 39000 (Remained at same level)
Shall we expect downward trending market on Monday based on Jackson Hole meeting outcome?
Shall now look for only sell on rise opportunities till global market sentiments remains negative?
Shall we expect decent profit booking after significant one way relief rally which almost became bull run now?
Please do share your comments. Have a nice weekend and wish happy, healthy & profitable Monday!
Nifty levels for 26/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty is down by -82.5 points. Nifty closed near day’s low, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Once again, we had a highly volatile day. PCR shifted below from 0.84 to 0.76 which is still in bearish zone.
Highest open interest on call side at 18500 (Shifted up from 18000 to 18500)
Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained same at 17000)
BANK NIFTY
Bank Nifty is down by -88 points. Bank Nifty closed near day’s low, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Once again, we had a highly volatile day. PCR shifted down from 1.08 to 0.66 which is now back in bearish zone.
Highest open interest on call side at 39500 (Shifted down from 40000 to 39500)
Highest open interest on put side at 39000 (Shifted up from 38000 to 39000) – BULLS GOT TRAPPED
Shall we expect trending market tomorrow after Jackson Hole meeting outcome?
Please do share your comments. Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Levels for 25/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty is slightly up by 27 points. Nifty closed above 20 EMA, VWAP level near day’s high. Once again, we had a highly volatile day. PCR remained flat from 0.83 to 0.84 which is still in bearish zone. Nifty hourly chart has formed flag & pole pattern which is also indicating bearish price action on chart.
Highest open interest on call side at 18000 (Same as yesterday)
Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Shifted down from 17500)
BANK NIFTY
Bank Nifty is further up by 341 points. Bank Nifty closed above 20 EMA, VWAP level near day’s high. Once again, we had a highly volatile day. PCR shifted up from 0.90 to 1.08 which is now back in bullish zone.
Highest open interest on call side at 40000 (Remained same as yesterday)
Highest open interest on put side at 38000 (Shifted down from 38500 to 38000)
Shall we continue to expect high volatility till outcome of Jackson Hole meeting?
Shall we look for buy on dips and sell on rise opportunities with suitable SL/TSL?
Please do share your comments. Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Index Levels for 23/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Indix VIX further jumped up by 4.12% from 18.29 to 19.04. Dow Jones is down 494 points and Nasdaq is down by 287 points at this point of time. Please do check closing data for tomorrow's trading reference. US DOLLAR INDEX has up beyond 108 level and continuous weakness in Rupee is certainly not a good sign for Indian market.
Nifty closed below 20 EMA and VWAP level. We had a highly volatile day. PCR shifted down to 0.6 which is clearly in bearish zone now. Today also selling was quite sharp .
Highest open interest on call side at 18000.
Highest open interest on put side at 17000.
FIIs, DIIs & OTHER PARTICIPANTS DERIVATIVE DATA ANALYSIS:
FIIs ( Bearish ):
FII sold in cash market for -454 crores and bought in derivative market contract for 3319 crores (please do continue to read about whether they bought calls to add new long positions or bought puts to add more short positions in the system). FIIs significantly reduced their long as well as short contract in Index future and added short stock future contracts. FIIs took long positions in calls. FIIs significantly added two times PUT long positions in Index compare to short positions. FIIs are heavily short in stock futures and hedged their positions using call & put options.
DIIs (Mild Bullish ):
DII sold in cash for -85 Crores. DIIs have reduced their positions in Index & future contracts.
PRO ( Bearish ):
Pro traders have reduced their long index & stock future contracts and heavily wrote call options in index & stocks.
CLIENT ( Bullish ):
Retail traders significantly reduced their long future contract positions in index & stocks. Heavily wrote call options in index, bought puts & calls hedge their position
Overall, shall we continue to expect high volatility for next few days?
Shall we look for sell on rise opportunities based negative cues? or
Is market is taking few steps back for bigger move towards all time high?
We are getting close to important support level . Please do watch it carefully to avoid getting into bears trap at lower levels & bulls trap on bounces.
PLEASE DO SHARE YOUR FEEDBACKS AS WELL AND TRADE SAFELY & CAREFULLY WITH STRICT SL (STOP LOSS) & MAXIMISE YOUR PROFIT USING TRAILING SL.
Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Levels for 22/02/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Nifty closed below 20 EMA and VWAP level. Negative crossover in Nifty. We had a highly volatile day. PCR shifted from 1.2 to 0.69 is now in bearish zone. Indix VIX jumped up 5.39% from 17.35 to 18.29.
Highest open interest on call side at 18000. However call writing increased significantly below 18000 level
Highest open interest on put side at 17000. However heavy short covering and OI reduced significantly on lower side.
Dow Jones is down 292.3 points and Nasdaq is down by 263 points which is decent correction in a day. Nifty snaps 3 days of rally and closed the gap in one day itself.
FIIs, DIIs & other participants derivative data analysis:
FIIs:
FIIs have bought in cash & heavily sold all types of derivative contracts on net basis. FIIs change their bullish stance to bearish in no time. Let us see if they will continue to sell or it's just a profit booking
DIIs:
DIIs have sold in cash but bought 18000 plus future contracts in Index & stocks to partially absorb FIIs selling
PRO:
Pro traders too bought 14000 plus future contracts in Index & stocks but they have hedged their positions by selling calls & buying puts.
