Nifty Outlook for JulyConsidering option data and Price Patterns,
The channel trend still persists, and price movement is within the regression channel. Expecting to test the below-highlighted supports, the Price movement will be sideways for this month. As long as the price is above 18600, there is no need to consider a bearish outlook on the Nifty.
Support levels are
S1: Trendline connecting historical tops
S2: 19000
S3: 18600
Niftylevels
NIFTY--Trend Resumes or Reversal ??Observations::
In higher time frames nifty is still in uptrend...if its continue or reversal will see in live.
price created a demand zone @19380-19340 range....
today price has taken the demand zone entry and moved up...no short side momentum is given for us.
A multiple breaks to the upside is observed from this zone....
until price breaks this demand zone...don't think of short side. keep on buy side.
when price tested this demand again, and failed to create a new high, then will see the plan of sell action. will update once it is reversed.
All these analysis is post market analysis...live market is entirely different from post market analysis.. will see on live market what happens...
Nifty: Major Reversal Levels @ 19550-19650I am expecting weekly closing above or near 19100.
There is a resistance levels @ 19100-19200 but nifty is not showing any weakness near these levels.
If this will happen then it will be the strong close on weekly chart.
In that case next major reversal levels will be 19550-19650.
Kindly check the below link for my current and pervious trades with logic.
NIFTY--Trending Expiry ViewObservations::
price is exactly closed in the supply zone....where price strongly fall from these levels.
we have to wait before sell...
price is again fall below,19410 level,and this level has to reject for more fall.
yesterday price broken the trendline and retested...now we have to check fall happens are not.
the area of value at 19380 level will push the price up...to test the supply one more time...
be on the bearish side from these levels...
On bottom side price tested the demand zone at 19340,today it will not respect it gives us pullback or break may happens and retest will come. So will enter for short for targets of 19300 and 19260 levels.
If price wants to go up, it has to break and retest of supply and then only bullish...
fake out will also be happens at this level.
Keep track this level...key level 19410 level.
NIFTY--Trendline Holds or Break??Observations::
Will trendline acts as support ??
price action is completely in uptrend...
today after open a gap up price fall happens strongly...
buyers try to make the price higher but failed to close above 19400 level...
we can consider this level as a resistance...
price is now near its trend line....will see if this breaks or not.
if price breaks and retest will enter for short side trade...
strong bullishness is observed from the 19250 level after opening gap up...
bullish gap left at 19200 is filled, if trendline acts as resistance.
Bullish gap ma acts as a support also....
will see tomorrow what happens.
keep track these levels.
We don't go for long side...we don't have targets to book...price at anytime may reverse after All Time High.
04 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty Yesterday I was quite ambitious to call the top at 19334 + or 80pts levels. The opening 45 mts and then the subsequent fall from 13.30 to 14.30 showed real signs of N50 running out of fuel.
But one thing that really proved me wrong was the intensity of credit spreads getting written at the PUTS side (bullish sign). Although there was lot of unwinding after 14.30, the issue is that CALL side credit spreads are not getting written.
If the run of N50 has to be checked we need CE shorts, aggressive big boys who do not run for cover. The lowest friction area for N50 to go is up as there are no resistances — thus making it a real tough spot for call writers. Personally I wouldnt dare writing ATM calls now even though I feel the top is near.
1hr TF
N50 for the first time in last 5 sessions closed the gap after a gap-up opening negating a consecutive spree of island day formations. The strong red opening 1hr candle stays lit and I am still inclined to keep the bearish view.
NIFTY 15 MIN TRIANGLE FORMATION- FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSETriangle formation in Nifty refers to a specific chart pattern that occurs in the price movement of the Nifty 50 index, which represents the Indian stock market. The triangle formation is a continuation pattern that signifies a period of consolidation or indecision before the price breaks out in either an upward or downward direction.
The triangle formation can be further classified into different types based on the slope of the trendlines:
Symmetrical Triangle : In a symmetrical triangle, the price forms lower highs and higher lows, creating converging trendlines. This indicates a period of equilibrium between buyers and sellers, suggesting a potential breakout in either direction.
Ascending Triangle : An ascending triangle formation occurs when the price forms a horizontal resistance line and an ascending support line. The price consolidates within this pattern, with higher lows being formed. This suggests a bullish bias, and a breakout above the resistance level may lead to an upward move.
Descending Triangle : A descending triangle is characterized by a horizontal support line and a descending resistance line. The price consolidates within this pattern, forming lower highs. It indicates a bearish bias, and a breakdown below the support level may lead to a downward move.
Please note that trading decisions should not be based solely on chart patterns, and it's important to consider other factors such as fundamental analysis, market conditions, and risk management before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY 50Nifty is trading in same range since Friday both movement is expected either give breakout or breakdown if give breakout from range then targets 18820,18872 but it must close and sustain above 18760 for this targets and if give a breakdown then targets 18558,18511 but it must close and sustain below 18746
Research and trade consult your financial advisor before trading I am not responsible for any of ur profit and losses
Nifty daily analysis26 JUNE ANALYSIS:
Nifty opens:
side: if market give downside breakout after consolidation around 18650 then sell (PS-100% )
gapup: wait for price-action trade on whichever direction it gives breakout(PS-20% for upside and 30% for downside)
gapdown: wait for further price-action and sell if breaks lower support (PS-50%)
buy if hammer candle is formed and breaks high of first 5 min candle [PS-100%)
Nifty Weekly Analysis for Jun 26 - 30🔍 Analysis on Nifty for the Upcoming Week 🔮
Jun 26 - 30
The Nifty index seems to exhibit a bullish trend in both long-term & short-term as well, according to the market structure.
