Niftyanalysis
Nifty Important levels and trade plan for Monday, 03.10.22SGX Nifty is currently 130 points negative, and based on current support and resistance levels we may expect three possibilities, gap down opening of 30-point, 120 point and of 200 points.
Nifty is currently in correction phase of a downtrend, after yesterday’s up move, and we may expect a continuation in this move from here. But with a gap down opening of 200 points it will be little difficult.
Now, for us zone between 17067 and 16943 will be the no trade zone. For any opening inside this zone, we will wait, and will enter into trade after breaking in either direction. For downside, we may expect a reversal from 16770, so up to this level our quantity will be limited, and second level of support will be 16624.
For upside, 17221 will be important resistance level , our quantity will be limited up to this level. Second resistance level will be at 17357.
For initial hour, we will have to be careful, if Nifty opens 200-point negative, then we will have to wait for correction in RSI, and initial settlement, along with price action.
OI is neutral, having spaces in both side move.
*All support and resistance plotted are based on PDH / PDL . For any reversal after breaking PDH / PDL , support and resistance levels will be different*
**Time of plotting the levels and planning 01st October, 5:30 PM**
***Personal opinion, not a trading advice***
Nifty Weekly AnalysisOn Friday we had major rejection at 17156-17216 which was previous selling zone.
Next if we trade below 17026 then one test 16500 is coming. Stops for shorts will be 17156. Support 16958-16870-16798-16556
Further weekly close below 17056 then we are heading towards much lower levels which I will update in next week analysis
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 03/Oct/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty was clearly trending after RBI's policy. Every dip was bought. This relief rally was much awaited by traders. Those who waited patiently for RBI's policy got rewarded heavily. PCR shifted from oversold to buying zone within a day. Those who worked level by level also got benefitted heavily by reversing their trades after SL got hit on short side. Short covering lifted Nifty to 300 plus points from day's low. ATM bullish positions are build and short covering happened in ITM calls clearly indicating strength on bullish side. It will be interesting to see if relief rally will be sold again. WORK LEVEL-BY-LEVEL WITH STRICT SL.
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 30/SEP/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 276 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 17094 16818 276.25 1.64%
India VIX 19.97 21.30 -1.33 -6.27%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 06/OCT/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 17500 (Open Interest: 4488900)
Max OI (Puts) 16700 (Open Interest: 4867300)
PCR 1.16 (PCR is in buying Zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity after initial gap-up & sell on rise with strict SL at higher levels? Yes, I think so. What do you think?
Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
900 POINTS PROFIT BOOKED, SHORTED AROUND 17710In this video -
1. Position update, booked 900 points profit in NIFTY shorted around 17710.
2. Important levels for coming weeks.
3. Next trade plans and position sizing for same.
Please do like, share & comment.
Also do share your views for coming days & weeks.
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 29/Sep/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty closed in red and below 50 DMA but defended 100 DMA level. Nifty is oversold. As expected, IT stocks started moving up from lower levels. Today also buy on dips and sell on rise strategy worked well. Is higher volatility from last 2 days indicating temporary bottoming process. Today, US market is trading in green. Let us expect a good recovery in next few days from 2 year's low levels. Traders should short/take bearish positions at higher levels with strict SL only otherwise they may get into beartrap.
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 28/SEP/2022
NIFTY IS DOWN BY -149 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 16859 17007 -148.80 -0.87%
India VIX 22.10 21.57 0.53 2.45%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 29/SEP/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 17000 (Open Interest: 9576050)
Max OI (Puts) 16500 (Open Interest: 6235950)
PCR 0.61 (PCR is in oversold zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Shall we continue to look for sell on rise opportunities ????? Yes, I think so. What do you think?
1. Only at higher level after decent pull back from lower levels
2. near major resistance levels
3. near high OI in CE strikes with strict stoploss?
Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity ????? Yes, I think so. What are your views?
1. near major support levels
2. near high OI in PE strikes with strict SL?
However, it’s quite important to check & review following prior to finalize your strategy/work plan for next trading session. Market is very dynamic and overnight situation may get change.