RETAIL/HNI:
Retail traders as usual created long positions opposite to FIIs, by buying 11700 Index Future contracts, heavy index calls buying 277973 contracts, stocks call buying 40280 contacts and stocks puts selling -58136 contracts. Few smart retail traders sold stock futures 11037 and hedged their contracts.
Shall we look for sell on rise opportunities? or
Is market is taking few steps back for bigger move towards all time high?
PLEASE DO SHARE YOUR FEEDBACKS AS WELL AND TRADE SAFELY & CAREFULLY TO AVOID GETTING INTO BULLS TRAP IN CASE OF SHARP BOUNCES.
Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Levels for 19/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Nifty closed near day's high above 20 & 50 EMA and VWAP level. Today, we had a highly volatile day. PCR (1.2) is in bullish zone. Indix VIX (17.35) down by -1.85%.
Highest open interest on call side at 18000
Hifty highest open interest on put side at 17000
FIIs did cash selling of -1706 Crores. Reduced derivative long positions significantly. Today Proprietary traders & DIIs traders were long in Index and Future contracts on net basis. Surprisingly, retail traders switched to long side today.
Dow Jones and Nasdaq flat at this point of time. Please do review closing Index data for tomorrow's trade.
Is correction due now after strong unidirectional rally?
Shall we start looking for sell on rise opportunities or continue to look for buy on dips opportunity with strict stoploss?
PLEASE DO SHARE YOUR FEEDBACKS AS WELL AND TRADE CAREFULLY TO AVOID GETTING INTO BULLS TRAP.
Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Levels for 18/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Nifty closed once above 20 & 50 EMA and VWAP level. PCR (1.29) is in bullish zone. Indix VIX closed flat.
Nifty highest open interest on call side at 18000
Nifty highest open interest on put side at 17800
FIIs did buying of 6729 Crores but they bought 42826 Puts contracts (Net) in Index and sold 13647 stock futures contracts. Does it mean, FIIs will start selling again. Today Proprietary traders & DIIs traders were long in Index and Future contracts on net basis. Retail traders are heavily short in Index as well stocks.
Dow Jones is down 200 plus points and Nasdaq is down 100 plus points at this point of time. Is correction due now after strong unidirectional rally? Shall we start looking for sell on rise opportunities ?
PLEASE TRADE CAREFULLY TO AVOID GETTING INTO BULLS TRAP.
Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Levels for 17/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Nifty took out major resistance level with Gap-up and closed above 20 & 50 EMA and VWAP level. Nifty has shown strength and trying to move in upward direction. PCR (1.06) is in sideways to mild bullish zone. FIIs continue with buying of 2429.6 Crores and DIIs are slowly doing profit booking with selling of -136.2 Crores. Proprietary & retail traders are heavily short in Index and Future contracts. God saves retail traders.
Nifty highest open interest on call side at 17800
Nifty highest open interest on put side at 17700
Overall uptrend looks intact. Shall we continue to look for short straddle/strangle ? Buy on dips opportunities ?
Is Nifty heading towards 18000 now? OR Is Bearish Divergence an indication prior to profit booking ? PLEASE TRADE CAREFULLY TO AVOID GETTING INTO BULLS TRAP.
Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Levels for 16/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Nifty was in hurry and quickly reached long term resistance level. FIIs continued with strong buying in CASH & F&O of Rs 7405.5 Crores. US market also performed really well on Friday. Let us see the US market performance tonight. Nifty is now just 4.87% away from all time/52 week high. Nifty's highest open interest in call side is at 17800 and put side is at 17700. Nifty is trading in narrow range after decent rally. PCR is flat and sideways. Overall, all positive & negatives are factored in. All overnight positions must be hedged to handle gap-up & gap-down.
Shall we expect a profit booking?
Will Nifty offer us buy on dips opportunities?
Will Nifty gap-up on Tuesday to take out major resistance zone and continue with bull run?
Shall bulls/specially retail investors should slow down to avoid getting into bulls trap?
Wish you all a profitable trading day ahead!
Nifty Levels for 12/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Nifty is quickly reached long term resistance level. Today buying volumes were low after gap-up. All positives are factored in. Is profit booking expected at this level? Is buying on dips going to be better strategy for Friday's trade?
Nifty Levels for 11/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Bullish Divergence is observed in RSI. Nifty is looking in hurry to touch long term resistance level after gap-up opening. US inflation is cooling off QoQ basis and markets are reacting quite positively. Dow Jones is up 480 plus points and Nasdaq is up 320 plus points. Bull should become cautious and continue with profit booking. Trader should work level by level with strict stoploss. Retail investors are really enjoying the ongoing rally. Let us see if relief rally converts into bull run or global issues will take over the relief rally again in coming days.
Have a profitable day ahead!
Nifty Future Level of 21000. Is it feasible for growing economy?Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Interesting Nifty future Level by FY2023-24: 21000
More than 20% conservative returns within 2 years.
