GOLD:XAUUSD Gold broke out of a 6 year long downtrend on FridayXAUUSD: Gold Friday was a very special day for XAUUSD: it broke above a six year long down-trend that's been in play ever since the high was reached in 2011. All it has to do on Monday is hold above that line and not get sold off - gold should then rally to 1301-4 range. But it also looks as if it could well push higher by about $90 or 7% from here once it's proved it's strong enough to stand above the big dividing line come Monday. Why would it do this? Break 6 years in a downtrend...could it be that Comey has knowledge of the fact that the President (indirectly obviously) laundered/legitimised red-hot Russian money via his golf empire - stable assets scattered all over the world for the ultimate hedge - likely arranged at arm's length by the super smart Jared. This arrangement suited the Russians and it suited the President - and that's how Jared made his bones with the Prez. That much seems obvious even from this side of the pond. The question is: does Comey have any evidence? He's certainly got motive now. Who would call the guy he's fired a 'nut-job' ? Except either a nut-job...or someone so confident he's bullet-proof because...again he's mad or really does know that Comey has nothing on him. Now Comey has to make his mark - has to show the world he's not a nut job. The stage is set. The world, not just America, awaits Thursday with baited breath. And markets don't like uncertainty, do they? And loss of confidence in the Trump ideals will spell loss of confidence in the Dollar and on the other side of the coin, a mini-flight into Gold. Maybe this is what the gold chart is hinting at. Time will tell
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USDEUR: Key day turnaround: Sell USD back to 0.8874USDEUR: Today has seen a key day turnaround with massive dollar failure at highs marked by mass of heavy bear engulfing red candles: this is heavy rejection, no messing. This price action heralds the beginning of the next dollar down-wave. Catch it fast. Two shorts, from here to 0.8874 and from 0.8863 to 0.8807.
BITCOIN: BTCUSD The war of attrition continuesBITCOIN: Bears can't win yet until they can break 2225-2215 and then 2180 below there. But neither can the bulls unless they can take 2350 out. One way or another, if you're patient enough, this is going to break and if it happens to be to the upside it should be worth following
UKOIL: Brent Crude next target hit but more to comeUKOIL: Brent Crude - Brent has moved to within 1 pip of the next upside target at 54.60 and is consolidating recent gains. So long as it holds up off the lower parallel the uptrend remains strong and there should be more to come in near term up to 55.15 and potentially higher still as per comment. So stay with it but be ready to short from higher up tomorrow if we see the right spot to hit it from
DXY: Dollar Index Update - just hit target at 97.43 closed outDXY: Dollar Index DXY has just hit the target at 97.43 and has come off since but still looks OK to buy at these lower levels again around 97.33 and so long as it doesn't come back below 97.29 (stop for longs) it should go on to break above 97.43 - 0r you can wait and once it gets above 97.45 go long again for next burst of USD strength, as per last DXY comment. USDEUR - next USD long trigger at same time as DXY, probably. Worth trading on next break
EURUSD: Trying to break out, needs DXY to break 97.3 to confirmEURUSD: The Euro is trying to break to the upside again - but it needs confirmation from DXY to power ahead from here. DXY has to break below 97.3 to let Dollar bears run riot again from here. Keep an eye on it. It should be defended in 97.43 to 97.33 range by last dollar bulls. If/when 97.3 is broken it will effectively say that the Dollar has lost its last friend and defender...that is the point (if struck) to get heavily short USD and the point to increase long euro positions
DXY: Dollar Index: testing critical support at 97.43DXY: Dollar Index has come back down to retest the recent lows at 97.43 - support extends down to 97.33 - so some kind of a fight should be expected in this range. The pattern is bearish, still (so only a speccy buy for contrarians with a stop just below 97.30) but be aware that a fall below 97.30 will tip DXY into full-on bearish territory again, signalling the next phase of dollar weakness back to 95.93, then, once this fails, to 95.02 (about another 2.5% - same as the last decline). Minor support at 96.90 could trigger a weak rally attempt back up to 97.3 during the early stages of this decline. London's waiting to see if NY steps in here to defend $...if it doesn't ride to the rescue around the open it will show that right now the Dollar hasn't got a friend left in the world...it should start to fall away as quickly as it did on the last decline at that point (barring possibility of a minor bounce at 96.90, as above). Go long Euro on the other side if/when this trade gets triggered (see Euro comment)
DXY: Holding up so far and should rally one more timeDXY Dollar Index holding up so far but it still looks like a continuation pattern and that holds whilst unable to break above 97.75. But there's a little uptrend off the lows and it should work on this, the 4th strike, creating another little rally...still cannot do much other than play between the lines at moment, but next move is building, as per comment
DXY: Dollar index: Going flat awaiting next signalDXY Dollar Index: The Dollar has nmanaged to wriggle free of the parallels so have closed out shorts and Gold long and await next signal. still believe there is more downside but am awaiting confirmation as per comment - Have hit 10 maximum downloads, so apologise for poor download management. Today of all days
S and P 500 Get long for surge to 2449S and P should gap up and break out on Monday morning due to European euphoria because for once the favourite won. With one bound the S and P will be free and go on a run. If not already long, get long in Tokyo asap or even in London on IG index from about 5 to 6 pm Eastern tonight.
Cac 40 Index on a knife-edge hereCac 40 index is sitting on a knife-edge here waiting for positive news from FOMC presser. Not quite as positive as the Dax but they are both going to move in same direction when it comes. Get ready to go long on a move above 5310 if we see it for rally to 5744 to begin with, then 5865