Netcare
Netcare breaks out of year downtrend and ready to rally toR14.73Rev Cup and Handle formed on Netcare, we then had a MAJOR swoosh up in one day.
This broke not only above the 20MA and 200MA but also above the January downtrend.
So the movement is looking very positive for the healthcare stock.
Target R14.73
Netcare looking sick at the moment - Target R10.36Inv Cup and Handle has formed on Netcare since November 2023.
It is a high probability nature that the price is likely to drop as the price is below both 20MA and 200MA.
First target is to R10.36.
NOTE: I do acknowledge that there could be a short term W Formation which could cause some chop and even short term upside.
So this is indeed a medium term analysis.
Netcare ready to break above the Vuvuzela?Netcare has been in its downtrend since May 2023...
It shortly dropped from R16.00 down to R13.68.
And then, the price has been meandering in a downtrend below the 200MA since...
As long as it stays in the Vuvuzela Formation, it will continue to go down.
We need a strong breakout and for the price to close above the resistance of the pattern, before we put on our horns.
Once we're in, the first target will be to the top of the downtrend level at R16.19.
Until then, it's a waiting game.
Netcare is in the Twilight Zone blowing a VuvuzelaBroadening Formation has formed on Netcare which I like to call a Vuvuzela formation.
Range bounded means the indicators are Null and Void.
We need to wait for a break above or below the broadening formation - before a trend is chosen and bias.
R15.67 to the first up target before it turns down
jse:ntc #Netcare having a short term fall in priceA descending triangle exists on Netcare.
Within this triangle we have a head & shoulders pattern.
Breakdown of these two patterns could result in prices between R9 - R11. I believe this will be a fall and immediate correction to retest the bottom of the descending triangle, so perhaps there is a short term trade in Netcare, for those with the necessary apitite.
Netcare LTD - NTC 1WNot Financial Advice - Open to feedback good or bad
Netcare - NTC
Really sorry for the Ugly looking chart.
Current Price R15.50
We can see clear bull div on the weekly. Price seems to holding above the monthly support (Blue line). Wont mind taking a spot position with a stop loss below R13.50.
TP1 - R18.25 *
TP 2 - R20.00 *
Stop loss R13.50
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LONG: NETCARE in South Africa (JSE)JSE:NTC
WHO IS NETCARE?
Netcare Ltd. is an investment holding company which operates through a number of subsidiaries in the health care and health services industry in South Africa. The company has over 25 000 employees and holds the highest market share in regards to private health care in South Africa.
THE SITUATION
The public health care system in South Africa is frail and deteriorating. Public hospitals are ineffective in regards to serving the country's growing population (1.8% growth per year), further more the quality of public health care causes much complaining in the public and is one of the core failings of the public health system. Citizens who can afford medical aid and medical insurance always prefer using private health care.
In the last 3 years the uptake of medical insurance has grown as low cost medical insurers enter the market and make medical insurance more accessible for people to use and thus opt to use private health care. The demand for private health in the long term is set to rise.
THE OPPORTUNITY
In the private health care system there are mainly three big companies in South Africa, these are
1. Medi Clinic, Netcare and Life.
Netcare is positioned to be the biggest beneficiary of the demand for private health care as the group has the most foot print and a variety of specialists in its group, further more the group recently acquired Akeso which is a mental health group of clinics. Mental health is set for a boom in South Africa as the stigma decreases and more medical insurers and medical aid recognize illnesses and serve them.
The biggest risk to Netcare and health care companies in South Africa is NHI, a messy implementation of NHI could result in private health care providers suffering from state maladministration and the mass regulation of fees.
SCENARIO PREDICTION
Private health care and private mental health care demand will increases, Netcare will gain more customers and earnings will increase in most of their facilities. Management will handles the balance sheet well as they have done in the past and shareholders will be rewarded with an increase in dividends.
The share price will increase from R20.78 to R38.00 in the next 4 years (by 2024)
$JSENTC completing a reverse Head & shoulders formationConsidering Netcare's price action holds up today and closes above the neckline level at 18.65, we are witnessing the completion of an inverse or reverse Head & Shoulders formation. Results released yesterday have been received well by the market, which should ease investors concerns for the time being.
These patterns are reversal patterns that form at the end of an extended downtrend and confirm once prices breaks above the neckline. What i really like about this setup is the expansion of volume that we have seen from the advancement of the right shoulder and during the break above the neckline. This is crucial to confirm the validity of the formation. Should all go to plan, this pattern has a target of R22.34
Entry : buy the break above neckline @ 18.65
Stop loss: Close below right shoulder @ 16.71
Target: R22.34
$JSENTC Netcare 911, we have an emergency!This chart looks like an emergency that requires an urgent intervention! Perhaps the major volume seen today could be an indication of capitulation and i will be monitoring the price action in the days ahead to see if it is able to recover from these over extended levels. Should this level hold which is also coincidentally the bottom of the downward sloping channel, we could see a bounce take place to the R21.00 - R21.60 area. R21.60 is an area where the chart also has a small gap which might want to fill first before any further downside ensues.