📈 Key Levels to Monitor:
In the upcoming week, it's important to monitor key levels 18535, 18650, 18660, 18890.
🔎My outlook:
The outlook for the upcoming week’s trading suggests a directional view (Bullish).
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty breaks out above the significant level of 18887, supported by a strong and clear daily candle, it could indicate a bullish market trend.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
However, if Nifty breaks down below 18534, confirmed by a strong and clear daily candle, it may signal a decline towards the 18250 level.
📊 Support Level:
As long as Nifty sustains above the support level of 18530, the market can be viewed as bullish.
Nifty Weekly Analysis for Jun 19 - 23🔍 Analysis on Nifty for the Upcoming Week 🔮
Jun 19 - 23
The Nifty index seems to exhibit a bullish trend in both long-term & short-term as well, according to the market structure.
📈 Key Levels to Monitor:
In the upcoming week, it's important to monitor key levels
🔎My outlook:
The outlook for the upcoming week’s trading suggests a non-directional market, potentially characterized by a sideways pattern.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty breaks out above the significant level of 18887, supported by a strong and clear daily candle, it could indicate a bullish market trend.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
However, if Nifty breaks down below 18534, confirmed by a strong and clear daily candle, it may signal a decline towards the 18250 level.
📊 Support Level:
As long as Nifty sustains above the support level of 18530, the market can be viewed as bullish.
nifty daily analysis
Nifty opens:
side: if market give upside breakout after consolidation around 18830 then buy (PS-30% )
if market moves down then sell (70%PS)
gapup: wait for price-action trade on whichever direction it gives breakout(PS-20%)
gapdown: wait for further price-action and sell if breaks lower support (PS-100%)
NIFTY--Trending Breakout or Breakdown?? Observations::
The index is still in uptrend....
facing some resistance @ ATH...but no sign of bearishness is observed.
yesterday index is trading in a range....
if today this will range may be broken...and will observe a trending expiry...
Bullish expiry or bearish Expiry::
As long as price is above the 18700 it is bullish only....
if price breaks 18660 level and it gives some retracement then only will go for short side...until don't think of short again...
Fake breakdown may also be happen at this zone 18760-18740.
If price breaks @ATH, until which level we can expect..
after breaking ATH, we can expect price will reach rounding number 19000 and 19050, like vise.
we cannot predict where it exactly reverse.. all these are our expectations only....
we cannot trade after a ATH, the reason is we don't know where to place our target, we know only stop loss..
so wait and watch the show...will have another day price will come back and move...
if it is fake breakout above ATH, will fall again...
Note::
BANKNIFTY broken ATH ...will expect nifty will also break...and reverse.
If we see BANKNIFTY Index price has broken the ATH, but not moved much points, again falls below the range only..
Nifty levels for 22nd JuneThis is not a prediction! And never believe in any prediction either! Just My-Lines to watch if it's respected and PA have an edge will buy or Short. Trade your system, trade what you see!
Check my previous post to see how well the levels were respected and reacted. Always wait for a retest to validate the levels, if its crosses above or below
NIFTY--Which is Support Trendline or Neckline??Observations::
If both failed price clears the 2gaps below.
The Nifty index price is showing some bearish pressure in the previous ATH Resistance zone.
If this fall continue towards downside or will break ATH.
so if we see the below picture, price is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, is this a sign of reversal.
ok if it is a reversal, we have 2 bullish gaps left @18680 level and 18600 level.
price has to respect these two gaps if any one of these gap gives support strongly, price will break ATH,
if this showing buying pressure and not able to go up side....
sellers are aggressively take the price to below 18600 levels.
If we see we have a trendline support as well,
if price failed to break 18800 level after taking the trendline support.
Breaks the trendline then enter for short after a retest is done to trendline.
if no retest is observed then wait it will again comes back to the same range.
Keep watch these levels...18720-18740 range if break, it will finish the gap on bottom side.
if price opens below this also look for sell on retest to this zone.
Nifty Levels for 20th June2023This is not a prediction! And never believe in any prediction either! Just My-Lines to watch if it's respected and PA have an edge will buy or Short. Trade your system, trade what you see!
Check my previous post to see how well the levels were respected and reacted. Always wait for a retest to validate the levels, if its crosses above or below
NIFTY 50 BEARISH MOMENTUM STARTED AS PREDICTED YESTERDAYI posted yesterday about a possible bearish trend shift is taking place in NIFTY as it was testing its weekly and and daily resistance ( LINK MENTIONED) . Now as we can see it has made a liquidity grab above the resistance and started its bearish move . Those who were in sells yesterday were in profits as of now. Those who want to enter in shorts can also join the ride now at 18775 area with 3 possible Take profit areas
TP 1: 18721
TP 2: 18635
TP 3: 18556
SL: 18810
use proper money management and this analysis is for educational purpose only and not a financial advise.
nifty possible go down side from tomorrowAs we can see on the chart, the nifty has taken a lot of supports on one trendline and is almost about to break, and as we can see in today's market, bullish people entered and took the market as low as possible, so if they maintain this downside trend, the market will fall starting tomorrow(16/6).