Get started

NASDAQ 100 CFD

✅ Daily Market Analysis - 02 MAY 2024Economic events: USA - Initial Jobless Claims Eurozone - HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Apr) Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks U.S. equity markets saw a partial recovery subsequent to the Federal Reserve's choice to maintain interest rates at their current levels on Wednesday. Additionally, the Fed disclosed intentions to commence a gradual tapering of its balance sheet reduction initiative, commonly referred to as quantitative tightening, beginning in the coming month. As a result, the S&P 500 index made a modest gain of 0.1%, while the NASDAQ Composite index advanced by 0.2%. Furthermore, the Dow Jones Industrial Average exhibited notable strength, surging by 179 points, equivalent to a 0.50% increase. NDX, SPX, and DJI indices daily chart The Federal Reserve opted to maintain its key interest rates within the 5.25% to 5.5% range, signaling a potential prolongation of elevated rates owing to the slower-than-expected progress in addressing inflationary pressures. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) highlighted insufficient headway toward achieving the targeted 2 percent inflation rate in recent months. Nevertheless, the FOMC announced plans to initiate a reduction in its holdings of Treasury securities, commencing in June with a reduction of approximately $25 billion per month from the current pace of $60 billion. This decision follows recent labor market data indicating a slight imbalance, with job openings reaching a three-month low in March. Despite this, April saw private sector job gains exceeding economists' projections. Market focus now shifts to the imminent release of the nonfarm payrolls report scheduled for Friday, with expectations of a robust addition of 243,000 jobs to the U.S. economy in April. In currency markets, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward trajectory on Thursday, propelled by prevailing market optimism favoring risk-sensitive currencies like the Euro. This upbeat sentiment may be attributed in part to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish commentary on Wednesday. However, the Eurozone faces challenges due to a comparatively more dovish stance from the European Central Bank compared to the Federal Reserve. Recent inflation data from the Eurozone showed stability in April, aligning with expectations. EUR/USD daily chart Moreover, core inflation witnessed a decline, fueling speculation regarding a potential interest rate reduction by the European Central Bank (ECB) in June. Thursday also marks the release of the final HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data, with market expectations aligning with preliminary figures. This index serves as a leading indicator, offering insights into business activity within the Eurozone manufacturing sector. In contrast, the Japanese Yen faced notable selling pressure during the Asian session on Thursday, retracting from its over two-week high against the US Dollar observed the preceding day. Initial reactions to rumors of Japanese authorities intervening once again, marking the second intervention this week to support the domestic currency, quickly waned amid expectations of a sustained wide US-Japan rate differential. Furthermore, a generally positive risk sentiment surrounding US equity markets serves as a significant factor undermining the safe-haven appeal of the JPY. USD/JPY daily chart In the early Asian trading hours, the USD/CAD pair persists in its downward trajectory around 1.3730. Late on Wednesday, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem reaffirmed the central bank's confidence in an ongoing reduction in inflation. Macklem indicated that the BoC is nearing the point of deliberating rate cuts, underscoring that the central bank is not bound to mimic the Federal Reserve's strategies. He emphasized that higher rates in Canada are demonstrating greater efficacy compared to the United States. USD/CAD daily chart Amid mounting speculation among traders, there is growing anticipation that the Bank of Canada may opt for interest rate cuts in June, prompted by Canada's economic deceleration in the initial quarter of this year. Notably, Canada's GDP exhibited a subdued expansion of 0.2% month-on-month in February, a slowdown from the preceding 0.5% figure and below the market's projected 0.3% growth. Additionally, according to S&P Global on Wednesday, the Canadian Manufacturing PMI descended to 49.4 in April and 49.8 in March, falling short of the market consensus of 50.2. Despite lackluster figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, including weaker-than-expected Trade Balance and Building Permits data, the Australian Dollar persists in its strengthening trend on Thursday. The AUD/USD pair garners support from the prevailing positive market sentiment, buoyed by dovish remarks issued by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday. AUD/USD daily chart The ascent of the Australian Dollar finds its roots in the hawkish stance adopted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), anticipated to uphold elevated interest rates throughout 2024. Additionally, last week's domestic inflation figures surpassing expectations have fueled speculation that the RBA could defer any potential interest rate cuts. Traders are eagerly awaiting the release of several key economic indicators from the United States on Thursday, including weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Productivity, and Factory Orders. These data releases are poised to provide additional clarity regarding the present condition of the US economy.
