5 Stocks Walk into a Bar....A mega cap, a large cap, a medium cap, a small cap, and a micro cap stock walk into a bar. The bartender looks at them and says, "What do you want?" They all reply, "A Shot!"
Well lets give these stocks "A Shot!" by taking a look at their price performance over the past 52 weeks and evaluating whether they are a "good buy."
Mega Cap: Facebook or Meta (FB) has fallen roughly 21% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $603B.
Large Cap: Netflix (NFLX) has fallen roughly 26% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $165B.
Medium Cap: Zoom (ZM) has fallen roughly 64% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $34B.
Small Cap: SoFi (SOFI) has fallen roughly 47% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $7.47B.
Micro Cap Loan Depot (LDI) has fallen roughly 78% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $1.3B.
All of these companies that I have mentioned above are oversold in my opinion, despite being one of the largest market cap in each of their respective segments and most are overall profitable. They all offer an important service that I have personally used in the past or currently use on an almost daily basis. Almost everyone is aware of Facebook now Meta, develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, wearables, and in-home devices worldwide. Between the Facebook app and Instagram, they are currently the largest social media platform to date.
The same goes with Netflix. Who do you know that hasn't used or watched a show or movie on Netflix before? Within the US, its almost unheard of. Now, you can get Netflix stock at a 26% discount and its not going away any time soon as the company begins to enter new markets within developing countries. Zoom is a software that played an integral part during the pandemic, where the world resorted to working from home to combat the pandemic's spread. Thus lead to the mass adoption of Zoom's software into many companies around the world who wanted to continue to collaborate in real time. Since the pandemic and the huge gains Zoom saw, it has since erased these gains and sit at what appears to be a bottom, with massive upside potential of well over 100%+ as companies continue to work remotely despite the waning of the pandemic. SoFi provides digital financial services and is taking on the traditional legacy banks. SoFi offers loans, investing accounts, crypto accounts, credit cards, banking, insurance, insight tracking such as spending habits or credit score monitoring and much more. I believe SoFi will give large banks a run for their money, which will ultimately lead to a potential buy-out by one of the legacy banks looking for an edge. As of today, SoFi is down roughly 62% despite being profitable in the past 2 quarters with a 13% QoQ gain in the 3rd quarter of 2021. LoanDepot sells mortgage and non-mortgage lending products and in 2015 was named the second largest non-bank provider of direct-to-consumer loans within the US. With an easy to use platform, and one of the best rate offerings and customer experiences, LoanDepot is poised to grow significantly in the coming years with increased revenues from raising interest rates.
Overall, I believe in these companies on a personal level. I encourage all of you to take a look at these companies yourselves and make your own conclusions. I would also implore you to follow the advice of Peter Lynch and always understand what you are investing in, because when the market corrects, which it always will. If you do not understand the company you invest in then you will not have conviction in the company, which you would be much more inclined to sell during a 10%, 25%, or even 50% drop, when in reality you should be adding to your positions during opportunities such as this. As Baron Rothschild always said, "the time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." Even if this is your own blood.
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NFLX
NFLX Potential For Bullish Pressure | 28th March 2022Price is near to Buy Entry level at 370.78 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. It can potentially rise up to Take Profit level at 386.16 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension, along with graphical swing high resistance. Our bullish bias is further supported by Stochastic indicator where price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternatively, price might dip to Stop Loss level at 360.91 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 76.8% Fibonacci projection.
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NFLX Potential For Bullish Continuation| 23rd March 2022Price is near Buy Entry level of 394.41 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Price might continue to go up to the Take Profit level of 457.32 with a previous graphical swing high. Our bullish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator where price is trading at resistance level. Alternatively, price might drop to 365.80 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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NFLX - Buy for the Elephant in the RoomNo It's not for Water For Elephants .....The "Elephant in the Room" is that huge price gap.
I am looking for a recovery in price to fill the gap and get to the median line. Anything over that is a bonus.
The blue bars are obviously representative. The actual time and price pattern could look much different.