1. Global cues based on EOD data
2. FIIs/DIIs/Big player cash & F&O data analysis
Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NIFTY 50 ANALYSIS ON RBI'S MEETINGmarkets fell, indicators supporting!!
rising wedge pattern is formed.
RSI will react in the same way as there previous ones are.
markets will reach its bottom point of its crucial trend line support, and will start moving up the next week. this week's was a crucial point, as FED'S meeting led to fall in our markets, and a further fall due to RBI's announcement. markets will be correcting till the decision comes, hence this two days, markets will reach 16520.
Nifty Wave C continues on Daily chart-As discussed in last Idea 17161 was our target & now looks like market can fall further, our target was achieved so no clear path right now
-as of now cannot tell how much further it can fall according to elliott waves but 16800 is good support, i am expecting market to take support there & start fresh wave cycle from there
-we should wait for some days as soon as we see some indication of initial wave 1 & after that we can long & new wave cycle will begin from there
Thank you
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 28/Sep/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty closed flat -9 below 50 DMA. Nifty is clearly oversold. As expected, IT stocks start showing sign of recovery from lower levels. Today, Bulls (buy on dips) as well as bears (sell on rise) got the opportunity to trade. However, volatility was quite high. Yesterday, US market closed near 2 year low and today, US markets are trading green. Shall we expect a relief rally/bounce tomorrow?
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 27/SEP/2022
NIFTY IS DOWN BY -9 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 17007 17016 -8.90 -0.05%
India VIX 21.57 21.89 -0.33 -1.48%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 29/SEP/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 18000 (Open Interest: 8663050)
Max OI (Puts) 16000 (Open Interest: 6248500)
PCR 0.57 (PCR is in oversold zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Long Liquidation, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Shall we continue to look for sell on rise opportunities ????? Yes, I think so. What do you think?
1. Only at higher level after decent pull back from lower levels
2. near major resistance levels
3. near high OI in CE strikes with strict stoploss?
Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity ????? Yes, I think so. What are your views?
1. near major support levels
2. near high OI in PE strikes with strict SL?
However, it’s quite important to check & review following prior to finalize your strategy/work plan for next trading session. Market is very dynamic and overnight situation may get change.
1. Global cues based on EOD data
2. FIIs/DIIs/Big player cash & F&O data analysis
Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 28/Sep/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty closed flat -9 below 50 DMA. Nifty is clearly oversold. As expected, IT stocks start showing sign of recovery from lower levels. Today, Bulls (buy on dips) as well as bears (sell on rise) got the opportunity to trade. However, volatility was quite high. Yesterday, US market closed near 2 year low and today, US markets are trading green. Shall we expect a relief rally/bounce tomorrow? I WILL BE TRYING TO FIIs DATA ANALYSIS ONCE AVAILABLE IN ADDITIONAL COMMENTS.
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 27/SEP/2022
NIFTY IS DOWN BY -9 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 17007 17016 -8.90 -0.05%
India VIX 21.57 21.89 -0.33 -1.48%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 29/SEP/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 18000 (Open Interest: 8663050)
Max OI (Puts) 16000 (Open Interest: 6248500)
PCR 0.57 (PCR is in oversold zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Long Liquidation, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Shall we continue to look for sell on rise opportunities ????? Yes, I think so. What do you think?
1. Only at higher level after decent pull back from lower levels
2. near major resistance levels
3. near high OI in CE strikes with strict stoploss?
Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity ????? Yes, I think so. What are your views?
1. near major support levels
2. near high OI in PE strikes with strict SL?
However, it’s quite important to check & review following prior to finalize your strategy/work plan for next trading session. Market is very dynamic and overnight situation may get change.
1. Global cues based on EOD data
2. FIIs/DIIs/Big player cash & F&O data analysis
Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NIFTY Medium Term OutlookNifty is in the process of forming bottom if it is successful then we can see a relief rally for here in case we are not able of make a bottom we may see further slide. Long term projection up to April 2023 shows the following levels:
Resistance Level: 17335, 17799, 18076, 18369 and finally 18600. Best case scenario 20,000+.
Support Level: 16883, 16114, 15175 and finally 14217. Worst case scenario is around 14000.