by FOREXN1
1
APPLE This is why you should not miss this buy opportunity.Apple (AAPL) dived by -18% from the December 14 2023 High and following yet another rejection on its 1D MA50 this week, many turned increasingly skeptical over the stocks future. On this chart however, we examine Apple's ratio against Nasdaq (NDX) and gives a very clear answer. As you can see, the ratio is about to form a Death Cross on the 1W time-frame, with the price attempting a rebound after having been hammered below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). In the past 11 years, every time the ratio was below its 1W MA200 (green arc) and on a 1W Death Cross in particular, that was the market bottom and Apple largely outperformed the rest of the index. In fact the minimum it rose by until the next large correction was +53.54% and the maximum +95.31%. In 1W RSI terms, this bottom is very similar to January 2013, when the RSI also got extremely oversold at 20.00. Bottom-line: Apple is most likely expected to outperform the index in the coming years, thus presenting a very rare long-term buy opportunity. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingShot
5
NASDAQ One final dip left before it bottoms?Nasdaq (NDX) started the week on a bearish not and is correcting the last 1W candle, only a few hours left before the Fed Rate Decision. This is fundamentally the game changer for stocks, any hint towards cuts in the near future should have a strong positive effect on the markets. Technically though, the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the December 2022 Low has a base bottom on the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) - 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) Zone. In fact, both corrections/ Bearish Legs of the pattern, hit at least the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level before finding Support and reversing upwards. The 0.382 Fib is currently at 16800, any negative remarks during Powell's press conference can quickly and effortlessly hit that level. Even the 1W RSI suggests that we might be on a Lower High similar to the week of October 09 2023. Whatever the outcome, those are levels good enough to buy for the long-term as the upside potential is significant and our personal Target is 20500 (top of the Channel Up). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDX
by TradingShot
4
✅ Daily Market Analysis - 01 MAY 2024Economic events: USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr) USA - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr) USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Mar) USA - Crude Oil Inventories USA - FOMC Statement USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision USA - FOMC Press Conference On Tuesday, the S&P 500 underwent a decline, terminating its five-month streak of consecutive gains. This downturn was propelled by apprehensions surrounding inflation, ignited by data highlighting wage pressure. Concurrently, this development aligns with the commencement of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average witnessed a decline of 570 points, equating to a 1.1% decrease, while the S&P 500 experienced a 1.5% drop, and the NASDAQ Composite saw a 2% downturn. Particularly noteworthy is the S&P 500's recording of a 3% loss for the month. NDX, SPX, and DJI indices daily chart The escalation in US labor costs throughout the first quarter exceeded expectations, primarily propelled by rising wages and benefits. This development has revived apprehensions regarding inflation, particularly amid a diminishing investor confidence in potential Federal Reserve rate reductions. As per the Employment Cost Index, labor expenses surged by 1.2% in the preceding quarter, following an unrevised 0.9% uptick in the quarter prior. On a year-over-year basis, labor costs climbed by 4.2%. This report emerges following recent data indicating a buildup of price pressures in the initial quarter, amplifying concerns surrounding inflation. The downtrend of EUR/USD persists for the second consecutive day, with the pair hovering around the 1.0650 level during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Amid European market closures in observance of Labour Day, market participants eagerly anticipate the Federal Reserve's forthcoming policy decision. EUR/USD daily chart Despite the release of robust Eurozone data on Tuesday, the Euro encountered challenges in sustaining its upward trajectory. Notably, Eurozone GDP surpassed expectations, expanding by 0.3% in the first quarter. Moreover, the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) exhibited stable year-over-year growth, meeting anticipated levels. However, the core HICP, excluding food and energy prices, exhibited a softening trend, albeit still surpassing estimates. Investor sentiment remains optimistic regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank in June, as a majority of ECB policymakers have signaled their endorsement for such measures. On Tuesday, the Japanese Yen incurred notable losses against its American counterpart, reversing a significant portion of the gains witnessed the previous day, driven by the potential intervention by Japanese authorities. The primary contributor to the JPY's weakness is the substantial interest rate differential between Japan and the United States, a trend expected to persist in the foreseeable future. This, combined with heightened demand for the