What happens when FAANG rises more than 5 times by 2000 days? Disclaimer: These assets are not for new traders or those who don't tolerate ULTRA HIGH risks. I don't recommend this trade (also I don't recommend any other trade). This is just my market view on the current moment. It could be TOTALLY WRONG. If my view changes in the future I am not obligated to update this idea or publish a new one.
Netflix - Catching KnivesI'm not one to try and catch a falling knife but Netflix is down over 50% from it's all time high and the last time its weekly RSI was this oversold was back in 2011.
NFLX doesn't pay a dividend at the moment. Stock price is back to levels it was in March 2018, before the surge in customers added during the pandemic and before it's most recent price hike in subscriptions. May be a nice one to dollar cost average your way into.
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Netflix in More Trouble? Netflix - Short Term - We look to Sell at 358.64 (stop at 378.80)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 360.00. The primary trend remains bearish. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 291.27 and 281.07
Resistance: 360.00 / 400.00 / 450.00
Support: 300.00 / 290.00 / 250.00
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Shopping at GAPs..!These days, your stocks create big gaps (usually down side) after earnings!
Some People think this could be a good opportunity to enter a long position.
but
Is it really good to do that?
My simple answer to this question is:
No
Why?
Look at these examples in the past few months:
FB:
DOCU:
PYPL:
F:
ZM:
PINS:
WISH:
UPST:
BABA:
I hope you are convinced by now..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
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Netflix (NASDAQ: $NFLX) Back In The Buy Zone! 🤑Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services. It offers TV series, documentaries, feature films, and mobile games across various genres and languages. The company provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, television set-top boxes, and mobile devices. It also provides DVDs-by-mail membership services in the United States. The company has approximately 222 million paid members in 190 countries. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
Don't fall for the NarrativeThere's a general narrative going around of "buy the dip" and "look at these undervalued stocks". The goal here is not to compare Facebook to Microsoft to Paypal as companies, but to look at relative price structure between a handful of popular stocks. In this case, we have a few giant companies; Tesla , Facebook and Microsoft , charted against the smaller Paypal and Netflix , and which have taken a recent beating (along with Facebook ). The lines in the chart are an 1800 week linear regression of Microsoft's per-dollar performance relative to the M2 . The lines don't mean anything and are merely a rough guideline of history-projected asset strength. The prices are M2 adjusted to account for money supply expansion.
Facebook has been underperforming since 2018 after making a huge run in 2013 onward, but the notion that "it's a good deal" hardly stands up if you look at the relative trajectory of Microsoft and Tesla . Facebook was one of the biggest to rise, and was one of the first to fall. Microsoft on the other hand has a huge history of being an efficient capital allocator, and will probably be one of the last to fall. Let's ask the question: If Microsoft and Tesla make the same correction as did Paypal and Facebook , do you think Paypal and Facebook will be lower or higher following this hypothetical correction? The gut feeling here is that Paypal/ Facebook / Netflix /Peloton etc. COULD end up falling even more, given that many of these larger cap stocks are still standing well. I would rather short Tsla / Msft than long Paypal/ Facebook / Netflix /Peloton etc. given the current environment.
It's easy to want to fomo into these stocks when you look at a year or two of history, but I think this paints a more realistic picture.
Good luck and hedge your bets :)
Note: The arrows are not price targets, just medium term directional indicators.
Netflix Analysis 11.02.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Is Ackman Right to Buy Netflix (NFLX)?Today we were discussing the purchases of Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX by Bill Ackman:
Ackman sent a letter to investors in his hedge fund saying he had bought more than 3.1 million shares of Netflix, the video streaming pioneer whose stock had seen such vast reversals in recent days that it had been trading at June 2018 levels.
At Netflix’s current price of about $390 per share, the purchase gives Ackman a stake worth more than $1 billion — and makes him one of Netflix’s top 20 shareholders.
That is a pretty bold buy from one of my favorite contrarian investors but do I like the trade? I'm going to use my own Technical Analysis to see before making a decision...