Is it feasible for growing emerging Indian economy looking at Indian GDP amid global issues?
Please do share your ideas. Thanks
Nifty levels for 04/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT. OVERALL, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEARN & BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Is Nifty in hurry to touch long term resistance zone? Or Will global issues trap Bulls?
Nifty Levels for 02/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified Nifty level based on my analysis, major support and resistance level. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared for educational purpose. Please do take trade based on your own analysis and risk-taking abilities. Never ever worked with fixed mindset. Any news/result data may change the direction of the trend instantly. Focus on learning so you can take correct/better decision based on your analytical skills. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ONE CAN BE 100% CORRECT EXCEPT GOD. OVERALL, WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO CLOSE IN PROFIT EVEN IF WE ARE 50% CORRECT WITH RISK REWARD RATIO 1:2
Nifty is quickly approaching long term resistance zone . Nifty PCR already entered in Highly Over Bought Zone. Today India VIX jumped up by 5.65%. Max OI on call side is at 17500. Max OI on put side is at 16500.
Is it a good time to book profit and wait for buy on dips opportunities ? Please review and respond with your views. Many thanks.
Nifty Outlook 1st to 5th July 2022. Can the rally continue?Will the rally continue or fizzle out? Is the big question. After a fantastic week where we saw Nifty end at 17158.25 after taking support from 200 days EMA we are set for another week where Nifty where Nifty is in the position to move forward if it can clear few resistances that are up and ahead. The support levels for Nifty on the down side are 17028, 16947, 16747 and finally 16535. Below 16535 which looks unlikely for now Nifty can go to the levels of 16430 or 16304. The resistances Nifty has on the way up are: 17213, 17333 and 17431. Above 17431 major hurdles will be 17649 and 17798. These 2 levels (17649 and 17798) can be crossed if and only if there is a massive participation from FIIs, DIIs and Retail investors.
Nifty Positional - Learning how channel pattern works1) This post is to learn how channel work.
2) Try to analyses how it work.
3) Money management is more important that analysis.
4) Never average losing trades.
5) You should have setup/ reason before taking trade.
6)Think about in term of risk and reward.
Nifty trying to break free form a long term down trend.Nifty trying to break free form a long term down trend 16277 can be a resistance which will take some doing to cross. if it is crosses the next resistance will be at 16498 and 16796. Support for Nifty is at 16135, 16033 and 15993. Good going so far the greatest thing today is that the rally is lead by the most laggard index off late that is the IT index. Things will start to look good if Nifty closes above 16150 today..
#Nifty || 15th July 2022 || Falcon Trader Analysis for #Nifty50 Nifty moved as per Falcon Waves, and almost all our levels were correct with Target Line (Purple Horizontal Line) was also achieved.
By now you know that market moves in zig zag fashion, to form higher lows or lower highs, now Nifty needs to move up and form a lower high, and this will mark Falcon Wave 4.
Clear Chart:
US Markets are not looking great and might bleed. I had shared Dow Jones chart few days back, and some downward pressure is there - and pending waves left.
For crypro - I am still looking for up move, however we will get good shorting opportunity and same correlates with Nifty too.
Some key points to keep in mind,
We have already reached 23.6% for wave 4 today (13th July 2022) so we might just get some more to complete 38.2% or we start going down from flat opening tomorrow.
Once you know this, you know what to do.
Next after wave 4 is wave 5, that will have 5 waves down - will be interesting!
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Setup for 12th June 2022Nifty 50 Index ended flat on Monday amid selling pressure in IT shares, after TCS’s quarterly performance fell short of Street estimates. Investors await more of financial results from India Inc for domestic cues. Index traded in the range during the first half and shoot up nearly 130 points from the day's low before erasing some of the gains.
Intraday
The index is taking support from a dynamic trendline. Upward momentum will continue above 16,300. Breaking of the trendline will indicate loosing of upward momentum and we will consider shorting below 16,160 for a target of 16,110 if the index sustains below 16,100 next target will be 16,000.
Daily Time Frame
=================
Continuing from yesterday’s analysis, the XABCD pattern is activated.
Key levels:
Resistance: 16,450/500 (Harmonic PRZ)
Support: 15,950
Nifty Trade Setup Based on SGX movement for 11th July, 2022Daily TF – Weekly Range
The index has stopped making lower lows and broke the previous swing high of 15,950 levels (after retesting) and downward trendline resistance, activating the XABCD pattern and is likely to face resistance at 16,475/500 levels (Harmonic PRZ), which if it sustains can retest the major previous swing high of 16,800. The range finally shifted after 2 weeks of consolidation. Does this indicate a short-term trend reversal? We are still in a declining market and will have to wait for additional confirmation of the index sustaining 17,000 to confirm the trend reversal. 15,950/16,000 levels which the index broke previously will act as good support.
Weekly Range – 15,950 – 16,500
1Hr TF – Intraday
The index traded in 120 points range on Friday and the range break can give good momentum on either side.
Key Levels (targets if levels broken)
Support: 16,150 (target – 16,070 – XABCD Hrly PRZ)
Resistance: 16,300 (target – 16,475 – XABCD Daily PRZ)