US Dollar, propelled the USD/JPY pair higher during intraday trading. USD/JPY daily chart Following the publication of the AiG Industry Index on Wednesday, indicating a continued contraction in Australia's private business activity for March, the Australian Dollar remains subdued. Despite this, market sentiment suggests that the Reserve Bank of Australia will maintain its current interest rates of 4.35% in the upcoming meeting scheduled for next week. The Australian Dollar faced additional downward pressure following the release of disappointing Aussie Retail Sales data on Tuesday, raising speculation about its potential impact on the RBA's interest rate stance. However, optimism stemming from higher-than-anticipated domestic inflation figures from the previous week has led to speculation that the central bank might delay any decisions regarding interest rate cuts. AUD/USD daily chart During the early Asian session on Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair faces selling pressure around the 0.5880 level. The New Zealand Dollar depreciates in response to worse-than-expected employment data from New Zealand. NZD/USD daily chart In the first quarter of this year, New Zealand faced a notable increase in its unemployment rate amidst a prolonged recession compounded by high-interest rate conditions. According to Statistics New Zealand's report on Wednesday, the nation's Unemployment Rate rose to 4.3% in Q1 from 4.0% in Q4, surpassing market expectations of 4.2%. Simultaneously, Employment Change figures recorded a decrease of 0.2% in Q1, contrasting with the previous reading's 0.4% rise and falling short of the projected 0.3% increase. The upsurge in the unemployment rate may prompt the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to uphold its elevated rate for an extended duration to counter inflationary pressures. Market sentiment suggests that the RBNZ is inclined to maintain a restrictive Official Cash Rate, with any potential for rate cuts unlikely until 2025. As the Federal Reserve initiates its two-day policy-setting meeting, market consensus leans towards the central bank maintaining its benchmark interest rate within the current range of 5.25%-5.50%, a level sustained since July. Investors are particularly attentive to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's subsequent remarks following the monetary policy statement. These remarks are expected to carry substantial significance, with investors keen to glean insights into Powell's alignment with the market's less dovish perspective on the rate outlook.
by FOREXN1
1
Are the Dominoes about to fall?December 2022 saw Domino's reaching a high of $567.57 before reaching a base of $285.84, a drop of 50% from the highs. Since then, DPZ has rallied with the rest of the market, up 22% YTD aat press time, seeing a level of sell pressure as it dances around the $500 mark. Looking at the daily timeframe below... ...you can see a topping out structure as the C wave of a larger wave B approaches the 1.272 fib . This, I suggest will be followed by a Wave C of your larger A-B-C corrective pattern, targetting the 1.272 or 1.618 extensions of the wave A ($567.57 to $285.84). The targets are as follows: - 1.272: $209.03 (-58.37%) - 1.618: $164.87 (-66.93%) Looking at reasons for this, I can't find much. The one thing I do find worrying is the company's nagative equity situation. In their Balance sheet for the year end 2023, Domino's reported $1.77bn in total assets and $5.84bn in liabilities. A worsening of this situation would definitely be a cause for concern. Since much of this is most likely property debt, with a slowing down of the housing market, and potential reversal on the cards(?), my thesis would be that Domino's would no longer be able to afford their properties. Anyway, let me know what you think....and if you'd choose Domino's over pizza Hut. Cheers for reading
NYSE:DPZShort
by joshuashepherd877
NASDAQ Relief rally to 18000 ahead?Nasdaq (NDX) finally hit yesterday our long-term bearish Target (17130), which we called a while ago (March 12, see chart below) but was postponed due to the Double Top formation: The index is now on a mixed sentiment as even though it is on a correction sequence below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), the 1D RSI hit the 30.00 oversold limit as this Bearish Leg almost completed a -8.50% decline. During the previous Bearish Leg of the multi-month Channel Up pattern, the index had a relief rally towards the 0.786 Fib, after an initial -8.50% decline. We can see that this took place on the 0.3 Fib (blue) from the top. As a result we expect a short-term (at least) bounce to 18000. As long as the index doesn't break above the (blue) Channel Down and in particularly close a 1D candle above the 0.786 Fib (18150), we can expect a Lower Low after this relief rally. If it does close above it, we will resume most likely the long-term bullish trend earlier and we will update our position. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
5
Indices higher with the Vix as Support 🧐Hello traders.. kicking off the week here the stock indices are up alongside the USD strength. We have the vix which sold off dring the london session and this tells us that sentiment is leaning towards risk on as call options are being bought. The Nasdaq is moving up here and we could mirror some of the candles to the left handside that we observed during Friday of last week. We could move up to 17,303 or at least towards there since we have clean traffic on the 1hr chart and 4hr. Oil has continued to selloff as I anticpated and gold has sold off even more denoting some risk-off sentiment from commodities. Bond yields are up slightly denoting some risk on sentiment to begin the week here. The overall trend for yields has been up the last few weeks. It will be important to observe how candles close around 17,164 daily level as this will tell us of impending strength or weakness in Nasdaq. We may retreat towards 17,070 if price cannot sustain around 17,164 daily level.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Nasdaq - Correction already over?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Nasdaq. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 10 years the Nasdaq has been trading in a pretty obvious and also profitable rising channel formation. We saw the last retest of support back in 2023 which was followed by a significant rally of +70% towards the upside. As we are speaking the Nasdaq is actually retesting resistance so there is a quite high chance that we will see at least a little more bearish continuation. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQ
by basictradingtv
2
Nasdaq Weekly Analysis Sure, here's the corrected text: We see the price bouncing from Mon 10 OCT '22 after a year and a half of bearish market and going directly to retest the all-time high on Mon 22 Nov '21 again by MON 22 JAN '24. However, it starts to move towards a new all-time high, but with limited liquidity hindering further price increase. We've already witnessed a significant bullish move, and it's time for the market to correct itself. We've observed a weekly candle breaking the market structure forcefully towards the order block from Tue 02 Jan '24 and breaking the 50% retracement level from Mon 23 Oct '23 low to the all-time high. We anticipate the price to continue being bearish to shake out buyers and accumulate new liquidity if we aim to reach a new all-time high. Our focal point in the NASDAQ for the 2Q is the breaker from Mon 24 Jul above the 50% Fibonacci level of the bullish leg and between 0.6/0.7 of the Fibonacci level to turn bullish. Breaking Mon 23 Oct '23 liquidity support would put us in a significantly bearish condition.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Deotrade1
U.S. Stock Indices, signs of Relief? 🏛️hello traders.. the U.S. stock indices have been getting pounded by bearish sentiment related to new war conflicts. Also, they were due for a pullback as things have been quite bullish the last few months. Price currently is testing a Daily support level on Nasdaq at 17,500. The NYSE 1hr candle just closed strong bearish below our Daily support level and we are currently retesting structure to continue bearish. A 4hr zone at 17,410 may be the last hope for bears before another selloff takes place to retrace another 2 percent to 17,164 Daily support level. We currently have bearish momentum in the Risk-On stock markets. We had retail sales come out much better than expected earlier this week but this didnt do much at all for price. Strong jobs data and increasing inflation in recent months have increased price a decent amount and this looks like a healthy pullback for profit taking and liquidations.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Short
by ShrewdCatfx
NASDAQ: This is a short term correction leading to 21,500.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.414, MACD = -64.490, ADX = 50.187) but the 1W RSI is still bullish (RSI = 56.510). You can see the reason on this chart. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that is supported by the 1W MA50 for the past 13 months. The current pullback can be seen as a phase similar to the consolidation of August-November 2020 that resumed the uptrend afterwards almost as high as the 4.0 Fibonacci extension level. The RSIs are very much alike as well, under LH trendlines. Consequently our long term target is slightly under the 4.0 Fib (TP = 21,500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope
1
NASDAQ Emphatically below its 1D MA50 after +5 months!Nasdaq (NDX) is on the pull-back process, a correction that we called on our March 12 idea (see chart below) when the index reached the top of its 1 year Channel Up: Even as recently as last week (see chart below) we called for the ideal sell entry and set a 17500 Target: As you can see, the index emphatically broke and closed below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday for the first time in more than 5 months (April 04 also closed below it but only marginally). That is technically as strong bearish break-out signal. The idea now is that we want the index to hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been intact since November 06 2023, see how the market reacts and then determine if that is a low or not. Technically if it replicates the August 18 2023 Low, we should be expecting a Low on the 0.3 Fibonacci retracement level at 17,150 at least, which also happens to be just above Support 1. The decline on the Aug 18 2023 Low was of the -8.52% magnitude, so that gives us a 16900 downside limit. We don't expect the pull-back to go that low though this time. A fair bottom signal can be when the 1D RSI hits 35.00 or the bottom of its Channel Down, similar to what took place on August 18 2023. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot